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Sea Limited

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SE Short: New Low Expected. Jobs cut expected. Pay cut expected.Technically speaking, we can refer to the previous circled period where price temporary moved up above the VWMA. Similar to the price action during this period, I would expect SE to make new lows. Additionally, I expect that the company will announce the following within the next few months: 1. Job Cuts 2. Hiring freeze 3. Pay cut My suspicion is that the previous pay cut from the “senior management” is just a prelude to the grand plan for cutting the bloat in the company. Cutting their own pay first will make them look like good people and less guilty when the inevitable job cuts are announced. Following Elon and Mark is going to be the model ahead. Anyway, on an unrelated topic, when Mark said that he took full responsibility, what penalty did he suffer? Just paying lip service is that I see. Btw, I called the top of SE way earlier.
NYSE:SEShort
by sngyuchao
SE short: a follow up (price target <$25)I've been calling for SE short since the very week that it made the peak. My last 2 calls were for 1 short and 1 technical rebound. Well, the rebound did not invalidate the long-term SE short call. I've also voiced my opinion that Shopee's cost cutting is a little too little, too late. As of now, nothing changes. But the cost to rectify gets heavier everyday for them. Previously I had said that a 30% pay cut across the board might be necessary, now, it's probably closer to 50%. But then, this is just my guesstimate. No fundamental analysis whatsoever. With the impeding breakdown and crash of SE together with the general market, it seems evitable that more of the multi-millionaire and billionaires may no longer enjoy such fame much longer. My previous price target of <$40 stays. But, I think now <$25 is maybe a more precise estimate.
NYSE:SEShort
by sngyuchao
SE ~ Lower Lows incoming? Buying Opp incoming?SE, Sea Limited has been suffering massive losses ever since its peak in the fall of 2021. This massive bull run was led with the Tech & Growth Stock boom that's bubble has recently bursted through out the current Bear Market of 2022! Sea Limited owns multiple varieties of Business in the South-Eastern Asia Region. Businesses Like : Shopee - Ecommerce Giant Garena - Gaming + Esports & Much more smaller companies Sea Limited has grown a massive amount of revenue, but has most definitely struggled with its debt and spending to make a profit. Nonetheless, let's get to Technicals! SE has suffered such huge losses, many wonder where is the bottom!? My thesis for this Stock is a short / mid term short position, followed by long term accumilation. Short : SE has 2 major gaps to still be filled from back before COVID, and the gigantic Rally that took place on SE. I see huge potential for this company's future growth, but I think more downside is to come to give SE fair value. Along with fair value, and these gaps SE has been unable to reclaim any weekly moving averages, and the TTM_SQUEEZE Momentum Indicator shows more bearish momentum coming. The monthly chart will get to the point of being oversold, probably near these gap fills. At these gap fill areas, and the way down would be a proper time imo to be covering short positions. The market also seems to have some more pain ahead, and interest rates will only hurt this company and the markets more, driving the stock down fundamentally. Long : I do believe in this company's long term outlook and performance. I do think that this will take a while to turn around... But if these gaps get filled, the Risk/Reward on SE will be favorable if the company has only grown. I am going to be extremely patient on SE but will be ready to hunt the discount if these gaps do become filled. I Will also keep my eye on the TTM_Squeeze on the MONTHLY chart, as the Monthly chart has been getting extreme momentum to the bearish side, and will look extremely oversold in the coming months with more downside. Thesis : Short to Gaps ; Long @ Gap Fills
NYSE:SE
by ZachSap
SE: Short (target < $40)Recently job cuts were announced at Shopee and the “seniors” are not going to take pay. All expenses are going to be reduced until the company turns profitable enough to be self-sustaining. But this stock is still a short. Whatever costs cutting they’ve announced is still not aggressive enough and is only meant to pacify the market. Naively thinking that that could help. In the first place, those “senior management” are most likely those whose compensation components are largely non-cash salary. Then, cutting flight from business to economy is not going to help that much if the airlines they chose are expensive. Like Emirates,SIA, etc. I certainly hope that they weren’t flying people all over the globe previously and thus thinking that such cost cutting is going to be effective. What can really help? If they announce 30% pay cut across the board. They could have a chance of turning sustainable next year. How did I come out with this figure? Gut feel. Maybe it’s not even enough going by what I know about their offers and how they have been indiscriminately giving increments. I foresee the stock price will fall before $40.
NYSE:SEShort
by sngyuchao