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New Zealand Dollar/Canadian Dollar

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NZDCAD trade ideas

NZDCAD reached key resistance: Rebound to 0.82450 likelyPrice on NZDCAD has reached a pretty significant resistance level, that has been a key turning point in the past, with several strong reversals from the area. So naturally, I’ve been watching to see how price reacts here again. We can already see early signs of rejection, so I will monitor this pair and I’ll be looking for short setups from the zone again. 🟥 My sell idea is based on the expectation that this resistance will hold. I would be targeting a move down toward the 0.82450 level , which I feel is a realistic target before any reversal could take from the gains, especially if price respects this structure continuously. But if price breaks above and starts holding strong above the zone, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the bearish idea invalidated, with potential for further upside. Just sharing how I see the chart right now, not financial advice
Short
by TrendDiva
17
Is the NZDCAD uptrend still strong?NZDCAD has broken the trendline structure and is heading towards the resistance at 0.83500 0.827 has become a confluence of support and trendline. The pair is looking for more buying momentum at the support zone. 2 zones to watch are 0.827 and 0.823 If the 0.823 zone is broken, the uptrend is broken and the market turns to a downtrend. The target of the downtrend and the market finds the bottom of last month around 0.812. Confirm SELL signal when breaking 0.823
Long
by VHT_Trader
2
NZDCAD SELL TRADE PLANNZD/CAD – 18 June 2025 📋 PLAN OVERVIEW Parameter Details Type Swing Short Direction 🔻 Bearish Status ✅ Active Setup Forming R:R 1:3 (Base Targeted) Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (88%) – Clean HTF Compression Structure 📈 MARKET BIAS & TRADE TYPE Price is operating within a highly coiled D1/H4 compression range, after a clean rejection off a prior supply shelf at 0.8245–0.8260. The current move down is structurally aligned with a larger HTF BOS event from late May, where price failed to sustain above 0.8300 and dropped impulsively. 📌 Trade Type: Continuation (Supply Rejection)
📌 Bias Origin: D1 CHoCH + H4 OB rejection + Minor FVG fill 🔰 CONFIDENCE FACTORS Component Weight Score HTF Structure (D1 CHoCH, H4 OB) 35% ✅ Liquidity Logic (Equal Highs, Wick Sweeps) 25% ✅ Macro/Sentiment (NZD Weak, CAD Neutral) 25% ⚠️ Mixed Volume & Reaction History 15% ✅ Total Confidence Score: 88% ✅ 📍 ENTRY ZONES Zone Range Type Confidence 🟦 Zone 1 0.8238–0.8258 H4 OB (Refined) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 🟧 Zone 2 0.8285–0.8300 D1 FVG Tap + Inducement ⭐⭐⭐ 📌 Price currently below Zone 1 → Awaiting retrace or rejection wick for tactical entry.
