SE trade ideas
SE clear breakoutSE with a very clean breakout. I'm buying here and adding on any dips. Will reduce position by 1/3rd on rest of upper resistance around $200. This one could have legs!
SEA limited broke trend line and long term resistanceSea limited broke the biggest resistance since the stock's inception, as well as the year long trend line, the stock chart looks incredibly bullish. The stock does not have a strong resistance till $ 200, hence a strong earning would really accelerate the price action like back to the 2021 days.
SE Testing its 10 Week MANYSE:SE gently pulling back to test is 10 week moving average line for the first time since its powerful base breakout in August.
Flip to weekly chart and you will see the similarities to recent weekly post I made about NYSE:SHOP
Earnings 4 days out complicates the setup.
Sea Limited Cedear each 32 REP 1 ADRKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
# Sea Limited Cedear each 32 REP 1 ADR
- Rising Wedge & Falling Wedge
* Retracement
* Angle 1 & 2
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Elliot wave analysisI made elliot wave analysis for this stock. My final profit target is from 180 to 220 USD. To be honest, both levels make sense on a weekly chart. They both acted like a support/resistance in a past. Probably the 220 level looks better.
DYOR.
SE fully valued, and at resistance. Not short, but getting readySea, Inc. ( NYSE:SE ) has been a nice turnaround story so far this year. The company operates in three segments, which I'd summarize as follows:
Shopee (73% or revenue, 25%-30% annual revenue growth) is a fast-growing ecommerce platform in SE Asia. In Q2, its EBITDA margin was just below zero, which represents three consecutive quarters of improvement, but still worse than the year-ago margin of 7%.
SeaMoney (14% or revenue, 20%+ annual revenue growth) is a digital payments and online lending platform, which obviously leverages the Shopee platform to expand its user base. This segment is highly profitable, with about a 32% EBITDA margin.
Garena (13% or revenue, -17% annual revenue decline) is an online gaming platform and video game developer. This segment is also highly profitable with a most recent quarter EBITDA margin of almost 70%.
The way I see it, there are three problems, two of which have gotten better, but one of which has gotten worse:
The Shopee platform is the biggest and fastest growing segment, but it's also the least profitable. This has been the major millstone around the stock's neck for the last two years, The company believes that it is now on the cusp of turning a profit on the segment. But it seems uncertain, whether this business will ever really be able to earn its cost of capital.
The Garena platform had lost its growth mojo. This seems to be turning a corner, now. Active users grew for the most recent 2 quarters, and bookings rose for four consecutive quarters. Revenue in Q2, however, was still down, both sequentially and over the past year.
This stock has already more than doubled this year, and it's now quite expensive. SE trades at roughly 19-20x expected 2025 EV/EBITDA. For comparison: AMZN is at 13x, EBAY is at 10x, ETSY at 9x. Only its Asian competitor CPNG (23x) and South American MELI (24x) are more expensive.
I believe that SE might be a compelling long-term opportunity, but for the next 2 to 4 weeks it looks like it's running on fumes. The stock has just broken through its 2023 high and is at a 2-year high. It's also just reached its VWAP since IPO for the first time since April 2022. I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of supply would come into play, right here at 90-91. If resistance doesn't materialize, I would contemplate a short position in the upper 90s.
SE bullishCrossing trendline and VWAP's from ATH. Nice action lately. Bullish above VWAP. This company went years with no earnings and lately they have record revenues and earnings are positive.
$SE breaking out of downward trend lines | 190% TPanother stock that we have zero clue what it does, but chart looks perfect.
weekly rsi broke to bull side eq. 190% TP from entry. could even run higher.
SE Short . US Stock76.50 below weak
75.50/74.50/73/70/67 can test
support break then it will be weak
Sea Limited (SE) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sea Limited, a global consumer internet company, operates across three core businesses: e-commerce (Shopee), digital entertainment (Garena), and financial services (SeaMoney). The company has returned to growth investments to capitalize on its diverse business segments.
