Back to 0.50?The next important NZD/USD data to watch will be published tomorrow when the US publishes its initial jobless claims. Is expected to show that a forecast from 242 k to 222k, which can be positive for the dollar index.
The Fed will, therefore, maintain its hawkish view if these numbers are correct since they will signal that prices remain significantly high.
There are other inflationary risks ahead. Donald Trump has pledged to impose new and bigger tariffs from top countries. On top of this, he is deporting millions of undocumented migrants, many who work in industries like construction and agriculture.
All these factors explain why US bond yields have rocketed to the highest level in two years, with the 30-year moving to 5%.
On the other hand, the RBNZ has continued to cut interest rates, and analysts expect the trend to continue in the coming months. It slashed them from last year’s high of 5.50% to the current 4.25%. As such, the local currency has fallen as the divergence between the Fed and the RBNZ continues.
Technically, we broke a converging triangle last December, with can lead us to further decline, possibly to the monthly bullish order block at 0.49690. This will complete wave y of superior Y.
NZDUSD trade ideas
Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5693
1st Support: 0.5633
1st Resistance: 0.5732
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NZD/USD Trend Today - Further Downward?NZD/USD news:
👉The New Zealand dollar (NZD) is losing ground against the US dollar (USD) amid growing concerns over the escalating trade conflict between the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies.
👉On the USD side, weaker-than-expected US economic data on the manufacturing sector, released on Monday, could limit the greenback’s gains and provide some support to the pair. The US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 50.3 in February from 50.9 previously, missing the market forecast of 50.5.
👉Looking ahead, the NZD could continue to face downward pressure in the long term.
Personal opinion:
👉NZD/USD is forming a Bearish Pennant pattern, which is likely to remain oversold. Therefore, consider a reasonable decision to place a Sell order
Analysis:
👉Based on the price action and the importance of the fibo combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Set up the price zone:
👉Sell NZD/USD 0.5630 – 0.5640
❌SL: 0.5690 | ✅TP: 0.5590 – 0.5540 –0.5500
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.56400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.56400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my NZDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
NZDUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.5639
Stop Loss - 0.5608
Take Profit - 0.5693
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NZD/USD - Sell Limit @0.56743Looking to sell at this 6H order block and strong daily supply zone. I would like to see price rise up slowly filling the previous sell side imbalance before tapping this OB and heading back down taking out sell side Liquidity.
This trade will be a limit order with stop loss sitting just above the high of the supply zone and TP sitting at sell side liquidity.
Good luck to all the traders that decide to follow
NZD/USD Sell Setup – Cup & Handle Pattern Confirmed**📉 NZD/USD Sell Setup – Cup & Handle Pattern Confirmed! 🚀**
NZD/USD is showing a **Cup & Handle pattern**, with **EMA50 confirming a strong sell signal**. This setup suggests potential downside movement.
### **🔹 Trade Details:**
✅ **Sell Entry:** **0.56050**
✅ **Stop Loss:** **0.56650** (60 pips above entry)
### **📊 Take Profit Levels:**
- **TP1:** **0.55650** (40 pips down)
- **TP2:** **0.55250** (80 pips down)
- **TP3:** **0.54850** (120 pips down – final target)
### **📌 Trade Strategy:**
- **EMA50 confirms the bearish trend** – strong sell confirmation.
- **Proper risk management is key** – use stop loss to protect capital.
- **Monitor price action** – if momentum stays strong, TP2 and TP3 could be reached.
🚨 **Trade Setup is Active! Follow your risk management plan and execute wisely!** 📉🔥
NZD/USD Analysis & Probability AssessmentTimeframes Analyzed:
15-Minute (M15)
30-Minute (M30)
1-Hour (H1)
4-Hour (H4)
Daily (D1)
📊 Market Structure Update
✅ Bearish Trend Dominance: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the downtrend.
✅ Current Price Zone (~0.5600 - 0.5620): Price is testing the discount zone, which is a key demand area.
✅ Liquidity Grab Potential: A previous weak low has been taken, indicating possible price reaction.
✅ Premium Zone (~0.5730 - 0.5780): The strongest resistance, where sellers will likely dominate.
🔹 Probability for Trade Setups
1️⃣ Bullish Setup (Higher Probability - 70%)
Entry Zone: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Discount Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530
Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 - 0.5670
Probability: 70%
Reasoning:
The discount zone is holding, meaning buyers are stepping in.
RSI recovering from oversold levels.
MACD crossover approaching bullish momentum.
Liquidity sweep of weak lows, increasing reversal chances.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bullish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Hammer, Morning Star)
Volume increase on bullish breakout
RSI moving above 40
2️⃣ Bearish Setup (Lower Probability - 50%)
Entry Zone: 0.5650 - 0.5670 (Resistance Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5700
Take Profit (TP): 0.5580
Probability: 50%
Reasoning:
The overall trend is bearish, but price is at discount demand zone, meaning a reversal is possible.
RSI is still low, signaling price exhaustion.
If price rejects 0.5650 - 0.5670, it could resume downward.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bearish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Shooting Star, Evening Star)
RSI staying below 60
Volume declining near resistance zone
🎯 Final Probability Breakdown
Bullish Trade (Buying at 0.5550 - 0.5580) ➝ 70% Probability
Bearish Trade (Selling at 0.5650 - 0.5670) ➝ 50% Probability
📌 Best Trade for Now: BUY from 0.5550 - 0.5580, as price is reacting to the discount zone and showing bullish signs.