NZDCHF → The global bearish trend may continueFX:NZDCHF has been within a local upward wedge pattern for a long time. A breakout of support could trigger a continuation of the downtrend.
After breaking through the wedge support, the currency pair is one step away from the start of the realization. The focus is on consolidation at 0.4982 - 0.4919. A breakout of support could trigger a decline in the currency pair amid a weakening NZD and a rising dollar index, which overall creates a negative backdrop for the pair.
A retest of the previously broken boundary of the figure or resistance at 0.4953 is possible before the decline continues, but a consolidation of the price below 0.4918 will be a good signal for the start of the movement.
Resistance levels: 0.4953, 0.4981
Support levels: 0.4918, 0.4872
Trend pressure plays an important role, as does the fact that the price is coming out of a wedge consolidation. The breakout is directed towards the main trend, and price consolidation below the key support will only confirm this.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDCHF trade ideas
NZDCHF: Short-Term Bullish OutlookNZDCHF: Short-Term Bullish Outlook
NZDCHF has formed a bullish Megaphone pattern, which signals a continuation of the existing uptrend when it aligns with the market’s direction.
After a minor pullback, the pair is expected to resume its short-term bullish movement. A breakout above 0.4925 could strengthen buying momentum, potentially pushing NZDCHF toward 0.4952 and 0.4980 in the near term.
You may find more details in the chart!
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NZD-CHF Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF went up last week
And has almost recovered
The dramatic slaughter
Which happened earlier
But then the pair touched
The horizontal resistance
Of 0.5000 which is a strong
Round number and immediately
Made a pullback which means
That the bears are strong near
The level and so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction on Monday
Sell!
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#NZDCHF: Will Price Continue The Bearish Trend? If we analyse the trading history of NZDCHF, the overall trend has been bearish. The CHF has consistently dominated the NZD, and this trend is expected to continue. The price has dropped significantly, and since the last two weeks, it has filled the gap area. In the future, we anticipate the price moving towards 0.40.
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NZDCHF at a Turning Point: Bullish Breakout and Risky Setup? NZDCHF at a Turning Point: Bullish Breakout and Risky Setup?
NZDCHF is on the verge of confirming a bullish Inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
If the price moves above the neckline at 0.4870, the chances of an upward continuation increase, potentially solidifying a new bullish trend.
However, a major risk remains: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) continues to intervene in the Forex market, strengthening the CHF in ways that seem unpredictable.
Their unconventional monetary policy has often benefited Switzerland at the expense of other economies, and these interventions show little regard for market stability.
Should the SNB interfere, NZDCHF could experience a bearish wave, possibly when least expected. This adds a significant risk and uncertainty to this setup.
You may find more details in the chart!
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NZDCHF m15 BuyHello everyone.
There's a perfect buy opportunity on NZDCHF right now.
You can even set your RRR to 1:4, but those who prefer a shorter target can close at RRR 1:2.
I expect the pair to reach the 0.49225 level during the day.
Wishing everyone profitable trades!
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NZDHCF - rising wedge (BEARISH)🧠 Technical Overview
Pair: NZD/CHF
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: ~0.49290
General Structure:
Bearish trend overall (clear downtrend preceding the current formation).
Price pulled back into a rising wedge pattern (which is a bearish continuation setup).
Resistance zones around 0.5009 - 0.5068 marked (supply zone / previous structure).
Support target around 0.47135 (where the big drop might aim if the wedge breaks down).
🔥 Pattern Analysis
Rising Wedge:
Price moving upwards in a narrowing range – typical before a bearish breakdown.
You've drawn the expected path: a slight fake-out or retest near 0.5000 before dropping.
Breakout Plan:
First drop could aim at the 0.4850–0.4800 zone.
Bigger move targets around 0.47135.
🔍 Indicators
MACD:
Showing bearish divergence (price is climbing but MACD momentum is weakening).
MACD lines are close to crossing bearish.
RSI:
Hovering just below the overbought region (~60s).
Looks like it’s starting to turn down, confirming momentum is fading.
🧩 Summary
Bias: Bearish
Key triggers:
Breakdown from the wedge.
