LU Lufax Holding Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought LU here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LU Lufax Holding prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1.00usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LU trade ideas
Lufax Weekly Breakout1. Weekly Falling Wedge Breakout with a retest at $1.7-$1.6 at lower volume.
2. Fundamentally sound. Simply the variable that it is a Chinese Company makes it so undervalued.
3. CM Williams Vix Fix and WT_LB indicate significant oversold position. Look the combination of these two tools on other companies as well. Works statistically 72%.
LU Lufax Holding Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the LU Lufax Holding options chain ahead of earnings , i would buy the $2.5 strike price Calls with
2023-1-20 expiration date for about
$0.20 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
LU Lufax Most Undervalued Chinese StockFor the China reopening thesis i think LU Lufax Holding is the one of the most undervalued stocks you can own right now! And i will tell you why!
LU Lufax Holding has a ridiculous PE Ratio (TTM) of only 1.81!
The Forward Dividend & Yield is 0.51 (21.79%)!
Last year the stock was $18.30. It has lost most than 90% of its value, while the business is growing and pays dividends.
The yield alone is a big gain, even if the price stays flat.
Last year Morgan Stanley had a price target for LU of $13 while JPMorgan Chase of $15.
3rd biggest shareholder is BlackRock, with an estimated average of $6.11.
You can but the stock now 3 times cheaper than BlackRock.
The average daily volume in the past 3 months is high, more than $10Mil daily (i think someone is accumulating).
My price target is the $7.10 resistance. I believe LU is a premium call.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
LU | Very Oversold Conditions | LongLufax Holding Ltd operates a technology-empowered personal financial services platform in China. It offers loan products, including unsecured loans and secured loans, as well as consumer finance loans. The company also provides wealth management platforms, such as Lufax (Lu.com), Lu International (Singapore), and Lu International (Hong Kong) to the middle class and affluent investors to invest in products and portfolios; retail credit facilitation services platform that offers small business owners with lending solutions; and technology empowerment solutions for financial institutions. Lufax Holding Ltd was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
LU - Ascending Triangle Bullish argument for LU:
1. higher lows (over the past 3 mths) with every dip leading to the formation of an Ascending Triangle.
2. now above 200 days moving average
Waiting to see if a close above 6.43 neckline would materialise in the coming weeks, preferably on good volume.
p/s the odds of breaking towards the horizontal side is higher for right angle triangles.
ie upside for an ascending triangle and to the downside for a descending triangle.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Another Chance to Go Long Lufax – A Close Look at Q2 2021 ResultThe overall favorable financials and rather a low valuation of the Chinese fintech present a new investment opportunity.
Lufax achieved positive year-over-year growth in key financials during the second quarter of 2021.
Larger clients are cutting more shares in credit loan and asset management sectors.
The stock repurchase plan is expected to boost Lufax's stock price – which has been decreasing for months to a level way below IPO price.
Several problems, such as the shrinking business scale and decreasing income from the technology-based business, have become concerns for Lufax's long-term development.
Lufax (LU:NYSE), founded in Shanghai in 2011, is a fintech affiliate of Ping An Group that provides personal financial services as an agency and dealmaker to help financial institutions connect to retail clients. Lufax launched its New York Stock Exchange public offering on October 30, 2020, raising USD 2.36 billion.
On August 10, Lufax posted its financial results for the second quarter of 2021. Here, we dissect the released data, while constructing an investment message.
Improving financials, with a better business structure
During the three months through June, Lufax achieved revenue growth of 17.3% and its net income increased by 53.2% year-over-year. The total revenue and net income grew from CNY 12.64 billion and CNY 3.09 billion in the same period last year, to CNY 14.83 billion and CNY 4.73 billion in the second quarter of 2021, respectively.
Since the third quarter of 2019, Lufax has been achieving positive year-on-year quarterly revenue growth, despite the COVID-19 outbreak. The net profit only showed a decrease from July to September in 2020, mainly affected by the pandemic, as the firm claims. Nevertheless, the overall business operation and profitability have been improving.
