$TAL Wyckoff AccumulationTal Education Group appears to be in Phase D wyckoff accumulation ... Phase E is next which would indicate further upside.
Good Risk Reward Idea in my opinion, starter long common position here, trailing 10% stop loss.
TAL trade ideas
Tal has to break the downtrendBefore entering a position in Tal it most break the downtrend with volume, watching earnings could be important
$TAL long term potential investmentNow, i know that these Chinese tutoring companies are in a very bad situation, but from my understanding is that China is not planning to wipeout private education, but rather reduce the cost of it to make it more affordable. Now let's Imagine Chinas population and how much of them in the past couldn't afford it will now be able to. so example instead of 10000 people paying $1000, we will see 1000000 people paying $100. just a long term idea.
TAL education - long upon confirmsHello,
Please see for the quick analysis referring to TAL education.
Where the chinese government crack down has shown the removal of assets in a snap of finger, the price has dramatically lost value, with shareholders either holding or realising losses.
The monthly chart below shows an opportunity to purchase - upon confirmation.
Here is the daily opportunity
Be aware - without confirms, price can move against you and all foreign holders can be diminished as china will, may want Chinese investors only.
The view is of a weekly reactive level, but be aware for buyers, foreign stock holders of this chinese company, will experience a transition from Nasdaq at some point to Hong Kong - which a volatile exchange.
So for the buying opportunity, await confirms of rejection between the monthly zone.
Thanks,
XYHLX
TAL opportunityTAL offers a nice risk reward ratio currently. I am certain Bulls will take the opportunity in the next weeks.
Gap fill possible over long term until $18, but with readjusted stop loss!
Bearish Flag - Pennant
Chart Timeline: 2 HRS | I usually do a 1 hour timeline but I used the 2 hours this time because it's much more cleaner.
RSI: Mid to below-mid level | Meaning its still bearish/downtrend
MACD: Line if about to cross and could continue downtrend
Support Level: My strong support level is about $2. There's 3 level of lower support that I looked at. The $2, $1.70 and $1.50, but wasn't hoping for a dollar. My strong support lows of low is $2.
Conclusion: Chart giving me bearish pennant + RSI still downtrend + MACD about to cross + existing support level from previous lower low.
This is on a technical analysis standpoint. No fundamental involve.
Fallen Angel Hourly SetupThis setup is designed to find capitulation stocks when everbody is selling, we should buy from them, also called fallen angel
$TALBuy signals generated for $TAL Tal Education, the China based educational centers stock as shares moved above the 50 day moving average and just below the 100 day moving average on the 15 minute intraday chart.
Dead Cat Bounce Coming in01-08-2021
Dead Cat Bounce Drama may come in
Risk-taker may nimble.
High Risk High Reward.
TP: $15/20
SL: $3.50/$4
All depend on Chinese Government.
Trade Safe
$TAL is gonna fall todayPupm&Dump trading strategy idea.
$TAL is rising too much today.
The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price today.
So I opened a short position from $6,32;
stop-loss — $6,57;
take-profit — $5,82.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
$TAL is gonna fall todayPupm&Dump trading strategy idea.
$TAL is rising too much today.
The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price today.
So I opened a short position from $6,99;
stop-loss — $7,27;
take-profit — $6,42.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
TAL Education Dead Cat Bounce ?Think about this perspective: a temporary recovery in share prices after a substantial fall, caused by speculators buying in order to cover their positions. this is the Dead Cat Bounce!
China's crackdown on for-profit education companies was a disaster for traders not using a stop loss.
In the 52 Week Range TAL Education Group went from 90.96 to 4.03usd.
After-school tutoring institutions must transform themselves into "nonprofit organizations".
Jim Cramer (Mad Money) on China's tech crackdown: You can't own Chinese stocks!
ARK Invest dumps Chinese stocks.
It seems dangerous to hold Chinese stocks right now.
US-listed Chinese companies have three years to comply with US accounting oversight, to comply with the rules of accounting and transparency that American public companies must follow, if not they will get delisted.
This looks like the beginning of China`s stock market crash.
I`m looking forward to read your opinion about this!
TAL education may offer a great shortterm tradeTAL is down 77% since feb 19 this year following some regulatory news surrounding the education sector in china. It was at a high of $90, currently trading just under $24.
When stocks trend they never go up or down in straight lines, they have retracements where people take profit or attempt to catch a reversal. The larger the moves/timeframe the larger the retracements that can be seen. In the chart above is the 30min chart zoomed out to show 2 large leg downs marked with yellow trendlines . The first which started after the news came out lasted from $90 to $50 before retracing 38% to $65ish.
