PATH trade ideas
Bullish earnings outlookBoth charts have shortterm similarities. The PATH Chart-Structure indicates the earnings to bring a positive effet tomorrow.
But this is very speculative, a move to the downside is also possible.
I established a very small position on these price lvls.
UiPath: Gap Fill to the Upside?UiPath fell sharply in the spring after its CEO stepped down, but now some traders may look for a rebound.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish gap on May 30. The AI and automation stock ended yesterday inside that zone. Could prices fill the gap to the upside?
Second, PATH is above its 50- and 100-day simple moving averages. That may suggest its longer-term trend is trying to reverse upward.
Third, this year’s low of $10.37 near the trough in 2022 may confirm that support is in place.
Next, prices have cleared a falling trendline along the peaks of September and October. The lower study with our 2 MA Ratio also shows the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed above the 21-day EMA. Those points may suggest that its short-term trend has gotten more bullish.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Fundamental analysis on UI Path: medium-long term.Hello everyone,
It's a fundamental analysis, all the way I used some technical analysis tools (see, fibionacci retracement, channels, trend-lines and resistances) because, since not having enough history (the IPO having been in 2021) technical analysis has to give precedence to the fundamental analysis, especially when it's not crypto assets but companies really operating in the markets, and especially among all, the technology one (automation/AI sectors)!
Let's start with fundamental analysis:
UI Path: An explosive growth opportunity?
UI Path (NYSE: PATH), a leader in the robotic automation industry (RPA), may be poised for significant upside. With a market set to grow from $10 billion in 2023 to over $23 billion by 2028 (CAGR of 19%), UI Path is perfectly positioned to ride this wave. Currently, the share price has fallen to $13.06 (as of Oct. 19, 2024), making it a potentially undervalued opportunity.
Strengths:
Continued revenue growth: In 2023, UI Path reported revenues of $1.06 billion, up 19 percent from the previous year. Forecasts indicate revenues of 1.25 billion by 2024, with the possibility of exceeding 1.7 billion by 2026, for an annual growth rate of 15%.
Loyal and expanding customers: With a 130% retention rate, customers not only remain loyal, but also increase their investment in UI Path's platform, signaling trust and steady growth.
Profitability in sight: The company is rapidly improving its operating margins, and is expected to become profitable in the second half of 2025. Gross margins are already at 80 percent, providing a solid foundation for future growth.
Strong liquidity: UI Path has $1.8 billion in cash and minimal debt exposure. This position of strength allows it to invest in innovation and weather any economic shocks.
Propelled by artificial intelligence: UI Path is integrating new capabilities based on artificial intelligence, making its solutions even more powerful and sought-after, especially as digitization increases in every industry.
Potential valuation and upside:
Current price: Currently, the stock trades at $13.06.
Price target: Analysts predict an average target of $22, with an optimistic estimate as high as $27. This represents a potential upside of 68 percent to over 100 percent.
Valuation Multiples: With a current Price/Revenue ratio of about 6.8x, the stock is undervalued relative to the historical average for growth technology stocks. A return to a 10x ratio could bring the stock price to $22-23.
Why get in now?
on the continued expansion of the automation market and UI Path's solid positioning, the current price of $13.06 seems to offer an attractive entry opportunity. If the market recognizes the expected growth and impending profitability of the company, we could see a significant upside of 70-100% in the next 12-18 months.
For UI Path, I would personally tend to be bullish, but with some caution. Here's why:
Bearish aspects (to consider):
Stock valuation: Although currently trading at lower levels than peaks, UI Path remains relatively expensive compared to other tech companies. If it fails to demonstrate profitability on schedule (by the second half of 2025), there could be bearish pressure.
Growing competition: The automation and AI industry is becoming very competitive, with large and small players entering the space. This could put pressure on margins and UI Path's ability to maintain its leadership.
Dependence on macroeconomic environment: A global economic slowdown or reduced technology spending by businesses could negatively affect UI Path's growth, as many companies may postpone implementation of automation solutions.
Technically:
If one wants to trade , one would have to wait for a break of the red channel for bullish confirmation. However, in the past few sessions, we are bouncing off the mm50 daily, which could act as support. However, one has to be careful as nothing prohibits that before going to make the targets indicated by the resistances (orange horizontal lines) it could make further bottoms. If one wants to hold , this entry level is also perfect. I expect in the next 5 years a boom in this stock. Yes, I calling for a pump :D
I would like to remind you that this is not intended to be an incentive to invest, disinvest or stay flat but is only the result of fundamental and technical studies and analysis.
