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New Zealand Dollar/British Pound

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NZDGBP trade ideas

GBPNZD Swing trade: WC20/01/2025 GBPNZD Analysis: Waiting for Key Closes From a swing perspective, GBPNZD is a no-trade for now, with a bias still leaning bullish. The higher timeframes (daily) show a deeper pullback into the previous higher high, indicating we may be in a consolidation phase. If today's daily close is below 2.17900, we could see a deeper pullback toward the 2.14900 region before a potential buy opportunity. This pullback could offer a solid 5:1 risk/reward if we enter once price begins to form a new higher high. For confirmation of bullish momentum, we’d need to see a daily close above 2.18783 today. This would signal strong upward momentum and give us a clearer entry for the next leg up. Patience is key, as we need confirmation before entering buys. Keep an eye on these levels!
Long
by Thetraderscollective
GBPNZD - The pound, at peace?!The GBPNZD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the downward trend continues, we can see the demand zone and buy this currency pair in that zone with the appropriate risk reward. The upward correction of this currency pair will provide us with the opportunity to sell it again. According to Bloomberg, in response to rising borrowing costs, the UK bond market has requested that the government reduce the issuance of long-term bonds next year. During annual consultation meetings held on Monday, traders strongly advocated for a reduction in the maturity of bonds issued for the fiscal year 2025-2026 compared to current levels. The majority of investors favor increasing the issuance of short-term bonds due to declining demand for long-term bonds from pension funds. The Debt Management Office mentioned in its meeting minutes that the market requires greater flexibility due to “uncertainty.” The recent rise in UK bond yields has posed new challenges for the government, and these proposals could help the government adapt to the shifts in demand. As reported by the Financial Times, UK Treasury Minister Rachel Reeves has expressed support for regulatory plans aimed at reducing restrictions on mortgage lending.These plans, which are being reviewed by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), aim to allow banks to take on more risk with mortgage loans, enabling more people to become homeowners. In an interview with the Financial Times, Reeves stated her willingness to consider the FCA’s proposals for easing mortgage restrictions. She said, “I am fully prepared to explore ideas that can help working families achieve homeownership.” This week, Reeves traveled to Davos to participate in the World Economic Forum and promote the UK as a prime destination for investment. This effort is part of the Labour government’s strategy to stimulate economic growth, as the UK experienced a recession in the second half of last year. Given the stringent fiscal rules Reeves has imposed on herself and the decline in business confidence following her decision to raise employer national insurance contributions in the October budget, the Treasury Minister has faced significant political pressure since the start of the year. The Treasury is at the forefront of the government’s efforts to push regulators to introduce growth-enhancing measures. Last week, Reeves met with several UK regulatory officials to gather their ideas on this matter. Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that the number of job vacancies in the UK decreased to 812,000 in the quarter ending December. Additionally, the economic inactivity rate dropped to 21.6% in the three months ending November. Traders have increased their bets on an interest rate cut by the Bank of England, expecting a reduction of 64 basis points this year. Moreover, December data indicates that the UK’s public sector net debt (excluding banking groups) rose to £17.8 billion, up from the previous figure of £11.2 billion. Public sector tax receipts increased to £19.9 billion, a notable rise compared to the previous £13.0 billion. Similarly, central government net debt climbed to £19.9 billion, up from £16.3 billion previously. Meanwhile, in the latest Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction in New Zealand, the GDT price index increased by 1.4%, while whole milk powder prices rose by 5%.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?GBP/NZD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2.1897 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2.1966 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 2.1671 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPNZD at a Crossroads📈The GBPNZD currency pair has been in a strong long-term bullish trend but now faces a critical level that could shift the entire market direction. I’m Skeptic , and in this analysis, we’ll explore key scenarios and highlight strategic entry points for both long and short positions. Let’s dive in! 🧵On the daily timeframe, the bullish momentum is clear. After breaking out of a descending channel, GBPNZD surged higher. Currently, it’s in a corrective phase, pulling back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement—indicating potential weakness. Compared to the last correction, this pullback shows weaker bullish candles and stronger selling pressure. Despite this, valid long setups remain possible if our strategy confirms them. The 2.23 daily resistance is crucial; a breakout and consolidation above it could trigger long positions. On the flip side, a break below 2.18 support may confirm a bearish trend, opening short opportunities. 📍 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis 🕒 On the 4-hour chart, GBPNZD forms a descending consolidation box within the larger bullish trend. Bullish moves have been weaker, marked by smaller green candles, while bearish drops are stronger. Price is now testing a potential downside breakout. A confirmed break below the 2.19 support—aligned with the 50% Fibonacci level—could push the price toward 2.18. Conversely, a false breakout followed by a recovery above 2.20 resistance may offer a strong long setup. Important Note: Given the corrective phase within the broader uptrend, it’s wise to manage risk carefully with tighter stop-losses. Fast R/R trades and quick exits are ideal due to high volatility and uncertain direction. 📊 ⭐ Friendly Tip: From my experience, win rates and R/R ratios drop during ranging or corrective markets. If your strategy relies on momentum or breakouts, patience is key, or consider other pairs. Sometimes, the smartest trade is no trade at all. Stepping back can prepare you for greater opportunities ahead. Thank you for the amazing support on my previous Idea. Wishing you success and profits!🤍 — Skeptic :)
