NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 30 April 2025
- NZDUSD reversed from the resistance level 0.6020
- Likely to fall to support level 0.5800
NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the pivotal resistance level 0.6020 (former top of wave 2 from November) intersecting with the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from September.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 0.6020 started the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
Given the overbought daily Stochastic, NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5800, the former resistance from March and the target for the completion of the active impulse wave 1.
NZDUSD trade ideas
Falling towards pullback support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5887
1st Support: 0.5828
1st Resistance: 0.6019
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NZDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my NZDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
NZDUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥 NZD/USD TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 Date: April 23, 2025
Plan Type: Main Swing – Reversal
Trade Plan Overview
Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Swing Sell ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 88% 4.1:1 Waiting
Guidance: Prioritize this Swing Sell plan due to 88% confidence. Price has rejected a daily supply and H4 OB with bearish imbalance and exhaustion visible on intraday. Sentiment and macro DXY flow reinforce bearish NZD stance. Total portfolio risk: 1%.
Primary Trade Plan: Swing – Sell
📈 Market Bias & Trade Type
Bias: Bearish 📉
Trade Type: Reversal
🔰 Confidence Level
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (88%)
Reason:
* D1 supply zone + fresh rejection wick.
* H4 OB + liquidity sweep.
* M30 BOS + divergence.
* Sentiment Score: +7/10
* DXY bullish continuation
* Cross-confirmation: AUD/NZD bullish divergence
* Historical win rate: 76% for this setup archetype
Confidence Breakdown:
* OB Confluence: 28%
* Fib: 18%
* Sentiment: 14%
* Cross-Market: 12%
* Volume/Structure: 16%
📌 Status – price in primary OB zone.
📍 Entry Zones
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.5990 – 0.6010 (D1 OB + FVG + wick inducement)
🟧 Secondary Zone: 0.6025 – 0.6045 (Wick imbalance fill + psychological level)
❗ Stop Loss
0.6060 (Above D1 OB + 1x H4 ATR, ~65 pips risk)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
🥇 TP1: 0.5910 (80 pips, 1.2:1 R:R, H4 swing zone)
🥈 TP2: 0.5805 (185 pips, 2.8:1 R:R, D1 EQ zone)
🥉 TP3: 0.5675 (315 pips, 4.8:1 R:R, swing low)
📏 Risk:Reward
TP2: 2.8:1
TP3: 4.8:1
🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 1% of $10,000 = $100 ≈ 0.2 lots
* SL to BE after TP1
* TP1: 50%, TP2: 30%, TP3: 20% trail
* Exit early on H4 BOS bullish or USD reversal
* Portfolio exposure capped at 1%
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria
* M30 bearish engulfing/pin bar inside OB
* H1/M30 volume confirmation
* Optional: M15 RSI divergence
* Best Entry: London Open / NY overlap
* Avoid: RBNZ policy statement/news spikes
⏳ Validity
H4 setup valid for 1–3 days (expires April 26)
❌ Invalidation: H4/D1 close above 0.6060 or structure shift bullish
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* COT: USD bullish bias strengthening
* DXY: Bullish structure holding
* Retail Sentiment: 74% long NZD/USD (contrarian bearish)
* Cross-Pair: AUD/NZD bullish (implies NZD weakness)
* Cross-Market: XAU/USD steady, not conflicting
* Macro: No major RBNZ/fed releases within 48h
* Sentiment Score: +7/10
* Historical: 76% win rate on this OB reversal pattern
📋 Final Trade Summary
D1 OB rejection with textbook H4 structure aligns for swing short. Setup awaits OB reaction + intraday entry. Confidence is high with strong macro alignment. Entry window preferred during London–NY crossover. Monitor volume and M30/H1 confirmations before executing. TP scaling designed to capture short-term, mid-range, and trend-continuation targets.
NZD-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is making
A local bearish correction
Towards the horizontal support
Level of 0.5912 and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A bullish rebound
Buy!
