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SE fully valued, and at resistance. Not short, but getting readySea, Inc. ( NYSE:SE ) has been a nice turnaround story so far this year. The company operates in three segments, which I'd summarize as follows: Shopee (73% or revenue, 25%-30% annual revenue growth) is a fast-growing ecommerce platform in SE Asia. In Q2, its EBITDA margin was just below zero, which represents three consecutive quarters of improvement, but still worse than the year-ago margin of 7%. SeaMoney (14% or revenue, 20%+ annual revenue growth) is a digital payments and online lending platform, which obviously leverages the Shopee platform to expand its user base. This segment is highly profitable, with about a 32% EBITDA margin. Garena (13% or revenue, -17% annual revenue decline) is an online gaming platform and video game developer. This segment is also highly profitable with a most recent quarter EBITDA margin of almost 70%. The way I see it, there are three problems, two of which have gotten better, but one of which has gotten worse: The Shopee platform is the biggest and fastest growing segment, but it's also the least profitable. This has been the major millstone around the stock's neck for the last two years, The company believes that it is now on the cusp of turning a profit on the segment. But it seems uncertain, whether this business will ever really be able to earn its cost of capital. The Garena platform had lost its growth mojo. This seems to be turning a corner, now. Active users grew for the most recent 2 quarters, and bookings rose for four consecutive quarters. Revenue in Q2, however, was still down, both sequentially and over the past year. This stock has already more than doubled this year, and it's now quite expensive. SE trades at roughly 19-20x expected 2025 EV/EBITDA. For comparison: AMZN is at 13x, EBAY is at 10x, ETSY at 9x. Only its Asian competitor CPNG (23x) and South American MELI (24x) are more expensive. I believe that SE might be a compelling long-term opportunity, but for the next 2 to 4 weeks it looks like it's running on fumes. The stock has just broken through its 2023 high and is at a 2-year high. It's also just reached its VWAP since IPO for the first time since April 2022. I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of supply would come into play, right here at 90-91. If resistance doesn't materialize, I would contemplate a short position in the upper 90s.
NYSE:SEShort
by matthias
2
Sea Limited (SE) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sea Limited, a global consumer internet company, operates across three core businesses: e-commerce (Shopee), digital entertainment (Garena), and financial services (SeaMoney). The company has returned to growth investments to capitalize on its diverse business segments. Key Catalysts: E-commerce Momentum: Shopee's gross merchandise volume (GMV) forecast has been revised upward to reflect mid-20% growth, indicating strong momentum in its e-commerce segment. This renewed growth suggests that Sea's strategic investments are yielding positive results, particularly in expanding its reach across Southeast Asia and Latin America. Gaming Recovery: Garena's flagship game, Free Fire, has seen a 19% year-over-year rebound in daily active users. This recovery signals a resurgence in the gaming division, which has long been a key revenue driver for Sea. Additionally, a potential relaunch of Free Fire in India could provide a significant boost, given the large gaming audience in the country. Revenue Growth Outlook: Sea Limited is forecasting double-digit revenue growth for 2024, driven by Shopee's expansion, Garena's gaming resurgence, and the ongoing scaling of SeaMoney. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:SE if it holds above the $67.00-$68.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Sea Limited is set at $130.00-$135.00, driven by continued e-commerce growth, gaming recovery, and potential entry into new markets. 🌊 Sea Limited—e-commerce growth and gaming rebound fuel bullish outlook! #SE #Ecommerce #Gaming 🚀📈
NYSE:SELong
by Richtv_official
Sea Limited (SE) Shows Strong Rebound Stock Surges 7.61%Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ), the Singapore-based internet services company, is making waves in the stock market as it rebounds bullishly, nearing a potential buy point. After a challenging 2023, Sea's recent surge, fueled by positive analyst sentiments and promising market developments, signals a potential turnaround for the tech giant. Let's delve into the factors driving Sea's resurgence and its outlook for growth in Southeast Asia. Positive Momentum: On the stock market today, Sea stock surged nearly 8% to 56.66. This robust performance follows a year where Sea shares ( NYSE:SE ) gained nearly 40%, reclaiming investor confidence after a turbulent period. The company's resilience amidst market challenges underscores its strong fundamentals and strategic positioning in the rapidly evolving digital landscape. Analyst Insights: JPMorgan analysts have been vocal about Sea's prospects, maintaining an optimistic outlook and upgrading their rating to overweight. Their recent note highlighted the potential synergy between Sea's e-commerce platform, Shopee, and TikTok Shop's efforts to improve take rates in Indonesia. With Indonesia being a key market for both platforms, Sea stands to leverage this partnership to drive growth and enhance its competitive edge. Strategic Shift and Earnings Beat: Sea's strategic pivot towards bolstering investment in its Shopee e-commerce business reflects a proactive approach to counter emerging competitors like TikTok Shop and Temu in the Southeast Asia market. Despite initial investor skepticism, Sea's Q4 earnings report showcased impressive results, fueling investor optimism and pushing Sea stock to a six-month high at 63.25 on March 14. Diverse Business Portfolio: Sea's diverse portfolio of digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital payments and financial services positions it as a formidable player in Southeast Asia's digital economy. Shopee, Sea's flagship e-commerce platform, dominates the Southeast Asian and Taiwanese markets, supported by subsidiary ventures such as SeaMoney and Garena. Outlook and Growth Potential: Looking ahead, Sea remains poised for growth, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 56.97 accentuating the bullish thesis. The company's focus on innovation, coupled with strategic partnerships and market insights, will drive sustained growth in key markets like Indonesia. Moreover, Sea's ability to adapt to evolving consumer trends and capitalize on emerging opportunities bodes well for its long-term prospects.
