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New Zealand Dollar/Australian Dollar

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NZDAUD trade ideas

AUDNZD Bulls Eyeing a Recovery from Key Support Zone 📉 After a sharp fall, AUDNZD has tapped into a well-defined support zone around 1.07800, forming a possible retracement setup. 📊 Technical Insight: - Price reacted strongly from the support zone, hinting at buyer interest. - RSI on the 1H chart is rebounding from the oversold area , suggesting potential bullish momentum. - Expected retracement target: 1.08245 , a previous resistance level. 📰 Fundamental Boost: - AUD remains resilient despite global risk sentiment due to improving commodity prices, especially in iron ore — a key Australian export. On the NZD side, recent RBNZ dovish commentary has slightly weighed on the Kiwi, adding a supportive tone for AUDNZD upside. 📌 Invalidation: If price breaks and closes below the 1.07800 support zone, this setup becomes invalid.
Long
by ClearTradingMind
1
AUDNZD Bullish Trade Breakdown — 9.99R Return Using Harmonics + Hello traders! If you enjoyed my previous post on the XAUUSD buy setup, then you're going to love this breakdown on AUDNZD—especially if you're interested in combining Harmonic Patterns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for precise trade entries. If you haven’t seen the Gold analysis yet, be sure to check it out below this post. Let’s dive into this AUDNZD trade: 🔹 Weekly Analysis On the weekly timeframe, price was reacting strongly to a key support level, which was confirmed by a long rejection wick: 🔹 Harmonic Pattern Setup I anticipated a retracement toward the 0.786/0.886 Fibonacci levels of the previous bullish impulsive move, with the expectation of forming a Bullish Harmonic Pattern. And that’s exactly how it played out: 🔹 Pattern: Bullish Gartley The setup was a classic Bullish Gartley, with the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) aligning perfectly with the 0.786 level. Price tested this area and confirmed the setup: 🔹 Entry Strategy: SMC x Harmonics Entry Model: S2D (Supply-to-Demand) Flip Entry Confirmation: After a CHOCH (Change of Character) on the M15 timeframe H1 Sniper Entry: Not tagged, but our setup remained valid Stop Loss: A tight 15 pips, limiting potential loss if the market didn’t respect the analysis 🔹 Trade Outcome The entry was triggered successfully, and the trade hit: ✅ TP1 ✅ TP2 ✅ TP3 (at the 0.786 retracement level) 📊 Result: +9.99R That’s nearly 10R return on a single trade—an excellent example of how combining Harmonic Patterns with SMC execution models can yield high-probability setups and strong returns. 💬 What About You? Did you catch this move on AUDNZD, or perhaps take a different approach? Let me know in the comments below—I’d love to hear how you approached it. And don’t forget to stay tuned for more in-depth trade breakdowns like this, where I blend Harmonics + SMC to find precision entries. Thanks for reading, and happy trading! 🚀
Long
by TheGreatCapital
2
AUDNZD - Expecting Retraces Before Prior Continuation LowerM15 - Strong bearish momentum Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator. Expecting retraces and further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VladimirRibakov
Bullish rise?AUD/NZD has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.0755 1st Support: 1.07256 1st Resistance: 1.09043 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDNZD-Sale OpportunityAUDNZD Sell Setup – Fibonacci Retracement Strategy 🕒 Timeframe: 4H or Daily (adjust based on your trading style) 📍 Key Levels: Swing High: Recent high (e.g., 1.0940 area) Swing Low: Recent low (e.g., 1.0700 area) Use the Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView: Draw from the Swing High to the Swing Low. Mark the key Fibonacci levels: 0.382 (~1.0795) 0.5 (~1.0820) 0.618 (~1.0845) 🔍 Entry Idea: Sell Zone: Between 0.5 and 0.618 retracement (1.0820–1.0845) Look for a bearish candlestick pattern or rejection wicks at these levels. 🎯 Targets: TP1: Previous swing low (~1.0700) TP2: Extension to 1.618 level (~1.0620) 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the swing high or above 0.786 retracement level (~1.0880) ✅ Confluence: Bearish trend or break in structure RSI divergence or overbought on H4 Bearish price action at Fib level
Short
by Lakmal-Colombo
AUDNZD Daily Short from 1.1000 → 1.0657 (R:R ~9.9 : 1)Chart: Daily AUDNZD Setup: Supply-zone rejection into established downtrend 🔍 Analysis Trend Context: ― Since mid-February price has been making lower highs & lower lows, confirming a bearish bias. Supply Zone: ― 1.0980–1.1035 area (highlighted) has flipped from support to resistance, printed clear bearish wicks on multiple daily closes. Fibonacci Confluence: ― Entry at 1.1000 lines up with the 61.8% retracement of the March–April leg down. Structural Support: ― Next major demand cluster sits at 1.0650–1.0680 (your TP zone), then psychological 1.0500. 📈 Trade Details Entry (Sell): 1.10000 Stop-Loss: 1.10346 (just above the supply zone) Take-Profit: 1.06568 (below April swing low) Risk: 34.6 pips Reward: 343.2 pips R : R: ~9.9 : 1 🛠️ Execution & Management Entry Trigger: Wait for a bearish daily close (engulfing or pin-bar) back inside 1.0980–1.1035. Stop Adjustment: After +50 pips, move SL to breakeven to neutralize risk. Scaling: Consider taking 50% off at 1.0850 (swing-to-swing) and letting the remainder run to 1.0657. Catalyst Watch: Be mindful of RBA/NZ CPI events and AUD or NZD-related commodity data.