The current leg down has lasted from $65 to ??? $20ish. We dont know for sure if the recent trend line break is going to mark the start to a retracement but it may be worth a shot as another 38% bounce would put TAL into the high $30's.
If any positive news were to come out regarding TAL i would consider investing in this company for a longer run to see a possible 50%-100% retracement.
China ADRs Tumble in Longest Rout Since 2019 on Fresh RisksStocks of Chinese companies tumbled in the U.S., posting the longest losing streak in more than two years, over the risks posed by a potentially widening regulatory crackdown in the nation’s technology industry.
The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index plunged 8.5%, the steepest drop since March 2020, after officials in Beijing were said to consider forcing companies that offer school tutoring to turn into non-profits. That drove the gauge, which tracks some of China’s biggest firms that are listed in the U.S., to its fourth straight weekly decline, its longest slump since May 2019.
TAL Education Group, New Oriental Education & Technology Group and Gaotu Techedu Inc., some of the largest education companies, lost more than half their value Friday.
“This escalating behavior should temper any temptation to invest heavily in these names. Ignoring this trend is something you do at your own peril -- China is unlikely to let up,” said Hans Albrecht, a portfolio manager at Horizons ETFs Management. “At some point the risk-reward makes sense in a diversified manner -- placing a bet on one Chinese company could be foolhardy. Buying a basket that is exposed to various Chinese sectors is likely more prudent.”
Regulators in China have been ramping up scrutiny of education companies for months -- which could upend the country’s $100 billion industry -- as part of a broader push to rein in the country’s technology giants. Even before Friday’s plunge, shares of private education firms like TAL, New Oriental Education & Technology Group and Gaotu had been under pressure, declining steeply since the beginning of March.
If the policies for education companies do materialize, they will “effectively make the sector un-investable,” according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. analyst DS Kim. “We think it’s best to avoid the sector until clarity emerges,” he said.
TAL and New Oriental have said they are aware of media reports about reforms to Chinese after-school tutoring services and that neither company received any official notice of regulations. Hong Kong-listed Koolearn Technology Holding Ltd also said it hasn’t had any official notification of new orders.
The latest crackdown comes after officials were said to be considering unprecedented penalties for Didi Global Inc. earlier this week. The ride-hailing giant has become the poster-child for Chinese regulatory oversight, seeing its stock price drop to roughly half the high hit in July soon after its closely watched initial public offering.
In total, more than $650 billion of market value has been erased from the 98 stocks that make up the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index since the gauge hit a record high in February.
Heavy-weight technology titan Alibaba Group Holding Ltd has seen its market capitalization shrink by nearly one-quarter. Meanwhile, fellow tech giants JD.com Inc. has fallen over 30% from its February peak, while Pinduoduo Inc. and Baidu Inc. both down by about 50%.
“People have to take into account the regulatory risk that comes with investing in these stocks,” said Greg Taylor, chief investment office at Purpose Investments. “As much as there’s a ton of upside, there’s also a lot of risk.”
- Bloomberg
My View on TALTime to have a look at Chinese stock. $TAL, $GOTU, $BABA, $BIDU,...
-----------------------------------------------
This is not financial advice. I'm not a Financial Advisor.
Trading is a high risk, do your own DD.
Let me know what you think
Cheers, I would share all my thought next time.
PEACE.--------------------------------------------
On the edge of the abyssHighly speculative trade, proceed at ur own risk. Double bottom strategy, buy @ $20, SL $18,5, TP $25-26.
TAL education may offer an great return an expected retracementTAL is down 77% since feb 19 this year following some regulatory news surrounding the education sector. It was at a high of $90, currently trading just under $24.
When stocks trend they never go up or down in straight lines, they have retracements where people take profit or attempt to catch a reversal. The larger the moves/timeframe the larger the retracements that can be seen. In the chart above is the 30min chart zoomed out to show 2 large leg downs marked with yellow trendlines. The first which started after the news came out lasted from $90 to $50 before retracing 38% to $65ish.
The current leg down has lasted from $65 to ??? $20ish. We dont know for sure if the recent trend line break is going to mark the start to a retracement but it may be worth a shot as another 38% bounce would put TAL into the high $30's.
TAL LongWeekly Demand Zone confirmation
Price crossed SMA13
RSI divergence
WR Crossed -80
OBV not good
*** Careful. SEC problem with Chinese stocks.
Entry 25.5
Stop 19.5
Target 48
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
The max Risk of each plan should be less than 1% of an account.
I am not a PRO trader. I trade option to test my trading plan with small cost.
