NZDUSD Swing Long Yet?A small inflow on risk currencies this morning as we close out 2024 is giving rise to the question of a longer term swing formation and its validity.
NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.560.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.555 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZDUSD to find sellers at current resistance?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
An Evening Star formation has been posted at the high.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 0.5657 level.
We look to Sell at 0.5657 (stop at 0.5690)
Our profit targets will be 0.5587 and 0.5520
Resistance: 0.5705 / 0.5775 / 0.5850
Support: 0.5590 / 0.5520 / 0.5320
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NZDUSD - The uptrend of the dollar is over?!The NZDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with appropriate risk reward. A valid break of the support area will provide us with the continuation of the downward path of this currency pair.
At the beginning of 2025, the US dollar has continued its upward trajectory, solidifying its position as one of the leading global currencies. After delivering a strong performance in 2023 and 2024, the dollar has now risen by more than 1% against the euro and the British pound, outpacing other major currencies.
From an economic news perspective, recent reports have had little impact on the market. While data on jobless claims, affected by holiday factors, were assessed positively, reports such as construction spending and manufacturing PMI fell short of expectations. However, these statistics failed to create significant market movement, with US Treasury yields seeing only a slight uptick.
According to data published by S&P Global, the US manufacturing PMI for December 2024 stood at 49.4, a slight decline from 49.7 in November. This figure remains below the 50-point threshold, indicating contraction in manufacturing activity. Nonetheless, there has been a slight recovery from the mid-month figure of 48.3.
Manufacturing output in November declined for the fourth consecutive month, hitting its lowest level in 18 months. Additionally, new orders continued to fall, though at a slower pace compared to previous months. However, export orders experienced a steeper decline, primarily driven by economic weakness in Europe and Australia.
In the employment sector, there has been modest yet positive growth for the second consecutive month, reflecting manufacturers’ efforts to retain their workforce. Input cost inflation has reached its highest level since August 2024, largely due to concerns over trade tariffs and potential protectionist policies. Approximately 25% of firms attributed their increased purchases to tariff threats, highlighting concerns over the inflationary effects of such policies.
Despite current challenges, manufacturers are increasingly optimistic about the future. This optimism, which has reached its highest level in two and a half years, stems from reduced uncertainties following the elections and positive expectations of stronger economic growth and supportive government policies in 2025. However, the gap between current production levels and future expectations has reached its widest point in a decade, excluding the COVID-19 pandemic period.
The main driver behind the strength of the US dollar is capital inflows. While the US economy appears robust, this alone does not explain the dollar’s growth. A confluence of positive factors has made US assets attractive, with the country’s stock markets outperforming other global markets. Currently, a significant portion of global capital formation is concentrated in the US dollar and its markets.
Nevertheless, risks such as rising tariffs or restrictive fiscal policies could alter the dollar’s trajectory. For now, the market shows little concern about the Republican-led Congress, and the US dollar continues to assert its dominance in global markets.
Donald Trump, the US President-elect, recently tweeted that tariffs have brought immense wealth to the country and that he plans to continue these policies after assuming office on January 20. Trump also referenced border issues, calling Joe Biden the “worst president in US history.”
The chief asset strategist at HSBC Bank highlighted the hawkish messages from the Federal Reserve’s December meeting as a cause for concern. January is expected to be highly volatile, but these fluctuations could present intriguing investment opportunities.
NZDUSD Bullish signalWe see consolidation on NZDUSD H4 chart, between 0.5615 _ 0.5660 levels. Highest volume was at 0.5635 level, thats why this level is potentially good bullish entry zone. Target 0.5690
NZDUSD - Potential Long from Key Support ZoneThe NZDUSD pair is currently approaching a significant demand zone near the 0.55800 - 0.54700 level. Historically, this area has acted as a strong support, leading to notable bullish reversals. The recent decline into this zone suggests a potential for buyers to regain control and push prices higher.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would indicate an increased likelihood of a move upward. If this scenario unfolds, the price may head toward the 0.57580 level.
This setup aligns with a potential short-term rebound within the broader bearish market structure.
What are your thoughts on this outlook?
NZDUSD (LONG)
1)Perfect demand Zone
2)Reversal Pattern of morning start forming
3)Monthly Pivots Demand Zone.
NZD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.564 area.
