NZDUSD trade ideas
NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5954 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5969
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This WeekNZDUSD – Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This Week
🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
After the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US Dollar has shown signs of recovery driven by expectations that core inflation remains persistent — especially ahead of the upcoming US Core PCE Price Index release this Friday.
On the New Zealand side, the Kiwi remains under pressure due to recent weak economic data and negative sentiment from China — its largest trading partner. The RBNZ continues to maintain a neutral stance, offering little support for the currency in the near term.
Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the PCE data to determine inflation trends and potential Fed policy shifts.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–H2 TIMEFRAME)
NZDUSD is forming a technical rebound after a strong bearish leg from the 0.60300 region. Current price is trading around the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5964–0.5976), struggling to break above EMA89 and EMA200 resistance.
Overall structure: Bearish bias remains intact with lower highs.
EMA alignment: EMA13, EMA34, and EMA89 are in bearish formation.
Key support zone: 0.5926–0.5940, trendline confluence + consolidation base.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance:
0.5976 – Fibonacci 0.5 retracement + previous rejection zone
0.5990 – Structural resistance of the week
0.6007 – 78.6% Fib + liquidity sweep potential
Support:
0.5940 – Trendline retest + short-term structure
0.5926 – Key demand zone with previous fake breakout
🎯 TRADE IDEAS
SELL SETUP – Fade the pullback into resistance:
Entry: 0.5976 – 0.5990
Stop Loss: 0.6010
Take Profit: 0.5940 → 0.5926
BUY SCALP – On strong bullish rejection from support:
Entry: 0.5926 – 0.5930
Stop Loss: 0.5900
Take Profit: 0.5960 → 0.5976
Note: Confirm with bullish candlestick and volume spike before entry.
⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
NZDUSD remains in a corrective phase. This week’s PCE inflation data will be critical. A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and push NZDUSD below 0.5926, resuming the medium-term downtrend.
Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Focus on price reactions near the key resistance and support levels.
NZDUSD to form a higher low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
A move through 0.5960 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6000.
Pivot resistance is at 0.6000.
We look to Buy at 0.5940 (stop at 0.5915)
Our profit targets will be 0.5990 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.5990 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5940 / 0.5925 / 0.5900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NZD/USD Falls Following Failed Attempt to Test November HighNZD/USD carves a series of lower highs and lows following the failed attempt to test the November high (0.6038), and the bearish price action may persist as it continues to fall from a fresh yearly high (0.6032).
A move/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may push NZD/USD toward the monthly low (0.5847), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension).
Nevertheless, NZD/USD may snap the bearish price series should it defend the advance from the monthly low (0.5847), with a breach above the November high (0.6038) bringing 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) on the radar.
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5931
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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NZDUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.5966 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5933
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5989
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD holds near 60c after the RBNZ’s cutNZDUSD has remained in a sideways trend since peaking in late April as trade tension has generally calmed down significantly and traders reevaluated probabilities for monetary policy in the second half of the year. Of the two central banks, the RBNZ seems clearly more dovish than the Fed, which creates potential headwinds for the Kiwi dollar. The normal situation before 2020 of a carry from buying seems likely to remain reversed until early next year at least.
Strong recovery in mid-late April moderated fairly quickly, with somewhat lower volume and volatility for most of May so far. The 20 SMA is a potential dynamic support but not a very strong one; the 50 SMA from Bands might be more reliable as a dynamic support. The influence of fundamentals seems generally negative and 60c looks like a strong static resistance, having been tested three times, so the upside might be limited for NZDUSD for now.
55c would be the obvious medium-term target for sellers as last month’s low, but a new downtrend from here would probably depend on the Fed’s minutes late on 28 May and American second estimate GDP the next day being received broadly positively. Traders are also looking ahead to personal consumption expenditures on Friday 30 May.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips AgainMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips Again
NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.5935.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.6000 resistance zone.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.6030 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.5960 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.5930 zone and is currently consolidating.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low at 0.5960. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960.
The next resistance is the 0.5985 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low. If there is a move above 0.5985, the pair could rise toward 0.6030.
Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.6080 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.5930 level.
The next major support is near the 0.5910 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5880, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.5850 level. The next key support is near 0.5820.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZDUSD: Dips as Investors Await RBNZ Decision on May New Zealand Dollar Dips as Investors Await RBNZ Decision on May 28
The New Zealand dollar fell to around $0.6000 on Tuesday, following a volatile Monday session where it briefly reached its highest level in nearly seven months.
Now, all eyes are on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s upcoming policy announcement on Wednesday.
The central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates for the sixth time in a row, possibly lowering the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%.
Market participants will also pay close attention to the bank’s latest economic forecasts, looking for clues about how China Trade Tariffs could affect future growth.
Meanwhile, NZDUSD remains below the Daily Pivot Point, signaling a higher likelihood of further declines ahead of the RBNZ rate decision, as seen in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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NZDUSD Range Tightens – Breakout Setup BuildingNZDUSD continues to coil within a contracting triangle, forming a symmetrical wedge bounded by lower highs and higher lows. Price is approaching the resistance zone near 0.6028, with visible indecision and rejection wicks, signaling potential for either breakout or rejection.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.6028 (structural ceiling, key pivot)
Support: ~0.5800 (ascending support line of wedge)
Breakout Target (Bullish): 0.6150–0.6200
Breakdown Target (Bearish): 0.5650–0.5550
Scenarios to Watch:
🔹 Bearish Rejection
Price rejects off 0.6028 and returns inside range
Watch for momentum drop and move toward wedge base (0.5800)
Clean breakdown opens path toward April lows (~0.5509)
🔹 Bullish Breakout
Break and hold above 0.6028
Confirmation on 4H close + retest
Opens room for bullish extension toward 0.6150+
Outlook:
Price is nearing apex compression, suggesting breakout is imminent.