Thanks for your attention and remember this analysis in a few years.
Omar
PATH $12.80 | Automation Robotics etc for take over or turnover of float
for the next leg or season of ROBOTICS HUMANOID play only this one is focused on BUSINESS ADMiN prhaps transition into AutoWorkers
as most VCs and Active Players are waiting for FiGURE Ai to go public
this is one of the under rated PROXY play with huge applications and real world cases
this could be as epic like iSRG RObotics healthcare dominating since year 2000
UiPath ($PATH) Stock Surges After Q2 Earnings Beat Key Highlights of UiPath’s Q2 CY2024 Results:
- Revenue: $316.3 million, a 10.1% year-on-year increase, beating analyst estimates of $303.7 million.
- Adjusted Operating Income: $6.45 million, well above expectations of $0.4 million.
- Earnings Per Share (Non-GAAP): $0.04, slightly ahead of expectations of $0.03.
- Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): $1.55 billion, up 18.6% year on year.
- Free Cash Flow Margin: 13.4%, down from 30.2% in the previous quarter.
UiPath ( NYSE:PATH ), a leader in automation software, delivered a strong second quarter for fiscal year 2024, exceeding analyst expectations and providing upbeat guidance. The company reported revenue of $316.3 million, marking a 10.1% increase from the previous year. While its gross margin dipped slightly to 80%, the overall results showcase UiPath’s resilience and growth potential in the competitive automation market.
A Closer Look at the Numbers
UiPath’s Q2 performance is noteworthy, given the current economic landscape. The company’s revenue beat by 4.1% compared to estimates, reflecting robust demand for its automation solutions. However, the free cash flow margin fell to 13.4%, signaling potential challenges in maintaining cash profitability amid rising operational expenses.
The adjusted operating income of $6.45 million, significantly higher than analysts’ expectations, underlines improved execution and efficiency. CEO Daniel Dines credited the positive results to the company’s AI-powered automation platform, which continues to attract enterprise clients seeking to optimize their operations.
UiPath ( NYSE:PATH ) also raised its full-year revenue guidance to $1.42 billion, highlighting management’s confidence in sustaining growth. Despite a slight dip in quarterly free cash flow, the company’s ability to generate cash and reinvest in its business remains strong, making it a compelling investment opportunity.
Technical Outlook
On the technical front, NYSE:PATH stock has been trading within a falling wedge pattern since February 20, 2024—a pattern often seen as a bullish reversal signal. This formation occurs when price action is bounded by two converging trendlines sloping downward, indicating that the selling momentum is losing steam.
The recent earnings beat acted as a catalyst, pushing NYSE:PATH stock up by 8.48% in Friday’s premarket trading. The breakout from the falling wedge pattern suggests a shift in investor sentiment, transitioning from bearish to bullish. The stock’s RSI (Relative Strength Index) has moved from an oversold level of 38 to a more balanced position, indicating renewed buying interest.
Moreover, the daily price chart reveals that NYSE:PATH has broken through key resistance levels, setting the stage for further upside. Historically, a falling wedge pattern often precedes a rally, as the consolidation phase allows the stock to build momentum before resuming an upward trajectory.
What Investors Should Watch
UiPath’s stock performance will hinge on its ability to sustain growth amid economic uncertainties. Investors should monitor upcoming earnings to see if the company can maintain its recent momentum. Key price levels to watch include the $14.50 mark, which represents a critical resistance level. A successful breach could propel NYSE:PATH higher, while failure to hold current gains might see the stock retest previous support levels near $12.
The focus will be on UiPath’s cash flow margins and whether the company can stabilize these figures in the coming quarters. While the automation market remains highly competitive, UiPath’s strong Q2 results and bullish technical setup suggest that the stock could be poised for a meaningful recovery.
Conclusion
UiPath’s Q2 earnings exceeded expectations on several fronts, providing a much-needed boost to investor confidence. The combination of strong revenue growth, elevated ARR, and a positive technical breakout points to a brighter outlook for $PATH. However, sustaining this performance will require continued execution, especially as the company navigates fluctuations in cash profitability.
