NZD/USD4H Chart Analysis Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone📈 Price: 0.59552
📊 EMA 70: 0.59410 (🟤 Brown Line)
Chart Zones & Key Levels
🔷 Resistance Zone:
🔼 Around 0.60298 – 0.60304
🔹 Price reacted strongly here (🔽 white arrows)
🔹 Acts as a ceiling for now
🟢 Demand Zone:
🔽 Around 0.58800
✅ Buyers stepped in here before
📉 If price drops again, might bounce from here
🟥 STOP LOSS:
❗ 0.58793
🔸 Protects from deeper losses if trend breaks down.
TRADE IDEA
1️⃣ Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the Demand Zone
📉⬇️
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Expected:
⬆️ Bounce toward Target Zone
🎯 Target Point: 0.60300
🟦 Profit zone marked in blue
💸 Good Risk/Reward ratio.
Indicators & Pattern
📐 Wedge Pattern:
🔹 Bullish breakout potential
🔹 Currently respecting the channel
📉 EMA Crossover Area:
🔸 Could act as dynamic support/resistance
🟤 Price hovering around EMA (0.59410)
Summary:
✅ Buy Setup if price holds above 0.58800
🎯 Target: 0.60300
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.58793
⚠️ Watch the price reaction at the Demand Zone for confirmation!
NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD - growth ended with a false breakout NZDUSD makes a false breakout of resistance after strong growth in the Asian session. The dollar is correcting a bit before the news at this time, which may give a chance for the currency pair to correct
Scenario: Strong growth of 2.3% is tempered by a false breakout. The price is not ready to continue rising. Consolidation of the price below 0.60200 may intensify the sell-off and trigger a correction to the support at 0.5969 (0.5)
NZDUSD: Dips as Investors Await RBNZ Decision on May New Zealand Dollar Dips as Investors Await RBNZ Decision on May 28
The New Zealand dollar fell to around $0.6000 on Tuesday, following a volatile Monday session where it briefly reached its highest level in nearly seven months.
Now, all eyes are on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s upcoming policy announcement on Wednesday.
The central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates for the sixth time in a row, possibly lowering the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%.
Market participants will also pay close attention to the bank’s latest economic forecasts, looking for clues about how China Trade Tariffs could affect future growth.
Meanwhile, NZDUSD remains below the Daily Pivot Point, signaling a higher likelihood of further declines ahead of the RBNZ rate decision, as seen in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NZDUSD → A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout.FX:NZDUSD bounces off the upward support line and forms a distribution towards the liquidity zone located above 0.597...
Strong resistance lies ahead at 0.5969 - 0.5975 (liquidity pool). If the current movement continues (distribution), the market will exhaust all its potential and the situation may end in a false breakout. There is no trend as such in the market, the price is inside the flat, and thus bearish pressure may resist the upward price movement.
Resistance levels: 0.5969, 0.5974
Support levels: 0.5932, 0.5917
Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, the currency pair is likely to continue its growth and may test 0.5969 in the short term, but based on the nature of the movement, we can assume that a downward correction will follow.
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDUSD Range Tightens – Breakout Setup BuildingNZDUSD continues to coil within a contracting triangle, forming a symmetrical wedge bounded by lower highs and higher lows. Price is approaching the resistance zone near 0.6028, with visible indecision and rejection wicks, signaling potential for either breakout or rejection.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.6028 (structural ceiling, key pivot)
Support: ~0.5800 (ascending support line of wedge)
Breakout Target (Bullish): 0.6150–0.6200
Breakdown Target (Bearish): 0.5650–0.5550
Scenarios to Watch:
🔹 Bearish Rejection
Price rejects off 0.6028 and returns inside range
Watch for momentum drop and move toward wedge base (0.5800)
Clean breakdown opens path toward April lows (~0.5509)
🔹 Bullish Breakout
Break and hold above 0.6028
Confirmation on 4H close + retest
Opens room for bullish extension toward 0.6150+
Outlook:
Price is nearing apex compression, suggesting breakout is imminent.
