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New Zealand Dollar/Australian Dollar

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NZDAUD trade ideas

Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?AUD/NZD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.0750 1st Support: 1.07095 1st Resistance: 1.08521 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUD/NZD - Elliots Wave for 5th leg!📉 AUD/NZD Daily Breakdown – Wave 5 Incoming? We’ve got a textbook Elliott Wave setup unfolding: Wave (1), (2), and (3) complete — with strong momentum confirming Wave (3). Current price reacting from the 71% Fibonacci retracement, perfectly aligned with a supply zone and the 200 EMA. Price rejection at this zone suggests Wave (4) may be complete. 🚨 Bearish confluence stacking: Trendline resistance holds. Price respecting the EMA as dynamic resistance. Clear supply zone + fib rejection = high-probability short setup. 🎯 Wave (5) target: 1.06040 This could be the final leg down — traders, get your eyes on this!
Short
by jamesibartram
NNFX AUDNZD Short - Full Signal DelayedSignal: AUDNZD Short — Full Signal Delayed Context: C1 signal, C2 2 days ago Probability: Normal Risk: 0.5% → C2 signal 2 days ago, all other indicators align. Volume is short. R:R Plan: 1.3R, 75% scale-out at 1xATR TP for lower probability & drawdown management. --- Notes: Again, this is a trade I would not normally take, however, market gapped considerably below the close of the candle which my C1 triggered. The original candle where my C1 should have triggered if this was to be a full signal on time, was literally 1-2 pips away from triggering. Price had then pulled back on the next day, then gone short again on this day, triggering the C1. Due to an order block sitting about 15 pips below price, I also would have used a pending order to enter the market which would not have been triggered until today. Given this circumstance, and the gift of hindsight, this would have been a missed signal if I did not enter. I managed to enter at the same price I would have if the trade was completed 2 days ago but reduced risk to 0.5% to be cautious.
Short
by RealJudgeFPV
AUD/NZD - Strong Bullish Trade Setup🔥 AUD/NZD 8H Bullish Setup – Demand Zone + Liquidity Grab 📍 Current Structure: Price is pulling back into a refined demand zone, perfectly aligned with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. This zone also holds trendline support from the higher timeframe — strong structural confluence. Price is forming a corrective wave, likely completing a classic ABC pattern down into demand. 📊 Volume Insight: A volume spike at the lows hints at aggressive buying — likely institutional. Smart money may be accumulating just before a bullish push. 📈 Play Idea: Looking for price to react inside the 71% zone, potentially forming a bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure). Clear target is Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) above recent highs — that's where stops are clustered. 🧠 Confluences: Demand Zone ✅ 71% Fib Level ✅ Trendline Support ✅ Volume Spike ✅ Buy Side Liquidity Target ✅ 🎯 Bias: Strongly Bullish Waiting for a clean trigger — bullish candle confirmation or BOS. This setup screams smart money accumulation.
Long
by jamesibartram
RBA Cuts Rates. AUD DeclinesRBA Cuts Rates. AUD Declines Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to cut the interest rate from 4.10% to 3.85%, continuing its easing policy after a previous cut from 4.35% in February. According to Reuters, the RBA today cited: → progress made in bringing inflation under control; → economic risks linked to the ongoing global trade war. Although the RBA’s decision was widely expected, the Australian dollar weakened noticeably against other currencies — including the New Zealand dollar. The AUD/NZD rate fell to its lowest level in nearly two weeks. Technical Analysis of the AUD/NZD Chart From a technical perspective, a bearish breakout occurred: → below the lower boundary of the upward trend channel that began in April; → and below the 1.087 level, which had served as support in mid-May. It is possible that: → the decline may slow around the 1.083 support zone, where strong demand was evident in the long lower wicks of the 9 May candles (marked with an arrow); → the 1.0870–1.0880 area will act as resistance going forward, potentially leading to a retest of the bearish breakout zone on the AUD/NZD chart. As the market continues to price in the RBA’s decision, attention will turn to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting on 28 May, where a similar rate cut could be on the table. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUDNZD-H1-SHORTThe price, previously supported by ascending trendlines, has recently broken below these lines, signaling a potential reversal in momentum. The Ichimoku cloud (Kumo) highlights critical support and resistance zones, with the price moving outside the cloud, reinforcing the breakdown of the prior uptrend. The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines confirm this shift through their crossover, aligning with the wave structure and indicating a bearish turn. This setup suggests an opportunity for a short position, as the market may be entering a consolidation or downtrend phase. If you liked this analysis, hit the BOOST !
Short
by MB2020MB2020
AUDNZD BROKE AND CLOSED BELOW H4 TRENDLINE AND EMA 50AUDNZD has maintained a bearish tone since Monday’s New York session, following a break and retest of the trendline. The pair also closed below the 50 EMA, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in the market. Meanwhile, there are several factors that led to the weakness of the AUD. Earlier on Tuesday, the RBA implemented another interest rate cut, aligning with market expectations. However, the central bank's cautious outlook on economic growth has led to a more dovish tone, potentially limiting the Australian dollar's strength. Which was priced in on the chart. TECHNICAL VIEW: From technical perspective, the pair is seen bearish after the break and retest of the 4H trendline and price having closed below EMA 50 confirms that too. Meanwhile price is supported around 1.08316. Technicians ordinarily expects a rebound around 1.08752 before the next throw with potential target around 1.07861 and 1.07410. Whilst retracing, a break above 1.09176 would hint a reversal and hence potentially targeting 1.09332 and 1.09862. Break out of these levels are not ruled out. UPCOMING CATALYST: For the remainder of this week, there are no major economic releases scheduled. However, on Friday, May 23, 2025, Statistics New Zealand is set to publish the Q1 2025 Retail Sales data at 10:45 AM NZST (GMT+12). This release will offer insights into consumer spending patterns and the overall health of New Zealand's economy. Strong retail sales figures could bolster the New Zealand dollar (NZD), while weaker numbers might exert downward pressure.
by CFI