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NZD/USD Want To Give Us Third Entry To Get Extra 250 Pips !Id you check the chart you will see that i mentioned 2 places to buy this pair , and the price moving great , now we have a new place to can add one more buy entry with extra 250 pips target , it was a good res and now it will work as a great support , so we will wait he price to go back to check it and give us any good bullish P.A And then we can enter a buy trade with 250 pips target , and first 2 entries book a good profits from it and risk with 20% from your profits in the new entry .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5987
1st Support: 0.5831
1st Resistance: 0.6125
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
nzdusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZDUSD: Bears Will Push Lower
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the NZDUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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SHORT ON NZD/USDNZD/USD Is currently at a major resistance level/zone and has created a double top or equal highs.
Price has started to fall a bit, but I do believe price will rise to take out the equal highs in a "Liquidity hunt"
Overall I am taking a market execution sell on NZD/USD to the next demand level looking to catch over 300+ pips.
NZD_USD SHORT SIGNAL|
✅NZD_USD grew again
To retest the resistance of 0.6038
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
We will see a bearish pullback and a move down
Thus, we can enter a short trade
With the TP of 0.5953 and
The SL of 0.6042
SHORT🔥
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Kiwi H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5971 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.5875 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6082 which is a resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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NZDUSD INTRADAY Bullish breakout supported at 0.5920NZDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a Bullish breakout above the consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.5920 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.6080 – initial resistance
0.6150 and 0.6180 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish reversal from 0.5920 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive break and daily close below 0.5920 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.5870, with additional support at 0.5830 and 0.5770.
Conclusion
NZDUSD remains bullish above 0.5920. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
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NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6025 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6075.
We look to Buy at 0.5950 (stop at 0.5900)
Our profit targets will be 0.6050 and 0.6075
Resistance: 0.6025 / 0.6050 / 0.6075
Support: 0.6000 / 0.5950 / 0.5925
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ZND/USD BUY SETUP 2H chart analysisEntry Point:
Around 0.59126 (highlighted by the black price action and small white ellipse)
Stop Loss (SL):
Around 0.58498, just below the channel and a previous support area.
Take Profit 1 (TP1):
Around 0.60414, which aligns with a previous resistance level and is near the top of the channel.
Final Target:
Likely around 0.6100, slightly above TP1 and just beyond the current visible range. This would be an extension beyond the last swing high and consistent with channel projection.
---
Support Levels
0.58498: Strong support (your SL zone) - price previously bounced here.
0.58000: Minor support - mid-channel zone.
0.57000: Previous horizontal support area.
0.55000: Last major low.
Resistance Levels
0.59119 - 0.59126: Current entry level, may act as short-term resistance.
0.60000: Psychological resistance.
0.60414: Your TP1 level and a clear historical resistance.
0.61000: Final target zone, key resistance area.
---
Summary
Bias: Bullish
Strategy: Buy on breakout/pullback to 0.59126, with TP at 0.60414 and final TP around 0.61000.
Risk Management: SL below the channel and last support zone at 0.58498.
NZD-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Trades!
NZD-USD made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level around 0.5920 then
Made a pullback to retest
The new support so we are
Bullish biased which means
We can enter a long trade
On Monday with the Take
Profit of 0.5968 and the
Stop Loss of 0.5893
Buy!
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NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5971
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.5847
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6013
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD: Market of Buyers
The analysis of the NZDUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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NZD/USD Sell Trade Analysis – 4H Timeframe📉 Pair: NZD/USD
🕒 Timeframe: 4-Hour
📥 Entry Price: 0.59267
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 0.58265
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 0.59893
🔍 Trade Setup Explanation:
Trendline Rejection: Price has respected a descending trendline, confirming it as dynamic resistance. The recent candle shows rejection from this trendline, signaling a potential move downward.
Horizontal Resistance Level: 0.59274 has acted as a strong horizontal resistance level where the market has previously failed to break higher.
Bearish Market Structure: The market is forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating a continued bearish trend.
RSI Confirmation: RSI is at 41.81 and trending below its moving average (48.65), suggesting bearish momentum is still in play and sellers are in control.
💡 Summary: This setup shows confluence from both the trendline rejection and horizontal resistance zone, supported by bearish RSI momentum. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, making this a high-probability short trade setup.