NIO trade ideas
NIO collapsing - A very screwed up management which may goes to NIO is a good company, ruined by these two, CEO and CFO who are best friend. who kept spending money like crazy and unnecessary projects.
Not focusing on pushing for sales of the car but instead doing stupidity technology that will only drain the company cash flows.
A very screwed up management which may goes to ZERO
Is Nio Inc Class A ADR (NIO) the opportunity of a lifetime?If you would like to be notified whenever I post a new article, just click "FOLLOW" at the top. Also, if you would like to discuss a particular topic in more detail or need some advice, please comment below the article and I will be happy to help you.
Is Nio Inc Class A ADR (NIO) the opportunity of a lifetime?
Although NIO's recent performance may seem disappointing, it is important to evaluate the company's performance in relation to the electric vehicle industry as a whole.
For example, the S&P Kensho Electric Vehicles index has declined 7.2 percent over the past year. In addition, major electric vehicle companies by market capitalization have suffered significant declines in value, thus showing that NIO is not the only one affected.
And in fact, NIO's decline is not even the worst, with Rivian (RIVN) suffering an even more drastic drop.
Although the outlook may seem bleak, I have confidence for the future of NIO. One example is the fourth-quarter figures for 2023, in which the company's actual revenues increased by 7.2 percent, exceeding the forecast of $2204-2289 million.
If this trend were to be repeated in the first quarter of 2024, NIO would see a 4.8 percent increase in revenues instead of a contraction.
There is good news on the way for NIO, in addition to the success of the quarter just ended. CEO William Li recently unveiled their innovative new long-life battery pack with a special 14-hour event.
Now, mass production of this pack has officially begun and should become available for purchase as early as next quarter.
To make the purchase of their ET5 sedan more affordable, NIO has decided to offer the battery pack only in rental mode. However, customers also have the option of buying the car without the battery pack, making it a cheaper option and increasing the company's competitiveness.
This strategy has been extremely successful in 2020, increasing sales by 20 percent.
After a long wait, the stock finally reached $4, a price I personally find attractive. I am ready to buy and invest right now. The new arrival of the super battery could give the company a further boost and make it stand out over the competition.
Evaluating a company is a complex process that requires financial knowledge and experience. For this reason, it is always advisable to rely on a professional advisor instead of trading on your own. A good option is TRADINGVIEW, an excellent platform that can help you with your investment strategy.
Using the data provided by Trading View, you can get a general analyst rating on a stock. As you can clearly see in the image below, the stock is currently much lower than its actual value.
After careful analysis of the potential market outlook, I decided to invest in the stock with a target of $8. To maximize my gains in a possible long-term sideways phase, I chose to buy an investment certificate that offers a monthly coupon of 1.5 percent if the price remains above 3.05 euros.
The ISIN code is CH1314029567 and it is worth less than the nominal price of 1,000 euros which makes it very attractive.
In my opinion, this company cannot fail, for two reasons: it has significant liquidity and government support.
Because of the financial resources and government support, the company has solid liquidity.
We look forward to seeing you in the next article! And remember, for successful trading always rely on Tradingview: an indispensable tool that can help you avoid serious mistakes during your trading operations.
NIO SHORT to $5.70, then $4.0 NIO - Chinese automaker
Fundamental
According to carnewschina.com in Q1 2023 year NIO sold 31,041 EVs - 2.46% only.
"Nio is currently having difficult times in China. Because of the price war, its sales declined, resulting in a noticeable revenue decrease. So, Nio was forced to also join the price war by cutting the cost of every model by 30,000 yuan (4,200 USD). They are obviously in need of keeping the customers’ demand high. The newly launched ET5 Touring can help them for a short period. But station wagons don’t sell hot in China. So, Nio has to push its international deliveries to start as soon as possible."
read NIO to hit the Europe soon. - I can't believe it. European market is not empty. Volkswagen, BMW, Tesla, Toyota, Honda, Hyundai and many others sell a lot right now. Top EU Electric Cars
I watched a lot of presentations, reviews. Nio EV's are really good. But the prices..
Y/Y
Gross Margin % 7.73
Operating Margin % -37.06
Net Margin % -35.01
Income -2463.40M
Sales 7.03B
Cash is melting, debt is growing.
Technical
NIO's chart goes down in the channel.
Just now price is
- near the top level of downtrend channel - Resistance $10.5
- RSI 23 is 63% (bounced from 70%). Always when RSI is on this level the price falls 30% min.
- next strong support level is $5.70
Conclusion
NIO chart is going down in the channel.
Buy for $5.70, then $4.0 and keep for 2-3 years.
NIO Inc. (NYSE: NIO) as of April 2024Overview
NIO Inc. remains a luminary in the electric vehicle cosmos despite its gravitational pull back in share value, slicing through 54.7% of its price since the commencement of 2024. The current tapestry of NIO's performance is interwoven with robust delivery figures and innovation despite the financial turbulence it navigates.
