$PINSPotential "ABC" pattern located near an August/September support level with some volume divergence.
PINS trade ideas
Growing Pains - Bear FlagPinterest earnings did not impress investors, a huge sell off ensued and now we are breaking down in a giant bear flag pattern, suggesting the downside risk remains in this asset.
We also rejected from the golden pocket suggesting this uptrend is now over and bears are back in control.
Fundamental Analysis:
1. U.S. Market Saturation
Pinterest derives most of its revenue from the American market, where user growth appears to be plateauing. The U.S. market is more mature, meaning there's limited room for substantial user base expansion. Growth in other regions, like Europe or emerging markets, has been slower and with significantly lower average revenue per user (ARPU), which doesn’t bode well for Pinterest’s overall revenue growth potential.
2. Reliance on Advertisers
Pinterest heavily relies on advertising revenue, which makes it sensitive to broader economic conditions. With a high valuation, Pinterest is exposed to risks if advertisers reduce their spending during economic downturns or shift budgets toward platforms with more robust targeting capabilities, such as Meta and Google. Pinterest’s ad tools, while improving, still lag behind these larger competitors in terms of granularity and effectiveness.
3. Increased Competition in Visual Search and Shopping
As other tech giants like Meta, TikTok, and even Amazon increase their investment in social commerce and visual search, Pinterest’s competitive edge is at risk. These companies have greater resources and already command large user bases, potentially siphoning users and advertisers away from Pinterest. If Pinterest cannot distinguish itself or rapidly improve its shopping and ad-targeting capabilities, it may struggle to justify a high valuation.
4. Monetisation Challenges Internationally
While Pinterest may have a larger user base outside the U.S., its ARPU in these regions is significantly lower. This disparity highlights Pinterest’s challenge in effectively monetizing users internationally, limiting its growth prospects. Without a clear path to raising ARPU internationally, it’s challenging to see how the company will meet revenue expectations implicit in a high valuation.
5. Execution Risks on New Initiatives
Pinterest has been investing in new features like shopping tools and improved ad capabilities, which could drive growth. However, these initiatives require substantial investments and involve execution risks. If Pinterest fails to see rapid adoption or faces technical challenges, these projects may take longer to yield returns, leading to a slower-than-expected revenue growth trajectory that may not justify its high valuation.
Be careful going long here. Not financial advice
Pinterest earnings playanother pretty clear earnings play here. PINS has been riding this support line for awhile now. I think there is a big move up towards $45 after earnings.
$PINS*For share traders only. Not meant for options.
Green: Entry Point
Blue: Start of Week
Red: End of Week
Thumbs Up: Trade Available for Week
$ Amount (Numbers Above): Price Targets
*I don’t believe in sharing strategies or outlooks due to the idea that it could cause someone confusion within. It’s important in trading to find your eyes and do things that match your scope of understanding. Over time, if the work is put in, you will create a strategy that in most cases aren’t full proof, but something you can lean on creating an edge for yourself. This strategy is based on a mix of volume analysis, Elliot Waves, retracements, and candlestick anomalies.
PINS eyes on $32.05: Golden Genesis fib trying to form "Bottom" INS trying to paint a bottom with a secondary bounce.
Currently dancing on a well proven Golden Genesis fib.
Earnings could launch form here or trap price below.
Lets see if they whisper "A.I." during earnings for a boost.
One would think Ai could do a lot with collections of photos.
Matched ads should be rolling in the revenues, IF they did it.
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$PINS - Risky businessNYSE:PINS is trading inside an upward channel with higher highs and higher lows. The earnings could make or break the channel. If the ER is good, it could hit the $36 area.
It is a risky earnings play.
As always, I share my opinions and trades. I'm not suggesting that anyone follow my trades. You do you.
PINS eyes on $32.05: Golden Genesis fib to boost recovery?PINS had a siginficant pullback from recent highs.
Could paint a bottom if holds Golden Genesis fib.
Swing targets are next two sister fibs (blue) above.
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PINS: Unclear what is next, but a long-term opportunity anywayThe price action for PINS since August of 2024 looks like a big 3 waves corrective move upward. This could be considered as the B wave if we see the big drop from June as the A wave correction. Since that correction was in 5 waves, it can be either the first part of a zigzag or wave 1.
Now, one can argue that entire channel move from May of 2022 to June of 2024 is a B wave. The wave relations do fit that. If that is the case then the big bad C wave has started and the move down so far is only waves 1 and 2 with bigger wave 3 is still upcoming.
So, the way to differentiate between the two would be how the next retrace happens. The current move up may not yet be complete and price can hit $35 - $36 before heading south. If the downward movement is strong and falls below $24, then it is most likely the wave 3 of bigger C. If the move down is slow and steady and takes time, then it is most likely the smaller wave C of Minor degree wave 2.
