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NIO Inc.NIO Inc.NIO Inc.

NIO Inc.

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NIO trade ideas

NIO; From pain to pleasures Technicals Within depression zone (market cycles) Weekly RSI bullish divergence At major Support level Financial Risks and Solvency: NIO Inc. has shown significant growth in revenues, with total revenues reaching RMB19,066.6 million (US$2,613.3 million) in the third quarter of 2023, marking a 46.6% increase from the third quarter of 2022 and a 117.4% increase from the second quarter of 2023. However, the company has also been facing financial risks, primarily due to its net losses and the capital-intensive nature of the electric vehicle (EV) industry. The net loss widened to RMB4,556.7 million (US$624.6 million) in the third quarter of 2023, indicating significant spending on research, development, and expansion. Market Stability: NIO operates in the highly competitive and rapidly evolving EV market, which is subject to regulatory changes, technological advancements, and shifts in consumer preferences. While the growing global demand for EVs presents a substantial opportunity, market stability is affected by factors such as supply chain disruptions, competition from both established automakers and new entrants, and geopolitical tensions that could impact material costs and international operations. Bullish Fundamentals: Market Position and Growth: NIO has established a strong position in the Chinese EV market, one of the largest in the world, and is expanding internationally. Innovation and Product Expansion: The company is known for its innovative battery-swapping technology, high-performance vehicles, and expanding product lineup, which could drive future sales. Brand and Community: NIO has successfully built a premium brand and a loyal customer community, enhancing customer retention and attracting new buyers. Bearish Fundamentals: Continued Losses: Despite revenue growth, NIO continues to report significant losses, raising concerns about its path to profitability. Capital Intensity: The EV industry requires substantial capital for R&D, manufacturing, and infrastructure, which could strain NIO's financial resources. Competition: Intense competition from both domestic and international players could impact NIO's market share and pricing power. Financials: NIO's financial performance shows robust revenue growth but also significant losses and spending. The company's ability to manage costs, improve gross margins, and achieve economies of scale will be critical for its financial health. Investors should monitor key financial metrics such as revenue growth, gross margin, operating expenses, and cash flow. Conclusion: Investing in NIO Inc. presents a high-risk, high-reward scenario. The company operates in a growing market with strong demand for EVs and has demonstrated the ability to innovate and expand its product offerings. However, its continued losses, high capital expenditures, and intense competition pose significant risks. Investors should weigh NIO's growth potential against these challenges and consider the company's long-term strategy, market conditions, and industry trends before investing.
NYSE:NIOLong
by Muri001
1
NIO - Will Rise From Ashes 🦅Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 NIO has been overall bearish, trading within the falling wedge pattern in red. Currently, NIO is hovering around the lower bound of the wedge acting as a non-horizontal support. Moreover, it is retesting a strong support zone at 5.0 marked in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #NIO is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NYSE:NIO
by TheSignalyst
2
how to use Fibonacci to stop a falling knife (JBLU / NIO)This is a technique I use to figure out where a stock that is falling hard may stop. In many cases, people fail to realize how much further a stock can actually fall, especially when it seems like it is already beaten up. JBLU and NIO are perfect examples, and Fibs can tell you exactly where to go long, or at lest, where to start watching for a safe long entry. I'd like to hear about what you know about this technique and if you find some stocks that fit the bill, post in the comments and share. Thanks!
NYSE:NIO
by novamatic
3
What about NIONIO an interesting company to keep an eye on. Bears are doing their job as hard as they can.. Hard to see a company what is more intelligence and developed than any other EV in the market at the moment. Well times will change soon, trust me on that.. EU and US are fighting back that NIO would not enter the present EV market, they are afraid that people are loosing their jobs, local car makers are not making big profits anymore etc. Unfortunately or fortunately, this is inevitable. I am NIO shareholder for a long time now and I see a bright future for them, here ( EU ) or at the overseas. Their technology is more advanced as ours and the battery charging stations are one of a kind. How is it possible that this kind of level company is not wanted? They have all what a developed company need to have to be a player.. I have bought more and more, because the price is very low at this point. In the near term, there will be a shift between bears and bulls.. all the signs are already coming into play. If Tesla have all the factories, infrastructure and share price is ~211€ - NIO have more and share price is ~6€ - like what is going on? Are they really so afraid of NIO ? Best regards, D.G
NYSE:NIOLong
by devigriffel
NIO, TEST DUMMIES NEEDED, BUY THE DIP OR LET CRASH?I like the Chinese stocks Nio is one of them There is some downside showing still as far as I can tell It is leading to an old support trend, however, I don't know if that is relevant anymore. I like the potential of buy the dip under $5.4 Subject to change quickly. but right now, bullish on the next decent dip. Drawn in line is what I'm currently seeing as an ideal scenario, do not follow line, instead follow trends and price targets. Line is often inaccurate, but helps me reanalyze my indicators. The lowest number I could see was around 2.8 or 2.9. unlikely, but you never know, completely possible. After 14.9, it can go higher, but a new chart will be needed, and will likely be needed before that point arrives.
NYSE:NIOLong
by nicktussing77
