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NZDJPY trade ideas

NZDJPY - Off We Go... Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈NZDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand! 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #NZDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
10
NZDJPY bearish continuation📌 Key Observations Previous Structure Shift (QM + Break of Structure): There was a clear Quasimodo (QM) formation at the top, followed by a break of structure to the downside, confirming bearish intent. The high created liquidity and was swept—then price broke below the QM low confirming order flow shift. Bearish Channel Breakout & Retest: Price broke below the rising wedge (bearish reversal pattern). Retested inside a minor bearish flag now acting as a continuation pattern (currently breaking it down again). Current Price Action: Price is reacting to a supply zone inside the red box, which also aligns with: A previous order block. A potential breaker structure. This zone also represents a BOS retest. 🧠 Trade Idea (Sell Bias Confirmed) ✅ Entry: Inside the red supply zone (already showing rejection). 🎯 Target Zones: TP1: 85.15 → minor demand zone + previous structure. TP2: 84.20 → mid-level POI. TP3: 83.14 → major demand/FVG zone. TP4: 82.58 → extreme demand and liquidity resting point. 📍 Stop Loss: Above the red zone, ~85.95 to 86.00 area. 🔻 Risk-to-Reward (RR): The RR to final target (TP4) looks excellent (~1:4 to 1:5+). 🧩 Volume/Engulfing Confirmation (Optional) You may wait for a bearish engulfing candle inside the red zone with bearish volume to confirm entry if you're applying your VSA + engulfing method.
Short
by Delast2
8
NZDJPY → Pre-breakdown consolidation. Readiness for a declineFX:NZDJPY is under pressure from a global downtrend. Locally, a flat (range) and pre-breakdown consolidation relative to support are forming on the chart... After a false breakdown of support on May 16, the price failed to reverse and grow. Instead, the currency pair entered a consolidation phase, during which it continues to test support. Each subsequent retest of 85.25-85.30 only increases the chances of a breakout with the aim of continuing the decline. Another important nuance is the elimination (short squeeze) of local resistance at 85.95. Pressure on the price is also being exerted by the falling dollar index, which is strengthening the Japanese yen, which is generally reflected in the price of NZDJPY... Support levels: 85.300, 85.25, 84.195 Resistance levels: 85.7, 85.95 The continuation of the current consolidation and the compression of the price towards support only increases the chances of a breakdown of the 85.30 support level. A break and consolidation of the price below 85.25 could trigger a further decline. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
NZDJPY – Sell Into Resistance as Top Formation EmergesTrade Setup Type: Sell Limit Entry: 85.95 Target: 85.20 Stop Loss: 86.20 Risk/Reward Ratio: ~3:1 Duration: Intraday Expires: 21/05/2025 15:00 Technical Overview Price action is showing signs of topping, with rallies stalling below previous highs. Short-term RSI is rising, but momentum appears to be weakening into resistance. Bespoke resistance is located at 85.95, which aligns with yesterday’s high — a likely ceiling for price in the short term. The preferred strategy is to sell into strength, with downside targeting support at 85.20. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by Signal_Centre1
2
NZD/JPY Breaks Wedge Structure – Bearish Setup Targets 82.42NZD/JPY has broken down from a rising wedge and failed to reclaim upper support, now acting as resistance. The structure is cleanly bearish on the 4H chart, with rejection near 85.60 and a confirmed lower high. Weak New Zealand data and rising safe-haven demand for JPY add weight to this technical setup. Price looks poised to extend toward 82.42 and possibly 80.99 if momentum builds. Bearish bias is valid unless price closes above 87.17. 🔍 Technical Analysis Chart Pattern: Rising wedge → broken → retest failed Bear Flag: Forming below wedge base, suggesting further downside Resistance Area: 85.60–87.17 Bearish Structure: Lower highs and bearish candle formations Price unable to reclaim former support trendline Support Targets: First TP: 84.00 – minor support, fib confluence Second TP: 82.42 – March swing low Final TP: 81.00 zone – next fib cluster 🌍 Macro Fundamentals 🇳🇿 New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Retail Sales missed: 0.0% vs 0.9% forecast → consumer sector is slowing Core Retail Sales weak: 0.7% vs 1.4% Dairy auction (GDT Index) down -0.9% → key export underperforming Implication: Risk of slower growth → RBNZ may shift toward neutral/dovish stance 🇯🇵 Japanese Yen (JPY) JPY supported by risk-off flows due to: U.S. credit downgrade Iran-US nuclear tension Declining global PMI forecasts Yen strengthens as traders seek safe havens despite BoJ’s dovish baseline 🎯 Trade Plan Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: 85.50–85.60 (confirmation area) Targets: TP1: 84.00 TP2: 82.42 TP3: 81.00 Stop Loss: Above 87.17 (invalidates wedge breakdown) ⚠️ What to Watch China sentiment or surprise stimulus (may support NZD) Sharp equity rallies (could reduce JPY demand short-term) If NZD/JPY closes above 86.00, reduce position or stay out 🧭 Conclusion NZD/JPY has rolled over from a broken rising wedge, now forming a clean bearish continuation structure. Weak NZ data and macro risk flows into JPY favor downside extension. This setup offers clear levels, defined risk, and macro alignment — ideal for disciplined short entries.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