MACD bearish cross.
RSI losing 50-level would confirm momentum shift.
Risk:
A strong bullish breakout above 0.5068 would invalidate the short setup.
My quick tip: I’d watch how price reacts around 0.5000-0.5010. If it forms a double top or rejection candle (like a bearish engulfing), that would be a nice confirmation for the short.
NZDCHF Bullish Outlook – Wedge Breakout Setup in PlayAscending Structure: Price action has been respecting a series of higher lows, supported by an ascending trendline – a key indicator of bullish pressure.
Bullish Flag/Wedge Formation: The current price is consolidating inside a rising wedge, typically seen as a continuation pattern in bullish trends, especially when preceded by a strong rally.
Breakout Zone: A breakout above the wedge resistance (~0.4915–0.4930) opens the path to retest the recent high at 0.4953, and further to 0.4985 resistance.
Volume & Momentum: If confirmed by bullish momentum or strong candle close above the wedge, it validates further upside.
Key Levels:
Support: 0.4870 (trendline base), 0.4800 (invalidates setup)
Immediate Resistance: 0.4930
Targets:
TP1: 0.4953
TP2: 0.4985 (measured move from wedge)
✅ Confluence for Bullish Setup:
Price respecting higher low structure.
Bullish consolidation wedge near previous highs.
Clean upside path if price breaks above 0.4930.
⚠️ Invalidation:
If price breaks below 0.4870, this would invalidate the bullish structure and could suggest a retest of 0.4800, making the current setup a potential bull trap.
NZDCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the NZDCHF currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are clearly defined. Now this 5-wave pattern is an upward contracting triangle that usually forms in waves 1 or 4 or 5 or C.
Considering the counting of the previous waves, which is a wide ABC with a C wave extended or waves 1 to 3, we assume that we are facing wave 1 or 4. It is definitely not wave 5 or C.
So if it is wave 1, then it must correct at least 50 to 61.8% of Fibonacci from wave 1.
So the first target is the 04800 range.
If it is wave 5, it must go below the bottom of wave 3 and the second target is at least the 04600 range.
This movement usually occurs with a break of the trend line and a pullback to it.
Good luck and be profitable.
NZD/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.475 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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NZDCHF Reversal Builds as Trade Data Surprises Bulls Eye 0.5078NZDCHF has formed a clear inverse head & shoulders pattern on the 4H chart, with price currently hovering above the neckline at 0.4840. The technical breakout remains valid, with bullish targets at:
TP1: 0.4993
TP2: 0.5078
SL: Below 0.4740
🧠 Fundamental Update – NZ Trade Balance (Apr 21):
Latest Data:
Actual: +80M
Forecast: +510M
Previous: +510M
✅ Still positive, but below expectations
⚠️ Weaker-than-expected trade surplus may weigh on NZD short-term
Combined With Recent CPI Data (Apr 16):
Inflation rose to 2.5% YoY, higher than forecast but still within the RBNZ's target band
Most price pressures are seen as temporary (fuel, education)
RBNZ cut OCR to 3.5% in April and has left the door open to further cuts
Markets still fully price in a rate cut on May 28, with a projected floor of 2.75% by October
🌏 Global Context:
Trade tensions and slowing global growth (esp. from U.S. tariff risk) are driving demand for safe havens like CHF
ANZ economists have revised forecasts for additional RBNZ easing to 2.5%, citing weak global sentiment
🧭 Interpretation for NZDCHF:
Short-term:
✅ Positive technical structure
✅ Net trade surplus supports slight NZD demand
⚠️ Trade miss and dovish RBNZ tone keep bullish momentum cautious
Medium-term:
⚠️ Macro headwinds + expected RBNZ cut may limit upside
⚠️ Potential pullbacks if rate-cut sentiment strengthens into May
💡 Final Trade Strategy:
Bullish bias valid above 0.4840, but watch for volatility
Profit-taking recommended at 0.4993
Be cautious near 0.5078, especially before the May 28 RBNZ meeting
A close below 0.4740 would invalidate the bullish setup
NZD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.488 area.
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NZDCHF Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.493.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.487.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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