Investors with a focus on growth and a willingness to embrace some volatility might find NYSE:PATH an appealing opportunity, particularly given its leadership in the expanding automation sector. With Wall Street’s estimates now adjusted upwards, UiPath looks set to capitalize on its current momentum and drive further shareholder value.
PATH UiPath Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PATH before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PATH UiPath prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Island Gap Potential, Dark Pool Buy Zone, HFTsThis stock has the potential to form an island gap, which are caused by High Frequency Trading activity that triggers on news. The gap down was too huge, so fundamentals are above the current price. This would be a gap UP potential at this point, to create the island gap.
The lows have been established clearly, so selling short this stock is not wise. But smaller funds and retail may try, as they tend to sell short stocks within a Dark Pool buy zone. Chaikin Osc and Money Flow Index are moving upward but the angle of ascent on price is steeper. The faster price ascent could be rapid accumulation from derivative developers.
UIPath creates software for Robotic Process Automation. It was one of the stocks discussed in the Case Study I did with my students in the summer of 2022 on the disruptive new technologies to watch over the next decade.
Calling Bottom. Speculative CNH Pattern.Let's run into earnings and attack the gap. I'm either early or dead wrong.
Will be watching here...
UI PATH - Dip Buy & Trend Cloud Speculative Study.UI Path recently Tanked After Earnings and Guidance.
Buying Dips is Inherently very Risky on Weak Stocks.
However. there is always a potential upside, should they reverse or a Catalyst or Buyout is iminent.
I would risk only a small % for a 50 - 100% Gain.
However these Risks Often result in some of my Best Returns and need Conviction and Time.
The Indicator I use is a custom "TREND CLOUD INDICATOR" and is not free.
Should you wish to purchase the Indicator, send me your email and I will forward to the Code Creator who will then contact you directly. (It's also part of a Study Learning Course.)
This Indicator when used Correctly is +75% Correct when Studying on Multiple Time Frames.
As always, please get a few outside Expert's Advice before taking Trade or Investment Decisions.
Should you appreciate my Chart Studies, Smash That Rocket Boost Button. It's Just a Click away.
Stay Profitable.
Regards Investors.
Graham
UiPath Stock Plummets 34.75% Amid Sudden Departure of CEOUiPath ( NYSE:PATH ) shares plummeted 34.75% following an unexpected CEO shakeup and weak sales guidance. CEO Rob Enslin is stepping down on June 1 and will be replaced by co-founder Daniel Dines, who had resigned as co-CEO on January 31. The company cited a softening macroeconomic environment and the leadership transition for its weaker-than-expected sales outlook.
UiPath ( NYSE:PATH ) expects current-quarter revenue of $300 million to $305 million, with the top of that forecast coming in significantly below the $333 million expected by analysts. For the full year, the company downwardly revised its guidance, saying it now expects net sales in the period of $1.405 billion to $1.410 billion, below its earlier forecast of between $1.555 billion and $1.560 billion.
Since reaching their current 2024 high in early February, UiPath shares ( NYSE:PATH ) have continued to track lower, with the price recently falling below the 200-day moving average (MA) to sit on a multi-month trendline leading into the company's quarterly results. The 50-day MA looks set to soon cross down below the 200-day MA to form an ominous death cross, a pattern that often confirms the start of a new downtrend.
Amid Thursday's earnings-driven sell-off, investors might monitor if the stock can close above the $14 level, an area on the chart that finds support from a horizontal line extending back to the May 2022 swing low. An inability of buyers to defend this important level could see the shares retest their record low set at $10.40 in November 2022.
5/29/24 - $path - small punt AH -30% awaiting conf call. spec.5/29/24 - vrockstar - NYSE:PATH - tough one here guys/ but i'm taking a small position here AH -30%. this is NOT an easy entry, so keeping it small for now. the 2Q revenue guide is defn a problem. could hold the stock hostage, and might be worth listening to the call to see if anything changes. stock *deserves* to be down a lot, 30% though? so let's do the math. let's use sales. 10 bn company not mega, not micro - growing if did 1.5 bn this yr in sales at 4x (maybe this *should* be 2.5 maybe 3x)... but i like the automation angle, the good gross margins... at 4x on 1.5 bn, you're basically subtracting the net cash and at 5.6 bn enterprise value - this is exactly where the stock is at. i think your downside here for LT holders is probably still potentially heady maybe 20-30% at most (don't think you'll have a 50% drawdown here - which are the only spots w/ interesting tech i shun)... so i'm punting and will prob listen to the call. let's see what they say. gl to all that want to punt. rough tape, not easy, be nimble, don't get too attached. lego.