NZDJPY → Countertrend correction and false breakoutFX:NZDJPY is testing resistance within a global downtrend. The currency pair is not yet ready to continue its growth and is forming a local reversal pattern. Within the global downtrend, the currency pair is forming a countertrend correction and testing resistance at 87.400. The liquidity pool formed above this level is not yet ready to let the price move further. Without the possibility of continuing growth, the price returns to the range and forms a false breakout of resistance. However, since we are in the range and the price has returned inside it, if the bears hold the line (the upper limit of the trading range) at 87.400, this could trigger a further decline, thereby continuing the global downtrend. Resistance levels: 87.400 Support levels: 86.5, 85.26 Consolidation of the price below 87.400 will confirm that the price is not yet ready to continue the trend. The falling dollar index is provoking a rise in the Japanese yen, which may also put pressure on the currency pair. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
NZDJPY: A Bigger Bearish wave could start SoonNZDJPY: A Bigger Bearish wave could start Soon NZDJPY broke out from a bearish Wedge Pattern during Friday thus rising the chances to decline more. The Rising wedge pattern is formed during a bullish trend. As long as the pattern was broken out the chances for a bearish trend is growing. NZDJPY may face a strong support near to the structure areas where it can also change direction. Targets: 🎯 84.50 🎯 83.50 🎯 82.50 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
NZDJPY: The Price Started The Downward Movement As ExpectedNZDJPY: The Price Started The Downward Movement As Expected NZDJPY is moving as expected, dropping nearly 90 pips since our last analysis. The price recently broke below a bearish triangle pattern, and after a brief pullback, I expect it to continue downward. However, the Bank of Japan’s upcoming meeting with the U.S. could also play a key role in shaping the market. Let’s see how the charts unfold! You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
3
NZDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for NZDJPY. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 85.439. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 85.706 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
NZDJPY: Strong Bullish Signal 🇳🇿🇯🇵 I spotted a nice example of the application of SMC trading with multiple time frame analysis on NZDJPY pair. After a test of a significant daily demand zone, first, we see a liquidity grab where the price went beyond the underlined zone. A consequent bullish imbalance and CHoCH confirm a real strength of the buyers and indicate a highly probable bullish continuation. Next goal - 86.43 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
NZDJPY may end its rally with a correctionNZDJPY almost without pullbacks, with one impulse forms a strong fall. The potential is starting to run out and the market will need a breather. The current wave may test the zone of interest at 85.268 and move into the correction phase The price is ready to test the strong support at 85.268, the limit level is most likely still in the market and may hold the support area and thus trigger a correction and pullback to 0.5 fibo Scenario: fall to 85.268, false breakdown and rebound to the first zone of interest (imbalance) 86.500
Long
by AndeWave
2
NZDJPY to find sellers at previous resistance?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a top. Short term RSI is moving higher. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 86.35. We look to Sell at 86.35 (stop at 86.65) Our profit targets will be 85.30 and 85.00 Resistance: 86.30 / 86.80 / 87.20 Support: 85.30 / 85.00 / 84.50 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDJPY: Another Bullish Confirmation 🇳🇿🇯🇵 If you remember, I already posted a bullish outlook for NZDJPY on Friday. This morning, I spotted one more intraday bullish confirmation. I see a breakout of a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame. I expect a bullish movement at least to 85.9 level soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
NZDJPY Long: Fib 0.786 Retest + Strong NZD Momentum🔹 Pair: NZD/JPY 🔹 Timeframe: Daily 🔹 Direction: Long 🔹 Status: Price holding Fib 0.786 retracement level (bullish structure intact) 🔹 Entry Zone: ~85.50–85.60 (Live entry) 📊 Fundamental Confluence 🇳🇿 NZD – Bullish Momentum Conditional Score Jump: 🚀 From 8 → 13 (Strongest improvement this week). Seasonality: 🔼 Strong seasonal bias from mid-May onward. CB Stance: Hawkish — RBNZ cautious but maintains restrictive policy. Global Risk-On: VIX < 20 supports high-beta currencies like NZD. 🇯🇵 JPY – Weakening BoJ Outlook: Delayed inflation target to 2027 = no urgency to tighten. Score Flat: Minor improvement (11 → 12), not enough to change bias. Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven demand dropping, weakening JPY. Macro Drag: Japan underperforming vs G7 counterparts.
Long
by wajahatarif