Technical Indicators and Patterns
Fibonacci Retracement: The stock's journey unraveled a retreat to a key Fibonacci level, with the price nestling close to the 0.382 pivot point at $4.82, indicative of potential support.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price action delved below the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling a bearish climate; however, the thinning cloud ahead could forecast a shift in momentum.
Volume: A conspicuous volume bar correlates with the latest price decline, hinting at a potential capitulation stage.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI lurks near the 30 threshold, teetering on the edge of oversold territories, suggesting that the selling tide may be reaching its ebb.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line treads below the signal line, yet the histogram displays a contraction in bearish momentum, potentially preluding a bullish crossover.
OBV (On-Balance Volume): The OBV line showcases resilience, maintaining an uptrend despite price depreciation, suggesting underlying strength.
Correlation with Recent Developments
NIO's crescendo in vehicle deliveries interlaces with the technical narrative, presenting a juxtaposition of operational triumph against the backdrop of fiscal adversity. The enhancement in delivery numbers serves as a beacon of growth amidst the dense fog of market skepticism.
Price Speculation
The confluence of technical indicators and fundamental developments furnishes a speculative thesis that NIO's price could witness a rebound, aiming for the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near $6.30 as a medium-term target, aligning with the optimistic side of analyst projections.
Market Sentiment and Forward-Looking Statement
The analysts' cauldron brews a potion of mixed sentiments, yet the concoction's average potion suggests a magical ascend to approximately $8.74. This spectral target, conjured from the current alchemy of price and sentiment, would inscribe a renaissance on NIO's price chart.
Conclusion
As the celestial event of the upcoming earnings report on June 14th, 2024, approaches, the marketplace gazes through its telescopes with bated breath. The anticipated revelations will serve as the crucible in which NIO's future prospects are either transmuted into gold or lead. Stakeholders clutch their charts and runes, hoping the financial oracles will chart a course towards the fabled lands of profitability and sustainable growth.
$NIO - BEAR FLAG has broken - 1st PT is $3Have you shorted yet? Did you sell before the flag breakdown? As I have been discussed in my previous chart, there are bearish flags setting up. 1st target is around $3. Remember length of the flag pole = Measured downside. Continue to sell on strength with more downside profit
NIO about to become SINGLE DIGIT StockGap between $9-10 range and local resistance is rejecting the price really well.
Next major support is also untested and price could reach there since there is no EXHAUSTION VOLUME.
and rest...
Idea well explained in the chart.
This is not a financial advice.
NIO long, 110% UPSIDE POTENTIALTook a long on $NIO.
Tight stoploss at $4,25 with a take profit at 110%.
Nio looking primed for a move Possible large move in Nio in the next few days, the bears are losing steam
NIO 1W my EW count think we hit the bottom for nio here.
that should conclude wave2 (ABC) for wave 3 i aim for 110$ and wave 5 could be 130$ or higher , waiting for wave 3 to finalize first
Nio: Home Stretch 🏁Nio is now trading around the level of March 5. According to our primary expectation, the share is likely to fall below this level once again before the magenta-colored wave (C) and thus the superordinate beige-colored wave II comes to an end. Only when this low has been established should the stock return to a sustainable upward structure. Initially, the blue wave (i) should ensure a rise above the resistance at $7.02.
DemandThis is good strong demand level And we will be in a better place with this team and we are confident that the future will look better
NIO STOCK Parabolic Mega Squeeze is About to HappenHI it's Mr.P From YT. Here is a bullish wedge and we are reaching the apex and could see an explosive breakout very soon! I have more in depth analysis on my YT
NIO Heading For Upper $3s: Epic Long SetupNYSE:NIO close on Friday (3/23) exposed it to lower lows. Elliot wave theory works in both directions and this time it's a long setup. My PT is $3.90 for entry in April, partially based off of old trading from 2019-2020 and mostly based off of what you see on the chart. GL!
China's NIO & CATL Collaborates to Create Longer Life BatteriesIn a strategic move to drive innovation and lower the overall costs of electric vehicles (EVs), Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) has partnered with battery giant CATL to develop longer-lasting batteries. This collaboration aims to address the critical challenge of extending the lifespan of EV batteries, ultimately enhancing the affordability and sustainability of Nio's electric fleet.
Pioneering Battery Technology for Enhanced Efficiency:
Nio's founder and CEO, William Li, emphasized the significance of addressing the longevity of EV batteries, highlighting it as a critical issue facing the entire industry. By leveraging the expertise and resources of both companies, Nio and CATL are poised to pioneer advancements in battery technology that will significantly impact the "full life cycle" costs of EVs. This collaborative effort underscores a shared commitment to driving innovation and sustainability in the automotive sector.
Extending Battery Lifespan and Lowering Operating Costs:
With warranties typically covering EV batteries for eight years, Nio recognizes the urgency of extending battery lifespan to maximize the value for customers. By extending the lifespan of swappable batteries and reducing monthly rental fees, Nio aims to lower the overall costs of EV ownership, making electric vehicles more accessible to a broader range of consumers. This strategic approach aligns with Nio's commitment to delivering exceptional value and driving widespread adoption of sustainable transportation solutions.
