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IBM trade ideas

What makes a good moving average?Four Core Qualities of Superior Moving Average Accuracy (preserving large-scale structure): Moving average should maintain the important underlying structure of price movements (like major trends and cycles) while filtering out all smaller fluctuations; it should faithfully represent the true price trajectory over longer timeframes. Timeliness (minimal lag): Most moving averages lag behind price action - they indicate changes way after they've already happened. A good moving average minimizes this lag, responding quickly to genuine price movements without sacrificing other qualities, providing more actionable signals and earlier entries/exits. Minimal overshoot: Overshoot occurs when a highly reactive moving average extends beyond the actual price extremes, creating false impressions of price levels never reached. TEMA, DEMA and HMA are examples of overshooting moving averages; good moving average should avoid this distortion, particularly during price reversals, preventing false triggers when used with threshold-based systems. Smoothness (reduced noise): A quality moving average filters out random price fluctuations (noise) that don't represent meaningful market activity, especially in steady non-volatile periods. This creates a clean, smooth line that clearly shows the underlying price direction without the jagged, erratic movements that could trigger false signals. The Dynamic Adaptive Moving Average Picture shows a study of Dynamic Adaptive Moving Average that employs a complex approach to price smoothing that continuously adjusts its behavior based on real-time market conditions. At its core, this indicator uses the ratio between short-term True Range and longer-term ATR to measure relative volatility changes in the market. This volatility assessment drives the automatic adjustment of critical smoothing parameters through calibrated sigmoid functions, allowing the indicator to become more responsive during volatile periods and more stable during consolidation. Smoothing is achieved with three-stage filtering process: the first stage applies preliminary smoothing using self-adjusted adaptive exponential moving average. The second stage implements a Kalman filter that provides further smoothing while maintaining responsiveness to price spikes. The final stage applies another adaptive filter that balances smoothness and lag reduction. The study shows comparison between HMA indicator and a working model of Dynamic Adaptive Moving Average.
NYSE:IBM
by mihak09
IBM Wave Analysis – 20 March 2025 - IBM reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 253.00 IBM recently reversed up from the support zone between the pivotal support level 240.00 (former multi-month high from December), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from November. The upward reversal from this support zone will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Long-legged Doji – strong buy signal for IBM. Given the clear daily uptrend, IBM can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 253.00 (which reversed the price twice earlier this month).
NYSE:IBMLong
by FxProGlobal
IBM Wave Analysis – 7 March 2025 - IBM reversed from the support zone - Likely to rise to the resistance level 264.40 IBM recently reversed from the support area between the support level 247.25 (which stopped the previous minor correction a), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January. The upward reversal from this support zone continues the active upward impulse wave 3 of the extended upward impulse sequence (5) from last year. Given the clear daily uptrend, IBM can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 264.40 (top of the previous waves i and b).
NYSE:IBMLong
by FxProGlobal
1
IBM Wave Analysis – 25 February 2025 - IBM reversed from resistance level 264.40 - Likely to fall to support level 247.25 IBM recently reversed down exactly from the strong resistance level 264.40 (top of the previous impulse wave iii from the start of February). The downward reversal from the resistance level 264.40 started the active short-term correction ii, which belongs to wave 3 from the start of January. Given the strength of the resistance level 264.40 and the overbought daily Stochastic, IBM can be expected to fall to the next support level 247.25 (low of the previous correction iv).
