Market Analysis: NZD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift?Market Analysis: NZD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift?
NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.5700.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5600 zone.
- There is a key declining channel forming with resistance at 0.5680 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.5515 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.5600 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 0.5630 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.5700 zone and is currently correcting gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.5660 level. However, the bulls are active above the 0.5630 level.
The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now moving higher toward 50. On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.5660. The next major resistance is near the 0.5680 level. There is also a key declining channel forming with resistance at 0.5680.
A clear move above the 0.5680 level might even push the pair toward the 0.5700 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.5750 resistance zone in the coming days.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 0.5630 level. The first key support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5516 swing low to the 0.5702 high. The next major support is near the 0.5560 level.
If there is a downside break below the 0.5560 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.5515 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5440.
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NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD#NZDUSD seeing the daily graph we see what price comes from a downward trend, but after taking liquidity in a significant bass it has been accumulating and making an bullish push, Now we see in 4H that you can search for the OB that is at 0.56000 to 0.55800 and see if it is capable of rejecting it and going to the top that there is enough liquidity at the top in the 0.57000 to 0.572000. 👀 💆🏽
NZDUSD - 5 Feb 2025 SetupNZDUSD Market structure are making a bullish breakout with strong bullish rally. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its a very good demand area structure after the price creating a higher high.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.63300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (0.56500) swing trade basis
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.64400 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis:
The NZD/USD pair is currently trading at 0.5677, with a 0.04% increase. The pair's upward movement is driven by weaker US PMI data, which has dragged the Greenback lower against the New Zealand Dollar. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to cut its 4.25% cash rate by 50bps at its upcoming meeting, which could impact the pair's movement.
🟣Macroeconomic Analysis:
The global economic trends are influencing the NZD/USD pair. The US inflation rate is at 2.90%, while New Zealand's inflation rate is at 2.20%. The interest rate difference between the two countries is also affecting the pair, with the US Fed Funds Interest Rate at 4.50% and the New Zealand Interest Rate at 4.25%.
🔵COT Report:
The latest COT report shows that speculative traders have increased their long positions in the NZD/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
🟠Sentimental Market Analysis:
The market sentiment for the NZD/USD pair is currently bullish, with 60% of investors expecting the price to increase in the next week. The social media sentiment is also bullish, with 55% of tweets and posts expressing a positive sentiment towards the pair.
🟢Aggregate Sentiment:
Bullish: 62%
Neutral: 26%
Bearish: 12%
🟡Positioning Analysis:
Institutional investors have increased their investment in the NZD/USD pair, indicating a growing interest in the pair. Retail investors are also optimistic about the pair, with 70% of investors expecting the price to increase in the next week.
⚫Overall Outlook:
Based on the analysis, the overall outlook for the NZD/USD pair is bullish, with a potential price increase of 5% in the next week. However, the market is subject to volatility, and investors should exercise caution when making investment decisions.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
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Bearish reversal?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5716
1st Support: 0.5631
1st Resistance: 0.5781
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/USD 4H Timeframe AnalysisTrend Analysis:
On the 4-hour timeframe, NZD/USD is in an uptrend, creating new highs and new lows. The price broke through the previous minor key resistance at 0.56750 and also broke our trendline, which can be considered another minor key level. Following this breakout, the price accumulated a high volume of buyer orders before retracing below the minor key. This move appears to be a liquidity grab—hunting for buyers’ stop losses—and represents a form of market manipulation. The price then retested the minor key level within our trendline.
Price Action Expectation:
After liquidity was formed, the price created a doji candle followed by a bullish engulfing pattern, suggesting that buyers are ready to push the price higher. The price then broke the minor key resistance again. Our objective now is to patiently wait for a retest of the minor key level.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 0.56780 (upon confirmation of the retest)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.56510 (placed below the liquidity zone)
Take Profit (TP): 0.57430 (targeting the next minor key level)
Fundamental Outlook:
The upcoming USD news on the Non-Farm Employment Change is set to report a forecast of 169K, a significant decline from the previous figure of 256K. This lower-than-expected reading could suggest a cooling U.S. labor market, potentially putting downward pressure on the USD. If the data confirms a slowdown in job creation, market participants may adjust their expectations for economic growth and Federal Reserve policy, which could lead to a weaker dollar. However, overall market reactions will depend on additional economic indicators and prevailing risk sentiment, so traders should be prepared for increased volatility.
Conclusion:
The NZD/USD 4-hour analysis reveals that the pair remains in an established uptrend, with recent price action indicating both a liquidity grab and potential accumulation. The formation of a doji followed by a bullish engulfing pattern signals that buyers are preparing to push the price higher. Our technical setup involves a buy entry at 0.56780—after a confirmed retest of the minor key level—with a stop loss at 0.56510 and a target of 0.57430, offering a clear risk/reward profile.
On the fundamental side, the upcoming Non-Farm Employment Change report—forecasted at 169K compared to the previous 256K—could point to a cooling U.S. labor market, potentially weakening the USD and adding volatility to the market.
Overall, while the technical setup looks promising, traders should remain cautious given the potential for increased volatility from the upcoming economic data. Adjust your risk management accordingly as you monitor the market for a confirmed retest before entering the trade.
Trading involves substantial risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Always seek guidance from a financial professional if you’re unsure about trading decisions.
NZDUSD Is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.57500 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.57500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on NZD/USD with you.
The 1-hour high at 0.56841 has been broken, and after a sufficient pullback, I expect NZD/USD to move upward from the current area. The target I have in mind for NZD/USD is 0.57972.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Upward movement toward 0.57972 after holding above the 0.56841 level.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 0.57972
Support: 0.56841
💬 What’s your outlook on NZD/USD? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Trade safe
NZDUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Sell SetupOANDA:NZDUSD is approaching a key resistance zone. Previously, this level has acted as strong supply area, leading to a bearish reaction. The ongoing bullish momentum suggests that buyers might test this level soon. A bearish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bearish engulfing candles, or long upper wicks, would increase the probability of a pullback. If sellers step in, the price could move toward the 0.56570 level.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
NZD/USD Analysis - H1 Prediction for 06/02/2025NZD/USD Analysis - H1 Prediction for 06/02/2025
📈 Bullish Bias with Potential Pullback
🔹 Current Price: 0.56679
🔹 Key Support Levels:
0.56289 - 0.56420 (FVG & Demand Zone)
0.55828 - 0.55915 (Stronger Demand Zone)
🔹 Market Outlook:
Price may retrace towards 0.56289 - 0.56420 before potential bullish continuation.
Holding above 0.55828 - 0.55915 keeps the bullish bias valid.
A break below 0.55800 shifts momentum bearish.
🔹 Trade Setup:
✅ Buy Zone: 0.56289 - 0.56420 (Look for bullish confirmations)
✅ Target: 0.57233 & 0.57980
✅ Invalidation: Sustained break below 0.55800
#NZDUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #FVG #ForexTrader
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.5630
1st Support: 0.5590
1st Resistance: 0.5716
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 5 February 2025
- Nasdaq-100 reversed from pivotal support level 20800.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 21800.00
Nasdaq-100 index previously reversed up from strongly the pivotal support level 20800.00, which has been steadily reversing the price from the end of December.
The support level 20800.00 was further strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band, support trendline of the daily up channel from September and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from October.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 21800.00 (top of the previous waves B and 1).
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5700 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5750.
We look to Buy at 0.5675 (stop at 0.5655)
Our profit targets will be 0.5725 and 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5700 / 0.5725 / 0.5750
Support: 0.5675 / 0.5650 / 0.5625
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD SHORT Market structure Bearish on HTFs
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.56500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.03
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.