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New Zealand Dollar/Euro

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NZDEUR trade ideas

EURNZD 4H | Potential Upthrust – Short> Price just swept the recent highs near 1.9145 with an upthrust pattern and is showing rejection. This looks like a classic liquidity trap, where breakout buyers may be caught. I'm preparing for a short entry based on Wyckoff principles, focusing on two key options: 1. Aggressive Entry (Candle Close Confirmation): > If the current 4H candle closes with strong rejection (upper wick / bearish engulfing), I’ll enter short immediately. Stop: Above 1.9145 (upthrust high) Target: 1.8940 (prior demand / mid-range) This entry captures the reversal early with great RR. 2. Retest Entry (Confirmation on Pullback): > If price breaks down and then pulls back to the 1.9100–1.9115 area, I’ll look for signs of bearish intent (lower highs, rejection) on 1H or 15M. This reduces risk of fakeout but may miss the move 60% of the time. Why this matters: > Wyckoff distribution often ends with an Upthrust, designed to trap late buyers and smartly shift supply. I’m trading the reaction, not the breakout. Confirmation will come either on this candle close or on the next pullback. Let me know if you’re seeing the same idea — or if you think bulls will push this breakout for real. I’m open to challenge.
Short
by theeOperator90
Inverted Head & Shoulders in Play, Watch for Bearish ConfluencePEPPERSTONE:EURNZD The pair is currently testing the neckline of a developing inverted head and shoulders pattern, just below the 1.9106 resistance. A confirmed breakout above this level would validate the bullish reversal structure and open the door for a potential rally toward the 200% Fibonacci extension, projected around 1.9336 — the classic target zone for this pattern. However, there’s a bearish confluence to note: a bearish shark pattern with a projected PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) at 1.9307, slightly below the head and shoulders target. This alignment suggests that while bullish momentum may drive price higher short term, we should be cautious of potential exhaustion as price approaches the 1.9300–1.9336 area. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: Neckline/Resistance: 1.9106 H&S Bullish Target (200% Fib Ext.): 1.9336 Bearish Shark PRZ: 1.9307 📌 Bullish structure in progress, but heavy resistance ahead. Watch for possible rejection near the convergence zone. Happy Trading, André Cardoso
Long
by Andre_Cardoso
EURNZD Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone (1H Chart)✅ 1. Market Context & Structure Analysis The pair (EUR/NZD) was in a short-term downtrend before forming a higher low, indicating a potential bullish reversal. A W-shaped structure is visible, suggesting a double bottom around the 1.8960–1.8970 zone. The price has bounced multiple times from the demand zone (green box), confirming strong buying interest. The recent price action shows the market respecting structure with a clean impulse–correction–impulse pattern, creating a potential continuation leg. 📍 2. Entry Criteria Entry Price Range: 1.8960 – 1.8970 Why? This area coincides with a tested support zone, from where price previously rallied. The current pullback to this area presents a low-risk buying opportunity. Candlestick confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) would further validate the entry. 🔐 3. Stop Loss (Risk Management) Stop Loss Placement: Below 1.8930 Reasoning: Keeps SL below the structure low and the demand zone. If price breaks this level, it invalidates the bullish setup and prevents deeper losses. 🎯 4. Take Profit Levels (Targets) TP1 -1.9050 Minor resistance / partial booking TP2 -1.9100 First key resistance zone TP3 -1.9140 Swing high and strong supply area (red zone) Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~1:2.5 to 1:3+ You can trail your stop as price moves toward these levels. 📊 5. Technical Confluences ✅ Support Zone: Price bounced multiple times from 1.8960 ✅ Bullish Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows are forming ✅ Chart Pattern: Double bottom / W-pattern breakout potential ✅ Fibonacci (optional): The zone may also align with a 61.8% retracement (not shown but often observed) ⚙️ 6. Trade Management Strategy 🔄 Partial Exit: Book 50% profits at TP1 ⏫ Trail SL: Move SL to entry after TP1 hit to make trade risk-free 🔚 Full Exit: At TP3 or if strong bearish reversal candle forms near resistance ⚠️ 7. Risk Disclaimer & Notes Avoid overleveraging. Only risk 1–2% of your capital. Reconfirm the trade setup during the London or early NY session for better volatility. News events (like RBNZ or ECB speeches) could increase volatility — always check the economic calendar before entry. ======================================================== Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TradZoo
EURNZD at Key Decision Zone | Breakout or Breakdown?📊 Pair: EURNZD 🕒 Timeframe: Likely H1 or H4 📅 Date: May 18, 2025 🔍 Technical Analysis 🔁 Key Zones 🔴 Resistance-Turned-Support (RTS): 1.8975 – 1.8990 This area was previously a resistance level that price broke above, and is now acting as a critical support zone (flip zone). Price is currently retesting this area. 🎯 Target Zone (Resistance): 1.9085 – 1.9110 This is the next projected bullish target if price successfully rebounds from current support. 🛑 Major Support Zone: 1.8840 – 1.8860 Strong buying interest was seen here previously, acting as a safety net in case of bearish rejection from the current level. 🔄 EMA Confluence 📘 EMA 200 (Blue): 1.8975 📕 EMA 50 (Red): 1.8981 Price is hovering around the EMAs, indicating a moment of decision. A decisive move above these EMAs could trigger bullish momentum. 📈 🔮 Scenario Outlook 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Preferred Setup) ✅ Confirmation above 1.8990 ➡️ Retest and continuation could push price toward the 1.9100 target zone. 🔼 Momentum supported by prior breakout and higher lows. 📌 Entry Idea: Above 1.8995 🎯 Target: 1.9100 🛡️ Stop: Below 1.8950 🔴 Bearish Scenario ❌ If price fails to hold the 1.8970–1.8990 zone, a breakdown could follow. ⬇️ Likely move toward 1.8850 support zone. 🚨 Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection candles near resistance. 🧠 Summary Price is at a key decision point. ✅ Bullish bias is slightly stronger due to market structure (higher highs & higher lows). ⚠️ But a clean break below support would shift focus to the downside. 📈 Strategy: Wait for confirmation ⚖️ Bullish: Break + retest of 1.8990 Bearish: Breakdown below 1.8950 and close under EMAs
