GEO Technical Analysis 🧙The GEO Group Inc. is a real estate investment trust specializing in detention facilities and community-reentry centers. The company leases and oversees secure detention centers, rehabilitation and reentry facilities, and service centers for troubled youth. The GEO Group also provides counseling, education, drug abuse treatment, technology-based supervision programs, and detainee transportation. The majority of revenue comes from leasing and managing U.S. corrections & detention facilities. The GEO Group also operates in Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
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GEO trade ideas
GEO , Long opportunity with potential for 100% + gain GEO recently dropped around 25% , in my opinion mostly due to Biden statements about removing private prisons from government contracts during his term. I don't believe this will actually happen , especially taking into account the current divided government in the US (harder for Biden to pass bills).
What stands out to me with GEO is that it only recently underwent a pretty substantial news based drop and is trading at what I believe to be a discount (current P/E also less than share price). More importantly , after pretty much every election this stock rallies over 100% , I encourage you all to go back on trading view to see this for yourself . I believe we will see a similar 100% + rally with GEO in the next 4-6 months .
In addition to that , they also pay a 16% dividend and I like their revenue/income trends . They do have some slightly higher comparative debt/equity figures but due to the nature of their business model, they have the benefit of consistent income sources and will have no issues paying debt .
The one Analyst 12 month target available is $15 . I see greater upside, personally .
I have marked the chart with the prior 3 elections to demonstrate that GEO typically undergoes a rally post election.
Good luck ~
GEO, dangerous effect of Descending triangle and $10 price mark Poor $GEO . It's getting hammered into the earning .
This is what happen to a stock when it break $10 mark with a bearish pattern " Descending triangle "
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$GEO Fill that gap - Bottom is inWedge has been forming since mid April & end is near pending a major breakout or breakdown.
Gap to be filed in the range 10.40 -10.74
Gap has also been filled twice over this month wedge as well.
Strategy to play this:
Wait till price falls back into the gap range and set stop loss to $10.30
Or
Wait till bullish confirmation if stock breaks the upper wedge trend line.
GEO Group IncFirst off, I view REITs in general as completely undervalued in our markets and due a solid run. Now with GEO I see them weathering the "storm" of covid-19 due to them being in a safe niche. They are heavily involved in the "for profit prisons" which I don't see going away any time soon (opposite of commercial office buildings). GEO also has a high dividend yield of over 17% which protects any slight drawdown.
Technically speaking, the monthly candle is consolidating over a historic support/resistance zone. The zone originally acting as reistance, which led to a drawdown of -88% and a 7 year bear market. Acting as heavy support, GEO has seen surges of 175% and 221% from this zone. Add in a sub 35 RSI with volume steady increasing and the bull case gets stronger by the day.
GEO GROUP (Monthly Chart)
Fundamentals:
GEO GROUP (Mkt Cap 2.003B). Earnings grew by 14.8% over the past year, currently trading well below fair value. Annual earnings growth over the past 5 years 2.7%. Over the past year earnings growth, 14.8% exceeds its 5-year average. Insider Trading: Founder of GEO recently bought 515,000 shares ($8.5m)
Technicals:
During early morning session today GEO knifed through its 200 period moving average (monthly). A break above trendline resistance (1) (18.00 handle) is where I will be looking to go long on this one. With a stop below trendline support (2).
Medium to Long Term outlook.
GEO DPositive DivergenceRuns prisons, got oversold because libtards sold it off. Some banks stopped loaning money and stopped coverage. Doesn't really matter because they'll always someone who wants to make money by loaning to a profitable company.
Not to mention they're expanding, making money, and paying 10% dividend. Target $20.
Private Prisons make money off adminstration and kidsno pun intended, thats a lot cake someone is eating. Not getting political at all. watching an monitoring here. I have no position and dont plan on innating one, just monitoring to see how this plays out. and break down the lies from a technical analysis stand point
And the next bottom?2 positions are thinkable:
Shortterm view: Fix that Level: Short entry now, sl a bit above the neckline (for example a tick above the illustrated 0,5 fibo) tp 31
Midterm/longterm view: Trying to catch the breakout - stopbuy @ 35$, SL 30,8 (below the possible "3") TP1: 39$ / TP2: 43$
Go to Prison with Geo GroupGeo Group recently touched a multi-year bottom of $31.00. Following that they announced the reopening of a250 bed facility in California and a dividend of .57/q. The aggregate analyst target is $41.00. I am a little more conservative.
They are one of the bigger names in the for-profit American prison game and have begun to snag market share in South Africa and a few other countries. Cash flow is solid and steady; debt is manageable. If you're an economic bear (not that I am) then here's a safe play - when times get rough crime rises. If you're an economic bull (not that I am) then here's a multibillion dollar company near multi-year lows, which is a rare find in the market right now.
I like a slow and somewhat volatile 20% ride to about $37.10. Pop a stop loss at $30.00. Just over $5 up to only $2.50 down.