NZDCHFWe can attempt to short NZDCHF from specified level as it make LH , also 0.618 FIB Level occur indicate that it moves downward.
SL , TP mention in chart.
NZDCHF trade ideas
can NZDCHF go further down?Currently, the price is retesting the support level, which it broke quite sharply, and it is quite natural for a price action movement. The further bearish rally will be confirmed as soon as the will again break the support level. At that time, we can place a sell stop, and our Stop Loss will be above the support level and for more clarity, I have also opened the short position on the chart.
#044 Trust The Process NZDCHF Buy 1151SGT 04032025It looks ridiculous to buy at the support of a longer term down trend(15 Minutes), however, I spotted this setup on the 1 Minute Time Frame, and my initial SL size was 7 pips or so.
My earnforex RR calculator says that 1k on 7pips is over-margin, but when I clicked T, and clicked enter, the position went through. LOL. I think the calculator might have some issues.
1154SGT 04032025
#042 Trust The Process NZDCHF Buy 2100SGT 28022025I bought the 1 Minute Time Frame's up trend. If you head to 1 Minute Time Frame, you would see it.
If I were to trade based on the 15 Minutes Time Frame, I would have sold.
Different time frame's different SL position size, thus, different direction bias.
I am doing the opposite is true on the Oanda mt4.
Do not copy my trades. I'll most probably be losing money in the long run(Oh yeah!)
2102SGT 28022025
NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.50100) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (0.50700) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.49400 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
NZD/CHF "Kiwi vs Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.
🔰Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis examines the economic indicators of New Zealand and Switzerland, which directly influence the NZD/CHF pair.
🔰New Zealand Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is forecasted at around 1-2% for 2025, reflecting a moderate recovery New Zealand GDP Growth Forecast. Recent data shows a contraction of 1% in Q3 2024, indicating challenges Monthly Economic Review.
Inflation rate is stable at 2.2% as of the latest data, within the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) target range New Zealand Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are around 3.75-4%, with recent cuts signaling a dovish stance to support the economy New Zealand Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a deficit, with recent figures at NZD 219 million surplus in December 2024, but annual trends indicate ongoing deficits New Zealand Balance of Trade.
Major exports include dairy products, meat, logs, and wood, while imports are dominated by petroleum and machinery, making NZD sensitive to commodity price fluctuations.
🔰Switzerland Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is projected at 1.3-1.5% for 2025, with a recent quarterly expansion of 0.4% in Q3 2024 Switzerland GDP Growth Rate.
Inflation is forecasted at 1.1-1.4% for 2025, currently at 0.4% in January 2025, reflecting low inflationary pressure Switzerland Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 0.50%, with potential for further cuts, as indicated by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Switzerland Interest Rate.
Switzerland maintains a trade surplus, with January 2025 surplus at CHF 4029.15 million, driven by exports like pharmaceuticals and watches Switzerland Balance of Trade.
The interest rate differential, with New Zealand's rates higher, could attract capital to NZD, but Switzerland's stable economy and surplus may support CHF.
🔰Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair:
New Zealand's economy is commodity-driven, with dairy and meat exports critical. Recent declines in commodity prices, forecasted at 5% in 2025 Commodity Forecast, could weaken NZD.
Switzerland's economy, with a strong financial sector and safe-haven status, benefits from global uncertainty, potentially strengthening CHF during risk-off periods.
Both countries face global trade dynamics, with New Zealand's deficit and Switzerland's surplus affecting currency valuation.
🔰Global Market Analysis
Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements:
Global GDP growth is projected at 3.3% for 2025, according to the IMF, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook.
Commodity prices are expected to decline, negatively impacting NZD due to New Zealand's export reliance Commodity Markets Outlook.
Stock markets show mixed performance, with international stocks outperforming U.S. markets in early 2025, potentially affecting risk-sensitive currencies like NZD Global Stock Market Performance.
Bond yields are stable, with U.S. 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, influencing global currency flows Global Economic Outlook.
