MTDR | Long | Seasonal Growth| (April 2025)MTDR | Long | Seasonal Growth + Technical Support Zone | (April 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Matador Resources (MTDR) shows strong seasonal performance between April and June. With solid revenue projections and potential technical support forming, this could be a good long opportunity in the coming weeks.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Watching the $33–$35 zone for a potential entry
Stop Loss: Below $30 to protect against downside breakout
TP1: $40
TP2: $52
TP3: $63+
Partial Exits: Consider trimming above $40 to manage risk and lock in gains
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Seasonality suggests strength between April and June
✅ Revenue expected to continue growing annually
✅ Debt level is relatively high (around $3.5B), which could weigh on long-term performance
✅Currently in a descending triangle — a breakout either way is possible
✅Money flow looks positive on the 2H chart, but if price breaks below $33, re-entry at lower levels may be ideal
✅ Oil prices are expected to rebound, which could support MTDR’s upside
✅ Strong historical performance — up nearly 2,000% since 2020 — but may need a healthy correction before the next move higher
4️⃣ Follow-Up Note:
Will keep an eye on price action and update the idea if we get a confirmed breakout or a better re-entry setup around key liquidity zones.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
MTDR trade ideas
🛢️ Matador Resources (MTDR): Poised for Growth! 📈🚀📊 Company Overview:
NYSE:MTDR is a US-based independent energy company.
Recent interest from institutional investors signals growing confidence in its future.
📈 Growth Factors:
Anticipated completion of the Pronto/San Mateo connection in 2024.
Expected resolution of previous midstream constraints, driving further growth.
Solid revenue growth of approximately 18.09% as of December 31, 2023, outpacing sector peers.
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry: Above the $58.00-$60.00 range to capture bullish momentum.
Upside Target: Aim for $95.00-$97.00, reflecting growth potential and positive sentiment.
Risk Management: Set stop-loss orders to mitigate downside risk.
🔄 Strategy:
Monitor institutional investor activity and industry developments for insights.
Stay updated on company announcements and progress on key projects.
Adjust trade plan based on market conditions and emerging trends.
📈 Note: Exercise caution and conduct thorough research before executing trades. #MTDR #EnergySector #Bullish 🛢️📈
MTDR | GuidanceJournal Entry
Bias: Positive.
Sentiment: Optimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Processing 🤖.
Null Hypothesis: Buy.
Alternative Hypothesis: Sell.
Signals: %B Buying patterns, MA Buying patterns.
Position: Short term day trade.
Notes: I'm anticipating an earnings surprise this evening (A.M.C.) www.estimize.com .
Other: ...
Tutorial: (Q/A) What exactly is the box labeled tolerance? The box labeled tolerance is a defined range of value & time that qualifies the right to exit the trade after profit is made; as long as the security is inside the box and above the trade's entry one could say the profit is within tolerance, likewise if the security is outside the box either because of value or time one could say the profit is not within tolerance. It's a way to add parameters to the future outcome (as a means to grade the journal entry) while simultaneously providing leniency in the ability to achieve success with said journal entry.
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
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About the Security: "Matador Resources Co. is a holding company, which engages in the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources. It operates through the following segments: Exploration and Production, Midstream, and Corporate. The Exploration and Production segment focuses on the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and liquids-rich portion of the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring. The Midstream segment conducts natural gas processing, oil transportation services, oil, natural gas and produced water gathering services, and produced water disposal services to third parties. The company was founded by Joseph William Foran and Scott E. King in July 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, TX."
MTDR Insider Buy Signal & Technical BullishOur directorscope AI system generated yesterday a significant buy signal for MTDR.
Todays technical analysis shows, that this could be an interesting trade opportunity with a risk/reward ratio of 4.
Elliott Wave Analysis: The stock is inside a wave 4. Fibonacci Analysis shows, that the typical correction level is reached and the final wave 5 could start now. RSI shows at this points divergence behavior, which is bullish in short term as well. Stochastic indicator shows oversold levels.
We will open the trade for ourselves with a small position and risk 1% of the portfolio value.
Keep in mind, this stock is highly depending on oil prices.
MTDR was a top gainer, rising +270.64%. Expect Uptrend reversalMatador Resources (MTDR, $8.71) was one of top quarterly gainers, jumping +270.64% to $8.71 per share. Tickeron A.I.dvisor analyzed 95 stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry over the last three months, and discovered that 90 of them (95.24%) charted an Uptrend while 5 of them (4.76%) trended down. Tickeron A.I.dvisor found 227 similar cases when MTDR's price went up 15% within three months. In 139 out of those 227 cases, MTDR's price went down during the following month. Based on these historical data, Tickeron A.I. thinks the odds of an Uptrend reversal for MTDR are 61%.