GS setup for a fall, targeting lower prices in next 30 daysIt appears to me that GS is running up into heavy resistance from the mountain of sellers over the $110 level and into the GAP supply zone where GS slid from 108 to 102 on aggressive selling this spring.
The rally appears to be forming a persuasive-pattern where plenty of new highs and smaller reactions creates the illusion of plenty of strength. The strength is masked by low volume, which indicates we should be skeptical of the rally.
Volume on the exchanges is dwindling and that is a fundamental, long term weakness. The Knight-Capital disaster is a positive for GS as it makes the competitive landscape that much smaller for GS to dominate.
I wish us all good fortune in entering a trade against the trend - it always takes "guts" to stand in front of what seems to be a steam train. I could see entering anywhere from the 105 to the 110 level. So, follow this chart and I'll do my best to pin-point the safest entry time that I can find.
Cheers.
9:29AM EST Friday, Aug 17, 2012
