NZD/USD Buy Opportunity at Channel Support (1H)📈 NZD/USD – Bullish Channel Setup (1H Timeframe)
Price action is currently moving within a clearly defined ascending channel. After a period of consolidation, the pair has been making higher highs and higher lows, respecting the structure of this bullish channel.
🔹 Trend Bias: Bullish (short-term) 🔹 Support Zone: Lower boundary of the channel (around 0.6020) 🔹 Resistance Zone: Upper boundary of the channel (around 0.6060) 🔹 Current Price: 0.60288 – sitting right above the channel’s midline and testing support
🔍 Analysis:
Price is respecting the ascending trendline and forming minor pullbacks along the way.
The current candle is testing the lower boundary of the channel, which could act as a potential bounce zone if bullish pressure continues.
If price holds above this trendline support, we could see another leg toward the channel top near 0.6060.
However, a break and close below the channel support could open the door for a deeper pullback toward 0.6000 or even 0.5980.
📌 Watchlist Setup:
Buy scenario: Look for bullish confirmation around 0.6020 – bullish engulfing or strong rejection wicks.
Sell scenario: Wait for a clear break and retest of the lower channel line for possible short entries.
🧠 Bias Caution: Always align this setup with your higher timeframe analysis (e.g., 4H or Daily) and watch for upcoming news events that could impact USD or NZD.
NZDUSD trade ideas
NZD/USD Bearish Reversal Setup | AB=CD -Week 7Hey Traders!
I'm currently watching a possible bearish reversal setup forming on the NZD/USD 1H chart based on:
✅ Confluence Factors:
🔹 AB=CD Harmonic Pattern
Price is approaching the D point near the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone)
AB=CD ratio aligns closely with 1.618 and 0.618 fibs for BC leg
🔹 Bearish RSI Divergence
RSI is showing a higher high while price action is also making a higher high
Classic sign of momentum weakening at the top
📌 Trading Plan:
Wait for price to reach or slightly exceed point D / PRZ zone
Watch for clear lower highs and lower lows on price structure
Confirm entry with bearish divergence and candle confirmation
Enter via Sell Stop below support or structural break
Target: Previous support zones
Stop Loss: Above PRZ/point D
#NZDUSD #HarmonicPatterns #RSIDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #ABCDPattern #Forex #TradingView
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 1D timeframe (0.58400) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.60800
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NZD/USD: Bullish signals build ahead of U.S. data gauntletNZD/USD is holding an established uptrend with bullish momentum building, supported by strengthening RSI and MACD signals. The pair is testing key resistance at .6050—a level that’s capped price repeatedly over the years.
A break and close above would confirm a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a stop just beneath. Initial resistance comes in at .6110, with scope for a move towards .6200 if momentum continues.
Good luck!
DS
NZDUSD1. New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield
As of June 6, 2025, the New Zealand 10-year government bond yield is approximately 4.58% to 4.64%, with a recent slight increase to 4.64% on June 6, 2025.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) official cash rate stands at 3.25% as of early June 2025, following cuts from 3.50% in May.
Bond yields reflect inflation expectations, economic outlook, and monetary policy stance.
2. United States 10-Year Bond Yield 4.5%
3. Interest Rate Differential
The 10-year bond yield differential (NZ minus US) is roughly:
4.6%(NZ)−4.5%(US)≈+0.1%
This small positive differential indicates New Zealand bonds yield slightly more than US bonds, offering a modest carry advantage for NZD over USD
The current Federal Reserve (Fed) policy interest rate target range is 4.25% to 4.50%, a level that has been maintained since December 18, 2024. The Fed has held rates steady through its meetings so far in 2025, including the most recent one in May.
The next Fed interest rate decision is scheduled for June 18, 2025, with the announcement expected at 6:00 PM UTC (2:00 PM ET), followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
The policy rate differential favors the US slightly, with the Fed’s rate around 4.25 TO 4.5%% and RBNZ’s at 3.25%–3.50%, reflecting the recent easing by New Zealand.