Bias is neutral until price breaks out of the current wedge structure.
Expect volatility spike around the 0.6028 test.
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 May 2025- NZDUSD reversed from the pivotal resistance level 0.6020
- Likely to fall to support level 0.5900
NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the pivotal resistance level 0.6020 (which has been reversing the price from November).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 0.6020 formed the daily Shooting Star – which stopped the C-wave of the previous ABC corrections (2).
NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5900, which has been reversing the price since the middle of May.
NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZDUSD 1D Golden Cross, final bull signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern that only broke during the early April sell-off and has found Support near its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on its recent May consolidation.
As the 1D MACD just formed the 4th Bullish Cross of the year we expect this long with the emerging 1D Golden Cross to be the final buy signal before a long-term correction. Our Target is 0.60900 representing a +4.30% rise, the minimum previous within this pattern.
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New Zealand dollar sharply lower, RBNZ cut expectedThe New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5950, down 0.83% on the day. A day earlier, the New Zealand dollar touched a high of 0.6031, its highest level since Oct. 2024.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to lower rates by a quarter-point to 3.25% on Wednesday. With little doubt about the decision, investors will be focusing on the Reserve Bank's updated forecasts. The markets are looking at another rate cut in July and perhaps one more later in the year, which would lower the cash rate below 3.0%.
The RBNZ has been dealing with a weak domestic economy and a deteriorating outlook for the global economy due to US President Trump's erratic tariff policy. The RBNZ would like to continue trimming rates and restore consumer and business confidence.
New Zealand's inflation was higher than expected in the first quarter at 2.5%, up from 2.2% in Q4 2024. This is within the Bank's inflation target of 1%-3% and means that inflation levels won't prevent the Bank from lowering rates on Wednesday.
US durable goods orders plunges, consumer confidence surges
In the US, Durable Goods Orders declined by 6.3% m/m in April, after a 7.5% gain in March, which was the fastest pace of growth since July 2020. The soft reading managed to beat the market estimate of -7.8%. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index, which has fallen steadily this year, surged to 98.0 in May, up from 86.0 in April and blowing past the market estimate of 87.0.
We'll hear from more Federal Reserve members on Wednesday, which could provide some insights into the Fed's rate path. The Fed has adopted a wait-and-see stance and is widely expected to hold rates for a fourth straight time at the next meeting on June 18.
NZD/USD has pushed below support at 0.5978 and is testing 0.5955. Below, there is support at 0.5928
There is resistance at 0.6005 and 0.6028
NZDUSD higher falls expecting
OANDA:NZDUSD ASCENDING CHANNEL visible, we are have break of same on 23.5, price is start pushing but on first res zone (0.60200), price is start making reverse.
Currently again in ASCENDING CHANNEL expectations for this week are to see break and bearish push.
SUP zone: 0.59800
RES zone: 0.58450, 0.58200
RBNZ rate decision coming upKeep your eyes on the rate cut tomorrow by the RBNZ and on the NZD reaction to all of it. We have an interesting technical set up building on FX_IDC:NZDUSD . Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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NZD/USD 4 Hr. Real-Time Bias!1). Place Fib tool wherever it works, as theses will be key levels of Buy/Sell entries! 2). Strike a trendline off of whatever works best! 3). Establish a 5-wave/ABC sequence that seems to work! 4). Remember, wave 1 defines directional bias of price action! 5). Wave 5 slightly broke above a previous high, therefore the upward bias is likely still intact! 6). It's all the same price action principles on any timeframe any Instrument! 7). Practice...It's actually quite simple!
NZD/USD4H Chart Analysis Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone📈 Price: 0.59552
📊 EMA 70: 0.59410 (🟤 Brown Line)
Chart Zones & Key Levels
🔷 Resistance Zone:
🔼 Around 0.60298 – 0.60304
🔹 Price reacted strongly here (🔽 white arrows)
🔹 Acts as a ceiling for now
🟢 Demand Zone:
🔽 Around 0.58800
✅ Buyers stepped in here before
📉 If price drops again, might bounce from here
🟥 STOP LOSS:
❗ 0.58793
🔸 Protects from deeper losses if trend breaks down.
TRADE IDEA
1️⃣ Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the Demand Zone
📉⬇️
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Expected:
⬆️ Bounce toward Target Zone
🎯 Target Point: 0.60300
🟦 Profit zone marked in blue
💸 Good Risk/Reward ratio.
Indicators & Pattern
📐 Wedge Pattern:
🔹 Bullish breakout potential
🔹 Currently respecting the channel
📉 EMA Crossover Area:
🔸 Could act as dynamic support/resistance
🟤 Price hovering around EMA (0.59410)
Summary:
✅ Buy Setup if price holds above 0.58800
🎯 Target: 0.60300
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.58793
⚠️ Watch the price reaction at the Demand Zone for confirmation!