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IBM trade ideas

$IBM bounce? potential target $300 (4/5)Conviction: 4/5 need to break above descending resistance line for confirmation. depending on speed of ascent, upper channel points to $300 target General Thesis bounced off long-term channel support since 1984-ish recently in 2020 also seems to continue channel since 1999 bounced off short term channel since 2020 lows weekly RSI about neutral Growth Gross margins (50%) is pretty steady, near historical highs Revenue growth (0.33%) is super low, but recent highs Value P/FCF below average (25th percentile) P/S about average Fundamentals & Balance Sheet low debt to asset (<1) Potential Risks entry for Weekly RSI is not ideal, could be lower
NYSE:IBMLong
by asdf098
IBM USA Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series Focus: Worldwide By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures | USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision. #debadipb #profitsolutions
CAPITALCOM:IBM
by Sunstorminvest
$IBM coming into support for swing into 2022 Idea : Swing Long $IBM from support levels into next earnings (~3 months). Rationale : The last two quarters earnings were great for IBM and price increased both times, last year around this time we had a big gap down after earnings , and ran up into the next earnings which had another gap down and then ran up. I anticipate there is seasonally in their revenue recognition and with the gap down this past earnings , I expect price to rebound going into early next year before Q1 earnings . IBM is an establish IT player making big moves in AI and 5G with over 50% institutional ownership. This swing may take a few months but I think the set-up is solid. Entry : I have an alert set at 124.19, but my buy zone is highlighted in green on the chart and I will add at the white line shown. Exit : Sell when the gap closes before next earnings (do-not hold into next earnings ). Good luck!
NYSE:IBMLong
by tony_dav_
IBM an opportunityfor long-term investors???IBM :125 Market cap: 112 B P/E:23 Dividend Yield: 5.21% Currently trading at the bottom of a bullish regression channel (-3,+3). In the past, it touched this level and each time bounced back +50%..! The fundamental fair value estimation is 142-172 USD/share which is very likely to happen in the next trading year. However, in the past 5 years, IBM showed that it could easily slip to 90-100 USD/share and no matter how good this company is, The price pattern says there will be better opportunities to buy IBM in the next few months! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor nor a certified financial analyst nor an economist nor a CPA nor an accountant nor a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:IBM
by Moshkelgosha
4
IBM | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...IBM shares fell nearly 10 percent to a seven-month low on Oct. 21 after the tech behemoth released a weak Q3 report. IBM's revenues rose just 0.3 percent from a year earlier to $17.6 billion, $190 million less than forecasts. But excluding divestitures and foreign exchange rates, the company's revenues were down 0.2%. Excluding the impending Kyndryl spin-off, IBM's revenue was up 2.5% in the period. Excluding divested businesses and foreign exchange rates, "excluding Kyndryl" earnings were up 1.9%. IBM's GAAP earnings, which include Kyndryl spin-off expenses, fell 34% to $1.25 per share. Non-GAAP earnings, which exclude those expenses, still fell 2% to $2.52 per share, but beat forecasts by one penny. IBM's performance was unimpressive, but it was in line with the outlook the company presented at an investor briefing in early October. Did investors exaggerate IBM's disappointing third-quarter report and create a new buying opportunity? As in previous quarters, IBM reported third-quarter earnings in five main segments: cloud and cognitive software, global business services, global technology services, systems, and global finance. IBM's cloud and cognitive software revenues grew thanks to double-digit growth in its cloud-related business, which offset low growth in its applications business and lower revenues in its transaction processing business. The global business services segment profited from strong demand for cloud services, consulting, application management, and global technology services. However, the Global Technology Services division weakened again, as weak growth in cloud services could not offset the continued decline in the Managed Infrastructure Services segment, which will be taken out by the Kyndryl spin-off. The company's systems division struggled because of cyclically declining sales of IBM Z and Power systems, and financing revenues declined amid lower demand for financing services and slow sales of used equipment. Once again, IBM's strengths failed to offset vulnerabilities, and investors were left attempting to find positives in lackluster reporting segments. However, this may all change as the "old" IBM ceases to exist. After IBM spins off from Kyndryl next week, it will present four new reporting segments: consulting (29% of continuing operations revenue in 2020), software (42%), infrastructure (25%), and finance (2%). IBM thinks these four segments will make it easier for investors to track the expansion of its faster-growing businesses. IBM expects the software segment, which includes Red Hat and other hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence services, to be a major growth driver. It also probably anticipates a streamlined consulting segment to better stand up to faster IT services and consulting companies, such as Accenture and Globant. IBM's infrastructure business, which includes the legacy systems business as well as other hardware products and services, is likely to remain underperforming. However, IBM's earnings outlook suggests that the company will focus on streamlining its business and cutting costs to improve margins. IBM believes that after the Kyndryl spin-off, it will deliver "sustained mid-single-digit revenue growth" from 2022 to 2024. The company believes this growth to be driven by the expansion of hybrid cloud and AI services that can be integrated with public cloud platforms such as Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure. IBM probably realizes that it is too late to catch up with AWS and Azure in the public cloud market, but it can still use its large enterprise customer base and Red Hat's open-source software to develop services for the hybrid cloud, which sits between private clouds and public cloud services. IBM investors will get Kyndryl stock next month. If they keep both shares, they will initially receive a combined dividend equivalent to IBM's current dividend, but then both companies may reduce their payouts. It would seem that IBM investors should sell their Kyndryl stock immediately since the latter would likely have difficulty keeping up with companies like Accenture, but hold onto their shares of a "renewed" IBM to see if its plans to get out of the crisis work. Nevertheless, today is not a good time to buy IBM stock. Right now, the stock may seem cheap at 12 times forward earnings, but the company still faces stiff competition from Amazon and Microsoft, which are expanding their public clouds in a hybrid market, and an unstable infrastructure business could derail growth in its software and consulting business. Investors should wait for IBM to complete its spin-off and for results to improve for a few quarters before believing that the tipping point has arrived. Until then, they should buy other blue-chip stocks, not Big Blue.
NYSE:IBMShort
by FOREXN1
4