🔰COT Data and Positioning
COT data provides insights into large trader positions, though direct NZD/CHF data is limited, requiring analysis of NZD/USD and USD/CHF:
For NZD/USD, non-commercial traders are assumed net long, suggesting bullish sentiment on NZD NZD COT Data.
For USD/CHF, net short positioning (long CHF) indicates bearish USD sentiment, supporting CHF CHF COT Data.
Positioning suggests a complex dynamic, with NZD strengthening against USD but CHF also gaining, potentially leading to downward pressure on NZD/CHF if CHF strengthens more.
Trader sentiment, with 91% long positions recently, contrasts with price movements, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment NZDCHF.
🔰Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation:
NZD is highly correlated with commodity prices, particularly dairy and meat. With a forecasted 5% decline in 2025, NZD faces downward pressure Commodity Price Forecast.
CHF, as a safe-haven currency, strengthens during global risk-off periods, with recent stock market volatility supporting its value Global Market Outlook.
Bond yields and equity market performance suggest CHF may benefit from risk aversion, while NZD suffers from commodity weakness.
🔰Quantitative Analysis
Technical analysis provides insights into price trends:
At 0.50300, NZD/CHF is below key moving averages (e.g., 50-day and 200-day), indicating a downtrend NZD CHF Technical Analysis.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggests potential oversold conditions, with values around 30, hinting at possible reversals, but current momentum leans bearish TradingView Analysis.
Support levels are near 0.5000, with resistance at 0.5100, based on recent charts NZD/CHF Technical Analyses.
🔰Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations:
Recent data shows 91% of traders long on NZD/CHF, with an average price of 0.5250, contrasting with a downward price movement, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment NZDCHF.
COT data and retail sentiment suggest mixed views, with institutional traders showing caution, potentially aligning with bearish technical signals.
🔰Next Trend Move and Overall Outlook
Combining all factors, the next trend move for NZD/CHF is likely downward:
Declining commodity prices and New Zealand's trade deficit weigh on NZD.
CHF's safe-haven status and lower interest rates support its strength, especially in uncertain global conditions.
Technical indicators and sentiment align with a bearish outlook, with the pair expected to test lower support levels.
The overall summary outlook is bearish, with NZD/CHF likely to decline further in 2025, though higher New Zealand interest rates provide some counterbalance. Real-time market feeds up to March 4, 2025, confirm this trend, with future predictions leaning toward continued bearish movement.
🔰Table: Summary of Key Economic Indicators
Indicator New Zealand (2025 Forecast) Switzerland (2025 Forecast)
GDP Growth 1-2% 1.3-1.5%
Inflation Rate 2.2% 1.1-1.4%
Interest Rate 3.75-4% 0.5% (potential cuts)
Trade Balance Deficit Surplus
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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NZDCHE Sell IdeaNZDCHF - Lets see how the price will react this week on the demand zone. Best scenario is the Bear Trend continue and price reject the demand zone and price fall to the lowest price from 5.8.2024
NZDCHF is making bearish flag patternAs soon as the price broke the bullish parallel channel, the price dropped sharply and indicated a shifting of trend from bullish to bearish. Right now, the price is making a bearish flag pattern, so it is a good opportunity to avail healthy RR. I have also opened a short position on the chart and am aiming at 1:2 RR, which is also equal to the projection of the bearish flag projection
Buy NZDCHFPrice formed a triple bottom and is about to breakout from downward trend. This is an early call, but all other CHF pairs have already broken out so this pair will follow. The fact that its early gives us a greater risk to reward.
CHF/NZD: BUY NOW.Fundamental Analysis:
The Swiss Franc (CHF) remains supported by its safe-haven status amidst global economic uncertainty, while the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) faces pressure from softer commodity prices and a cautious Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Diverging monetary policies and risk sentiment could favor the CHF in the medium term.
Technical Analysis:
CHF/NZD seems rejectng the critical support zone at 1.9440–1.9500, coinciding with the 50-day moving average. RSI near oversold levels signals potential for a bullish rebound.
Enter now at 1.9480 long.
if you follow me you will receive updates on this idea.
NZDCHF - Short from bearish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bearish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
NZDCHF Parallel Channel BreakoutNZDCHF breaking the parallel channel in downward direction. We can take entry upon retesting the channel towards sell side.
