NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.56400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.56400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my NZDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
NZDUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.5639
Stop Loss - 0.5608
Take Profit - 0.5693
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZD/USD - Sell Limit @0.56743Looking to sell at this 6H order block and strong daily supply zone. I would like to see price rise up slowly filling the previous sell side imbalance before tapping this OB and heading back down taking out sell side Liquidity.
This trade will be a limit order with stop loss sitting just above the high of the supply zone and TP sitting at sell side liquidity.
Good luck to all the traders that decide to follow
NZD/USD Analysis & Probability AssessmentTimeframes Analyzed:
15-Minute (M15)
30-Minute (M30)
1-Hour (H1)
4-Hour (H4)
Daily (D1)
📊 Market Structure Update
✅ Bearish Trend Dominance: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the downtrend.
✅ Current Price Zone (~0.5600 - 0.5620): Price is testing the discount zone, which is a key demand area.
✅ Liquidity Grab Potential: A previous weak low has been taken, indicating possible price reaction.
✅ Premium Zone (~0.5730 - 0.5780): The strongest resistance, where sellers will likely dominate.
🔹 Probability for Trade Setups
1️⃣ Bullish Setup (Higher Probability - 70%)
Entry Zone: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Discount Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530
Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 - 0.5670
Probability: 70%
Reasoning:
The discount zone is holding, meaning buyers are stepping in.
RSI recovering from oversold levels.
MACD crossover approaching bullish momentum.
Liquidity sweep of weak lows, increasing reversal chances.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bullish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Hammer, Morning Star)
Volume increase on bullish breakout
RSI moving above 40
2️⃣ Bearish Setup (Lower Probability - 50%)
Entry Zone: 0.5650 - 0.5670 (Resistance Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5700
Take Profit (TP): 0.5580
Probability: 50%
Reasoning:
The overall trend is bearish, but price is at discount demand zone, meaning a reversal is possible.
RSI is still low, signaling price exhaustion.
If price rejects 0.5650 - 0.5670, it could resume downward.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bearish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Shooting Star, Evening Star)
RSI staying below 60
Volume declining near resistance zone
🎯 Final Probability Breakdown
Bullish Trade (Buying at 0.5550 - 0.5580) ➝ 70% Probability
Bearish Trade (Selling at 0.5650 - 0.5670) ➝ 50% Probability
📌 Best Trade for Now: BUY from 0.5550 - 0.5580, as price is reacting to the discount zone and showing bullish signs.
NZDUSDThe NZD/USD pair is showing strong bullish momentum, and we are targeting the 70% Fibonacci retracement level. The recent price action indicates a potential upward movement, supported by positive market sentiment and technical indicators. As the pair approaches the 70% Fib level, we anticipate further buying interest, which could drive the price higher. Traders should keep an eye on key resistance levels and manage their risk accordingly. This setup presents a promising opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the bullish trend.
NZDUSD capped by resistance at 0.5690The NZD/USD currency pair remains in a bearish trend, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. However, recent intraday price action suggests sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next significant move.
Bearish Scenario:
The key level to watch is 0.5690, aligning with the previous consolidation zone.
A potential oversold rally toward 0.5690, followed by a bearish rejection, could reaffirm the downtrend.
If sellers regain control, downside targets include 0.5580, followed by 0.5560, with 0.5530 acting as a key longer-term support.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 0.5690 on a daily close would challenge the bearish outlook.
This could trigger further upside momentum, leading to a test of 0.5716, followed by 0.5770 if bullish pressure strengthens.
A sustained move above 0.5770 could indicate a broader trend shift.
Conclusion:
The overall sentiment remains bearish, but short-term consolidation suggests a possible test of 0.5690 before the next directional move. A bearish rejection at this level would reinforce the downtrend, while a breakout above 0.5690 would open the door for further upside. Traders should monitor price action closely at this key resistance zone for confirmation.
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LONG ON NZD/USDNZD/USD is giving nice uptrend structure from the higher TF.
Currently it has pulled back to a key support area and is looking good for a rise.
Dollar (DXY) is overall bearish and currently falling. (This has a inverse correlation with XXX/USD pairs)
I will be buying NZD/USD to the next resistance level / previous high for about 150-200 pips.
Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5686
1st Support: 0.5547
1st Resistance: 0.5761
Risk Warning:
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Disclaimer:
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NZD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Trade Setup
Timeframes Analyzed:
30-Minute (M30)
1-Hour (H1)
4-Hour (H4)
Daily (D1)
Market Structure Overview
✅ Bearish Trend: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming a downward momentum.
✅ Liquidity Sweeps: Weak lows were taken out, showing potential liquidity grabs before a possible reversal.
✅ Premium & Discount Zones:
Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5800): Ideal for short positions.
Discount Zone (~0.5550 - 0.5580): Currently testing this area, a key decision point.
Trade Scenarios
📉 Scenario 1: Short Trade (Higher Probability - 70%)
Entry: 0.5620 - 0.5650 (If price retraces higher)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5670
Take Profit (TP): 0.5550 (Discount Zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
Probability: 70%
📌 Confirmation: Look for bearish price action near 0.5620 - 0.5650 before entering a short.
📈 Scenario 2: Long Trade (Moderate Probability - 55%)
Entry: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Current Discount Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530
Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Probability: 55%
📌 Risk: The long trade is counter-trend but might work if a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) appears.
Conclusion & Recommendations
Best Trade: Short from 0.5620 - 0.5650, targeting 0.5550.
Watch for a break of the weak low at 0.5580—if it holds, a reversal could be in play.
Confirmation Needed: Price action at key levels before executing trades.
NZDUSD Trade Idea - Bearish Bias### **📉 NZDUSD Trade Idea - Bearish Bias**
**🔍 Market Outlook:**
I am considering **NZDUSD bearish** based on the following analysis:
✅ **Bearish Trend Continuation:** The pair has shown consistent weakness and is aligned with a bearish trend. ⬇️
✅ **External Monthly Range Liquidity:** The price is likely heading towards the **monthly external range liquidity**, creating a good opportunity to short. 🏦💰
✅ **Break of Structure (BOS):** A recent **BOS** confirms downward momentum, suggesting further downside potential. 📉
✅ **SMC Alignment:** The trade aligns with **Smart Money Concepts**, supporting institutional-driven price movements. 💼
### **📌 Trade Plan:**
🔹 **Entry:** Wait for a minor retracement or liquidity sweep before entering short. ⏳
🔹 **Stop Loss:** Above the recent **swing high** or invalidation level. 🚨
🔹 **Take Profit:** Target **monthly external range liquidity** for a significant profit zone. 🎯💵
🔹 **Confluence:** Look for additional **bearish order flow** confirmation on lower timeframes (LTF). 🔄
Let me know if you'd like more details or a chart to visualize this! 📊