NZDAUD trade ideas
AUDNZD might have a burst upwards against Kiwi
See the daily chart and my white 200ema. I always like to see price respect the 200 and you can see this with a bearish daily candle down from last Friday and then Mondays Candle opens very supported by the 200ema.
I am seeing other things on on intraday timeframes for example price is about to burst upwards out of a triangle.
3m time frame looks like price is on the up and up.
AUDNZD LONG Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each:
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1. Order Blocks
An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement.
Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement.
Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement.
How to use:
Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend.
Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones.
Example:
If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block.
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2. Imbalances
An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure.
These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third.
It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement.
How to use:
Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones.
Enter a position when the gap is filled.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area.
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3. Breaker Blocks
A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken."
Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement.
They can also be used to filter valid order blocks.
How to use:
After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest.
Used to identify trend reversals.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block.
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4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap)
An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement.
An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal.
It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap."
How to use:
Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal.
Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses.
Example:
In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward.
AUDNZD SELL to BUYSell to buy scenario on AUDNZD. Price should decline from this resistance towards 1.09650. From there we can look for buy opportunities towards 1.102
AUDNZD_2HAustralian dollar to New Zealand dollar analysis Short and medium time frame The formation and completion of five descending waves and the possibility of creating an upward correction wave Support and important number 1.09757 Resistance and target is an important number of 1.10558
AUDNZD Long IdeaAUDNZD Daily 61.8 pullback possibly ending. On a 4hr timeframe it shows a reversal pattern. So it might be a possible long trade Risk and Rewards 1:4. Let’s see how it goes ❤️
AUDNZD SELL SETUPPrice is currently rejecting from a daily FVG overlapping a OB..... I want to see a FVG created from a previous FVG on the 1H timeframe
AUD/NZD SHORT weekly : switch from momentum (BEARISCH)
:FLATT WALL ON THE LEFT ROOM TO GO DOWN
DAILY BW PATTERN
4H: head en shoulders Pattern
AUDNZD Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each:
---
1. Order Blocks
An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement.
Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement.
Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement.
How to use:
Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend.
Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones.
Example:
If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block.
---
2. Imbalances
An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure.
These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third.
It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement.
How to use:
Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones.
Enter a position when the gap is filled.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area.
---
3. Breaker Blocks
A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken."
Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement.
They can also be used to filter valid order blocks.
How to use:
After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest.
Used to identify trend reversals.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block.
---
4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap)
An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement.
An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal.
It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap."
How to use:
Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal.
Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses.
Example:
In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward.
---
Conclusion
Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market.
Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply.
Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
These elements are especially useful for traders following SMC principles, as they provide a deeper understanding of the actions of major market participants.
AUD/NZD MARKET OUTLOOK!Daily timeframe outlook on AUDNZD shows a decline in price after price broke the multi week support level of 1.09826 we may likely see further drop in price as we look forward to seeing the outcome of RBA interest rate cut set to announced on 10th DEC.
Monthly CLS range. AMD playing out. Shors in Distr. StageMonthly CLS range. AMD playing out. Short in the distribution phase
you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion.
What is CLS?
This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets.
CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing.
Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become a better trader
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
AUD-NZD Will Keep Falling! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD is trading in a
Downtrend and we are seeing
A bearish breakout so we
Will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
AUD_NZD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅AUD_NZD broke the key
Horizontal level of 1.0980
And we are bearish biased now
So we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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AUD/NZD Short term sell great potential.Hi dear friends, we would be looking at the AUD/NZD which has formulated a short term descending channel on the RSI ,
Entry : 1.09744
Take profit : 1.09500
Stop loss : 1.09852
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
POTENTIAL PRICE REVERSAL AREAI see a possible price reversal from current area, it that happens,l price will head to 09858. If 09858 is broken, I'll change my bias for long because it's an area that have been tested multiple times. If it holds, then I'll continue shorting pair
AUDNZD Buy### Trade 1 - Buy AUDNZD Analysis
#### Factors Overview:
1. **Seasonals**:
- NZD is bullish (25 Nov - 11 Dec), while GBP is neutral.
- **Bias**: Slightly favors NZD.
2. **COT Index**:
- NZD at the bottom, GBP near the top.
- **Bias**: Favors AUD due to stronger relative COT positioning.
3. **Non-Commercials**:
- GBP shows "Buy," while NZD indicates "Sell."
- **Bias**: Favors AUD.
4. **Endogenous Factors (Endo)**:
- NZD is decreasing, while GBP remains neutral.
- **Bias**: Supports AUD.
5. **Exogenous Factors**:
- **GDP**: Positive for GBP, negative for NZD → Favors AUD.
- **BOP Change**: Negative for GBP, positive for NZD → Favors NZD.
- **Stocks**: Positive for GBP, negative for NZD → Favors AUD.
- **IR (Interest Rates)**: Positive for GBP, negative for NZD → Favors AUD.
- **Overall Exogenous Score**: GBP (32.5), NZD (-150).
- **Bias**: Strongly supports AUD.
6. **Conditional Scoring**:
- Positive: GBP (10), NZD (13).
- Negative: GBP (5), NZD (5).
- **Bias**: Slight advantage to NZD on positivity score, but largely neutral.
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#### Final Bias:
Despite the seasonals favoring NZD, the combined COT, endogenous, and exogenous factors strongly favor AUD.