NYSE:IBMShort
by FxProGlobal
IBM Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights – Feb. 18Technical Analysis (TA) for IBM * Current Price Action: IBM is in a strong uptrend, forming an ascending wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. The price is currently testing a key resistance zone. * Support & Resistance Levels: * Immediate Resistance: $265 – A breakout here could trigger more upside. * Next Resistance: $280 – Aligns with the 3rd Call Wall from GEX data. * Major Resistance: $285 – A strong rejection zone if price reaches this level. * First Support: $257 – If IBM pulls back, this is the first demand zone. * Major Support: $250 – A break below this could shift momentum bearish. * Critical Breakdown Level: $235 – Losing this level would likely lead to a bigger sell-off. * Indicators: * MACD: Slight bullish momentum, but showing signs of exhaustion. * Stochastic RSI: Mid-range, suggesting IBM could still move higher but may need a pullback first. Options Flow & GEX Analysis * GEX (Gamma Exposure): * Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $250 – IBM is trading above this level, suggesting support. * 78.04% Call Wall: $265 – A key level IBM is testing now. * 62.76% Call Wall: $280 – A major resistance area where price may slow down. * Put Wall Support: $235 – The strongest downside support from options positioning. * 3rd Put Wall: $215 – If IBM drops significantly, this could be the last support zone. * IV & Sentiment: * IV Rank (IVR): 23.4 → Moderate implied volatility, meaning options are fairly priced. * IVx Avg: 28.1 → A slightly elevated volatility level. * Options Sentiment: Calls = 10.7% → Slightly bullish options positioning. Trade Setups 📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play): * Entry: Above $265 with strong volume. * Target: $280 (Gamma Squeeze Potential). * Stop Loss: Below $257. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play): * Entry: Below $257. * Target: $250 or $235 (Put Support). * Stop Loss: Above $265. Final Thoughts * IBM remains bullish but is near key resistance at $265. * A breakout above $265 could lead to a strong rally toward $280. * A failure to hold $257 might trigger a pullback to $250 or lower. * Best Trade Approach: Monitor price action at $265 for a breakout confirmation or $257 for breakdown confirmation before entering a trade. 🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
NYSE:IBMLong
by BullBearInsights
IBM Pivoting downward. IBMA nicely proportional AB=CD pattern here, with RSX divergence (momentum) present. This is significant. Crosses and confluence on VZO and Stoch RSI, BB %RCT downgoing. Fibonacci offer some static goals. A word on goals - we discourage use of anything static in the markets. The nature of markets is such that the system is far too dynamic for any rigid rules to be profitable. We thus use a dynamic system, such as an indicator based algorithm for exits.
NYSE:IBMShort
by Rykin_Capital
IBM Wave Analysis 30 January 2025 - IBM opened with a sharp upward gap - Likely to rise to the resistance level 260.00 IBM today opened with the sharp upward gap which broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 239.00 (top of wave 3 from December) and the resistance trendline of the two up channels from November of 2024 and May of 2023. The breakout of this resistance zone continues the active minor impulse wave 5 of the higher impulse wave (5) from last May. IBM can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 260.00 (the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (5)).
NYSE:IBMLong
by FxProGlobal
IBM International Business Machines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IBM before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-31, for a premium of approximately $5.40. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:IBMLong
by TopgOptions
IBM: Attention! First signs of the end of the retracement!International Business Machines, abbreviated IBM and nicknamed "Blue Green", the large multinational computer technology and consulting corporation based in Armonk, New York, has a CLEARLY BULLISH technical aspect in its main time frames. During 2024 it accumulated a rise of almost 50% when it reached the 239 area on December 9. Since then the price took a break and began a retracement phase that took it to the 215 area (61.8% Fibonacci). --> What situation is it in now? If we look at the chart, last Friday the price showed us the first 2 bullish warnings (Bull), indicating that the END of the retracement could be very close!! --> What areas do we have to watch? An upward break of the 227 area would indicate the END OF THE REVERSE and therefore, a new attack on its historical highs. But if the price loses the 214, it could easily take it towards the 204 area. --> Is there any risk nearby? Yes. Wednesday 29th presents results and if there are negative surprises, the price could fall strongly towards the 204 area, putting its medium-long term bullish trend at risk. If our profile is CONSERVATIVE I would stay out of the value until the results are published, but if we have an AGGRESSIVE profile, we could follow the following strategy. -------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 227 POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 238 area (+4.8%) --> Stop Loss at 214 (-5.7%). POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5.7%) (coinciding with the 214 of position 1). ---We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (238). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
NYSE:IBMLong
by jmesado
How To Buy Striking Stocks In 3 StepsYesterday i was so tired because i was walking on a long walk thinking about my life and the next strategy for success sometimes the best strategy is the simple one this strategy is the best because its simple and its based on a long-term daily chart meaning you will be positioning yourself for a whole year. The strategy is called the rocket boost strategy and it has 3 steps: The price has to be above the 50 EMA The price has to be above the 200 EMA The price has to rally up in a trend The last step is key because you are entering the market when the price is low Also a bonus tip: The earnings report is coming at the end of the month this is a special catalyst for you to consider. Rocket boost this content to learn more Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and strategies Also, feel free to to use a simulation trading tool before you trade with real money.
