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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

NZD/USD Sell Setup – Cup & Handle Pattern Confirmed**📉 NZD/USD Sell Setup – Cup & Handle Pattern Confirmed! 🚀** NZD/USD is showing a **Cup & Handle pattern**, with **EMA50 confirming a strong sell signal**. This setup suggests potential downside movement. ### **🔹 Trade Details:** ✅ **Sell Entry:** **0.56050** ✅ **Stop Loss:** **0.56650** (60 pips above entry) ### **📊 Take Profit Levels:** - **TP1:** **0.55650** (40 pips down) - **TP2:** **0.55250** (80 pips down) - **TP3:** **0.54850** (120 pips down – final target) ### **📌 Trade Strategy:** - **EMA50 confirms the bearish trend** – strong sell confirmation. - **Proper risk management is key** – use stop loss to protect capital. - **Monitor price action** – if momentum stays strong, TP2 and TP3 could be reached. 🚨 **Trade Setup is Active! Follow your risk management plan and execute wisely!** 📉🔥
Short
by TradingStar090
NZD/USD Analysis & Probability AssessmentTimeframes Analyzed: 15-Minute (M15) 30-Minute (M30) 1-Hour (H1) 4-Hour (H4) Daily (D1) 📊 Market Structure Update ✅ Bearish Trend Dominance: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the downtrend. ✅ Current Price Zone (~0.5600 - 0.5620): Price is testing the discount zone, which is a key demand area. ✅ Liquidity Grab Potential: A previous weak low has been taken, indicating possible price reaction. ✅ Premium Zone (~0.5730 - 0.5780): The strongest resistance, where sellers will likely dominate. 🔹 Probability for Trade Setups 1️⃣ Bullish Setup (Higher Probability - 70%) Entry Zone: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Discount Zone) Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530 Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 - 0.5670 Probability: 70% Reasoning: The discount zone is holding, meaning buyers are stepping in. RSI recovering from oversold levels. MACD crossover approaching bullish momentum. Liquidity sweep of weak lows, increasing reversal chances. 📌 Confirmation Needed: Bullish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Hammer, Morning Star) Volume increase on bullish breakout RSI moving above 40 2️⃣ Bearish Setup (Lower Probability - 50%) Entry Zone: 0.5650 - 0.5670 (Resistance Zone) Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5700 Take Profit (TP): 0.5580 Probability: 50% Reasoning: The overall trend is bearish, but price is at discount demand zone, meaning a reversal is possible. RSI is still low, signaling price exhaustion. If price rejects 0.5650 - 0.5670, it could resume downward. 📌 Confirmation Needed: Bearish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Shooting Star, Evening Star) RSI staying below 60 Volume declining near resistance zone 🎯 Final Probability Breakdown Bullish Trade (Buying at 0.5550 - 0.5580) ➝ 70% Probability Bearish Trade (Selling at 0.5650 - 0.5670) ➝ 50% Probability 📌 Best Trade for Now: BUY from 0.5550 - 0.5580, as price is reacting to the discount zone and showing bullish signs.
Long
by wizzywise1
NZDUSDThe NZD/USD pair is showing strong bullish momentum, and we are targeting the 70% Fibonacci retracement level. The recent price action indicates a potential upward movement, supported by positive market sentiment and technical indicators. As the pair approaches the 70% Fib level, we anticipate further buying interest, which could drive the price higher. Traders should keep an eye on key resistance levels and manage their risk accordingly. This setup presents a promising opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the bullish trend.