4. Carry Trade Advantage
The carry trade incentive for NZD/USD is modest due to the small yield differential.
Investors borrowing in USD to invest in NZD assets gain a slight positive yield spread from the 10-year bond yields but face currency risk and potential volatility.
The carry advantage is limited by RBNZ’s recent rate cuts and the Fed’s relatively higher policy rates.
Conclusion
The NZD/USD 10-year bond yield differential currently offers a small carry advantage to NZD, but this is tempered by the policy rate differential favoring the USD due to recent RBNZ easing. The carry trade appeal for NZD/USD is therefore limited in June 2025, with currency movements likely influenced more by economic data, risk sentiment, and central bank guidance than pure yield spreads.
#NZDUSD
NZD/USD – Short-Term Bearish OutlookNZD/USD – Short-Term Bearish Outlook
Price action suggests a potential pullback in the short term.
If momentum holds, I’m eyeing a short position with a target at 0.59760.
💡 Clean setup, tight risk, and solid reward potential.
📉 Watching for confirmation to enter. Follow for more intraday setups!
Bullish bounce?NZD/USD is has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5931
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.5898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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NZDUSD 4Hr. Wave 5 North Likely in progress towards .6075
1). Price has very likely completed wave C @ .5950! 2). Risk Assets are strong today on US$ weakness! 3). BANKS ARE BUYING! 4). Volume is increasing... 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level 72.8%. 6).US $ WEAKNESS AT THE MOMENT IS ALSO ADDING TO THE ANTICIPATED RISK ASSET UPWARD SCENARIO!
NZDUSD poised to break out after 38 days stuckNZDUSD is forming a key pattern after 38 days of consolidation. Whether it’s an inverse head and shoulders or an ascending triangle, a break above 0.6030 could trigger a big move. Learn how to trade it.
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which is also a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6024
1st Support: 0.5846
1st Resistance: 0.6131
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NZDUSD to find buyers around trend line support?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
The primary trend remains bullish.
This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 0.5975 level.
We look to Buy at 0.5975 (stop at 0.5940)
Our profit targets will be 0.6074 and 0.6220
Resistance: 0.6006 / 0.6080 / 0.6220
Support: 0.5955 / 0.5850 / 0.5775
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.587 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NZD/USD pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.6018
Stop Loss - 0.6051
Take Profit - 0.5952
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDUSD – Long Bias LiveNZDUSD – Long Bias Live
🟢 Entered long at market open
🎯 Target: 0.60305
⏳ Plan to hold ~3-5 days (usually much soon)
Price has been grinding lower into support near 0.5980–0.5990. After basing, I’m playing for a rally up to 0.60305 (red line). I’m already in this long—if you’d like to join, be prepared to hold through the next few sessions.
📝 Not financial advice—trade responsibly!
💡 All setups can be replayed on TradingView for confirmation.
#NZDUSD #Forex #SwingTrade #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
Kiwi H4 | Pullback support at 50% Fibonacci retracementThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5987 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.5915 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 0.6060 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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NzdUsd Trade IdeaWith NU flipping bullish on higher time frames my priority was to go long on the pair as long as the smaller time frame could give some type of long opportunity to support the higher time frame bias. NU broke and retested a level of resistance with bullish structures in play to support the long idea. If all goes well we could expect price to tap back into the high and potentially end the week creating a new high. I'll be targeting a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how it goes.
nzdusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZD_USD RISKY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅NZD_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 0.6030
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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NZDUSD: Move Up Ahead 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Thursday's and Friday's sessions were bullish on NZDUSD.
After a test of a rising trend line, the price formed
a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame and violated its neckline.
I think that the pair may rise next week and reach at least 0.6 level.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZD/USD Trade IdeaThe NZD/USD pair appears to be forming an ascending triangle, a pattern that typically indicates increasing bullish momentum and buyer strength.
Should price break above the established resistance zone at 0.60300, I would wait for a confirmed retest of this area before considering a long position.
Potential take-profit targets are set at the next key resistance levels of 0.61215 and 0.63740, based on previous structure.