Bias is neutral until price breaks out of the current wedge structure.
Expect volatility spike around the 0.6028 test.
NZDUSD BUYSNZDUSD is expected to buy to complete the crab pattern around 0.61200 psychological level BOUNCING FROM A 1HR FVG(Fair value Gap). we saw an expected rate cut of NZD interest rate at 25 basis point(0.25%) was was a dovish stand by the central bank. with investment sentiment still high on risk-on assets, I expect nzd to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips AgainMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips Again
NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.5935.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.6000 resistance zone.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.6030 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.5960 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.5930 zone and is currently consolidating.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low at 0.5960. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960.
The next resistance is the 0.5985 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low. If there is a move above 0.5985, the pair could rise toward 0.6030.
Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.6080 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.5930 level.
The next major support is near the 0.5910 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5880, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.5850 level. The next key support is near 0.5820.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZDUSD 1D Golden Cross, final bull signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern that only broke during the early April sell-off and has found Support near its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on its recent May consolidation.
As the 1D MACD just formed the 4th Bullish Cross of the year we expect this long with the emerging 1D Golden Cross to be the final buy signal before a long-term correction. Our Target is 0.60900 representing a +4.30% rise, the minimum previous within this pattern.
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NZDUSD to form a higher low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
A move through 0.5960 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6000.
Pivot resistance is at 0.6000.
We look to Buy at 0.5940 (stop at 0.5915)
Our profit targets will be 0.5990 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.5990 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5940 / 0.5925 / 0.5900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EURUSD,GBPUSD,AUDUSD and NZDUSD possible bounce?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Is This the Next Big Heist? Thief Trader Eyes NZD/USD Long SetupThief Trader’s NZD/USD Heist Plan – Long Setup in Play!
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---
🔎 **Trade Overview**
💥 Setup: Long Entry Plan – Executing our cunning blueprint with Thief Trading's sharp technical & fundamental intel**.
🎯 Target: 0.62300 (or exit just before for safety).
⚠️ Danger Zone: Watch for traps at the RED Zone Level – signs of overbought conditions, consolidation, trend flips & bearish setups.
---
🟢 **Entry Signal** – *The Heist Begins!*
📈 **Primary Entry**:
> Breakout above **MA Line (0.60300)** = Bullish move → *Place a Buy Stop above ATR Line*
📉 **Pullback Option**:
> *Buy Limit* at recent swing low/high on **15 or 30-min TF**.
📌 **Pro Tip**:
Set an **Alert** on your chart to catch the breakout live. Timing is everything!
---
🛑 **Stop Loss – The Getaway Plan**
📍 **SL Recommendation**:
> Recent swing low on the **4H chart (0.59400)** for day/swing trades.
> 🎯 Customize your SL based on risk, lot size, and total orders.
---
🔐 **Scalpers vs. Swingers**
👀 **Scalpers**: Focus ONLY on long-side plays.
💰 Got deep pockets? Dive in.
😎 Otherwise, swing traders – this is your golden moment. Trail your SL to protect profits.
🌐 **Market Pulse** – Momentum Watch
📊 Kiwi is navigating a **MA Resistance Zone**, but bullish bias remains due to:
* **Fundamentals**
* **Macro Insights**
* **COT Reports**
* **Sentiment & Intermarket Trends**
* **Quant Analysis + Overall Score**
📎 Check the linkks for detailed breakdown.
📰 **News Warning!**
⚠️ Major releases ahead?
* Pause entries.
* Protect trades with **trailing SLs**.
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New Zealand dollar sharply lower, RBNZ cut expectedThe New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5950, down 0.83% on the day. A day earlier, the New Zealand dollar touched a high of 0.6031, its highest level since Oct. 2024.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to lower rates by a quarter-point to 3.25% on Wednesday. With little doubt about the decision, investors will be focusing on the Reserve Bank's updated forecasts. The markets are looking at another rate cut in July and perhaps one more later in the year, which would lower the cash rate below 3.0%.