Hitting a golden cross on the 1 hour time frame for UIPATH expecting an upward trend as we are hitting a golden cross on the 1 hour time frame
UiPath LongNYSE:PATH Long
Target 1 at $22,4
Target 2 at $29,3 (0.236 retracement)
Target 3 at $40,99 (0.382 retracement)
UIPath hitting 33 soon !!UIPath is forming a Falling Wedge, we can clearly see, a rising trend, downtrend correction, and possibly a rising trend soon, could be with their upcoming earning report.
$PATH bounceBouncing off a parallel channel
Bouncing of a broken trendline
Bouncing off the 50% fib
Bouncing for Wave C or Wave 3?
Regardless, bouncing towards $36ish - $40ish.
Bounce
Path Heading to ~ 28$ Multiple indication pointing that #Path is heading to ~28$, all we have to do is set a watch
PATH UiPath Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PATH before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PATH UiPath prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 23usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $4.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$NYSE:PATH 2024-03-14 looks pretty bearish NYSE:PATH stock going down on big volume, it could be a sweet spot for shorting if stock goes down $22
UiPath Record Revenue and Strategic Partnerships Propel GrowthUiPath ( NYSE:PATH ), the pioneering enterprise automation and AI software company, has announced its fourth quarter and full-year fiscal 2024 financial results, showcasing remarkable growth and strategic initiatives that underscore its position as a leader in the industry.
In the fourth quarter, UiPath ( NYSE:PATH ) reported record-breaking revenue of $405 million, marking a significant 31 percent increase year-over-year. Accompanying this impressive revenue growth was an equally noteworthy achievement: UiPath achieved its first quarter of GAAP profitability as a public company, demonstrating its commitment to financial stability and long-term success.
Key to UiPath's ( NYSE:PATH ) success is its Business Automation Platform, which continues to deliver meaningful outcomes for its customers. With an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reaching $1.464 billion, representing a robust 22 percent increase year-over-year, UiPath's platform empowers organizations to streamline processes, innovate, and adapt more quickly in today's rapidly evolving digital landscape.
Rob Enslin, UiPath's Chief Executive Officer, emphasized the transformative power of UiPath's AI and automation solutions, stating, "The combination of UiPath’s AI and automation is the strategic change enabler for our customers that makes any digital transformation easier and faster, while empowering customers to innovate, adapt more quickly, and grow."
UiPath's financial highlights for the full year fiscal 2024 further underscore its sustained growth trajectory. With revenue reaching $1.308 billion, a 24 percent increase year-over-year, and a net new ARR of $260 million, UiPath has demonstrated its ability to deliver value and drive operational excellence.
Ashim Gupta, UiPath's Chief Financial Officer, expressed satisfaction with the company's performance, highlighting significant year-over-year increases in operating margins and record cash flow. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2025, Gupta outlined strategic investments to further expand UiPath's( NYSE:PATH ) market leadership while maintaining a focus on operating leverage.
In addition to its stellar financial performance, UiPath has announced several recent business highlights that underscore its commitment to innovation and strategic partnerships. These include the launch of UiPath Autopilot™ for Studio and Autopilot™ for Test Suite, an expanded partnership with Google Cloud, and the introduction of turnkey automation offerings in collaboration with Deloitte, among others.
Furthermore, UiPath's ( NYSE:PATH ) recent appointment of technology executive June Yang to its Board further strengthens its leadership team and positions the company for continued growth and success in the dynamic AI and automation landscape.
Path is ready to blastPath is ready to breakout right now it crosses 100 MA if results are good it makes new highs in upcoming days
Can PATH Climb Out of the Bull Pennant? Decoding the Daily ChartThe PATH chart shows an interesting development with a potential breakout from a daily bull pennant pattern. Based on technical analysis, this breakout could indicate a backtest of $22 followed by a move towards $32-$36. However, remember that the stock market is volatile and reaching these targets is not guaranteed. Earnings on 3/13
PATH Weekly Up on VolumePATH had a nice up week on volume. It has formed a healthy base after a strong stage 2 breakout. The relative strength line is rising although not at all time highs. The financial metrics look strong too. I would look to go long on a follow through.
