RBLX - Why am I not shorting this when everything is dumping?The algorithms built into this chart tell me everything I need to know. Bullish trajectory, bullish movement - and if you remember my RBLX videos from 1 year ago+, this is a great company and all that liquidity that was built in the $20's/$30's/$40's was not for nothing!
This chart, in my opinion, is poised for a continuous breakout once we grab further liquidity from these demand zones, fill the necessary gaps, and proceed to build bullish liquidity.
Outside of the all-important algorithms, obviously we need to be investing in companies with strong fundamentals - and this, to me, is one of them.
To reiterate, I am looking for an entry here in the low $40's at our daily gap fill and strong HTF demand zone.
Happy Trading :)
RBLX trade ideas
Long Trade Setup Breakdown for Roblox Corporation (RBLX)30-Min📊
🔹 Asset: Roblox Corporation (RBLX)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Descending Triangle Breakout
🚀 Trade Plan (Long Position):
✅ Entry Zone: $66.78 (Breakout Confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $63.67 (Below Support)
🎯 Take Profit Targets (Long Trade):
📌 TP1: $70.10 (First Resistance)
📌 TP2: $74.48 (Extended Bullish Target)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation:
📈 Risk (Stop-Loss Distance):
$66.78 - $63.67 = $3.11
📈 Reward to TP1:
$70.10 - $66.78 = $3.32
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP1: 1:1.07
📈 Reward to TP2:
$74.48 - $66.78 = $7.70
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP2: 1:2.47
🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy:
📌 Breakout Confirmation: Strong buying momentum above $66.78 signals continuation.
📌 Pattern Formation: Descending Triangle Breakout, indicating a bullish trend shift.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
🟢 $63.67 (Strong Support / SL Level)
🟡 $66.78 (Breakout Zone / Entry)
🔴 $70.10 (First Profit Target / Resistance)
🟢 $74.48 (Final Target for Momentum Extension)
🚀 Momentum Shift Expected:
If price stays above $66.78, it could push towards $70.10 and $74.48.
A higher volume breakout would confirm strength in the trend.
🔥 Trade Execution & Risk Management:
📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure buying volume remains strong after breakout.
📈 Trailing Stop Strategy: If price reaches TP1 ($70.10), move SL to entry ($66.78) to lock in profits.
💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy:
✔ Take 50% profits at $70.10, let the rest run to $74.48.
✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($66.78) after TP1 is hit.
⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk:
If price drops below $66.78, be cautious and watch for a retest before re-entering.
🚀 Final Thoughts:
✔ Bullish Setup – If price holds above $66.78, higher targets are expected.
✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation.
✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.07 to TP1, 1:2.47 to TP2.
💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀🏆
🔗 #StockTrading #RBLX #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #ProfittoPath
Short Trade Setup Breakdown for Roblox Corporation (RBLX) - 30!📊
🔹 Asset: Roblox Corporation (RBLX)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown (Bearish)
🚀 Trade Plan (Short Position):
✅ Entry Zone: $65.14 - $65.00 (Breakdown Confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $66.92 (Above Resistance)
🎯 Take Profit Targets (Short Trade):
📌 TP1: $62.94 (First Support)
📌 TP2: $60.33 (Extended Bearish Target)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation:
📉 Risk (Stop-Loss Distance):
$65.14 - $66.92 = $1.78
📈 Reward to TP1:
$65.14 - $62.94 = $2.20
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP1: 1:1.2
📈 Reward to TP2:
$65.14 - $60.33 = $4.81
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio to TP2: 1:2.7
🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy:
📌 Breakdown Confirmation: Wait for strong selling volume below $65.00 for a confirmed short entry.
📌 Pattern Formation: Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown, signaling a bearish continuation.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
🔴 $66.92 (Resistance / SL Level)
🔴 $65.14 - $65.00 (Breakdown Zone)
🟢 $62.94 (First Profit Target / Support)
🟢 $60.33 (Final Target for Momentum Extension)
🚀 Momentum Shift Expected:
If price fails to reclaim $65.00 and continues lower, we could see a drop towards $62.94 and further to $60.33.
🔥 Trade Execution & Risk Management:
📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure selling volume increases below $65.00 before entering.
📈 Trailing Stop Strategy: If price reaches TP1 ($62.94), move SL to $65.00 to protect profits.
💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy:
✔ Take 50% at $62.94, let the rest run to $60.33.
✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($65.00) after TP1 is hit.
⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk:
If price reclaims $65.14 and moves back inside the triangle, be cautious and avoid entering early.