For Minor wave 2, target would be somewhere between $25 - $21. For Intermediate wave 2 target would be somewhere between $14 - $11. If $10.14 breaks, then all bull case is over. If price doesn't make any retrace below $28 and price moves above $45.78, then bearish cases are over and price will be extremely bullish.
ChanceSince June 2022 we are in an uptrend. Despite the steep correction since end of June it is unbroken. The correction still looks healthy and since May we can see a promising rising cloud.
This gives a chance that the bottom that has been built in August 2023 will hold again and we can start to resume the uptrend now again.
Sure,there are some obstacles due to the long lasting low range trading. And it may take some time to get momentum. But the chance is now and I am starting with a humble position that can easily be built up when the picture will become more convincing.
Pinterest Shares Plunges Nearly 14% Despite Upbeat Q2 ResultsShares of Pinterest Inc. ( NYSE:PINS ) took a steep dive in early trading on Wednesday, plummeting nearly 14%. This sharp decline occurred despite the company reporting second-quarter results that surpassed expectations. The market’s reaction underscores investor concerns about the sustainability of Pinterest's growth trajectory, particularly in light of tougher comparisons expected in the latter half of 2024 and into 2025.
Q2 Earnings Beat Expectations
Pinterest's Q2 revenue came in at $854 million, slightly exceeding the consensus estimate of $850 million. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $180 million, also surpassing the forecast of $179 million. This performance was buoyed by solid revenue growth and a steady margin trajectory, as noted by several analysts.
However, the positive sentiment was overshadowed by Pinterest's guidance for the third quarter. The company projected Q3 revenue between $885 million and $900 million, falling short of the expected $912 million. This guidance has led to a recalibration of growth expectations, particularly given the challenging comparisons and ongoing softness in key advertising sectors.
Eric Sheridan noted Pinterest's solid results and steady revenue trajectory but highlighted that the third-quarter guidance was stable compared to pre-earnings models, indicating potential multi-year margin expansion despite quarterly fluctuations.
Justin Patterson noted that while Pinterest's revenue and EBITDA beat expectations, the lower-than-expected Q3 guidance reflects a broader trend where investor expectations had become elevated. Doug Anmuth emphasized the 300 to 500 basis points deceleration in Pinterest's third-quarter revenue growth guidance, partly due to FX headwinds and a significant year-over-year comparison. He noted that ad trends remained stable, except in the Food & Beverage sector, which has been under pressure.
Market Concerns and Broader Implications
The digital advertising market is recovering from a downturn seen in 2022 and early 2023, but persistent weakness in specific sectors, such as consumer goods, particularly food and beverage, is affecting growth. This has raised concerns about broader implications for smaller ad players like Snap and ad tech firms such as Trade Desk, given their exposure to these sectors.
Analysts noted that the lighter third-quarter guidance might exacerbate fears around growing ad pressures and potential spillover into other verticals. Pinterest's outlook could signal trouble for competitors who rely heavily on ad revenue from consumer goods companies.
Conclusion
Despite posting strong Q2 results, Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) faces a challenging path ahead. The company's cautious third-quarter guidance has prompted a reassessment of its growth prospects, leading to a significant drop in share value. While analysts remain optimistic about Pinterest's long-term potential, the immediate future appears uncertain as the company navigates a complex advertising landscape and strives to maintain its growth momentum.
PINS Price Action
At the time of publication, Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) shares were down 13.5% to $32.30. The digital advertising market's rebound remains uneven, with pockets of weakness impacting growth across the sector.
In conclusion, Pinterest’s solid Q2 performance and the subsequent market reaction highlight the delicate balance between meeting investor expectations and navigating sector-specific challenges. As the company continues to adapt to evolving market dynamics, its ability to sustain growth and capitalize on emerging opportunities will be closely watched by investors and analysts alike.
$PINS - WatchingNYSE:PINS Pinterest sold off hard on weak guidance after hours. It could be a good bounce play if we can get an entry at $28 or below. 👀
Pinterest purchases beginningBuy low, sell high.
Love the monthly gap. Love the support. LOVE the company. I really enjoy the volatility. There are a LOT of awful looking charts out there, but for now, expecting some solid moves lower (but I will buy those lower moves with shares)
PINS ContinuationPINS continuation setup. Had a bullish earnings gap awhile back and is recently retesting trend. We also received a blue continuation signal.
Pinterest / PINS - Idea I.hey Guys,
- Yearly Chart is bullish, Double Bottom and Engulfing Candle.
->Targets … 41 … 45 … 49.
Quarterly: Bullish Candle breakout above the Highs of Q1.
-> But it is retesting a major supply line and a yearly FIB. - creating a Grey Zone which divides the Stock into a bearish zone below and bullish zone above.