Key Catalysts:
E-commerce Momentum: Shopee's gross merchandise volume (GMV) forecast has been revised upward to reflect mid-20% growth, indicating strong momentum in its e-commerce segment. This renewed growth suggests that Sea's strategic investments are yielding positive results, particularly in expanding its reach across Southeast Asia and Latin America.
Gaming Recovery: Garena's flagship game, Free Fire, has seen a 19% year-over-year rebound in daily active users. This recovery signals a resurgence in the gaming division, which has long been a key revenue driver for Sea. Additionally, a potential relaunch of Free Fire in India could provide a significant boost, given the large gaming audience in the country.
Revenue Growth Outlook: Sea Limited is forecasting double-digit revenue growth for 2024, driven by Shopee's expansion, Garena's gaming resurgence, and the ongoing scaling of SeaMoney.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:SE if it holds above the $67.00-$68.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Sea Limited is set at $130.00-$135.00, driven by continued e-commerce growth, gaming recovery, and potential entry into new markets.
🌊 Sea Limited—e-commerce growth and gaming rebound fuel bullish outlook! #SE #Ecommerce #Gaming 🚀📈
SE : >> Wyckoff (LPS)The High & Low price is rising , and currently the price has re-entered the accumulation range.
The SE stock also has Tencent which is a major shareholder, and technically, the chart shows it has already break out of the accumulation range. It is currently in a consolidation phase before moving higher. Therefore, there is an opportunity for the SE stock to rise further.
SE Sea Limited Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought SE before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SE Sea Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $5.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$SE Top of broadening formationNot Finacial advice
NYSE:SE Weekly chart
Reaching the top of the broadening formation will see if it goes thru the yellow line to continue or gets rejected to fill gap around $56
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Sea Limited RisingSea Limited spent months in the accumulation phase. Recently, it broke the downtrend and consolidated during the retest. Now we are waiting on breakout and a move to the upside. Giving the strength it is showing during the Mag7s fall, it’s clear this ticket is apart of of a rotation you don’t want to miss.
Sea Limited (SE) Shows Strong Rebound Stock Surges 7.61%Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ), the Singapore-based internet services company, is making waves in the stock market as it rebounds bullishly, nearing a potential buy point. After a challenging 2023, Sea's recent surge, fueled by positive analyst sentiments and promising market developments, signals a potential turnaround for the tech giant. Let's delve into the factors driving Sea's resurgence and its outlook for growth in Southeast Asia.
Positive Momentum:
On the stock market today, Sea stock surged nearly 8% to 56.66. This robust performance follows a year where Sea shares ( NYSE:SE ) gained nearly 40%, reclaiming investor confidence after a turbulent period. The company's resilience amidst market challenges underscores its strong fundamentals and strategic positioning in the rapidly evolving digital landscape.
Analyst Insights:
JPMorgan analysts have been vocal about Sea's prospects, maintaining an optimistic outlook and upgrading their rating to overweight. Their recent note highlighted the potential synergy between Sea's e-commerce platform, Shopee, and TikTok Shop's efforts to improve take rates in Indonesia. With Indonesia being a key market for both platforms, Sea stands to leverage this partnership to drive growth and enhance its competitive edge.
Strategic Shift and Earnings Beat:
Sea's strategic pivot towards bolstering investment in its Shopee e-commerce business reflects a proactive approach to counter emerging competitors like TikTok Shop and Temu in the Southeast Asia market. Despite initial investor skepticism, Sea's Q4 earnings report showcased impressive results, fueling investor optimism and pushing Sea stock to a six-month high at 63.25 on March 14.
Diverse Business Portfolio:
Sea's diverse portfolio of digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital payments and financial services positions it as a formidable player in Southeast Asia's digital economy. Shopee, Sea's flagship e-commerce platform, dominates the Southeast Asian and Taiwanese markets, supported by subsidiary ventures such as SeaMoney and Garena.