I created some tradingview scripts to improve my trading entries:
OBV and OBV SMA comparison;
Williams %R two lines;
$TAL is oversold, bullish spread with 72% PoP 33% profit #optionLong time waiting for a pullback at this territory....
Today RSI breaking up, volume arrived, but IVR is still very high.
Optimal for some credit put spread.
Max profit: $250
Probability for 50% of Profit: 72%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 33%
Req. Buy Power: $750 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 80
Expiry: 22 days
Sell 2 TAL Jul16' 22.5 Put
Buy 2 TAL Jul16' 17.5 Put
Credit Put spread for 1.25cr each
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$.
Take profit strategy: 65% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.44db.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
Anyway: HIT THE LIKE BUTTON BELOW , and for fresh option ideas FOLLOW ME( @mrAnonymCrypto ) on tradingview !
TAL Education Group 🧙Fourth Fiscal Quarter and the Fiscal Year 2021
- Quarterly Results:
Net Revenues up by 58.9% Year-Over-Year for the Fourth Fiscal Quarter
Non-GAAP Loss from Operations was US$216.9 million, compared to Non-GAAP Loss
from Operations of US$8.4 million in the Same Period of Prior Year
Total Student Enrollments of Normal Priced Long-term Course up by 44.0% Year-OverYear
- Fiscal Year Results:
Net Revenues up by 37.3%
Non-GAAP Loss from Operations was US$233.3 million, compared to Non-GAAP
Income from Operations of US$255.4 million in Fiscal Year 2020
Non-GAAP net income attributable to TAL, which excluded share-based compensation
expenses, was US$89.0 million, compared to non-GAAP net income attributable to TAL of
US$7.7 million in fiscal year 2020
Quarterly Average Student Enrollments of Normal Priced Long-term Course up by
54.4% Year-Over-Year
(Beijing–April 22, 2021)—TAL Education Group (NYSE: TAL) (“TAL” or the “Company”),
a leading K-12 after-school tutoring services provider in China, today announced its
unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and the fiscal year ended February 28, 2021.
Highlights for the Fourth Quarter of Fiscal Year 2021
- Net revenues increased by 58.9% year-over-year to US$1,362.7 million from US$857.7
million in the same period of the prior year.
- Loss from operations was US$297.2 million, compared to loss from operations of
US$41.3 million in the same period of the prior year.
- Non-GAAP loss from operations, which excluded share-based compensation expenses,
was US$216.9 million, compared to non-GAAP loss from operations of US$8.4 million
in the same period of the prior year.
- Net loss attributable to TAL was US$169.0 million, compared to net loss attributable to
TAL of US$90.1 million in the same period of the prior year.
- Non-GAAP net loss attributable to TAL, which excluded share-based compensation
expenses, was US$88.7 million, compared to non-GAAP net loss attributable to TAL of
US$57.2 million in the same period of the prior year.
- Basic and diluted net loss per American Depositary Share (“ADS”) were both US$0.27.
Non-GAAP basic and diluted net loss per ADS, which excluded share-based
compensation expenses, were both US$0.14. Three ADSs represent one Class A common
share.
- Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments totaled US$5,937.5 million as of
February 28, 2021, compared to US$2,219.3 million as of February 29, 2020.
- Total student enrollments of normal priced long-term course increased by 44.0% yearover-year to approximately 6,690,950 from approximately 4,646,040 in the same period
of the prior year.
Highlights for the Fiscal Year Ended February 28, 2021
- Net revenues increased by 37.3% year-over-year to US$4,495.8 million from US$3,273.3
million in fiscal year 2020.
- Loss from operations was US$438.2 million, compared to income from operations of
US$137.4 million in fiscal year 2020.
- Non-GAAP loss from operations, which excluded share-based compensation expenses,
was US$233.3 million, compared to non-GAAP income from operations of US$255.4
million in fiscal year 2020.
- Net loss attributable to TAL was US$116.0 million, compared to net loss attributable to
TAL of US$110.2 million in fiscal year 2020.
- Non-GAAP net income attributable to TAL, which excluded share-based compensation
expenses, was US$89.0 million, compared to non-GAAP net income attributable to TAL
of US$7.7 million in fiscal year 2020.
- Basic and diluted net loss per ADS were both US$0.19. Non-GAAP basic and diluted net
income per ADS, excluding share-based compensation expenses, were US$0.15 and
US$0.14, respectively.
- Average student enrollments of normal priced long-term course per quarter during fiscal
year 2021 increased by 54.4% year-over-year to approximately 4,669,140 from
approximately 3,023,840 in fiscal year 2020.
- Total physical network increased from 871 learning centers in 70 cities as of February 29,
2020 to 1,098 learning centers in 110 cities as of February 28, 2021.