🚀 Final Thoughts:
✔ Bearish Setup – If price sustains below $65.00, further downside is expected.
✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume increase to confirm the trend.
✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.2 to TP1, 1:2.7 to TP2.
💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀🏆
🔗 #StockTrading #RBLX #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #DayTrading #ProfittoPath
RBLX LongRoblox (RBLX) while unprofitable has led to negative P/E ratios + -700% ROE, -ROA, - ROIC with low quick and efficiency ratios. DE ratio also indicates RBLX is heavily leveraged which could lead to damaging long-term health. However, recently PB and PS indicated high growth potential from an investor viewpoint and investor bullishness. DE dropped drastically from 2023 to 2024 indicating a shift of long-term to short-term debt. This indicates that RBLX is shifting from a long-term viewpoint into shorter-term viewpoint which could be indication of a strategic shift. For RBLX, this would mean a takeover of other game companies and further solidify market dominance with increasing and developing userbase (younger), subscription model, and simulated ecosystem. Possible retracement from market sentiment and debt obligations, but then bullish continuance.
Gap and Possible Reversal for Roblox. RBLXIn many ways a similar picture to Google today. End of trend is unconfirmed, but the gap and "change in tone" of candle is suggestive. If this is not the end of the road then we might be looking at the beginning of a Wave 4 or Sub-Wave 4 on some level. There is technical indicator evidence of a reversal, also.
2/3/25 - $rblx - Not worth >$702/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:RBLX
Not worth >$70
- it's just not growing like it used to
- paying 9x for software will eventually be considered "expensive" in this tape, we seem to be nearing that moment by each passing Monday
- not a big short for me, it's a hedge w/ their EPS print this week
- it's a name i'd feel comfortable fading with 2-3x the size if the stock pops and it's a name where i'd keep the short exposure on such that it sinks
- getting 2% fcf yields for a consumer-growth-exposed name where the stock seems to be showing diff trends than the underlying... seems like a good funding short for the moment
- i should put "fcf" in quotes though, given the immense, almost egregious amount of stock based comp coming out of this thing
- may the right hands win
V
$RBLX Roblox Corp Trendline Break Stock had been forming a Broadening wedge for the last week which finally broke yesterday and in doing so, the stock also breached the rising Wedge Trendline.
Bulls need to break 2 Key Levels =
- IPO high $69.50
- Psych $70.00
Key Pullback LOI $67.47 = Major 0382 Fib
RBLX bullishRoblox looks extremely bullish right now. I bought on the breakout of the large consolidation and price has been riding the upper monthly bollinger bands. You see the expansion just starting on the lower bollinger band? Oh my, that is beautiful. The last 4 quarters of free cash flow margin have been very impressive (Q4 23' 10.4% / Q1 24' 24% / Q2 24' 12.5%/ Q3 24' 23.7%), Q4 should be another great print. The three levels i'm looking for would be:
Fib .618 - $95
Fib .786 - $115
Fib 1.618 - $215
Many seem to be viewing this name as a short term trade, but i see much more long term potential here.
Roblox Stock Prediction: Will It Surpass $90 by Late 2025?Roblox’s stock price could surpass $90 by late 2025 due to several key factors highlighted in their recent performance and strategic direction.
First, Roblox is experiencing exceptional growth in its user base and engagement. In Q3 2024, the platform reached 88.9 million daily active users, up 27% year-over-year, with significant growth in key markets like Japan and India. Engagement hours also hit a record 20.7 billion, reflecting the platform's ability to keep users highly active. This level of engagement not only strengthens the brand but also drives monetization opportunities.
Second, the company’s financial performance is robust. Revenue grew by 29% year-over-year in Q3, reaching $919 million, while bookings increased by an impressive 34%. Free cash flow surged 266% compared to the previous year, showcasing strong operational efficiency and the ability to reinvest in growth.
Third, Roblox is expanding its revenue streams through innovative strategies. The introduction of dynamic pricing, improved search and discovery algorithms, and partnerships with brands like Shopify and the NFL are diversifying its income sources. These efforts, combined with its entry into new genres like sports, shooters, and RPGs, position Roblox to capture a larger share of the $180 billion global gaming market.
Additionally, the company’s heavy investment in AI-driven tools for safety, content creation, and personalization enhances its platform’s appeal to both users and developers. By continuously improving its ecosystem, Roblox is building a foundation for sustained growth.