The RBNZ has been dealing with a weak domestic economy and a deteriorating outlook for the global economy due to US President Trump's erratic tariff policy. The RBNZ would like to continue trimming rates and restore consumer and business confidence.
New Zealand's inflation was higher than expected in the first quarter at 2.5%, up from 2.2% in Q4 2024. This is within the Bank's inflation target of 1%-3% and means that inflation levels won't prevent the Bank from lowering rates on Wednesday.
US durable goods orders plunges, consumer confidence surges
In the US, Durable Goods Orders declined by 6.3% m/m in April, after a 7.5% gain in March, which was the fastest pace of growth since July 2020. The soft reading managed to beat the market estimate of -7.8%. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index, which has fallen steadily this year, surged to 98.0 in May, up from 86.0 in April and blowing past the market estimate of 87.0.
We'll hear from more Federal Reserve members on Wednesday, which could provide some insights into the Fed's rate path. The Fed has adopted a wait-and-see stance and is widely expected to hold rates for a fourth straight time at the next meeting on June 18.
NZD/USD has pushed below support at 0.5978 and is testing 0.5955. Below, there is support at 0.5928
There is resistance at 0.6005 and 0.6028
Kiwi H4 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6019 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6095 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.5854 which is a swing-low support.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is overlap resistance, and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5930
1st Support: 0.5893
1st Resistance: 0.5951
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD Bearish Setup🔍 Market Structure Analysis
WSD Zone Rejection (Top):
Price tapped a wick-based supply & demand (WSD) zone at the top around 0.59486.
That zone also aligns with the previous liquidity grab + mitigation of the OB.
Price is now rejecting that area — forming a lower high (LH) inside the zone → classic sign of distribution.
Rising Channel Break:
Price was rising inside the red ascending channel.
Currently showing bearish intent, with multiple internal BOS (breaks of structure).
If price closes below the channel, that confirms bearish expansion.
Downtrend from Premium Zone:
We're clearly in premium pricing, where institutions prefer to offload longs.
This area also completes a liquidity sweep of prior highs inside the WSD zone.
🧠 Trade Logic (Sell Setup)
🔺 Entry Zone: Inside or after rejection of WSD at 0.59486.
🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the WSD zone and local high.
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 0.58669 → Local support + lower WSD zone (reaction zone).
TP2: 0.58398 → Previous liquidity pool and external low.
🧾 R:R = Clean 1:4.5+, textbook SMC setup.
📌 Confluences for Bearish Bias
✅ Multiple WSD zones tested with bearish rejection.
✅ Rising channel inside premium is breaking.
✅ Mitigation + BOS on smaller TF.
✅ News candle marked by blue vertical line may act as final volatility spike before continuation.
✅ Price is near VWAP/50% equilibrium → Ideal for smart money to expand to downside.
🧯 Invalidation Conditions
❌ If price closes above 0.59486, we reassess the bias.
❌ A re-entry into the upper WSD with strong bullish volume invalidates the current bearish flow.
🔮 Forecast Summary
This is a classic distribution setup with liquidity engineered into a WSD zone, now showing early mitigation and markdown signs. Unless major manipulation occurs, expect price to expand toward the 0.58398 low in the next 24–48 hours.
NZD/USD Falls Following Failed Attempt to Test November HighNZD/USD carves a series of lower highs and lows following the failed attempt to test the November high (0.6038), and the bearish price action may persist as it continues to fall from a fresh yearly high (0.6032).
A move/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may push NZD/USD toward the monthly low (0.5847), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension).
Nevertheless, NZD/USD may snap the bearish price series should it defend the advance from the monthly low (0.5847), with a breach above the November high (0.6038) bringing 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) on the radar.
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5931
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Potential bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has rejected off the pivot that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5933
1st Support: 0.5893
1st Resistance: 0.5968
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.