NYSE:SELong
by DEXWireNews
SE Short: Price divergencesI haven't been using EW to do SE analysis for a while now after I have called the peak and continued call for it's drop when it's going down. The truth is, I can't be bother to try to continue doing EW on this after it has fallen so far. If anything, I will look for long opportunities now for SE. Unfortunately, there is no clear sign that this stock will continue to move up. My last analysis on this stock was wrong because I didn't do EW on it. This time it is the same, not an EW analysis. But I am pretty confident that this time it can't stay up because divergences are quite reliable.
NYSE:SEShort
by yuchaosng
SE bullish gapI am interested in this big, yawning gap seen on the chart. This morning the stock generated very high interest (highest volume day YTD). But there was resistance from the Fib level, from the 200-day SMA, and from the prior high to overcome, and ultimately the stock failed to close above the Oct 17, 2023 high. Still, on an overall flat-to-down day the stock advanced by 2%+. I think some support came from the earnings release by CPNG, which is a comparable stock, also operating in East Asia. I own shares in both names, as I believe there can be multiple winners in the region. I like CPNG for its better margins, and SE for its better geographic diversification and the strong demographic growth in its retail foorprint. BABA is another name to consider and definitely the value leader, but China holds extraordinary political risks, especially for Western investors. From a fundamental side, I think SE is a show-me stock. Times have changed, and I don't think that notoriously unprofitable companies will be able to sustain high valuations. So, in the coming earnings report I will need to see SE continue to profitably grow their digital finance business (sea money), while stabilizing revenue *and* EBITDA in online entertainment (Garena). And I want to see margins improve in e-commerce (Shopee). If the earnings report confirms my optimism, I will continue to build my (currently half-size) position on whatever pullbacks present themselves. Otherwise, I might sell and jump ship to BABA.
NYSE:SELong
by matthias
5
Sea Limited's Resilience in E-commerce: A Look at Q4 PerformanceSea Limited (NYSE: NYSE:SE ), Southeast Asia's internet giant, has once again demonstrated its resilience in the face of evolving market dynamics. Despite challenges posed by intensified competition and shifting consumer preferences, Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) recent quarterly earnings report unveils a promising outlook for its e-commerce and gaming segments. E-commerce Strength Amidst Challenges: Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) fourth-quarter earnings reveal a smaller-than-expected decline in adjusted EBITDA, signaling robustness in its e-commerce operations. Despite a 74% year-on-year drop attributed to marketing spending, Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ) exceeded analysts' earnings projections, bolstering investor confidence. Notably, the online retail arm Shopee continues to attract buyers, with e-commerce revenue surging by 23%, underscoring its enduring popularity in the region's burgeoning digital market. Navigating Competitive Pressures: The intensifying competition, particularly from formidable rivals like TikTok and Alibaba, poses challenges to Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) market dominance. However, Sea's proactive strategies, including investments in its live-streaming arm and aggressive cost-cutting measures, reflect its commitment to fortifying its position in the face of stiff competition. Chief Financial Officer Tony Hou's assertion of gaining market share amidst intense competition underscores Sea Limited's resilience and strategic agility in navigating challenging market dynamics. Gaming Division Dynamics: Sea Limited's gaming arm, Garena, continues to capitalize on sustained demand for its flagship title Free Fire. With over 100 million peak daily active users, Free Fire remains a formidable force in the gaming landscape. While fourth-quarter revenue witnessed a decline of 46.2%, Sea Limited anticipates double-digit growth in users and bookings for Free Fire in the coming year. Despite challenges in launching new blockbuster hits, Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ) remains optimistic about the growth prospects of its gaming division. Strategic Investments and Future Outlook: Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) CEO Forrest Li's commitment to ramping up investments in Shopee underscores the company's proactive stance in defending its market share. As Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ) seeks to balance growth objectives with profitability, investors closely monitor its strategic initiatives and financial performance. The re-acceleration of investments in Southeast Asian e-commerce, while essential for sustaining market leadership, may exert pressure on profit margins in the short term. However, Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) relentless pursuit of innovation and market expansion positions it favorably for long-term growth and resilience in the dynamic Southeast Asian tech landscape. Conclusion: Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) robust performance in the fourth quarter underscores its resilience and adaptability in navigating challenges and capitalizing on emerging opportunities. With a steadfast focus on strengthening its e-commerce and gaming segments, Sea Limited remains well-positioned to maintain its leadership in Southeast Asia's burgeoning digital economy.