Long
by vaseemnazia
NZD/USD Bullish Setup with EMA Cross & Strong SupportNZD/USD Bullish Trade Setup Analysis Trade Parameters: Entry: Buy at 0.56000 Stop Loss: 0.55500 (-50 pips) Take Profit Levels: TP1: 0.56350 (+35 pips) TP2: 0.56700 (+70 pips) TP3: 0.57000 (+100 pips) Technical Analysis: EMA7 Crossover EMA21 & EMA50: The short-term EMA (7-period) crossing above the medium-term EMA (21-period) and long-term EMA (50-period) signals a potential bullish trend formation. EMA21 Approaching EMA50: This suggests that the momentum is shifting towards an extended uptrend. Support Level at 0.55850: This key level serves as a safety net, meaning if price respects this support, the uptrend remains valid. Risk Management & Considerations: Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): TP1: 0.7:1 (risking 50 pips to gain 35 pips – not ideal for RRR but useful for partial profit-taking). TP2: 1.4:1 (better RRR, a reasonable target). TP3: 2:1 (strong RRR, allowing for a more profitable trade). Trade Management : If the price reaches TP1 (0.56350), consider moving the SL to breakeven to protect your capital. Be cautious of economic news that could impact NZD/USD (like RBNZ statements, U.S. inflation data, or employment reports). Conclusion: This trade is based on a developing bullish trend, confirmed by EMA crossovers and a strong support zone at 0.55700. Proper risk management is essential to protect capital, and adjusting the stop loss as price moves in favor can maximize gains. 🚀
Long
by TradingStar090
NZDUSD capped by resistance at 0.5690The NZD/USD currency pair remains in a bearish trend, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. However, recent intraday price action suggests sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next significant move. Bearish Scenario: The key level to watch is 0.5690, aligning with the previous consolidation zone. A potential oversold rally toward 0.5690, followed by a bearish rejection, could reaffirm the downtrend. If sellers regain control, downside targets include 0.5580, followed by 0.5560, with 0.5530 acting as a key longer-term support. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 0.5690 on a daily close would challenge the bearish outlook. This could trigger further upside momentum, leading to a test of 0.5716, followed by 0.5770 if bullish pressure strengthens. A sustained move above 0.5770 could indicate a broader trend shift. Conclusion: The overall sentiment remains bearish, but short-term consolidation suggests a possible test of 0.5690 before the next directional move. A bearish rejection at this level would reinforce the downtrend, while a breakout above 0.5690 would open the door for further upside. Traders should monitor price action closely at this key resistance zone for confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.5686 1st Support: 0.5547 1st Resistance: 0.5761 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Trade Setup Timeframes Analyzed: 30-Minute (M30) 1-Hour (H1) 4-Hour (H4) Daily (D1) Market Structure Overview ✅ Bearish Trend: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming a downward momentum. ✅ Liquidity Sweeps: Weak lows were taken out, showing potential liquidity grabs before a possible reversal. ✅ Premium & Discount Zones: Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5800): Ideal for short positions. Discount Zone (~0.5550 - 0.5580): Currently testing this area, a key decision point. Trade Scenarios 📉 Scenario 1: Short Trade (Higher Probability - 70%) Entry: 0.5620 - 0.5650 (If price retraces higher) Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5670 Take Profit (TP): 0.5550 (Discount Zone) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+ Probability: 70% 📌 Confirmation: Look for bearish price action near 0.5620 - 0.5650 before entering a short. 📈 Scenario 2: Long Trade (Moderate Probability - 55%) Entry: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Current Discount Zone) Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530 Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 (Previous Support Turned Resistance) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Probability: 55% 📌 Risk: The long trade is counter-trend but might work if a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) appears. Conclusion & Recommendations Best Trade: Short from 0.5620 - 0.5650, targeting 0.5550. Watch for a break of the weak low at 0.5580—if it holds, a reversal could be in play. Confirmation Needed: Price action at key levels before executing trades.
Short
by wizzywise1
NZDUSD Trade Idea - Bearish Bias### **📉 NZDUSD Trade Idea - Bearish Bias** **🔍 Market Outlook:** I am considering **NZDUSD bearish** based on the following analysis: ✅ **Bearish Trend Continuation:** The pair has shown consistent weakness and is aligned with a bearish trend. ⬇️ ✅ **External Monthly Range Liquidity:** The price is likely heading towards the **monthly external range liquidity**, creating a good opportunity to short. 🏦💰 ✅ **Break of Structure (BOS):** A recent **BOS** confirms downward momentum, suggesting further downside potential. 📉 ✅ **SMC Alignment:** The trade aligns with **Smart Money Concepts**, supporting institutional-driven price movements. 💼 ### **📌 Trade Plan:** 🔹 **Entry:** Wait for a minor retracement or liquidity sweep before entering short. ⏳ 🔹 **Stop Loss:** Above the recent **swing high** or invalidation level. 🚨 🔹 **Take Profit:** Target **monthly external range liquidity** for a significant profit zone. 🎯💵 🔹 **Confluence:** Look for additional **bearish order flow** confirmation on lower timeframes (LTF). 🔄 Let me know if you'd like more details or a chart to visualize this! 📊
Short
by Asif_Brain_Waves
NZDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.559. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.566. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
How I Secured 100+ Pips on NZDUSD Sell This WeekHey Rich Friends, Happy Friday. Today, I will dive deep into the NZDUSD sell I took this week. Fortunately, my analysis was correct, and with patience, I was able to secure 100+ pips. Here is what I did: First, I used session breaks on the 1HR time frame to help me identify the previous days' high and low. This is important because based on how the market reacts in these areas, it will help me determine what to do. For example: - rejection at PDH = SELL, break out above PDH = BUY - support at PDL = BUY, break out below PDL = SELL In this case, there was a break below the PDL which was my first indicator to go short. Next, I used horizontal lines to mark additional lows for potential TPs since I was selling and I used a previous high for my SL. The only indicator that I used was the stochastic. You can find a very detailed breakdown of how I use the Stochastic in my previous Editors' Pick video here: www.tradingview.com I hope this was helpful. If you made it this far, comment a "7" and let me know what you've learned. Peace and Profits, Cha
Short
by MoneyMantraCha
4