LOW: Flipped WedgeBack in May 2018 LOW started an inverted wedge including a partial rise and failed to break down in Aug 2019, and reversing course to flip the wedge upside down for a possible breakout above (imminent). RSI, MACD, ADX and PSAR are all bullish.
The only thorn in my eye is marked 'X' at the beginning of September this year, there are no solid 'weekly' candles touching the upper trend line. This is worrying as it technically can be considered "busted". While there are instances where stocks DO break out in the right direction in cases such as this, they are rather rare. I would still point to a positive breakout above, given all these higher lows and higher highs the stock is producing. But I will say this as a personal opinion only.
In case of a breakout above the ATH, the next target would be 143 (technical confirmation minus market risk).
Earnings Release is tomorrow (Wednesday BMO). I will update this post tonight 30min before close should there be any changes.
LOW trade ideas
Analisis de Formacion de Canal en LOWCompartimos un nuevo analisis de LOW la proyeccion de la formacion de un canal entre 105 y 115, podrias manejarlo con la venta de opciones ya que podria durar ese canal hasta su reporte trimestral el 20 de Noviembre aun asi la tendencia que buscamos es alcista a corto plazo
Lowe's a long above $110 Downgraded on Monday, but lets ignore all that and highlight the technical setup on the chart.
We believe that there is currently a W bottom breakout on the cards with sub $104 as invalidation and a switch to a short.
Average analysts price target $121 Overweight
P/e ratio 33
Yield 2.03%
Short interest 1.53%
Company profile
Lowe's Cos., Inc. engages in the retail sale of home improvement products. It offers products for maintenance, repair, remodelling, home decorating, and property maintenance. It also provides home improvement products in the following categories: appliances, bathroom, building supply, electrical, flooring, hardware, paint, kitchen, plumbing, lighting & fans, outdoor living, windows, and doors. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Mooresville, NC.
Lowe's Gets a $137 breakout target from CITI AVERAGE ANALYSTS PRICE TARGET $119
AVERAGE ANALYSTS RECOMMENDATION overweight
P/R RATIO 35
SHORT INTEREST 2%
COMPANY PROFILE
Lowe's Cos., Inc. engages in the retail sale of home improvement products. It offers products for maintenance, repair, remodelling, home decorating, and property maintenance. It also provides home improvement products in the following categories: appliances, bathroom, building supply, electrical, flooring, hardware, paint, kitchen, plumbing, lighting & fans, outdoor living, windows, and doors. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Mooresville, NC.
$LOW Short I have been watching this stock for a while now, and have started to notice some serious bearish signals on long time frames --> 1D - 1M.
1) Above, you can see a MASSIVE bearish divergence on the monthly chart, while we are extended, coinciding with this market cycle. THe volume has also been dramatically low.
2) Above you can see that we are now about to fail to make a new ATH for the third time in this range, with 2 very bearish candles now printed on the daily, and the Stoch RSI extremely overextended on even more decreasing volume.
3) While the weekly has not finished printing yet (it is Monday as of posting this), I will be looking for short opportunities tomorrow and throughout the rest of the week, and am willing to set a looser stop on this position given the macro trend I am trying to capture with a longer term options bear put spread.
4) I have not picked a specific target yet, and have been eyeing strike prices and position setups, will continue to update when I take this position. In general, just off of a quick look at my price levels and trends on the daily, I would say that targeting in between $100-110 is extremely safe, and even between $92-95 could be very realistic as well.
5) Based on the past swings on the daily and weekly time frames, I will probably be targeting bear put spreads that are 45-60 days out in order to give myself time but still capture theta.
$LOW Lowe's will hit new HighsEARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
Lowe's (NYSE:LOW) reports comparable-store sales rose 2.3% in Q2 vs. consensus of +1.8%.
Comp for the U.S. home improvement business increased 3.2%.
Gross margin rate fell 85 bps to 32.11%.
SG&A expense rate improved 17 bps to 19.29%.
Operating margin rate advanced 98 bps to to 11.34%.
Merchandise inventory +15.5% to $13.73B.
Home improvement and hardware stores -152 Y/Y to 2,003.
The company repurchased $1.96B of stock and paid $382M in dividends during the quarter.
"We capitalized on spring demand, strong holiday event execution and growth in Paint and our Pro business to deliver strong second quarter results. Despite lumber deflation and difficult weather, we are pleased that we delivered positive comparable sales in all 15 geographic regions of the U.S. This is a reflection of a solid macroeconomic backdrop and continued momentum executing our retail fundamentals framework," commented Marvin R. Ellison, Lowe's (LOW) president and CEO.
FY2019 Guidance: Total sales: ~+2%; Comparable-store sales: ~+3%; Operating margin rate: +310 bps to +340 bps; Adjusted operating rate: +20 bps to +50 bps; Tax rate: ~24%; Diluted EPS: $5.54 to $5.74; Adjusted EPS: $5.45 to $5.65.
source seekign alpha
LOW looking like it may retest 92High volume selling after earnings (2 black gap candle formation) pushed LOW down to $92 for a brief test. Since then it has been consolidating slightly above. I think it could retest $92 for a possible double-bottom, or worse, break-down to new recent lows possibly around $86-87. I have a tight stop of $98 as it has already consolidated a bit here. Depending on how it reacts at $92, I may continue to hold (probably with a 1/2 position) or reverse for a long trade. If long, I don't expect it to immediate fill the gap above $102, especially with the 100 & 200MA in the same area.
Disclaimer: This is my own SPECULATIVE opinion and should not be considered financial advice.
$LOW HAS HOME DEPOT LOWERED EXPECTATIONS FOR LOWE'S?Dependant on your perspective the chart of NYSE:LOW could be interpreted as bullish or bearish. Many of the indicators are positive but that may be offset by market sentiment in the retail sector. Home depot reported today and it was not exactly a blowout quarter, with as expected weather issues interfering with sales. Lumber prices were also an issue and that will be no different for Lowes. It is indeed difficult to make any trading decisions in the current market with such volatility but we believe that the correction in NYSE:LOW has a little further to go.
We have no position and will not make any call either way until after earnings but there is plenty of time to get involved.
LOW: Sort opportunityAn intraday high potential, Back Tested Sort Analysis.
We ll try to enter into the correction of the uptrend movement.
DETAILS ON THE CHART
NOTE: Entry range area above the entry point, is calculated upon 80% of the recorded pullback back tested past performances
DISCLAIMER: This is a technical analysis study, not an advice or recommendation to invest money on.