Covered Strangle for Dividend Capture Enhancement (75% prob)Bought 100 RCL for 118.25
Ex-Dividend is tomorrow and dividend is .70, so If I have the stock by tomorrow I will receive the dividend.
To enhance the trade I also Sold the 115/119 Strangle for an additional $1.1 with 3 days to expiration (That's how long I will be in this trade)
Max win would be $185 for the covered strangle plus $70 for the dividend = $255
My break even counting the dividend is 116.45
So I have 1.5% protection to the downside.
This gives us about 75% probability to make money
RCL trade ideas
RLC-Royal Caribean UpdateIll post the chart to this one. Currently the older chart is attached. But for all intents and purposes, the old one will still work fine. I haven't added or moved any lines.
TL;DW I believe in the lines. I do not believe the price will tank without showing signs ahead of time.
The Sea (Siren) is calling. RCL Royal CaribbeanSo i looked at this because of a family friend that has been holding it. I must say that i have not looked at the fundamentals of RCL and almost do not care, as the ta seems to reflect what is going on before it even happens.
My initial TA was done around May 8th and so far it is moving as expected. I am by no means, saying that news is not important, but it says something when ta alone is enough to tell the movement.
So starting off of that, we see that the 113.00 price point was not even achieved for a movement up and we were shot down around the 109.00 mark.
If TA continues to hold true, I expect RCL to drop to test and fail at 103.00 and drop between 97.70 and 94.64 to find support before a movement back up.
Based on the fib of this last trend (~65.78-134.54) we find the .5 retracal at 100.66
I think it is possible to bounce off of 100.66 and move up slightly, but i ultimately believe we are moving downwards between the yellow downwards trend line and the green support lines. If we assume the 200 ma will find us support, we can also assume that the 200 ma should be around the 94-97 dollar price range, which will add another indicator to convince people to buy in.
Unless something catastrophic happens, I cannot believe the possibility of the price dropping and staying under 83.00
There are simply too many support areas from 3 separate fibs.
I am interested to see how this forms when it hits the coming support levels and I will update my opinion as RCL progresses.
+ten Internets if you got the reference in the title.
RCL Confluence at 120Really good looking spot of Support here. Whole Number, 200SMA and a Trendline. Will have to see where it will open at.
Bottom trendline came into play 2015.
Has had a very strong down move with volume the past week hopefully the market can help pull it back up.
Sets up a very nice RR for a bounce back to the top trendline to see if the triangle will continue.
-Risk 119.20
-Entry low 120s
-1st PT 123.50, the dotted trendline was part of a previous longer term trendline that was also about yesterdays high
-2nd PT 126.50 RCL can make a 6 point move and make it to the 9ema50sma
-3rd PT 129 in the next few days if market isnt tanking
RCL strong resistance at $79 with target at support of $73RCL has pushed into its upper bollinger band and a strong resistance zone on relatively low volume.
Price support remains much lower and we expect RCL will consolidate within this range until earnings are released.
The MACD is also showing a lack of conviction from the bulls as it remains entwined with the signal line. This may be interpreted as a lack of upward momentum and adds to the bear case.
DYOR
RCL bull flag breaks above $80I last analysed RCL a few weeks ago on the gap up following a cup and handle formation. At the time I recommended a near-term buy (which would've realised a small profit) but to hold off for a longer-term trade.
Since then price has made a new high, pulled back slightly and then yesterday's bar broke out confirming a bullish flag (plus breaking the $80 mark on higher volume). The trend is now reasonably well established and I will look to enter this stock at the next possible opportunity.