Outlook and Growth Potential:
Looking ahead, Sea remains poised for growth, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 56.97 accentuating the bullish thesis. The company's focus on innovation, coupled with strategic partnerships and market insights, will drive sustained growth in key markets like Indonesia. Moreover, Sea's ability to adapt to evolving consumer trends and capitalize on emerging opportunities bodes well for its long-term prospects.
SE Short: Price divergencesI haven't been using EW to do SE analysis for a while now after I have called the peak and continued call for it's drop when it's going down.
The truth is, I can't be bother to try to continue doing EW on this after it has fallen so far. If anything, I will look for long opportunities now for SE. Unfortunately, there is no clear sign that this stock will continue to move up.
My last analysis on this stock was wrong because I didn't do EW on it. This time it is the same, not an EW analysis. But I am pretty confident that this time it can't stay up because divergences are quite reliable.
SE 100 roll?SE above 55 is a great way to define your risk in a name thats been a clear leader..probably will keep leading. I like china in near/ short term. china not going to zero trade
SE bullish gapI am interested in this big, yawning gap seen on the chart. This morning the stock generated very high interest (highest volume day YTD). But there was resistance from the Fib level, from the 200-day SMA, and from the prior high to overcome, and ultimately the stock failed to close above the Oct 17, 2023 high. Still, on an overall flat-to-down day the stock advanced by 2%+.
I think some support came from the earnings release by CPNG, which is a comparable stock, also operating in East Asia. I own shares in both names, as I believe there can be multiple winners in the region. I like CPNG for its better margins, and SE for its better geographic diversification and the strong demographic growth in its retail foorprint. BABA is another name to consider and definitely the value leader, but China holds extraordinary political risks, especially for Western investors.
From a fundamental side, I think SE is a show-me stock. Times have changed, and I don't think that notoriously unprofitable companies will be able to sustain high valuations. So, in the coming earnings report I will need to see SE continue to profitably grow their digital finance business (sea money), while stabilizing revenue *and* EBITDA in online entertainment (Garena). And I want to see margins improve in e-commerce (Shopee).
If the earnings report confirms my optimism, I will continue to build my (currently half-size) position on whatever pullbacks present themselves. Otherwise, I might sell and jump ship to BABA.
Sea Limited's Resilience in E-commerce: A Look at Q4 PerformanceSea Limited (NYSE: NYSE:SE ), Southeast Asia's internet giant, has once again demonstrated its resilience in the face of evolving market dynamics. Despite challenges posed by intensified competition and shifting consumer preferences, Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) recent quarterly earnings report unveils a promising outlook for its e-commerce and gaming segments.
E-commerce Strength Amidst Challenges:
Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) fourth-quarter earnings reveal a smaller-than-expected decline in adjusted EBITDA, signaling robustness in its e-commerce operations. Despite a 74% year-on-year drop attributed to marketing spending, Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ) exceeded analysts' earnings projections, bolstering investor confidence. Notably, the online retail arm Shopee continues to attract buyers, with e-commerce revenue surging by 23%, underscoring its enduring popularity in the region's burgeoning digital market.
Navigating Competitive Pressures:
The intensifying competition, particularly from formidable rivals like TikTok and Alibaba, poses challenges to Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) market dominance. However, Sea's proactive strategies, including investments in its live-streaming arm and aggressive cost-cutting measures, reflect its commitment to fortifying its position in the face of stiff competition. Chief Financial Officer Tony Hou's assertion of gaining market share amidst intense competition underscores Sea Limited's resilience and strategic agility in navigating challenging market dynamics.
Gaming Division Dynamics:
Sea Limited's gaming arm, Garena, continues to capitalize on sustained demand for its flagship title Free Fire. With over 100 million peak daily active users, Free Fire remains a formidable force in the gaming landscape. While fourth-quarter revenue witnessed a decline of 46.2%, Sea Limited anticipates double-digit growth in users and bookings for Free Fire in the coming year. Despite challenges in launching new blockbuster hits, Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ) remains optimistic about the growth prospects of its gaming division.