by SkepticWise
3
GBP/NZD 4H Timeframe AnalysisGBP/NZD 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis On the 4-hour chart, GBP/NZD is in a short-term downtrend, having recently broken below the minor key support at 2.19900. After this break, the price formed several Doji candles, indicating market indecision. This suggests the price may be temporarily pausing and gathering momentum for the next move. We expect the price to retrace upward to break the 2.19900 minor resistance, grabbing liquidity before continuing the bearish momentum. Price Action Expectation Our objective is to wait for the price to break above 2.19900, form liquidity, and then reverse back below this level. Once the price breaks below the minor support again, it will confirm a continuation of the downtrend, providing an opportunity for a short position. Fundamental Correlation Traders should be mindful of economic releases or events affecting GBP or NZD, as they could impact market volatility and influence the pair's price movement. Trade Setup Trade Type: Sell Stop (Breakout Trade) Entry: 2.19770 (on confirmation of a break below support) Stop Loss: 2.20370 (above the recent high to account for false breakouts) Take Profit: 2.18440 (next significant support level) Conclusion: GBP/NZD is set for a potential bearish continuation, with the break-and-retest scenario aligning with the downtrend structure. Liquidity above 2.19900 may act as a catalyst for the next downward move. Wait for confirmation of the break below 2.19900 before entering a short position. Risk Management Ensure a disciplined approach with a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. Position sizes should be calculated to align with your account equity. Monitor real-time price action closely, especially around critical levels, to validate or invalidate the setup.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
Why I prefer to SELL GBPNZD over GBPAUD - Explained in detail!!!Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button. We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
3
Technical Analysis and Trade Setup for GBPNZDThe forex pair GBPNZD is currently trading at a price of 2.2000, with a target price set at 2.3000, indicating a potential gain of 500+ pips. This suggests a bullish outlook for the pair, as it is expected to appreciate in value. The analysis highlights that the pair is showing a good bounce from a key support level, which often signals a reversal or continuation of an upward trend. However, the trader is exercising caution by waiting for confirmation before entering the trade. This confirmation could involve technical indicators, price action patterns, or fundamental factors aligning with the upward movement. Such an approach helps minimize risk and improve the probability of success. The trade setup relies on the strength of the support level and market sentiment favoring the pound over the kiwi. Proper risk management and adherence to a trading plan are essential when executing this strategy.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Bearish drop?GBP/NZD is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2.2060 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 2.2191 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 2.1898 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBP/NZD: Bullish Setup After Correction to the Golden ZoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPNZD Analysis ! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by OGT_Forex
2
GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bearish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry a Bear trade can be initiated on the MA level breakout of 2.15654. however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level. Goal 🎯: 2.11200 (OR) Before escape in the bank Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The GBP/NZD (British Pound vs New Zealand Dollar) market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors. BEARISH FACTORS: UK Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing UK economic uncertainty, including the Brexit negotiations and the COVID-19 pandemic, is expected to weaken the British Pound. New Zealand Economy: The New Zealand economy is expected to grow at a faster pace than the UK economy, with a forecast of 2.5% GDP growth for the next quarter, which could strengthen the New Zealand Dollar. Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to keep interest rates low, but the Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates, which could weaken the British Pound. Commodity Prices: The price of commodities such as dairy products and meat is expected to increase, which could strengthen the New Zealand Dollar. UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: UK GDP Growth: The upcoming UK GDP growth report is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could weaken the British Pound. New Zealand GDP Growth: The upcoming New Zealand GDP growth report is expected to show a strong economic growth, which could strengthen the New Zealand Dollar. UK Inflation Rate: The upcoming UK inflation rate report is expected to show a low inflation rate, which could weaken the British Pound. New Zealand Inflation Rate: The upcoming New Zealand inflation rate report is expected to show a higher inflation rate, which could strengthen the New Zealand Dollar. MARKET SENTIMENT: Bearish Sentiment: 60% Bullish Sentiment: 30% Neutral Sentiment: 10% Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Short
by Thief_Trader
GBP/NZD Buy Trade – Targeting 2.17686Pair: GBP/NZD 💷🇳🇿 Direction: Long 🔼 Target: 2.17686 🎯 Time Horizon: By Monday, Jan 20, 17:45 UTC ⏳ The pair is showing signs of recovery after recent price fluctuations, with market behavior suggesting a potential move toward the 2.17686 level. The observed price action indicates a gradual upward trajectory as market participants respond to evolving conditions. This trade is expected to reach its target by Monday at 17:45 UTC. Broader market influences, including GBP strength and NZD market sentiment, may impact price movements. Close monitoring is advised to assess the development of the anticipated trend. 🔍
Long
by GlobalHorns
GBPNZD: Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:GBPNZD has broken a key support zone signaling a potential increase in bearish momentum. The price is currently retesting this broken support, which now serves as resistance. If sellers confirm resistance at this level, I expect the price to move downward toward 2.15600, aligning with the bearish trend. On the other hand, a failure to hold resistance could indicate a bullish shift. Traders should watch for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or strong selling volume, before entering short positions.
Short
by DanieIM
1