Investing in Core Technologies and Infrastructure:
Despite external investments and strategic partnerships, Nio remains dedicated to investing in developing core technologies such as batteries. The company's focus on commercializing advanced battery technologies, including semi-solid-state batteries with a range of up to 1,000 km, underscores its commitment to innovation and leadership in the EV market. Additionally, Nio's investment in infrastructure for battery charging and swapping reflects its commitment to providing convenient and efficient charging solutions for EV drivers.
Driving Towards a Sustainable Future:
As Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) continues to expand its footprint in the electric vehicle market, the company remains committed to driving sustainable transportation solutions. With plans to unveil its second brand, Ledao, Nio aims to target a wider range of consumers and further solidify its position as a leader in the EV industry. By forging strategic partnerships, investing in innovative technologies, and prioritizing sustainability, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) is poised to drive the future of electric mobility and contribute to a cleaner, greener future for generations to come.
NIO STOCK TO 10 BUCKS REASONS !!Strong Fundamentals
NIO has been consistently improving its fundamentals. The company’s vehicle deliveries have been growing quarter over quarter, demonstrating strong demand for its EVs. NIO’s battery-as-a-service (BaaS) model is also a game-changer, providing a competitive edge over other EV manufacturers.
Innovative Partnerships
NIO’s recent partnership with CATL to produce EV batteries that can last up to 15 years is another bullish indicator. This collaboration could lead to significant cost savings for NIO and its customers, potentially boosting NIO’s market share in the EV space.
Expanding Market
The EV market in China, the largest auto market globally, is expanding rapidly. The Chinese government’s push for green energy and the growing consumer awareness about environmental sustainability are driving this growth. As a domestic player, NIO is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend.
NIO (NIO): Downward Journey and the Glimmer of Long-Term HopeNIO (NIO): NYSE:NIO
NIO has recently slipped below the $7 mark, signaling a possible continuation of its significant downward trajectory. After peaking at $66.99, NIO has been on a prolonged decline that shows no immediate signs of concluding. While the descent is expected to persist, it's critical that the price stays above the $1.19 threshold to maintain a bullish outlook for NIO's future, preventing a drastic plummet towards zero—a scenario that seems less likely given the limited downside left.
Within this framework, we're observing the development of Wave (C) emerging from Wave (B), structured as a five-wave decline aiming lower. Notably, Wave 3 touched the 161.8% extension at $8.84, succeeded by Wave 4. We're now bracing for Wave 5, which might approach the $2.13 support zone.
Setting a broad stop-loss might seem risky, yet the potential for an upward surge is compelling. If NIO is indeed navigating through an overarching Wave II, poised for a multi-year rebound, it could dramatically exceed its all-time high of $67, hinting at an increase well over 3000%. This optimistic projection aligns with a possible long-term bullish trend following the current decline.
Currently, it's too early to pinpoint exact entry points, given the substantial risk of further drops. Attempting to do so now would be akin to catching a falling knife without adequate support nearby. Patience and vigilant monitoring are crucial at this juncture to avoid premature entries. Once signs of market stabilization or a trend reversal become apparent, we can then identify strategic entry points to capitalize on NIO's potential long-term growth. This cautious approach aims to balance risk management with the prospect of significant returns, awaiting the market's eventual recovery and NIO's ascent.
NIO 12/03/2024Nio went above the red box, any retracement to red box is a buying opportunity to expect higher prices. We are far from stop area which is the lowest wick on the chart. If we pass the red box above then we can reach to 7.14 areas.
NIO's Side movements are getting close to a break Out/Down !Either we are consolidating, for Wave B then C down or this is some how could be counted as a base for Wave 3 trying to establish a ballistic move up. I have analyzed it extensively mentioning all probable bullish/Bearish out comes with statistics and probabilities. In a nut shell seasonality is favoring a bearish move Vs fundamentals, car production, that are favoring a bullish move. It looks very clear that we have completed a Macros ABC down from ATH. Now this is part, more probably, of a bullish macro move with ups/downs . Risk down is, if you are bullish, (-30%) according to probabilities Risk up if you are bearish is +200% according to probabilities.
Long NIO at $7.10 - LOWER risk trade (not low risk)The chart is fairly self-explanatory. We have a huge amount of support at the ~7.00 level. The descending trendline may keep us from breaking out much past the $8 mark. And it could do a full round trip back to supply at $7.
EV has been crushed and this may be a good opportunity for a lower (NOT LOW RISK) trade with a safe stop.
📈 NIO Bullish Above $4.78 MOMENT OF TRUTHThe correction of NIO appears to be over and has a potential for a long term swing reversal. The key low seems to be in place at $4.78. Confirmation of the low will be when the RSI Breaks out of the downtrend connecting the Jul 31 2023 high and the Dec 26 2023 high. If we were to get rejected and break the $4.78 low it would negate the pattern and price should want to move lower to test the all time low at $1.28. NYSE:NIO www.tradingview.com
