NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD - Like a Bow and Arrow!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈NZDUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue.
Today, NZDUSD is retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is approaching a strong structure marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD → Consolidation within the correctionFX:NZDUSD is forming a local correction on the background of the uptrend. The dollar has been consolidating and strengthening for the last week, which generally creates pressure on the forex market
NZDUSD after a false break of the trend resistance, which also coincided with the stopping of the strong decline of the dollar, entered the correction phase. Locally, it is a downtrend, followed by consolidation, which in general forms a flag - a figure of continuation of the movement.
The chart reveals strong levels that can be paid attention to. The dollar may continue its growth due to the US policy, which generally has a negative impact on the market.
The price exit from the current consolidation may be accompanied by a strong impulse. Emphasis on 0.575 - 0.571.
Resistance levels: 0.57426, 0.57674
Support levels: 0.571, 0.5684
After stopping at 0.571, the price is not pulling back, but forming consolidation on the background of the local downtrend. Most likely a big player lures the crowd to get to the imbalance zone or trend support at their expense.
Regards R. Linda!
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5712
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5747
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5648
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Short trade
Day TF overview
Sellside trade
Pair NZDUSD
Sun 30th March 25
5.00 pm (NY Time)
NY Session AM
Structure Day
Entry 4Hr
Entry 0.56969
Profit level 0.56389 (1.02%)
Stop level 0.57247 (0.49%)
RR 3.68
Reason: Price action seems indicative
of a Sellside momentum since Sunday
30th March 25.
Target Wed 5th March - liquidity low
NZD/USD at Risk of Retesting Yearly LowsThe Kiwi is clinging to uptrend support within a broader rising wedge, with selling pressure reemerging at .5680 despite Monday’s late recovery.
A clean break below the uptrend could see bears target .5650, the low from Monday. A move through that level would put .5600 in focus as the next downside target.
Momentum signals reinforce the bearish case—RSI (14) and MACD continue to trend lower into negative territory, favouring selling rallies and downside breaks.
If the price were to fail beneath the uptrend again and reverse back above .5680, the bearish bias would be invalidated for now.
Good luck!
DS
Potential bullish bounce?NZD/USD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5665
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.5634
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5710
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/USD 4H ANLAYSIS consolidation within the correctionThis chart shows the NZD/USD pair on the 4H timeframe.
Analysis
Trend: Price is moving within a rising channel.
Current Price: ~0.57182
Projected Move: Bearish continuation towards the lower channel boundary.
Trade Plan
Entry Point: Consider a short position on a retest of resistance near 0.5730 - 0.5750 with bearish confirmation.
Stop Loss (SL): Above the recent structure high, around 0.5785.
Take Profit (TP): Near the lower channel boundary around 0.5580 - 0.5600.
Risk Management
Ensure the risk-to-reward ratio is favorable (at least 1:2).
Look for confirmation signals such as bearish engulfing candles or rejections before entry.
Would you like a refined entry strategy or confirmation signal tips?
NZDUSD – Bullish Bias with Key Support at 0.5676Trend Overview:
NZDUSD remains in a bullish uptrend, with recent price action showing a corrective pullback towards a previous consolidation zone, now acting as a key support at 0.5676.
Key Levels:
Support: 0.5676 (key level), 0.5660, 0.5640
Resistance: 0.5730, 0.5750, 0.5770
Bullish Scenario:
A bounce from 0.5676 would reinforce the support level, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. A breakout above 0.5730 may drive further gains toward 0.5750 and 0.5770 in the longer term.
Bearish Scenario:
A daily close below 0.5676 would weaken the bullish outlook, increasing the likelihood of a retracement toward 0.5660, with 0.5640 as the next downside target.
Conclusion:
NZDUSD remains bullish above 0.5676, with potential upside targets at 0.5730, 0.5750, and 0.5770. However, a break below 0.5676 could shift momentum to the downside, targeting 0.5660 and 0.5640. Traders should monitor price action at 0.5676 for confirmation of the next move.
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Market Analysis: NZD/USD Struggles to Sustain Gains—What’s Next?Market Analysis: NZD/USD Struggles to Sustain Gains—What’s Next?
NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.5700.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.5760 resistance zone.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5715 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.5760 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum and traded below 0.5725 against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.5720 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.5695 zone and is currently consolidating losses.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5736 swing high to the 0.5693 low at 0.5715. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5715.
The next resistance is the 0.5725 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5736 swing high to the 0.5693 low. If there is a move above 0.5725, the pair could rise toward 0.5750.
Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.5800 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.5705 level.
The next major support is near the 0.5695 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5695, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.5665 level. The next key support is near 0.5640.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZD/USD ... head & shoulder confrim sell..Based on the analysis of the NZDUSD H4 chart and the provided trade idea, here's a structured breakdown:
### Trade Setup Overview:
- *Pattern Identified*: Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern confirmed by a neckline break at 0.56800.
- *Trend Confirmation*: Price consolidating below the EMA-200, reinforcing bearish momentum.
- *Entry Point*: Sell at 0.56800.
- *Take Profit (TP)*: 0.55890 (91 pips target).
- *Key Levels*:
- *Neckline*: 0.56800 (serves as resistance post-break).
- *Projected H&S Target*: If the head is at 0.5750 and neckline at 0.5680, the minimum target is 0.5610 (70 pips). The TP at 0.55890 may account for extended bearish momentum or historical support.
### Risk Management Considerations:
- *Stop Loss (SL)*: Ideally placed above the neckline or right shoulder. For example, 0.57200 (40 pips risk) offers a 1:2.3 risk-reward ratio.
- *False Breakdown Risk*: Monitor for a close back above the neckline, which would invalidate the pattern.
### Additional Factors:
- *Market Context*: Check for upcoming economic events (e.g., NZ/US economic data, Fed/RBNZ policy) that could impact volatility.
- *Confluence Indicators*: Bearish alignment with RSI < 50 or MACD below the signal line would strengthen the setup.
### Conclusion:
The trade leverages a confirmed H&S breakdown and EMA-200 resistance. While the TP exceeds the traditional H&S measurement, it may target a stronger support zone. Traders should manage risk with a tight stop and watch for price action confirmation.
*Execution Plan*:
🔽 Sell at 0.56800
🎯 TP: 0.55890
🚫 SL: 0.57200 (adjust based on volatility tolerance).
Monitor price reaction near 0.5610 (initial H&S target) for potential partial profit-taking or trail stops.