NZDUSD Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.590.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.575 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD SHORTI'm looking to short NZD/USD as a swing trade, and here's why.
The U.S. and China have agreed to ease some tariffs. That’s reducing global trade tensions, which is a positive for the U.S. economy—and could strengthen the dollar as investors shift toward safer assets.
At the same time, retail traders are heavily long NZD/USD. When the crowd is all on one side, the market often moves the other way. That’s a red flag.
Technically, NZD/USD is struggling to hold recent highs and starting to roll over. If we break key support and form a lower high, that’s my confirmation to enter short.
So I’ve got crowded sentiment, a weakening chart, and improving fundamentals for the dollar. It’s a clean swing short setup, and I’ll be waiting for confirmation with proper risk management in place.
Potential bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has rejected off the pivot that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5933
1st Support: 0.5893
1st Resistance: 0.5968
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Bearish reversal?NZD/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5933
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.5960
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.5893
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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NZDUSD – Sell Limit Near Pivot ResistanceTrade Setup
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 0.5925
Stop Loss: 0.6000
Target: 0.5775
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 20/05/2025 15:00
Technical Overview
Price action is sideways and indecisive, forming a congestion zone on the 4H chart.
Pivot resistance sits at 0.5925 — a logical level for bearish entries.
A move through 0.5875 would act as early confirmation of downside momentum.
The measured move target from the range breakdown projects toward 0.5750; however, a more conservative exit is at 0.5775 for higher probability.
Risk/reward is favourable when selling rallies into 0.5925 vs current market price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD potential 50 pip drop? NZDUSD 4h crossed the previous liquidity zone with strong false breakout giving a high probability for the price to form a potential inverted head & shoulder and may continue to drop to 0.5308 which may lead a 50 pip drop with market open as the market is in strong down trend.
A possible sell trade setup with market open is highly probable!
NZDUSD: Long Trading Opportunity
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDUSD
Entry - 0.5880
Sl - 0.5857
Tp - 0.5918
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5904 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5883
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
New Zealand dollar jumps as inflation expectations hits 1-year hThe New Zealand dollar is in positive territory on Friday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5906, up 0.54% on the day.
New Zealand's two-year inflation expectations climbed to 2.29% in the second quarter, up from 2.06% in Q1, its highest level since last May. The survey also predicted that one-year inflation expectations would rise to 2.41% in Q2, up from 2.15% in the first quarter, also the highest since last May.
The rise in inflation expectations can be viewed as a "Trump bump" as consumers are concerned that US tariffs will lead to higher inflation. For the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the increase is a reminder of the upside risks for inflation, but at the same time inflation and inflation expectations are within the Reserve Bank's target range of 1%-3%.
With inflation largely contained, the RBNZ is looking to continue lowering interest rates in order to boost the economy. The RBNZ cut rates last month to 3.5% from 3.75% and is expected to cut rates again at the May 28 meeting.
The problem for Bank policymakers is the uncertainty over President Trump's erratic trade policy, which has made it tricky to make growth and inflation forecasts. The US and China engaged in a tit-for-tat tariff war which resulted in massive tariffs, only to suddenly reach a temporary agreement to slash tariffs. Will this lead to a permanent agreement or will the US and China resume their damaging trade war? It's unclear what happens next, especially given the unpredictability of Donald Trump.
The US wraps up the week with UoM consumer sentiment and inflation expectations for May. Consumer sentiment is expected to improve to 53.4 from an upwardly revised 52.2. Inflation expectations surged in April to 6.5% from 4.7% and are projected to rise to 6.6%, as consumers remain anxious about inflation.
NZD/USD has pushed above resistance at 0.5885 and is testing resistance at 0.5909. Above, there is resistance at 0.5940
0.5854 and 0.5830 are the next support levels
NZDUSD(4H).It seems rangeThe currency pair seems to keep a consolidation for a while and now it's seen has touched a support in low and boosted then.There are two scenarios to mind;One it can be back near last support and two moving forward to top.I think the second scenario is common and most possible
NZD/USD SHORT TRADE IDEA🔍 Trade Breakdown:
Price aggressively rallied into a previous supply zone (highlighted in green), showing signs of buyer exhaustion near the top.
📌 Entry: 0.59125
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.59235 (11 pips)
🎯 Take Profit: 0.58775 (35 pips)
🎯 Risk:Reward = ~1:3.2
💡 Why I Took It:
Market had a strong push up, but into a clear imbalance + supply zone
Bearish reaction candles on the 15m showing rejection from the zone
High R:R opportunity with a tight SL just above the wick rejection
NZDUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.5899, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.5833, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 0.6020, a swing high resistance.
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NZDUSD to find buyers at previous swing low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Pivot support is at 0.5850.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5900 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5975.
We look to Buy at 0.5850 (stop at 0.5800)
Our profit targets will be 0.5950 and 0.5975
Resistance: 0.5900 / 0.5950 / 0.5975
Support: 0.5875 / 0.5850 / 0.5825
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Short trade
15min TF overview
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: NZD/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Continuation (Ascending Channel Rejection)
🆔 Trade ID: #NZDUSD-0515A
📅 Date: Thursday, 15th May 2025
🕘 Time: 9:15 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.58856
🔹 Profit Target: 0.58537 (-0.54%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.58955 (+0.17%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.22
🔍 Reasoning:
This sellside continuation trade was executed following a rejection at the ascending channel resistance. Price action showed bearish follow-through during the London AM session, with the channel's upper boundary providing a key pivot. Momentum favoured downside extension, supported by structure and session timing.