NYSE:IBMLong
by lubosi
Long-Short setup for IBMTrendlines offer a broader perspective, helping identify larger price trends. On the chart, two primary trendlines emerge: Dashed Downtrend Line: Short-Term Resistance The dashed blue line, constructed from 1-hour candles over the past three months, has acted as a critical resistance in the short term. Recent price action indicates that the stock is struggling to breach this line, reinforcing bearish momentum. The expectation is as follows: Break Below the Dashed Line: If the price decisively breaks below the dashed blue line, it would signal the continuation of the short-term bearish trend. This could lead to accelerated selling pressure, pushing the stock lower. Implications of the Break: A breakdown would align the shorter-term trend with the long-term green channel, suggesting that the price might seek support at the lower boundary of the green ascending channel. Green Ascending Channel: Long-Term Support The green ascending channel, derived from daily candles, represents the stock's broader bullish trend. The lower boundary of this channel serves as a critical support zone: Target for the Decline: Once the price breaks below the dashed blue line, the expectation is that it will move toward the lower boundary of the green channel, where long-term buyers might re-enter the market. Support Strength: Historically, the lower boundary of the green channel has acted as a robust support, providing strong bounce opportunities. A touch at this level would likely present a favorable entry point for long positions in alignment with the long-term uptrend.
NYSE:IBMShort
by sandroroeder
A Dying GiantIBM, once the gold standard of enterprise computing, is increasingly seen as a "dying giant" because it has not successfully pivoted to the areas of innovation that define the current tech landscape. From a financial perspective, IBM's business model has suffered from a lack of revenue growth, shrinking margins, and an overreliance on legacy hardware and software services. Its inability to reinvent itself post the PC era, while competitors like Microsoft and Apple embraced cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and mobile platforms, has left it in a vulnerable position. IBM’s focus on high-margin legacy systems like mainframes, while failing to capture the scalability and flexibility of the cloud, has been particularly detrimental. Additionally, its acquisitions—such as the $34 billion purchase of Red Hat in 2019—have failed to deliver transformative results. Instead of positioning itself as a cloud-native company, IBM seems to be stuck in a perpetual cycle of "turnaround" strategies, including aggressive cost-cutting, a bloated management structure, and divesting businesses (such as the spin-off of its managed infrastructure services business). This leads to a perception that IBM is a company in retreat, not in a position to drive the future of technology. From a financial standpoint, the underperformance of IBM’s stock—relative to peers like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google—is a clear indicator of investor sentiment. The company’s valuation, driven by outdated models of profitability, makes it less attractive to long-term investors who are increasingly focused on high-growth sectors like cloud infrastructure and AI. IBM’s attempt to reposition itself as a leader in hybrid cloud and AI is a case of too little, too late, in a landscape where competitors are already far ahead. In essence, IBM’s reluctance to abandon its outdated legacy business models and truly embrace the transformative technologies of today has left it with little room to maneuver in an industry that demands constant innovation.
NYSE:IBMShort
by Thirdeyeanalyst
IBM crossroadsSimple setup for the future of IBM a little bit bullish biased with the potential destination of the last blue rectangle, but first some signs of another inflection maybe after a descent must occur, preferably at any of the elements in the snapshot which could become support or resistance regardless of the path the market takes. Probably needs good earnings report for such a scenario, although there could also be a last chance setup possible somewhere at the bottom white arc even if the Earnings disappoint or don't impress. In a more bearish scenario for the short sellers a rebound from the slim white rectangle or break and retest of the bottom white curve could trigger the crossroad between the envisioned more bullish toned scenario and other potentials.
NYSE:IBM
by UnknownUnicorn903284
1
IBM eyes on $230.71: Key support going into EarningsFollowup to my Long Call that got 40% plus (click). Big Blue has been flying since our entry. Currently tap dancing on a Genesis fib. And reinforced by Covid Fib just below. Earnings tonight will make next move. If dumps, look for supports below to buy. If pumps, I will calculate new targets above. $ 229.05 - 230.71 is the exact level to hold. $ 218.38 - 218.70 is minor support below. $ 201.91 - 203.19 is major/critical support . Previous Alert that launched EXACTLY from entry, for >40% gains:: ================================================================== .
NYSE:IBM
by EuroMotif
I'm using put options to trade its 3Q earningscopy and paste from Morgan Stanley: IBM has been on a nearly unprecedented run in the last 3 months, outperforming the S&P 500 by 20 points since 2Q earnings. IBM is now trading at all-time valuation highs on an absolute and relative basis. This momentum has been driven by 3 prevailing bull theses: (1) excitement around growth accelerating in CY25 with ELA/Mainframe cycles and the HCP acquisition, (2) the view that IBM is/will be an AI beneficiary, and (3) an expectation that RHT will be a beneficiary of volatility at VMW.
NYSE:IBMLong
by KhanhC.Hoang
IBM International Business Machines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IBM before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 250usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-3-21, for a premium of approximately $8.35. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:IBMLong
by TopgOptions
1