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Bearish Pennant on NZD/USD @ D1A bearish pennant is visible on this NZD/USD daily chart. If the pair closes significantly below the pennant's lower border, it might signal a continuation of the preceding downtrend. The pennant and its pole are shown with the yellow lines. My potential stop-loss level is marked with the red line (0.56726), it is placed at the high of the pennant area. My potential take-profit level is marked with the green line (0.54873), it is placed at the pole's length below the stop-loss. I will wait for the price to close well below the lower border of the pennant area to enter a short position.
NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bearish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a Bearish trade at any point.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 0.55300
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Based on the fundamental analysis 📰 🗞️ I would conclude that the NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar) pair is: Bearish
Reasons:
Interest rate differential: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) interest rate (2.50%) is lower than the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate (4.50%), making the NZD less attractive to investors.
Economic growth: New Zealand's GDP growth (1.5%) is slower than the US GDP growth (2.1%), which could lead to a stronger USD.
Trade balance: New Zealand's trade deficit (NZD 1.1 billion) is larger than the US trade deficit (USD 50 billion), which could put downward pressure on the NZD.
Commodity prices: New Zealand's economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports, and a decline in commodity prices could negatively impact the NZD.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China and the US, could negatively impact the USD and support the NZD.
RBNZ's monetary policy: The RBNZ's dovish stance and potential interest rate cuts could support the NZD.
US-China trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China could lead to a decline in the USD and support the NZD.
Bearish Scenario:
Stronger US economic data, such as GDP growth and inflation, supports the USD
Decline in commodity prices, particularly dairy and meat, supports the USD
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
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NZDUSD Wave Analysis 31 December 2024
- NZDUSD broke key support 0.5600
- Likely to fall to support level 0.5500
NZDUSD currency pair under the bearish pressure after breaking the key support 0.5600, which stopped the previous long-term ABC correction (2) earlier this month.
The breakout of the support 0.5600 strengthened the bearish pressure on this currency pair.
Given the multi-month downtrend, NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next major support level 0.5500 (which stopped multiyear downtrend in 2022) - from where the upward correction is likely.
NZDUSD - Support becomes resistanceHello Traders !
On the weekly time frame,
The NZDUSD broke the support level (0.57736 - 0.58098).
This key level becomes a new resistance level !
So, I expect a bearish move📉
__________________
TARGET: 0.56075🎯
NZD/USD BUY SETUP! This pair is presenting a solid buying opportunity with an excellent risk-to-reward ratio! The technicals align perfectly for a bullish move, supported by key levels and momentum signals.
📌 Reminder: Always trade with a stop-loss to protect your capital. Manage risk wisely and let the market do the work.
Let’s aim for profits while staying smart and safe! 💰
NZDUSD - LONG - Bullish Sentiments and divergence for LONGMarket seems to be in accumulation phase with confluences of bullish divergence on 4h Time Frame. Further, if the market breaks out of consolidation phase, we can expect a rally till 4h resistance level at 0.57544. STOP loss can be market at 0.56052. Additionally, sentiments of market for this pair favors the BULL for more than 90 percent.
Buy nzdusdPrice successful break the current support which is now a resistant, let wait for it to reach the immediate resistant and buy
nzdusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Low Risk TradeI see this setup as a low risk trade - stop loss can even be extended to historic lowest
We can wait for higher low entry
RSI confirmation (oversold indication is already there)
Volume is good
NZD/USD LONGLong NZD/USD is supported by technical analysis based on key indicators that suggest a potential reversal or bounce in the price. On the 4-hour chart, the price is showing signs of consolidation after a long downtrend, with a favorable setup for a recovery.
The Alligator moving averages are still bearish, but the price is starting to consolidate near the lower level, suggesting a possible weakening of the bearish pressure.
The indicator below is showing a reversal from the oversold level (-50), with a positive bias, signaling a potential resumption of buying by the market.
Support and Resistance: The support level at 0.5700 has held so far, while the target area is visible near 0.5740-0.5760, indicating a reasonable profit window. The stop loss has been placed below the recent low to manage risk.
These elements suggest that the price may attempt a bounce in the short term. However, it is essential to carefully monitor the confirmation of the trend through a breakout of key levels and increasing volumes.
NZDUSD 15mThis analysis comes from the new indicator I have coded recently. As shown on the chart, I anticipated a reaction at the red box 5m OB, with a target price at the green box 5m OB.
The reason is that, on the 5-minute chart, the supply zone was converted to a demand zone and broke the recent high. Pay attention: confirmation is required before entering the position.
NZDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.56300 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.56300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