Strategic Investments and Future Outlook:
Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) CEO Forrest Li's commitment to ramping up investments in Shopee underscores the company's proactive stance in defending its market share. As Sea Limited ( NYSE:SE ) seeks to balance growth objectives with profitability, investors closely monitor its strategic initiatives and financial performance. The re-acceleration of investments in Southeast Asian e-commerce, while essential for sustaining market leadership, may exert pressure on profit margins in the short term. However, Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) relentless pursuit of innovation and market expansion positions it favorably for long-term growth and resilience in the dynamic Southeast Asian tech landscape.
Conclusion:
Sea Limited's ( NYSE:SE ) robust performance in the fourth quarter underscores its resilience and adaptability in navigating challenges and capitalizing on emerging opportunities. With a steadfast focus on strengthening its e-commerce and gaming segments, Sea Limited remains well-positioned to maintain its leadership in Southeast Asia's burgeoning digital economy.
Navigating the Digital Wave: Sea Limited's Voyage to SuccessSo You wanna know if you should dip your little toe into the water with Sea Limited, Well consider this:
The company has it's earnings call on March 4th where Analysts predict lowered than desirable results for the company. Estimates report a quarterly loss at 27 cents per share, versus year-ago earnings of 72 cents per share. Sea is projected to post revenue of $3.55 billion for the latest quarter, compared to $3.45 billion in the year-earlier quarter, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
This may cause the stock to plummet to it's sweet and savory buy target range of 36.91-41.00 a share the stock currently sits at a comfortable $51.05 a share
Summary of Key Points about Sea Limited:
NYSE:SE
1. **History and Development**: Sea Limited was incorporated in 2009 as Garena Interactive Holding Limited and changed its name to Sea Limited in 2017. It operates through subsidiaries and affiliated entities.
2. **Business Segments**: Sea operates three key businesses:
- **Shopee**: Largest e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia and Taiwan, with a growing presence in Brazil.
- **Garena**: Global game developer and publisher, focusing on mobile and PC online games.
- **SeaMoney**: Digital financial services provider in Southeast Asia, offering mobile wallet services, payment processing, credit, insurtech, and digital banking.
3. **Financial Performance**: Sea has experienced significant revenue growth, with total revenue increasing from US$4.4 billion in 2020 to US$12.4 billion in 2022. However, it has incurred net losses due to investments in expanding its businesses.
4. **Business Strategies**:
- Shopee focuses on a mobile-centric, social-focused marketplace model, providing users with a convenient, safe, and trusted shopping environment.
- Garena offers popular and engaging mobile and PC online games, including Free Fire, which is available in more than 130 markets globally.
- SeaMoney provides a wide range of digital financial services, integrated with Shopee and serving both consumers and small businesses.
5. **Monetization**: Sea monetizes its businesses through various means, including offering paid advertising services, charging transaction-based fees, selling directly to buyers, and providing value-added services such as logistics and financial services.
6. **Market Leadership**: Sea has achieved market leadership in its key segments, supported by its strong user base, deep local market knowledge, and continuous innovation in product offerings and user experience.
Concerns for Investors:
- Despite strong revenue growth, Sea has incurred net losses due to heavy investments in expanding its businesses, which could impact its profitability in the short to medium term.
- The company operates in highly competitive markets, facing competition from established players as well as new entrants.
- Regulatory challenges in the markets where Sea operates, especially in the financial services sector, could pose risks to its operations and growth prospects.
Overall, while Sea Limited presents significant growth opportunities in the rapidly evolving Southeast Asian digital economy, investors should carefully assess the company's financial performance, competitive position, and regulatory environment before making investment decisions.
SE - Might be time to buyThe alpha dots are turning green. Looks like bullish squeeze up is a potential. Long sideways trading. Ready for a break out.
Looking for a bearish swing on SE very soon.Thank you as always for watching my video! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this video. God bless you.
