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Home Depot, Inc. (The)Home Depot, Inc. (The)Home Depot, Inc. (The)

Home Depot, Inc. (The)

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HD trade ideas

Weak earnings on end of cycleHome Depot reported weaker earnings – revenue fell 4.25% YoY earnings fell 8.8%. It reflects a weaker building + DIY market in the US, which is what we’re seeing across the board – specialist store Restoration Hardware (RH) reported similarly weak sales. HD fell 2.15% in response, which isn’t enough value for us yet. We initiated coverage of HD back in December where we said that HD is a best in class retailer but too expensive, citing slowdown fears. Those slowdown fears have come to pass yet now we’re anticipating more slowdown versus HD’s 3-5% projected decline in sales for the FY. We think this is too little. Home Depot’s customers tend to be “tradies” and homeowners. Typically having homeowners as a customer base is a good thing – they are cashed up and have equity. Yet we’re in an environment of rising interest rates for mortgages, which will strain that previously strong “homeowner” dollar. We still consider HD to be an exemplary business – even in a recessionary environment they still have net margins of ~20% (vs James Hardie’s 12% and Fletcher’s ~8%) and they maintain an average “ticket” price per sale of ~$92. The headline here is Pandemic spending is over and that goods spend we were seeing previously has shifted to services. See upside as $+$230 and downside as +$190. Read more at: research.blackbull.com
NYSE:HD
by BlackBull_Markets
Home Depot "Plunges" to SupportAll media invokes sensationalism to get clicks and views to see their ads. Some really play into the doomer mindset of their readers/viewers by selecting stories that amplify the theme of the world/economy/dollar ending and that the next crash is right upon us! I've been reading these headlines every day for over a decade now and it's just the way modern journalism works. As a trader I aspire to cut through the noise and negative bias (and sometimes the positive bias) and ask the more objective question: "what does the price action suggest?" Home Depot NYSE:HD had earnings today and while the news was negative the overall long term trend (on the Weekly timeframe) has not changed. The key low of COVID and All Time High trend has defined most stocks for the last two years and may continue to define them for up to a decade. This past trend sets up a 50% Retracement level around 280.62 which Home Depot stock price has stubbornly held with an auction zone for a year of price action by now. Digging down through the lower timeframes the price action sets up a potential low-risk post-earning trade. The price action of the open poked below the near term low but failed to follow lower. What I would look for is price to hold today's opening action and NOT break the opening low. That sets up a stop for a reversal of this oversold condition while the broader price action on the Weekly is at a major Support.
NYSE:HDLong
by norok
15
Weak Trend Line and Bearish MACD Gap Indicate Potential ReversalNYSE:HD has profitable for the past five years, with earnings per share (EPS) growing at an average rate of 17.67%. The company also pays a dividend, which has been growing at an average rate of 16.37%. The company's valuation metrics are also relatively healthy, with a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 17.355 and a price-to-book ratio of 205.99. However, there are a few areas of concern. First, the company's debt-to-equity ratio is high, at 96.411%. This means that the company is relying heavily on debt to finance its operations. Second, the company's inventory turnover ratio is low, at 4.4343. This means that the company is taking longer to sell its inventory than it should. The technical indicators are showing some intriguing signs the chart. A weak trend line on the buy signal combined with a hidden divergence suggests consolidation or choppy market conditions. Furthermore, a gap in the MACD histogram could be signaling a potential bearish reversal. The weak trend line on the buy signal suggests a lack of strong bullish momentum. This, coupled with the hidden divergence, could be indicating a phase of consolidation or choppy market conditions. During such periods, the market often moves sideways within a range, making it difficult for trend-based strategies to generate profits. The gap in the MACD histogram is another crucial factor to consider. Such gaps often precede reversals, indicating that the bears could be about to take control. This could be an excellent opportunity for traders looking to short sell or buy put options. The key levels to watch are: - Support at 287: This is where we can expect buying pressure to emerge. If the price drops to this level and then bounces, it could be a buying opportunity for short-term traders. - Resistance at 291.3: This is where we can expect selling pressure. If the price rises to this level and then starts to fall, it could be an opportunity for short selling or buying put options. In conclusion, the current chart presents a mixed outlook with indications of potential bearish reversal. Im looking to enter a short position if it breaks through the support line.
NYSE:HDShort
by TicksandWicks22
I'm not bearish after HD earning reportAccording Morgan Stanley, $360 PT represents ~19.5x our 2024e EPS of $18.20, or ~14x our 2024e EBITDA of ~$27.8b. Home improvement sees demand moderation in '23 and growth in '24. In '22/'23/'24 we forecast comps of 3.3%/0.5%/3.5%, GM -10 bps/flat/flat, and +2.7%/+0.5%/+3% SG&A per sq ft growth. This drives ~15 bps of cumulative EBIT margin expansion in 2022-2024, with +5%/flattish/+4% EBIT growth. Risks to Upside Housing market accelerates through and beyond COVID-19 disruption Initiatives gain momentum and drive top line acceleration in 2022/2023 Risks to Downside A slowdown in the Home Improvement market More than expected interest rate hikes Departure of key leadership
NYSE:HD
by KhanhC.Hoang
Home Depot bearish momentum might be shifting Shares in Home Depot, Inc. (symbol ‘HD’) is trading at a loss compared to the opening of 2023 currently sitting on a loss of around 9%. The company is expected to report its earnings for the fiscal quarter ending April 2023 on Tuesday 16th of May, before market open. The consensus EPS is $3,81 compared to the result for the same quarter last year of $4,09. ‘ With the dividend yield almost at 3% and the payout ratio at around 45% the company is an attractive addition to the portfolio of investors, especially long term. The retailing giant is looking financially healthy since the latest current ratio figure on January 2023 at 140% showing that they have the ability to overcome short term turbulence.‘’ said Antreas Themistokleous, an analyst at Exness. On the technical side the price is trading in an overall bearish momentum with the 50 SMA still well below the 100 SMA while the Stochastic oscillator near the extreme oversold level indicating that a minor correction to the upside might be imminent in the following sessions. The lower band of the Bollinger bands is acting as a support on the price for the time being while the 50 SMA is acting as a resistance on the price. All in all the coming sessions are important for the price of the share because it could indicate the short term direction of the trend depending if it manages to break above the 50 day moving average or the lower band of the Bollinger bands. .
NYSE:HD
by Exness_Official
Home Depot to raise the house (a bit). HDOr a 5+% loss incase of a stoploss trigger. Technically, we can climb here, given increasing momentum, but local pivot not confirmed. Head and shoulders is also speculative. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
NYSE:HD
by Rykin_Capital
Home Depot: Diligent ⚙️As a hard worker, Home Depot has just recently nailed down wave X in green, hitting our green target zone between $282.54 and $260.03. From this low, the share has already started the anticipated ascent and thus should soon reach the resistance line at $347.25. Next, Home Depot should saw through this mark and climb into the gray zone between $360.98 and $402.97 to tape down wave b in gray before turning downwards again. The following descent should then lead the course back below $347.25 and subsequently below the support at $260.03. There is a 37% chance, though, for Home Depot to drop below this level early. In that case, we would assume that the share has last developed waves alt.1 and alt.2 in green instead of waves (A) and (B) in magenta and thus has already finished wave alt.b in gray.
NYSE:HD
by MarketIntel