Obviously bullish move. 15% over 3 months. Time for options? Using Elliott Wave (very basic analysis), we're likely in wave B of the correction, with a final punch up to the 0.236 fib which correlates perfectly with our current break out of the broadening wedge. Price target of $51 by mid Feb 2020, which correlates with the 1/3 timeframe of the broadening wedge.
Although, even if we believe and are confident the price will get there, how do we make money on it?
CLASSIC MOVE: PURCHASE SHARES OUTRIGHT
Assuming a $3000 position, our PT is 15% away at $51 (or $6.50 up). We'd make around $450, and tie up $3k for 3 months. Our entry would be at around $44.50, with our stoploss at $41.98. R/R of 2.6 to 1. Our total risk here is $170 for a potential gain of $450.
NEW MOVE: CALL OPTIONS
I looked at options (March 20, 2020 calls), and $44-$48 calls are priced at $3.10 to $1.30, with the best value call of $47 at $1.30. That means if we hit the PT of $51 by March and are ITM, plus the premium, puts our breakeven at $48.30, which means we're only up $2.70 per contact at a R/R of essentially 2:1 aka ($2.70 gain to $1.30cost). Total risk of $130 to make $270. Overall, it's not really worth it to me.
Let me know what you think!