NYSE:SELong
by DEXWireNews
Navigating the Digital Wave: Sea Limited's Voyage to SuccessSo You wanna know if you should dip your little toe into the water with Sea Limited, Well consider this: The company has it's earnings call on March 4th where Analysts predict lowered than desirable results for the company. Estimates report a quarterly loss at 27 cents per share, versus year-ago earnings of 72 cents per share. Sea is projected to post revenue of $3.55 billion for the latest quarter, compared to $3.45 billion in the year-earlier quarter, according to data from Benzinga Pro. This may cause the stock to plummet to it's sweet and savory buy target range of 36.91-41.00 a share the stock currently sits at a comfortable $51.05 a share Summary of Key Points about Sea Limited: NYSE:SE 1. **History and Development**: Sea Limited was incorporated in 2009 as Garena Interactive Holding Limited and changed its name to Sea Limited in 2017. It operates through subsidiaries and affiliated entities. 2. **Business Segments**: Sea operates three key businesses: - **Shopee**: Largest e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, with a growing presence in Brazil. - **Garena**: Global game developer and publisher, focusing on mobile and PC online games. - **SeaMoney**: Digital financial services provider in Southeast Asia, offering mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, insurtech, and digital banking. 3. **Financial Performance**: Sea has experienced significant revenue growth, with total revenue increasing from US$4.4 billion in 2020 to US$12.4 billion in 2022. However, it has incurred net losses due to investments in expanding its businesses. 4. **Business Strategies**: - Shopee focuses on a mobile-centric, social-focused marketplace model, providing users with a convenient, safe, and trusted shopping environment. - Garena offers popular and engaging mobile and PC online games, including Free Fire, which is available in more than 130 markets globally. - SeaMoney provides a wide range of digital financial services, integrated with Shopee and serving both consumers and small businesses. 5. **Monetization**: Sea monetizes its businesses through various means, including offering paid advertising services, charging transaction-based fees, selling directly to buyers, and providing value-added services such as logistics and financial services. 6. **Market Leadership**: Sea has achieved market leadership in its key segments, supported by its strong user base, deep local market knowledge, and continuous innovation in product offerings and user experience. Concerns for Investors: - Despite strong revenue growth, Sea has incurred net losses due to heavy investments in expanding its businesses, which could impact its profitability in the short to medium term. - The company operates in highly competitive markets, facing competition from established players as well as new entrants. - Regulatory challenges in the markets where Sea operates, especially in the financial services sector, could pose risks to its operations and growth prospects. Overall, while Sea Limited presents significant growth opportunities in the rapidly evolving Southeast Asian digital economy, investors should carefully assess the company's financial performance, competitive position, and regulatory environment before making investment decisions.
NYSE:SELong
by OnePunchSolutions
$SE Long IdeaI've noticed that NYSE:SE has recently broken the $40 level, which could potentially lead to an explosive move to fill the gap at $44. There's a falling wedge on the daily chart, and if NYSE:SE can get over the supply/downtrend, the stock could see significant upside. The flow of investments also looks promising, with recent $40c purchases for both 2/9 and 2/16 expirations. In short, NYSE:SE is showing some bullish signs, and if it can maintain this momentum, there's room for it to reach the $45 level and beyond.
NYSE:SELong
by itsCblast
1
Sea May Be SinkingSea was a high-flying growth stock between 2019 and 2021. But it’s been dropping since, and some traders may expect another leg to the downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower monthly highs since May. Those may suggest that a longer-term downtrend is resuming. Second, prices have slipped back under the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages. That may also confirm bearishness over the longer term. Third, the digital-media company has gapped lower following its last three earnings reports. Are fundamentals deteriorating? Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is under its 21-day EMA. That may suggest the shorter-term trend has become bearish again. Finally, the weekly chart below shows the March 2020 low around $35.61. Prices have managed to hold support since August, but now may be at risk of breaking down. Multiple closes below this level could bring sellers back to the market. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures or cryptocurrencies); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association (“NFA”), and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services under federal and state money services business/money-transmitter and similar registrations and licenses. TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:SE
by TradeStation