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#### Trade Bias: **Buy AUDNZD**
AUDNZD - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bearish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
AUD NZD**🚀 T.Y.L.A. Family, Let’s Celebrate! 🏆**
We’ve done it again, team! Despite some challenges with the **XRPUSD** and **Gold** setups, we’ve officially recovered, and *all setups have come into profit!* 🙌 This is the consistency and resilience that sets us apart.
Here’s a quick breakdown of a setup we haven’t revisited in a while:
**Pair:** AUDNZD
📌 Entry: 1.09708
📌 Stop Loss: 1.10463
📌 Take Profit: 1.08299
This week, we’re back on track with it, showing steady progress. As always, **trade cautiously**—especially this week, because it’s **NFP Week!** 🗓️
NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) tends to bring high volatility, so let’s stick to our strategy and remain disciplined. The market rewards patience, and we’re here to grow, not gamble. 💯
Remember, every setback is just a setup for a stronger comeback. Let’s keep pushing forward, staying consistent, and maintaining our focus on steady, sustainable growth.
Cheers to another successful week! 🎉
**Stay locked in and trade smart, T.Y.L.A. fam!**
AUDNZD Analysis - Bullish - Trade 07AUDNZD Analysis Overview
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1. Seasonality
AUD: Strong **buy** signal for the first week of December, suggesting upward momentum.
NZD: Range-bound signal, indicating weaker performance compared to AUD.
Seasonality Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
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2. COT Report
AUD:
COT RSI : Decreasing from the top but still indicates bullish positioning.
COT Index : Near the top, signaling strong institutional interest in AUD.
Net Non-Commercial : Increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment.
NZD :
COT RSI : At the bottom (0%), but overall positioning is weak.
COT Index : Bottomed at 0%, reflecting limited institutional support for NZD.
Net Non-Commercial : Decreasing, suggesting bearish momentum.
COT Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
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3. Fundamental Analysis
Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) :
AUD : Increasing, pointing to improving economic conditions.
NZD : Increasing, but weaker overall impact compared to AUD.
Endogenous Factors:
AUD : Mix to decreasing, but seasonal strength supports AUD’s buy case.
NZD : Increasing, but weaker compared to AUD.
Exogenous Factors :
AUDNZD exogenous signal supports a buy AUD, sell NZD bias.
Fundamental Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
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4. Technical Analysis
RSI Divergence: Bullish divergence spotted on the 4H timeframe, signaling potential upward movement.
Parallel Channel : Price is at the bottom of a bearish parallel channel, indicating possible reversal to the upside.
Daily Support : Currently holding above a strong daily support zone, reinforcing the bullish setup.
Technical Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
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Final Bias: Buy AUDNZD
All factors—seasonality, COT data, fundamentals, and technicals—align in favor of a BUY setup for AUDNZD. This pair shows potential for upward movement, supported by strong economic and technical signals.
AUDNZD FORECASTTraders! The lesson that I want to give you today is, try to build the habit of strong reasoning before making any decision to execute position. Make sure you have a good thought process by starting to build the portifolio of evidence from the higher timeframe to lower timeframe. Always trade process is key.
AUDNZD BullishTechnical Analysis
Divergence:
The RSI divergence on the 4-hour AUD/NZD chart suggests a potential reversal or slowing of the downtrend.
The price has made lower lows, while the RSI shows higher lows, indicating bullish divergence. This is a sign of weakening bearish momentum and the possibility of a reversal or consolidation.
Support Zone:
The price is hovering around a strong horizontal support level (yellow line). This area has previously acted as a support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
Volume:
Declining volume in the downtrend indicates weak bearish pressure, which further supports the case for a reversal.
Fundamental Analysis Bias
AUD Fundamentals (Strong):
COT RSI data for the AUD shows higher percentages across 13, 26, and 52-week periods, indicating strong speculative positioning for AUD. This reflects a positive sentiment toward AUD
.
NZD Fundamentals (Weak):
NZD COT RSI values are significantly lower, showing weakness in speculative sentiment compared to AUD.
Endogenous Factors (Mixed):
The endogenous factor table shows mixed scores. However, AUD scores are generally less negative or neutral, while NZD has slightly weaker scores. This gives AUD a slight fundamental edge.
Overall Bias:
The AUD/NZD pair's fundamental bias aligns bullish for AUD based on the data. If NZD fundamentals weaken further, this adds to the bullish outlook.
Conclusion and Trade Bias
Technical:
Bullish Divergence + Support Zone: Favor a bounce or reversal in the short term.
Watch for RSI to cross above 50 and confirmation of higher highs in price.
Fundamental:
AUD appears fundamentally stronger than NZD, supporting a medium-term bullish bias for the pair.
Trade Plan
Entry: Consider entering long positions near the current support level if bullish candles form on higher timeframes.
Stop Loss: Place stops slightly below the support zone.
Take Profit: Target previous resistance levels around 1.1050 and 1.1100.
Long tern effect We're about to create another BOS, and for the upcoming days we're going to make huge pull-back for the market to have enough liquidity to go Long.
for this the Market as we see on my chart is doing well and we're going to to wait until the opportunity comes on the right place and on the right time so we can go Long.. This trend will take several weeks to come into our Golden Zone.
Even if you take Fibonacci the number will align well with the strategy there