by MrStellanSight
17
EUR/NZDOANDA:EURNZD has hit the POI twice on the higher timeframe. These have resulted in strong reactions, and early buyers are out since we returned to the area, tapped the bottom, and triggered a stop hunt. After this, we got a clear MSS (Market Structure Shift), and I expect an upward move to the Daily FVG. Fundamental factors supporting this: * Potential ECB rate hikes strengthening the Euro. * Weaker NZD due to declining global commodity prices. * RBNZ's dovish stance potentially pressuring NZD downward
Long
by OzLn
EURNZD Analysis: Bounce & BreakoutHello traders! EURNZD is in a 1h range and is offering two trading scenarios. The first scenario suggests the pair may react bearishly from the resistance zone, setting up a bounce opportunity that could drive price lower toward the 1.90000 area. The second scenario anticipates a breakout above the resistance zone, followed by a retest, which could present a strong opportunity for continuation toward the 1.92000 area. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
13
EURNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURNZD is currently trading around the 1.89 zone after successfully completing a retest of its prior breakout area. This level aligns perfectly with a key historical demand zone, where previous resistance has now flipped into strong support. The market structure remains bullish, and the recent higher-low formation combined with increased volume suggests the pair is gearing up for its next impulsive move to the upside. The price has respected the support zone with precision, signaling institutional interest and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for long positions. From a fundamental perspective, the euro remains relatively supported against the New Zealand dollar due to diverging monetary policy expectations. The European Central Bank is maintaining a cautious but slightly hawkish tone amid sticky core inflation, while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is under pressure to ease policy later this year due to softening economic indicators, including a slowdown in GDP growth and weaker labor market conditions. These macro drivers favor a bullish bias on EURNZD as capital flow leans toward safer, yield-protected assets in the eurozone. Technically, this setup has clean market geometry. The pair has broken through a multi-month consolidation structure and is now retesting the breakout with confluence from the main support zone at 1.88–1.89. With momentum building and volume increasing on the bounce, the setup is valid for a continuation toward the 1.99 level, especially if the pair reclaims the minor resistance at 1.9050. Breakout traders and position holders should monitor this area closely for confirmation. Overall, this is a textbook bullish continuation play. The market has absorbed sell pressure at a critical level, and the successful retest confirms the strength of the new support base. With both technical structure and macro fundamentals aligned, this setup offers high potential for trend continuation, and I'm anticipating a strong move toward 1.99 in the coming weeks.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
EURNZD What Next? BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the EURNZD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.8840 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.8961 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
EURNZD – 1H Bullish Divergence - Bullish SetupEURNZD – 1H Bullish Divergence | Reversal Setup Brewing 🔄📈 Hey traders 👋 We’re spotting a clean bullish divergence on EURNZD’s 1H timeframe — and it’s developing right at a potential turning point. If you're hunting for a sharp intraday reversal, this setup deserves your attention. 🔍 Technical Breakdown Price action: Making lower lows Momentum indicators (RSI / MACD): Printing higher lows That’s your bullish divergence, loud and clear — signaling that although price is falling, the momentum behind the drop is fading fast. This kind of divergence often appears before a sharp bounce or a trend shift — especially on the 1H. ⚡ Confluence (What Makes This Setup Stronger) Divergence forming at a local support zone Multiple rejections at the low – showing buyer interest Price slowing down — candles getting tighter = potential squeeze before expansion 🎯 Trade Plan Aggressive Entry: Off the divergence low, using candle confirmation Conservative Entry: Wait for a break of minor structure high or trendline Stop Loss: Below the swing low Targets: Prior resistance zones or fib retracement levels (38.2% / 61.8%) This is not about guessing direction — it’s about reading the shift in momentum before price reacts. 📌 EURNZD Bullish Divergence on 1H – Is the Trend About to Turn? What’s your entry game here — early off the divergence or waiting for a clean breakout? #EURNZD #ForexTrading #BullishDivergence #PriceAction #TechnicalSetup #1HChart #ReversalPlay #SmartMoney #MomentumShift #FXIdeas
Long
by MAAwan
2
Today's analysis is full of scribbles...Well, we've got a clean setup with a range box, indicating a weakening bearish trend. There's an Elliott correction that seems to have completed and now the overall bullish trend is likely to resume. We're seeing a strong uptrend on the weekly timeframe. The bullish BOS (Break of Structure) has been touched several times and looks exhausted now. We've got a key Fibonacci level, which is the most important area right now. There are multiple order blocks around as well. In short, I gave you a simple breakdown — go ahead, analyze it yourself and look for entries. Wishing you all success and green trades!
Long
by soroushshahabi639
EUR/NZD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/NZD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 5H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.891 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
2