Finally, the broader gaming market remains a growth industry, and Roblox’s goal of capturing 10% of the global gaming market aligns with this trend. As the company scales its offerings and maintains its momentum, it has the potential to attract more investors, further boosting its stock price.
Given these factors, surpassing $90 by late 2025 seems achievable, provided Roblox continues to execute its strategies effectively and navigate challenges in safety and competition.
One Good Trade: RBLX... AGAIN!I am still in the first 1 good trade call for RBLX which was just last week but, I thought this would be a great learning experience to revisit. RBLX is showing similar patterns to the ones that I have been covering the last week or so. That is:
* Complex pullback
* Breakout
* Retest of breakout point with possible support
I covered this same patterns in a couple articles, videos and ideas last week. I hope it is starting to make sense.
One Good Trade: RBLX Breaking Out Of A PullbackThis isn't the greatest trade in the world but, it gives me so bullish exposure when there is a ton of bearish signals throughout the market. The explosion of bullish bars in this scenario give me a short of yellow flag where this is a long setup with caution. I will be sure to move my risk up in an expediated manner.
Roblox | Where Kids Thrive, Stocks Pump and Gamers High FiveRoblox Economics: Teaching 13 Year Olds How to Out Monetize Wall Street
RBLX surges 50% since our first signal so let’s explore its potential upside
From PlayStation to Paychecks: How Roblox Gamified the Economy
From hosting virtual concerts with millions of participants to offering user generated games rivaling major studios, Roblox has evolved into a cultural phenomenon nearly 20 years after its PC debut. It is reshaping the social gaming and entertainment landscape.
CEO Baszucki Says Roblox Saves Lives; Haters Say It Destroys Wallets!
Founder CEO David Baszucki shared:
“Our mission is to connect 1 billion people with optimism and civility. This resonates deeply with me, as several parents have told me their children’s lives were saved through connections made on Roblox”
Roblox was already a standout in last year’s Future 50 ranking for its unique value. Currently, over 3 million creators develop games and experiences using Roblox Studio, its proprietary development tool. The platform’s economy thrives on its in-game currency, Robux, rewarding creators based on user spending. For instance, Uplift Games, a Roblox-exclusive studio, supports a 60 person team.
Two core growth drivers
-Content loop:High quality content attracts users, who then inspire the creation of even more content.
- Social loop:Increased participation enhances the platform's appeal to new users.
Exploring Roblox’s Expanding Universe
-User Generated Content (UGC):Like YouTube, Roblox empowers creators of all skill levels to share their visions.
- A Growing Metaverse:Beyond gaming, it hosts virtual events and educational activities, positioning itself as a hub for social interaction.
-Broadening Demographics: Once dominated by young users, Roblox now attracts older audiences. In Q3 2024, users aged 13+ made up 60% of its user base, up from 57% the previous year.
Roblox by the Numbers
-Daily Active Users (DAUs):89 million, up 27% YoY, with strong growth in APAC (+37%) and a 59% rise in Japan.
-User Engagement:20.7 billion hours logged, growing 29% YoY.
-Q3 Bookings:$1.1 billion (+34% YoY), reflecting robust user spending.
-Regional Bookings:North America (62%) and Europe (19%) dominate.
The October 2023 PlayStation launch doubled Roblox’s console presence, boosting both users and bookings. To attract console studios, Roblox announced a 70% revenue share for items priced $49.99 or higher, aiming to encourage premium content.
Challenges and Opportunities
-Short Seller Allegations: In October, Hindenburg Research accused Roblox of inflating metrics and neglecting child safety, highlighting its ongoing unprofitability. Despite initial concerns, the claims lacked substantial evidence.
-Profitability Issues: Operating margins remain negative (-30%), with high infrastructure, safety, and AI costs. Expense management is critical for turning a profit.
- Advertising Growth: Partnerships with DoubleVerify and Shopify pave the way for in-platform ads and merchandise. With users averaging over two hours daily, this represents untapped potential.
-Virtual Economy Improvements: Enhanced discovery features increased payers by 30% to 19 million, with a 6% rise in bookings per DAU.
- Cash Flow Strength: Free cash flow hit a record $218 million (+266% YoY), driven by efficient cost management.
- Stock-Based Compensation (SBC): SBC equals 29% of revenue, diluting shares (~3% annually). While common in tech, this high level raises concerns for long-term investors.
Future Outlook
Roblox raised its FY bookings guidance to $4.36 billion (+24% YoY). Achieving sustainable growth while tackling profitability challenges, content moderation, and investor dilution will determine its long-term success. The company’s ability to navigate these issues will shape its legacy in gaming and beyond.