Long
by ericelifyose
AUDNZD (4H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakout+Falling Wedge ReversalOn the 4-hour chart of AUDNZD, the market has completed a compression phase inside a symmetrical triangle, nested within a larger falling wedge structure. Both patterns suggest a potential bullish reversal after an extended downward trend. The breakout occurred to the upside, with price moving above the triangle and breaking through short-term resistance around 1.0713. Volume increased on the breakout, confirming genuine buyer interest. If the price holds above this level and breaks 1.0766, it opens the path to the next major target at 1.0844, aligned with the previous key swing level. Technical picture: – Symmetrical triangle breakout confirmed – Price also broke out of the falling wedge – Volume expansion on the move – Bullish realignment of EMAs is starting – Holding above 1.0713 + breaking 1.0766 will activate the next phase Fundamental backdrop: The Australian dollar is benefiting from resilience in the commodity and export sectors, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from weakening inflation and growing expectations of monetary easing by the RBNZ. This economic divergence creates short-term advantage for AUD over NZD. This double-pattern setup confirms the transition from consolidation to bullish impulse. Holding above 1.0713 and a confirmed break above 1.0766 would unlock a move toward 1.0844. These patterns offer clean early entries into trend reversals.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
2
Watch This Wedge! AUDNZD Primed for Upside PushThe AUDNZD pair forms a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation that typically occurs after a downtrend. The price action is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and a descending support line, creating a narrowing range. The market is now attempting to break out of the wedge, with the current price testing the resistance line. A breakout and close above this trendline would signal bullish strength and could lead to a reversal of the recent downtrend. Targets: TP1: 1.07605 TP2: 1.07922 Stop Loss: Below the recent low at 1.06542
by Money_Dictators
AUDNZD Hits Key Resistance at 1.0787 – A Bearish Move Ahead? AUDNZD Hits Key Resistance at 1.0787 – A Bearish Move Ahead? AUDNZD recently tested a significant resistance zone at 1.0787, an area of historical importance. The price has previously spent time around this level, reinforcing its relevance. Given the ongoing bearish trend, AUDNZD could decline toward 1.0717 and 1.0680 in the coming days. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
2
AUDNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Long! Take a look at our analysis for AUDNZD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.079. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.097 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
AUDNZD at Key Support Level: Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:AUDNZD has reached a major support level, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support level, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that, if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 1.07940 level, which serves as a logical target within the current structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
37
AUDNZD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends On the AUDNZD currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear and we can even count its sub-waves. Now a 5-wave pattern has formed, with wave C completed by a range. Wave 5 of wave C is a contracting triangle. Now the upper trend line of this triangle has been broken and pulled back. So we expect the price to grow. Any situation may arise. The first target is also the 1.08400 range. The stop loss is also considered the 1.06500 range. Good luck and be profitable.
Long
by M_Gheysvandi
AUDNZD Rejected – CPI & RBA Dovish Bias Pressures AussieKey Resistance Zone: 1.0780 – 1.0800 The pair tested this area twice and failed to break above, forming a clear double-top pattern. This is a bearish signal suggesting buyers are exhausted. Price Action: A strong bearish rejection candle followed the second resistance test, aligning with historical resistance and structure. The pair is now showing signs of reversal. Support Levels to Watch: 🥅 Target 1: 1.0707 – Previous consolidation zone 🥅 Target 2: 1.0677 – Key swing low 📉 Stop Loss: Above 1.0800 Pattern: Rising wedge structure breaking down, signaling downside continuation. 🔍 Fundamental Analysis 🇦🇺 Australia (AUD) – Weakness Potential RBA’s Dovish Leaning: RBA Assistant Governor Kent emphasized external FX market risks and cautious positioning on monetary tightening, which dampens rate hike expectations【source: RBA speech】. Key Data Incoming: April 30: Quarterly CPI data Forecasts suggest core inflation might ease, reducing pressure on the RBA to act. If CPI undershoots, it could trigger AUD selling. AUD also faces pressure from global growth fears and risk-off sentiment. 🇳🇿 New Zealand (NZD) – Relative Strength While the RBNZ has already started easing, the NZD has shown resilience amid improving trade balance and stable economic performance. NZ Business Confidence is also due, which could influence near-term NZD moves, but broader positioning supports the Kiwi. 🧠 Sentiment Overview The risk-reward favors shorts here: Clear technical rejection Bearish macro backdrop for AUD Relative NZD strength CPI data will be the key catalyst, and positioning ahead of it looks justified given current chart structure. 📝 Conclusion: AUDNZD looks primed for a downside correction after repeated rejections at a major resistance zone. With dovish RBA commentary and potential soft inflation data ahead, short setups are favored with targets at 1.0707 and 1.0677.
Short
by ultreosforex