Monthly: Bullish candle - Stochastic Bullish but OB.
-> caution as we could see some Profit taking / reloading at lower prices.
3D: Signs of a possible reversal: Ascending Triangle, Fifth Wave, Diagonal Moving Stock (Distortion?)
Breakout to the upside would be extremely bullish…
Lower prices could be seen as a great buying opportunity.
targets Bears: 41 38
Targets Bulls: 45 49
Please let me know if you would like me to analyse an Instrument for you.
Thanks for reading
The stock price is still doing well.% Google translation. Please understand.
Analysis was somewhat delayed.
The most ideal buying point was $43.12, the handle of the cup.
PINS broke out with a trading volume that was more than 70% higher than the average at the time.
But that doesn’t mean there aren’t still buying opportunities.
If the stock breaks $45.01 this week with higher than average volume, buy.
The ideal buy point is $45.11.
June, Week 1 - Published ideas recapIn this post I would like to recap my ideas published here last week and report on how they worked out.
On the chart I marked with a yellow line the bar on which the idea was published, and above I added a small note about the status of the idea.
1. CARG - the stock broke the base, mentioned levels were valid.
2. HQY - the idea is still valid, with a key level 86.
3. BBIO - the stock did not show any strength above the key level, so this idea is no longer interesting at the moment.
4. UAL - the right shoulder was not broken, the idea is still valid.
5. FOUR - the flag has been successfully broken, the first target has been reached, the trend may continue.
6. PINS - the pattern was successfully broken, the stock shows strength.
Next week I'll post more ideas as well as keep an eye on those that still haven't activated.
Happy Weekend!
PINS - this social media company making a comeback LONGPINS on the weekly chart hit the ATH during the COVID era and then faded in a one-year trend
down until summer 2022. It has now reversed and is slowly trending up. The Price Volume Trend
indicator shows the reversal as starting July 29, 2022 with a correction in May 2023. I see this
as a safe swing trade targeting 50 and 65 as drawn by black horizontals. They are the levels of
a neckline of the H & S at the ATH and a small pivot in October 2021. These are roughly 20% and
50% profit at those two take profit levels.
Pinterest (PINS)Fundamentals:
This company is growing and almost matches my criteria. One thing that I observed was the accelerating sales. Its demographic of customers seems to be between ages 21 and 40ish; however, this can extend to any age in the future.
Technicals:
Weekly:
stage 3 ichimoku with uHd and HHHL.
Daily:
First pb of new trend
stage 3 ichimoku of a shallow crown pb on to horizontal support
shallow pb signal with deeper pb bounce signal
uHd
Breakout to new all-time 52 week highs
PINS - pin this short ideaI might be little early but pin this short idea.
Short anywhere now
Target#1 = 38
Target#2 = 35
PINS Pinterest Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold PINS before the previous earnings:
nor entered in the Buy area:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PINS Pinterest prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 35usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$PINS - Red to green move. NYSE:PINS hit $31 area that I was expecting and the stock did a huge red to green move. April 25 ER will decide a breakout or a breakdown. I am leaning bullish.
Targets:
$36
$40
Risk:
$25
ArrowMark Partners is betting on Pinterest: Trading idea 4/04/24ArrowMark Partners' optimism about Pinterest Inc. (PINS) is grounded in the company's solid performance throughout 2023, highlighting the significant growth in monthly active users and revenue. With an 11% year-over-year increase, bringing the monthly active users to a record 498 million in Q4 and annual revenue rising to 3.1 billion USD from 2.8 billion USD in 2022, Pinterest demonstrates a robust growth trajectory. This performance is further bolstered by an increase in average revenue per user (ARPU), a critical metric for platforms reliant on advertising revenue.
Pinterest's strategic expansion of its advertising products, more than doubling the options available to marketers, alongside partnerships aimed at enriching its advertising offerings, positions the company well for continued revenue growth. These strategic moves underscore Pinterest's appeal to both users and advertisers, leveraging its unique platform to capture a larger digital advertising market share.
Technical analysis of Pinterest Inc. stock (PINS)
D1 timeframe analysis: the daily chart reveals a 33.88 USD support level and a resistance level at 35.54 USD, within which Pinterest's stock has been trading. A notable "descending wedge" pattern is identified, traditionally considered a bullish reversal signal. This pattern suggests that, following a downward trend, the stock is poised for an uptrend, making it a focal point for investors anticipating a change in market sentiment.
H1 timeframe analysis: in the hourly chart, a potential opportunity arises for long positions once the resistance at 35.54 USD is breached, setting a short-term target at 41.23 USD. Based on current trends and technical indicators, holding a long position with an aim towards 49.32 USD could be advantageous for medium-term investment strategies.
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Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
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