Manage your risk according to your account size!
NZD/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
The BB lower band is nearby so NZD-CHF is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 0.510.
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#031 Trust The Process NZDCHF Buy 0953SGT 26022025Buying.
Price at major support area. I am taking the opposite directions of CADCHF(I sold).
I don't care. Price will work itself out.
0954SGT 26022025
NZDCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the NZDCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5091
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5121
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
buy NZDCHFStrong bullish momentum on this pair, breaking from a bearish trend and now buying from a support zone as well as a trendline.
Bullish rebound?NZD/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5074
1st Support: 0.5052
1st Resistance: 0.5105
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDCHF: Bearish Wedge Pattern in PlayNZDCHF: Bearish Wedge Pattern in Play
The NZDCHF pair completed a bearish wedge pattern, confirmed on Friday evening. The price is currently retesting the pattern, increasing the likelihood of NZDCHF continuing its downward movement.
A short-term target is set at 0.5147, corresponding to the previous low. Should the price move below this level, it is likely to test 0.5138 and 0.5110.
While there are some risks due to SNB speculations, given the Swiss National Bank's consistent support of the CHF whenever it loses value, the CHF could push the pair further down.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Bearish trend pattern
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening
Until the strong resistance zone holds I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
NZD/CHF Trade Setup: Long from Key SupportNZD/CHF is currently bouncing off a strong support zone, making it a potential long opportunity if buyers step in to defend this level.
🔹 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: Near 0.510 - 0.511 (Support Zone)
🎯 Profit Target (Blue Zone): 0.517 - 0.518
🛑 Stop-Loss (Yellow Zone): Below 0.509
🔹 Market Outlook:
📊 Bullish Bias – Price is reacting to a well-established support zone. A break above 0.512 could confirm upside momentum.
⚠️ Risk Management – If price drops below 0.509, this trade setup becomes invalid.
Guide for Execution:
✅ No Martingale Strategy: Maintaining same position sizing for risk control.
✅ Remove Untriggered Orders: If the profit target is hit before entry, the pending order will be removed.
Will this support hold and push NZD/CHF higher? Watching closely for confirmation. Let me know your thoughts! 👇
NZDCHF: Another Liquidity Sweep Trade?! 🇳🇿🇨🇭
I see almost perfect liquidity grab on NZDCHF
after a test of a key daily demand zone.
Probabilities will be high that the price will at least pullback
from the underlined area to 0.5121 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Potential bullish rise?NZD/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance level.
Pivot: 0.5093
1st Support: 0.5060
1st Resistance: 0.5135
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
#026 Trust The Process NZDCHF Buy 1358SGT 25022025Buying at the Major Support Level as drawn and seen on the chart.
Very simple, S&R trading.
If you want additional confirmation, you could see that the immediate price action is that, price has swiped back up in a manner candlestick trading devotees call as, confirmation, or, reversal candle, or engulfing candle or marubozu candle, closing back into the range in a swift upward motion.
That's where I was stuck at previously, with such kind of fanciful names, patterns, etc.
Same could be said to ICT trading techniques, etc.
I haven't verify for myself if any of these ICT trading methods work or not, or if those signal providers who claim they use ICT methods to trade and am profitable(in the long run).
I am very curious though. But, I have spent too much time trying all kinds of bulls.
Now, I am just going to eat happily and be happy(LOL, I am listening to kaka rose live now and she is talking about the colleague whom left on her own because she keep posting on tiktok about how she is living a very frugal life and tough life by eating bread and cup noodles on live stream, tarnishing kaka rose's company image, when she is getting paid very very very well. In fact, she get paid 6 months bonus yearly, and kaka cooks for the entire company regularly for lunch.)
On weekends, she work another 30 hours, cleaning 3 to 4 houses on the side.
Bruh, I can't. What would a 58 years old auntie from china working in singapore living comfortably need so much money for? even when she is earning extremely well already, she chose to take up weekends jobs too?
1406SGT 25022025
NZDCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 0.51500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5,6
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
