Trading Rules Are Not a Suggestion or an OptionWhen you make a trading rule, it's not a suggestion or an option. Mostly, when we want to be flexible with our rules, it's an emotional impulse pulling us to make some unbalanced trading decision. Make sure to keep closing every escape route you have. If you are not ready to commit to rules then don't make them, you will just be setting yourself up. Wait until you are ready, then have a go at it.
In my posts, I have been doing an exercise of trade planning for 30 trades. This is a complete plan covering every aspect of the trade. Today I will do a review of the trades done so far.
Components of a Trade Plan:
1. Objective method
2. Trade entry, stop, and exit
3. Position sizing and risk management
4. Documentation and review
The review is simple, I ask 2 basic questions.
1. Did I make a clear plan ahead of time?
2. Did I follow that plan?
These questions demand honest, yes-or-no answers. They force me to confront my trading discipline head-on, without room for excuses or escape. At first, the rules may seem confining, but after a while, you will see that trading can be very relaxed.
I understand that rules for every aspect can be overwhelming. You can do it in steps tackling one thing at a time. For instance, you can work on only entries, stops, or management until you master that one thing. Setting the foundations of discipline and consistency won't offer immediate gratification but it will serve you in the long run. What's important is that you keep moving forward toward your objectives with awareness.
Shane
INSW trade ideas
Beautiful Elliottwave Patterns flowing here...International Seaways, Inc. engages in the transportation of crude oil and petroleum products. It operates through the following segments: Crude Tankers and Product Carriers. The Crude Tankers segment consists of a fleet of vessels that transport unrefined petroleum. The Product Carriers segment focuses on crude and refined petroleum products. The company was founded on December 6, 1999 and is headquartered in New York, NY.
LONG Shipping StocksShipping stocks Move. NYSE:INSW NYSE:LPG NYSE:TNK NYSE:DHT NASDAQ:TRMD
Reasoning
Whole Industry is moving!
Consolidation seems done
Correction is not overextended
Good Relative Strength
Great earnings
RSI tested bullish range multiple times
Multiple Bullish Days
Always try to use 2 timeframes
My Would Be Trade Plan
- Try to get into 3 stocks in the sector that are moving. You MUST enter the leading stock NYSE:INSW because the leading stock always moves 50% more than the second stock in sector
- Initially risk 0.5% of account.
Double original position once stock moves 3% in your favor.
Add to position when stock moves moves 3% in your favor. (6% from buy point)
- If Position moves 20% in less than 15 bars, sell at 7ATR from initial buy ELSE Sell at 4ATR from initial buy
- Raise stop to entry when stock is 10% in your favour
Main Sources of My Knowledge
Mark Minervini
Constance Brown
William O'neil
Speakers on Trader Lion Youtube
Adam Khoo
My Indicators
14 Period RSI.
9SMA and 45EMA Moving Averages added
Composite by Constance Brown
This is for catching failures in the RSI.
The RSI is a bounded indicator so sometimes fails to catch divergences. This indicator helps show that
Composite Settings
Author : Constance Brown (Connie Brown)
RSI Length : 14
RSI Momentum Length : 9
SMA Length : 3
Fast Simple Moving Average : 13
Slow Exponential Moving Average : 33
14 Period MFI.
9SMA and 45EMA Moving Averages added
Long to 52USDLong NYSE:INSW INSW
Actual Projection is 52.6$.
Three projection methods : RSI Reversal, Fibonacci Confluence, Fibonaccci Projection
Stop right below gap for around 1:3R
Let us wait for time and see what happens :). I am just learning and using this to test if these strategies can work.
The issue with this trade is that other shipping stocks are not moving up and have deep retracements. So little confirmation from other stocks. Only NYSE:LPG is moving
INSW , 2nd try .Half the battle for me is just getting my butt kicked but still showing up for another wallop the next time and the time after that too and so on . However , I strongly believe that its important to focus on re entry after getting stopped out as long as theme is still valid . Do you know your systems edge/expectancy and how many times it statistically can lose in a row between winners sometimes ...?
I know mine , for 2022 its expectancy was +0.112 and its most lost trades in a row was 9 but 4 of those were partially de risked , average amount of lost trades in a row was less but the largest amount of winners in a row was 4 , BA was 40% . That was a pretty rough year but the insight it gave me here is that even on a bad year it still came in with a positive expectancy , personally I have yet to get a trading strategies expectancy past 0.22 R expectancy per trade. In any case If you don't know your expectancy , that's something you may want to consider working on for the future .
So on that note, second try here at 50 sma TB renewal on INSW .
INSW , LONGThis a weaker name right now compared to some others I took but I have been waiting for an entry and if it works the stop is tight so I can potentially de-risk it quickly . Also could be near am impulse area . Kind of on the fence with this one right now mostly just liked the do or die area that created a tight stop and tighter moves we are seeing last few days ...
Strongly recommend to buy after breakout of trendStrongly recommend to buy after breakout of trend, very strong fundamental. DCF is good. Free Cashflow is good and growing, PEG and PS is less than 1
PE and EPS is good. 500million Market cap with above 0% growth after so much decline. Strong Monthly and weekly support area. I will open leap call option on it.
Debt to equity ratio has always been lower than .8 which makes is good