
New Zealand Dollar / Japanese Yen forum

NZDJPY DTF Chart – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
On the DTF chart, NZDJPY is currently forming a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows, clearly signaling a bearish trend. The price has broken through several minor key levels — first at 86.800, then 85.000, and has now reached the minor key support at 82.500, which we identify as our Change of Character (ChoCH) zone.
After the breakdown below 82.500, the market started accumulating sell-side pressure from pending orders placed on the breakout. Now, price is moving toward a key liquidity zone, targeting stop-losses from those early sellers — a classic liquidity hunt move.
As of now, we have not yet seen a clear liquidity structure inside the zone. Our strategy is to wait for liquidity to form, and once confirmed, we’ll enter the market with the following setup:
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I have been eyeballing and have been all winners in march, except for one breakeven.(Not march, I meant April 2025).
1607SGT 10042025
And some orders not triggered because my bid price is too much(I asked for slightly more discounts than seller was willing to offer).
As seen on the chart, as usual I have placed my bid price slightly above the resistance level. I might not always place the bidding price to be higher than the asking price, but now I do it because I feel comfortable with it.
Everything is just a story telling process. I build up the story that I tell myself, to build up my confidence in this setup.
Because if your storytelling isn't strong, and the way you imagine things to move doesn't work out, you get damaged in your mind and that's when you start to deviate from your original methods.
"Maybe I could add this, or that. Or, I am tired it isn't working out, I'm so tired" etc.
Trading less for real also allow the mind to cool down. Prevents the metal from becoming overheated and warp.
Just like riding around the corner which says 50kmph. If you ride over 50kmph, and you are not as skilled as you imagined, the angle of your motorbike's trajectory widens, and instead of curving with the bend, you start to move outwards instead and ends up crashing.
Know your intend and role.
Actually theres no right or wrong, but theres consequences and outcomes.
If your action doesn't align with your intention, and understooded consequences and potential outcomes, then you will be in for a big "surprise" when things don't work out your way.
I like what the remiser Joey Yap mentioned, "there's a few ways to trade the market and there's many many many wrong ways to do it too". -paraphrasing him in his youtube ads.
All of these yapping is me talking to myself in my own way because I am painting a picture for myself.
If you read it, good for you.
1606SGT
10042025

Target 83.700
Stop loss 79.600
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I would enter at a- when,
- Price stabs the minor resistance area marked with the yellow sguiggly line labeled as a-.
Confluence with trendline, and 60SMA.
All sounds good, and something I would have taken back in 2020.
I was stuck back then in this "belief" that I should only check two time frames, one entry and one higher time frame.
However, I was very wrong. It would work that way if one were to enter on the 4H time frame, and taking the direction of the Daily time frame.
However, I realised it doesn't work, at least for me.
I am missing out on alot of movements I should have taken note of, such as the price breaching the Daily major Support level.
Of course I was figuring things out, and I am still figuring things out.
I think there is never an end to learning.
Just 1 to 3 trades a month is good enough. Allowing my mind to relax while I eyeball trades and setups.
I am just eyeballing this setup now.
I don't believe this setup is a good one because price just touched the daily Major support.
If there is not support level in sight, I would enter on this trade.
Not to say this setup wouldn't work out, because it could, as institutions come back to sweep the Daily major support's SLs' before heading back up.
But for myself I don't like this trade and I will not enter on it.
1319SGT
07042025

look at my analysis..
Take profit 1 at 82.90
Take profit 2 at 82.40
Take profit 3 at 81.80
Stop loss at 83.91
My thoughts about it are bearish and we can take sell entries till the tps.
what are your thoughts about it..?