AUDNZD FORECASTTraders! The lesson that I want to give you today is, try to build the habit of strong reasoning before making any decision to execute position. Make sure you have a good thought process by starting to build the portifolio of evidence from the higher timeframe to lower timeframe. Always trade process is key.
NZDAUD trade ideas
AUDNZD BullishTechnical Analysis
Divergence:
The RSI divergence on the 4-hour AUD/NZD chart suggests a potential reversal or slowing of the downtrend.
The price has made lower lows, while the RSI shows higher lows, indicating bullish divergence. This is a sign of weakening bearish momentum and the possibility of a reversal or consolidation.
Support Zone:
The price is hovering around a strong horizontal support level (yellow line). This area has previously acted as a support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
Volume:
Declining volume in the downtrend indicates weak bearish pressure, which further supports the case for a reversal.
Fundamental Analysis Bias
AUD Fundamentals (Strong):
COT RSI data for the AUD shows higher percentages across 13, 26, and 52-week periods, indicating strong speculative positioning for AUD. This reflects a positive sentiment toward AUD
.
NZD Fundamentals (Weak):
NZD COT RSI values are significantly lower, showing weakness in speculative sentiment compared to AUD.
Endogenous Factors (Mixed):
The endogenous factor table shows mixed scores. However, AUD scores are generally less negative or neutral, while NZD has slightly weaker scores. This gives AUD a slight fundamental edge.
Overall Bias:
The AUD/NZD pair's fundamental bias aligns bullish for AUD based on the data. If NZD fundamentals weaken further, this adds to the bullish outlook.
Conclusion and Trade Bias
Technical:
Bullish Divergence + Support Zone: Favor a bounce or reversal in the short term.
Watch for RSI to cross above 50 and confirmation of higher highs in price.
Fundamental:
AUD appears fundamentally stronger than NZD, supporting a medium-term bullish bias for the pair.
Trade Plan
Entry: Consider entering long positions near the current support level if bullish candles form on higher timeframes.
Stop Loss: Place stops slightly below the support zone.
Take Profit: Target previous resistance levels around 1.1050 and 1.1100.
Long tern effect We're about to create another BOS, and for the upcoming days we're going to make huge pull-back for the market to have enough liquidity to go Long.
for this the Market as we see on my chart is doing well and we're going to to wait until the opportunity comes on the right place and on the right time so we can go Long.. This trend will take several weeks to come into our Golden Zone.
Even if you take Fibonacci the number will align well with the strategy there
AUD/NZD Analysis: Bullish Momentum Fueled by Institutional PositAUD/NZD shows strong potential for continued upside, supported by large speculators who are holding long positions, as indicated by the latest COT data. This aligns with the typical contrarian dynamic, where retail traders remain predominantly bearish, positioning themselves against the trend.
When retail sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, it often creates an opportunity for institutional players to push prices higher, targeting retail stop-loss orders. This dynamic suggests that AUD/NZD is well-positioned for further gains as institutional buying pressure outweighs the retail skepticism.
With speculators backing the bullish trend and retail traders positioned against it, the pair is primed for sustained upside. Traders should keep an eye on key support zones and potential entry points to capitalize on the continuing bullish momentum.
AUDNZD LongCOT Report
- Non Commercials are reducing net positions in NZD, showing weakness in NZD.
- Non Commercials are increasing net positions in AUD, showing strength in AUD.
Endogenous Factors
- NZD score is falling from +4 to -2 in the last three months
- AUD score is increasing from -3 to 3 in the last three months
Exogenous Factors
- NZD Interest Rate is getting weaker
- AUD Interest Rate is getting stronger
- Overall Exogenous Factors are in favor of AUD against NZD
AUDNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.101.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.105 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Sell AUD/NZD Bearish ChannelThe AUD/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1005, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0962
2nd Support – 1.0944
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Bearish drop?AUD/NZD has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 1.1020
1st Support: 1.0934
1st Resistance: 1.1088
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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AUDNZD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDNZD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0989
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1034
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0964
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.100.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.104 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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AUD/NZD AnalysisThe pair is trading within a rising channel pattern, signaling a bullish outlook. It is currently near the lower range of the channel, suggesting potential upward momentum.
🔍 Key Observations:
The price is bouncing off the channel support, aligning with bullish sentiment.
RSI is neutral, leaving room for upward movement.
Bollinger Bands indicate potential for a move toward the upper boundary.
🎯 Plan:
Entry: Around 1.1040
Take Profit 1: 1.1065
Take Profit 2: 1.1085
Stop Loss: 1.1022
💡 Look for clear confirmation of support holding before entering. Always use proper risk management! 🚨
AUD/NZD Analysis - Short SetupThe AUD/NZD pair shows a clear bearish trend with the following key highlights:
Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple BOS levels confirm the bearish momentum.
Change of Character (ChoCH): Signs of a bearish market structure shift further validate the downtrend.
Strong High at 1.1024: This level acts as a resistance zone, providing an optimal area to short, as price is unable to break higher.
Target Zones: The weak low around 1.0971 and the demand zone near 1.0940 are potential levels where price may react or consolidate.
Stop Loss: Placed above the strong high at 1.1024 to manage risk effectively.
Plan:
Short positions align well with the current bearish trend. Monitor the reaction at the resistance zone and ensure proper risk management, targeting lower levels in line with the bearish structure.