NIO - more downside soon? Target 5.50I am following NIO with one eye, now switching to two eye. Even though NIO could have a bright future for the long run (years), I see more downside incoming. The formed head and shoulder within the symmetrical triangle broke to the downside (breaking also the triangle), and as expected retested the HOS neckline (and the triangle). As expected, it got rejected, also bumping into the 200 SMA (4hr)with a huge rejection, confirming it is still in a strong bear-trend now. We are also way below on the 200day SMA, and also the 200week SMA. On the weekly, we are loosing momentum, but some upside is expected on the short-term. I assume (but price actions will tell), this short term uptrend will help to finish the smaller formation on the new Head and Shoulders, which I highlighted with paintbrush in white. Currently, we are in the consolidation zone, chances are, we are going up a bit to create the top of the right sholder with the target of 9.40-9.60, then going back down to the consolidation zone. Also, there is a possibility we have a very shallow right shoulder almost formed already, going down directly, I will wait for confirmation. We are also below the 9day&15 day MA, and also below the 21day EMA. All theese will possibly be huge resistance. Very short-term : uptrend target - ~9.40 Short-term: downtrend target: ~8.80 Low Mid-term: downtrend target: ~8.00-7.70 High Mid-term: downtrend target: ~7.10 Long-term: downtrend target: ~5.50
NYSE:NIOShort
by tommtajlor
94
NIO - A Hidden Opportunity? NIO - NYSE:NIO I have a feeling this will be an unpopular recommendation but the chart is telling there is an opportunity at hand to take a low risk trade. ▫️ NIO is 90% down from $66 ATH ▫️ MAX China FUD (contrarian senses tingling) ▫️ TA allows risk adjusted entry The Chart ✅ RSI Bullish Divergence ⌛️ Potential green weekly reversal candle now ⌛️ Pending breakout from OBV pennant (coiling) ⌛️ Break above 200 Day (pending) The chart has a similar pattern to the 2019-2021. Confirmation of the upward trend in 2019 was a break above the 200 day SMA and finding support on it (green circle), this also coincided with a break out of the coiling OBV in 2019 (green circle). These two signals are very useful as at present we are coiling within the OBV in similar fashion. A break out above the OBV resistance line in 2024 could infer the beginning of an upward move 👀 There may be a positive divergence in play here also which helps the bullish argument. DOWNSIDE PROTECTION If the OBV breaks to the downside losing the underside diagonal support, we exit the trade. We could watch for a loss of the lower RSI resistance line also but will likely occur in sync. THE IDEAL ENTRY Ultimately the best entry would once price finds support on the 200 day SMA. At present that's a close above c.$8.20. Worth noting that $8.20 is just above the Point of Control - the most traded price level in volume terms. WHY ENTER NOW? An initial small position can be placed now as we have had a 90% decline from ATH (a 90% discount for a long term investment isn't bad). We also have a positive RSI divergence and we have the OBV and RSI lower support levels to watch to exit to protect ourselves from the downside. In the event we move higher, break out of OBV coil ,we can then add to the position, and if we break above the 200 MA and find support on it, we can add again. This allows for a low risk initial entry and as the trade moves in our favor we can add to the position as the conviction builds. We will either be quickly stopped out and lose very little or get in early entry with a 90% discount and get to play this long term investment position nicely. Position size is key here folks, that first position is an amount your don't really care about as we do not have any confirmation of a trend change yet. This is early doors. PUKA
NYSE:NIOLong
by PukaCharts
NIO INC - The potential callNio's stock journey: IPO at $6.28 in 2018, peaked at $62.84 in 2021, now around $5,60/share. Enterprise value peaked at $91.4 billion, now $10billion. While the stock has lost 41.2% since new year, there is light at the end of the tunnel as the stock is in oversold territory and January sales expected to be better than predicted earlier. * RSI finding support at trendline from 2019 * Sentiment about to change as stock is in oversold territory * Price is at the price area where NIO corrected before it took of in 2020 NIO currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), which means it is in the top 20% of more than the 4,000 stocks that we rank based on trends in earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises.
NYSE:NIOLong
by Cryptovicci
Boom Bust CycleGeorge Soros' theory of the boom-bust cycle, often intertwined with his concept of reflexivity, offers a unique perspective on how markets behave. Here's a breakdown: 1. Boom-Bust Cycle: Soros argues that markets tend to experience self-reinforcing cycles of overconfidence and pessimism. In a boom phase, rising prices generate positive expectations, attracting more investment and further inflating prices. This can push asset valuations far beyond their inherent value, creating bubbles. Eventually, some event triggers a loss of confidence, leading to a bust as investors rush to sell, driving prices down sharply. 2. Reflexivity: This is the crucial piece of Soros' theory. He believes that market participants' beliefs and expectations not only react to market conditions but also actively influence them. As prices rise in a boom, optimism becomes self-fulfilling, further fueling the rally. Conversely, in a bust, panic selling can exacerbate downturns. This creates a "two-way street" where perceptions shape reality and reality reinforces those perceptions. 3. Implications for Investors: Soros' theory suggests that focusing solely on market fundamentals may not be enough. Identifying market sentiment, recognizing potential bubbles, and anticipating changes in expectations can be crucial for successful investing. He famously used this approach to short the British pound in 1992, betting on its devaluation due to overvaluation and excessive optimism. Criticisms: While influential, Soros' theory also faces critiques. Some argue that it's too subjective and lacks predictive power. Others consider it a "one-size-fits-all" explanation that neglects the diverse causes of booms and busts. Further Exploration: Books: "The Alchemy of Finance" by George Soros By understanding George Soros' boom-bust cycle and its connection to reflexivity, you gain a valuable perspective on market dynamics and potentially refine your investment strategies. Remember, financial markets are complex systems, and any theory should be considered alongside other factors and careful analysis.
NYSE:NIOEducation
by Moshkelgosha
2