📌 Both zones are supply-driven and lie above recent BOS. ❗ STOP LOSS LOGIC * Zone 1 SL: Above 0.8265 (Above OB + wick) * Zone 2 SL: Above 0.8305 (Breaks structure + clears inducement) 🎯 TAKE PROFIT LEVELS TP Level Reason TP1 0.8180 Intra-day LTF structure shelf TP2 0.8145 D1 reaction zone & minor support TP3 0.8100 HTF liquidity pocket / imbalance draw 🧠 TRADE MANAGEMENT LOGIC * Entry 1/2 if Zone 1 taps with H1 engulfing * Entry 1/2 if Zone 2 taps and confirms with volume/sweep * SL to breakeven on TP1 * Reduce size at TP2, trail remainder with H1 fractal levels * Fully exit if HTF BOS against plan occurs below TP1 ⚠️ ENTRY CONFIRMATION CONDITIONS Confirmation Required H1 Bearish Engulfing ✅ Volume Spike / Sweep Wick ✅ NY or London Session Trigger ✅ 📌 Market orders allowed only if all 3 are met after OB tap ⏳ TRADE VALIDITY WINDOW Zone Duration Zone 1 Valid for 18–24h (London–NY overlap ideal) Zone 2 Valid up to 48h ❌ INVALIDATION * H1 close above 0.8305 * Bullish structure flip on H4 🌐 MACRO SNAPSHOT Asset Condition NZD Weak – no supportive macro/fundamentals CAD Oil-neutral – no major directional catalyst Risk Sentiment Risk-off supportive of CAD Macro Alignment: Partial ✅ (supports downside bias) ✅ FINAL TRADE SUMMARY Entry SL TP1 / TP2 / TP3 R:R Status 0.8248 0.8265 0.8180 / 0.8145 / 0.8100 ~1:3
Short
by jibkhan111
4
NZDCAD Monthly increaseThe New Zealand dollar (NZD) is showing strong potential for long-term appreciation against the Canadian dollar (CAD). Fundamentally, New Zealand's economy is benefiting from the RBNZ's cautious tightening stance and strong export performance in dairy and agriculture. Meanwhile, Canada faces reduced rate hike expectations from the BOC due to softer energy and housing sectors. Market sentiment favors higher-yielding commodity currencies like NZD, especially as risk appetite improves. Technically, NZD/CAD is forming higher lows on the monthly chart, signaling a bullish bias, with a potential breakout from its long-term range confirming further upside. Any short-term pullbacks could present buying opportunities for sustained gains. Sasha Charkhchian
Long
by Sashacharkhchi
1
NZD/CAD THIEF TRADING ALERT: Bullish Loot Ahead – Are You In?🔥 NZD/CAD Heist: Bullish Loot Ahead! 🏴‍☠️💰 🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🚀 💸 The Master Plan: Based on Thief Trading tactics (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting a bullish heist on NZD/CAD ("Kiwi vs Loonie"). The vault is open—time to swipe the loot! 📈 Entry (Long Only): Buy Limit Orders preferred (15-30min TF for pullbacks). Aggressive? Enter anytime—just stick to the strategy! 🛑 Stop Loss (Protect Your Loot!): Nearest swing low (4H TF) → 0.81500 (adjust based on risk & lot size). Scalpers? Use trailing SL to lock profits! 🎯 Take Profit (Escape Before Cops Arrive!): Primary Target: 0.83800 (or exit earlier if momentum fades). ⚠️ Warning (High Risk!): Overbought? Yes. Bear traps? Likely. Consolidation zone → trend reversal risk! News releases? Avoid new trades—hedge or trail stops! 📊 Market Context: Neutral trend (bullish bias forming 🐂). Check: COT reports, macro trends, sentiment & intermarket signals BEFORE executing! 🔍 (go ahead to read 🔗🌏). 💥 Boost This Idea! Hit 👍 LIKE & 🔔 FOLLOW to support the Thief Trading crew! More heists coming soon—stay tuned! 🚀 🚨 Reminder: Trade responsibly. This is NOT financial advice—just a risky, high-reward play. Manage your risk or get rekt!