What is more, consistent with its strategy in the retail credit field, the company has increased loans to small-to-medium businesses in recent years. During the second quarter of 2021, 77.6% of the new loans were issued to the small business owners who normally have somewhat large tickets, therefore reducing Lufax's costs associated with the borrowers.
In the wealth management sector, contribution to total client assets from customers with investments of more than CNY 300,000 on the company's platform increased to 80.2% as of June 30, 2021, from 75.4% in the same period in 2020.
Upward price momentum
In May 2021, Lufax announced that the ADS worth USD 300 million would be repurchased over the following six months. Some of the company's top executives will also spend USD 5 million at most with personal funds on the ADS purchase. By the end of June 30, transactions accounting for USD 286 million had been closed, with USD 281 million from the company and 5 million from the management team.
It is clear that the management is confident in Lufax's future, and trying to give the market positive signs, especially under the current low-valuation situation in the stock market. Lufax was certainly very high-profile in launching on the New York Stock Exchange on October 30, 2020 as the fourth largest unicorn globally, reaching its historical high record of USD 19.72 per share in the next month. However, since May 2021, partially because of the crackdown in valuation among all Chinese concept stocks, the stock price of Lufax has sunk – to USD 8.60 on August 17 of 2021, far below its IPO price.
What is more, 13 over 16, which is 81.25% of the Wall St. analysts give bullish or very bullish ratings to Lufax. Along with the stock repurchase plan, we believe the stock price will be boosted, based on overall solid financial performances and below-expectation capital market recognition; thus, Lufax is considered a good investment now.
What to be aware of
The new loans facilitated during the second quarter of 2021 decreased by 11.4% from the previous quarter and the asset amount from wealth management clients only went up by 1% from the first quarter of 2021.
Per the management, that was because of the change in company strategies, as Lufax has been focusing more on service quality instead of business expansion, which is backed by three principles: compliance operation, targeting SMB and affluent clients and technology improvement.
However, the last principle, which lies upon the technological transformation, which Lufax has been emphasizing for years, has no embodiment. The largest revenue component – technology-based income – has been contributing less and less since the third quarter of 2019, the earliest financial records available. Compared with the other two Chinese fintech leaders, Ant Group and JD Digits, Lufax's R&D expenditure-over-revenue ratio ranked last since 2017. What is worse, the expense has been taking up a decreasing percentage of the total revenue since 2019.
Furthermore, in the press release of the second quarter's financial results this year, Lufax announced that a new series of stock repurchases would be launched, with ADS worth around USD 700 million to be bought back within one year. The company will intake USD 10 million of ADS shares transferred from the market. This plan is strongly considered a positive sign on the underlying stock price.
The company's maturity process can partly explain the recently decreasing month-over-month profitability and shrinking business scale. This, however, can affect the operation results. Although the 'LU' stock may provide a short-term investment opportunity, its long-term development is still unclear.
IPO Fever timeThere are more IPOs coming up and the retail traders are catching on this bandwagon fast and furious.
Lufax was one of them , listed last Friday and a follower asked for my comments. The potential of their business is BIG, imo but it will takes time to ramp up. Currently, their focus is still in China as they know competition will enter soon if they do not take up a large market share. Look at gaming industry ; there are so many players but Tencent has managed to take up a large market share, building up its brand profile over the years.
Lufax has too short a history in terms of price action for me to chart. As you can see, I am already narrowing down to a 15min chart and I am not interested in trading this way. While there lies a possibility of the price to break out of the bearish trend looking at the candles pattern, the short term volatility remains a risk and for that , I am not comfortable.
12.64 acting as the support is also deem temporary at this stage as price action are still forming in process.......
So, like most IPOs, I will stay out for the time being until more data is available. Believe me, there is no loss in waiting and there lies plenty of opportunities if one bothers to look (often, it is not too far away from you)