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New Zealand Dollar/Australian Dollar

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NZDAUD trade ideas

AUD/NZD SELL STOP at 1.0662AUDNZD has hit a band of historical resistance that stretches back some distance and is carving out an M-Top pattern with a double top. If the pattern completes we will have a SHORT trade on the break of the neckline at around 1.0662. Both RSI and MACD are declining and the Andean Oscillator is suggesting that the BEARS are taking control as the BULLS position weakens. All the indicators suggest we should be headed south from these levels and as we are now well above the key WR1 pivot, history tells us that the price will tend to want to come back to the WPP mid pivot and will not be able to stay above WR1 if there is BEARISH momentum. It is Friday so the markets will be slowing down and we do have US news at 15:00 with ISM Manufacturing and Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment so we would need to be watching this trade if it triggers and adjust STOPS accordingly. This is a 1:1 trade with a STOP above the high which sets our target to 1.0639 but as ever these STOPS and TP's are not set in stone and will be adjusted depending on momentum.
Short
by forextraplaces
Sell AUD/NZDIt's going down? In February, the index decreased by 1.4% compared to January, which had seen a 1.9% increase (the January figure has been revised). All sub-indices (non-rural, rural, and base metals) experienced a decline during February. When measured in Australian dollars, the index dropped by 0.1% in February. Over the past year, the index has fallen by 11.0% when measured in Special Drawing Rights (SDR), primarily due to lower prices of thermal coal and liquefied natural gas. When measured in Australian dollars, the index has fallen by 6.7% over the past year. In essence, it's indicating a downward trend in the index for February and over the past year, with specific sectors and currencies being affected differently. Waiting to break blackline yet to enter!
Short
by MrAlexWick
DeGRAM | AUDNZD trend continuation opportunityAUDNZD is trading in the descending channel, indicating a bearish trend. The market is testing the resistance at 1.06900, which is the psychological level. The market created a kill zone: the major trend is bearish, resistane, the upper border of the descending channel, and a harmonic pattern. We expect a trend continuation trade from the kill zone. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
AUDNZD Short idea - Diviregence 1H Time frameAfter a good bullish rally for AUDNZD, the pair reached the horizontal resistance zone combined there with a supply zone. From the perspective of RSI there is bear divergence on 1H time frame. It is a bit risky to enter in a sell position right now, but if we have a good candlestick confirmation it would be great. However, the stoploss could be outside the supply zone. The line for takeprofit 2 is the zone which I aim to close eventual position
Short
by kidagaka123
1
AUD/NZD Testing Support Ahead of the RBNZ AnnouncementActive Daily Support As can be seen from the daily chart of the AUD/NZD, the trend is evidently clear: it is to the downside: a series of lower lows and lower highs. However, we are at support from NZ$1.0587, a level delivering history as far back as early 2023. While buyers did step in from here in early February 2024, resistance from NZ$1.0673 proved to be too much of a technical ceiling for the bulls, and we are now testing the aforementioned support once more. It is widely expected that the RBNZ will hold the line at tomorrow’s meeting at 1:00 am GMT, maintaining the Official Cash Rate at 5.50% (marking a fifth consecutive hold). Out of 24 economists from Bloomberg, 22 forecast a hold while the remaining two lean in favour of a 25bp hike to 5.75%. Markets are also pricing in just a 25% chance that the RBNZ move with a 25bp hike. You may recall that the last meeting at the end of November 2023 maintained hawkish language and essentially was a hawkish surprise for markets amidst worries surrounding inflation. You may also note that the RBNZ, unlike most global central banks who are on the doorstep of adopting an easing policy, communicated that if inflation were to come in hotter than expected, the central bank would likely need to tighten policy. AUD/NZD Support to Hold According to Expectations With Aussie CPI inflation anticipated to come in slightly higher (this is the monthly CPI indicator and is released 30 minutes prior to the RBNZ announcement) and the RBNZ expected to hold, a bid in AUD/NZD from current support could emerge. This, of course, conflicts against the longer-term technical picture, echoing weakened support and a downside bias. Overall, therefore, a possible scenario is that a short-term bid occurs following the release of the news, though getting past offers at resistance from NZ$1.0673 is questionable.
Long
by FPMarkets
$100k Challenge - AUDNZD Long - E1 T2Hey everyone! After some time off the charts, we're back with the funded account challenge! TL; DR for those new to the series: I started a funded account challenge in 2023, which had a bumpy start with an excellent recovery. We're currently sitting at around -3% and the target is 10%. I noticed my feedback cycle was too slow as I was trading from the daily/H4 timeframes, so, starting season two of the challenge, I'm trading out of the H4/H1 timeframes to increase the feedback loop so I can identify quicker any mistakes, as I've been away from manual trading for quite a while. We started season two with a long trade. The market has found support after a long down-trend; we did have a break of a bearish trendline; however, the market kept pushing to the downside to fail to make new lows finally. This is the opportunity I'm looking for, as we had a recent failed break in the support area, and the price action currently shows a solid bullish presence, leaving a morning star pattern right at the support zone. Regarding targets, I'm aiming for the closest resistance at the 1.0700 area, and as usual, I'm leaving the second half of the trade open since I consider that if the market breaks that resistance, we're in for quite a long bullish ride. Remember to follow me so you can stay updated with the challenge's progress! ;) That's it for today. Until the next trade!
Long
by FernandoBorea