Long
by Thief_Trader
NZD/CADSince April, NZD/CAD has been consolidating within a defined range between 0.83198 and 0.81597. Recently, price has broken below the 0.81597 support level, indicating a potential shift toward a bearish trend. I am currently monitoring price action for confirmation through bearish engulfing candles or other reversal patterns before considering a short position. While this setup appears promising, I remain cautious of potential false breakouts and will ensure continued bearish momentum before entering. I will be observing this pair closely over the coming sessions. "Patience is not the ability to wait, but how you act while you're waiting." — Joyce Meyer
Short
by BuerdsellFX
Trade Idea: Sell NZD/CAD (Short-Term Pressure)### **💡 Why Sell NZD/CAD?** **🇳🇿 NZD – New Zealand Dollar:** * **Global risk-off + weaker China demand** → *🌍📉 NZD struggles when investors avoid risk and China slows — both are happening.* * **RBNZ cut rates to 3.25% and may cut again** → *🏦📉 A dovish central bank puts downward pressure on the Kiwi.* * **June 23 GDP could move the market** → *📅 Until then, expectations are low — and that weighs on NZD.* * **Dairy prices + China still weak** → *🐄🇨🇳 These are key parts of NZ’s economy — and both are underperforming.* * **Sentiment: Bearish** → *📊 Traders are positioned short — not much appetite to buy Kiwi right now.* --- **🇨🇦 CAD – Canadian Dollar:** * **Oil above \$80 helps CAD** → *🛢️ Canada’s economy benefits from higher oil — that’s a natural support for the loonie.* * **BoC held rates at 2.75%, not rushing to cut** → *⚖️ Slightly dovish, but still firmer than NZ’s approach.* * **Core inflation still above 3%** → *🔥 Keeps the BoC cautious — good for CAD strength.* * **Retail sales data coming soon** → *🧾 A strong print could give CAD a further push.* * **Sentiment: Neutral to bullish** → *📈 Among commodity currencies, CAD is holding up the best right now.* --- ### **🔍 Outlook:** The **fundamentals clearly favor CAD over NZD** — stronger inflation, oil support, and no aggressive easing. Unless NZ GDP surprises big on June 23, this pair likely continues to drift lower. --- **📌 Note:** > *“Still one of the cleanest cross plays — NZD weak, CAD stable. Slow but steady sell setup as long as the story holds.”*
Short
by Wainainarobert
NZDCAD Is Going Down! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for NZDCAD. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.825. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.822 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
NZDCADNZDCAD is showing signs of bearish continuation after retesting a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the higher timeframe. Price previously broke down, leaving behind an imbalance, and has now retraced to fill that gap. The reaction from this level suggests the FVG acted as a strong supply zone, with sellers stepping in to defend it. Additionally, the rejection candle formed at the FVG aligns with a lower high structure, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. If momentum continues, we could see further downside targeting recent lows or liquidity resting below previous swing points.
Short
by mwananukachabota
BANK JOB: NZD/CAD LOOT GRAB (Swing Heist Plan) 🏦 "Market Heist: NZD/CAD Long Before Trap Closes! 💰 🦹♂️ Attention All Market Thieves! (Hola! Oi! Salut! Hallo! Ahlan!) 🎭💸 🔥 Thief Trading Intel Confirmed! The NZD/CAD "Kiwi vs Loonie" vault is primed for cracking! Our bullish heist blueprint targets the red zone - but we escape before the bears set their trap! 🔓 ENTRY: CRACKING THE SAFE "Resistance wall at 0.83150 is the vault door!" ✔ Option 1: Buy Stop above resistance (breakout play) ✔ Option 2: Buy Limit at swing low (15m/30m pullback) 🔔 Pro Tip: Set breakout alerts - don't miss the heist! 🚨 STOP LOSS: POLICE EVASION PLAN 📍 Thief SL: 0.82200 (below 4H swing low & MA) ⚠️ Warning: No SL before breakout! You'll trigger the alarms! 💎 TARGET: ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT 🎯 Primary Take: 0.84400 💰 Scalpers: Long-only! Trail your SL like a getaway car! 📊 MARKET CONDITIONS 🐂 Bullish Trend (but overbought - time it right!) 🔍 Key Intel Needed: COT reports, macro data, sentiment 🌐 Full Briefing: Check bi0 linkss 👉🔗 🚦 RISK MANAGEMENT PROTOCOLS • ❌ Avoid news event heists • 🔒 Always use trailing stops • 💣 Position size = explosive potential 🦾 SUPPORT THE SYNDICATE 💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON! 💬 Comment your heist results below! 🔔 Next job coming soon - stay tuned! 🤑 Remember thieves: Book profits before the cops arrive!
Long
by Thief_Trader