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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

NZDUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.5899, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 0.5833, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 0.6020, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Short trade 15min TF overview 🟥 Sellside Trade Log 📉 Pair: NZD/USD 🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM 🧠 Setup: Continuation (Ascending Channel Rejection) 🆔 Trade ID: #NZDUSD-0515A 📅 Date: Thursday, 15th May 2025 🕘 Time: 9:15 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 0.58856 🔹 Profit Target: 0.58537 (-0.54%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.58955 (+0.17%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.22 🔍 Reasoning: This sellside continuation trade was executed following a rejection at the ascending channel resistance. Price action showed bearish follow-through during the London AM session, with the channel's upper boundary providing a key pivot. Momentum favoured downside extension, supported by structure and session timing.
Short
by davidjulien369
New Zealand dollar extends losses, inflation expectations expectNew Zealand releases inflation expectations for the first quarter on Friday. Inflation expectations can manifest into actual inflation and are considered a market-mover. Over the past three quarters, inflation expectations have hovered around the 2% level, which is the mid-point of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's target band of 1%-3%. However, inflation expectations are expected to climb to 2.4% in the second quarter, which could complicate the Reserve Bank's plans to further trim interest rates. New Zealand consumer inflation rose 2.5% y/y in the first quarter, up from 2.5% in Q4 2024 and above the market estimate of 2.2%. This is comfortably within the RBNZ target band and enabled the Bank to cut rates to 3.5% from 3.75% last month. The central bank left the door open to further rate cuts at the April meeting, stressing the risk to the New Zealand economy due to rising global trade tensions. New Zealand's largest trading partner is China and the temporary agreement between the US and China to slash tariffs is good news for New Zealand's export sector. The Reserve Bank meets next on May 28. US retail sales in April posted a weak gain of 0.1% m/m. This was well below the upwardly revised 1.7% gain in March but edged above the market estimate of 0%. There was also soft data from the inflation front. Producer Price inflation declined 0.5% in April, down from the upwardly revised 0% in March and below the market estimate of 0.2%. The Federal Reserve is virtually certain to hold rates at the June 30 meeting, but there is a 36% chance of a rate cut in July and a 50% likelihood in September, according to CME's FedWatch. Fed Chair Powell has adopted a wait-and-see stance due to the uncertainty over US trade policy. With inflation largely under control and the labor market in solid shape, Powell is no rush to lower rates. NZD/USD is testing support at 0.5871. Below, there is support at 0.5844 There is resistance at 0.5920 and 0.5947
by OANDA
NZD/USD Rebound UnravelsNZD/USD gives back the rebound from earlier this week to hold below the monthly high (0.6023), and lack of momentum to hold above the 0.5900 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push the exchange rate towards 0.5820 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement). Next area of interest comes in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension), but the recent weakness in NZD/USD may turn out to be temporary should it defend the advance from the weekly low (0.5847). A move above the monthly high (0.6023) may lead to a test of the April high (0.6029), with a breach above the November high (0.6038) opening up 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension). --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
NZDUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥 Pair: NZD/USD | Date: 13 May 2025 📋 Plan Overview Type Direction Confidence R:R Status Intraday SELL 🔶 87% ~1:3.0 🟢 Active Plan 📈 Market Bias & Type * Market Bias: Bearish * Type: Continuation sell setup from premium retracement zones (H1/H4 aligned with D1 lower high structure) * Structure: Lower highs/lows forming post D1 rejection + bearish order flow 🔰 Confidence Level: 87% High Probability Element Weight HTF Bias (D1 + H4) ✅ 25% OB + FVG Confluence (H1/H4) ✅ 20% Liquidity Sweeps ✅ 15% H1 Candle Structure ✅ 15% Clean Range to Downside ✅ 12% Volume + Session Context ✅ 10% 📍 Entry Zones 🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.5905 – 0.5922 * Location: H1 Order Block + H4 Imbalance + Pre-sweep rejection base * Reason: Clean OB + EQH sweep; ideal reaction + compression zone 🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 0.5938 – 0.5953 * Location: D1 FVG edge + Final stop-hunt zone above major EQHs * Note: Only if price aggressively sweeps primary with no rejection ❗ Stop Loss (SL) * Above Secondary Zone high: 0.5965 * Reason: Protects against deep liquidity sweep beyond unmitigated OBs 🎯 Targets TP Level Price Reason 🎯 TP1 0.5860 Mid-range H1 structure zone 🎯 TP2 0.5828 H4 FVG low + clean inefficiency 🎯 TP3 0.5790 D1 range base + March 2024 EQ lows 🧠 Management Strategy * Risk: 0.5% max if only Primary; if both zones possible, staggered 0.25% each * Scaling: Allow partial fill on reaction candles * Breakeven: Secure at TP1 with tight trailing thereafter * Re-Entry: Only if price returns to zone post-BOS + lower high ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist (REQUIRED) Confirmation Status H1 Bearish Engulfing Awaiting Volume Spike (US) Awaiting EQH Sweep Liquidity ✅ Seen Rejection Candle Awaiting London/NY Session Preferred for activation ⏳ Validity * H1 Setup Validity: 12–16 hours from issuance * H4 Structure Alignment Valid: up to 48h ❌ Invalidation * Price closes firmly above 0.5965 on H1 candle or * Market structure shifts bullish with BOS + HL + high-volume breakout 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot * USD: Mildly strong due to recent NFP and CPI beats * NZD: Weak macro prints, fading RBNZ tone * Risk Sentiment: Slight risk-off tone — favoring USD strength 📋 Final Trade Summary * Trade Type: Structured HTF-aligned intraday/swing sell * Plan Logic: Sell retracement into key supply zones, following multi-timeframe bearish structure * Trigger Requirement: Tap + confirmation only (NOT pre-entry)
Short
by jibkhan111
NZD/USD SELL SETUP – May 14, 2025🔻 Entry: 0.59641 🎯 TP: 0.59291 (🟢 35 PIPS) 🛑 SL: 0.59760 (🔴 12 PIPS) ⚖️ RRR: 1:3 ✅ 📍 Confluences: 🔹 FVG Fill – Clean imbalance filled on 1H 🔹 61.8% Fib Level – Perfect alignment with resistance 🔹 H1 Supply Zone – Holding firm with rejection wicks 💰 Risk Mindfully 🔒 low risk, clean setup 🧠 Invalidation: If price closes above 0.59760 on 1H, consider cutting or reevaluating 🔄 ⏰ Best to monitor during NY session for continuation. Malaysian Time 8-10pm. 📛 No chasing. No FOMO. Precision only.
Short
by tradingwith_ryann
NZD/USD "Kiwi" Forex Vault Heist Plan!🌟 Yo, what's good? Salaam! Ciao! Konnichiwa! 🌟 Dear Cash Snatchers & Market Bandits, 🤑💰💸😎 Get ready to raid the NZD/USD "Kiwi" Forex Vault with the slickest 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 Our tech-fueled, fundamental-backed heist plan is locked and loaded for a long-entry score. Stick to the chart’s sneaky blueprint and aim to slip out near the Red Zone—a high-stakes trap where overbought vibes, consolidation, and bearish bandits lurk. 🏆💸 Grab your loot and treat yourself, you sly foxes! 💪🎉 - 📈 Entry Point: The heist’s ON! 🕵️‍♂️ Lay low for the MA pullback at Institutional Buy Zone 1 (0.57700) or Buy Zone 2 (0.56000), then pounce for juicy bullish profits! 🚀 - 🛑 Stop Loss: Yo, ears up! 🗣️ If you’re setting a buy stop order, don’t touch that stop loss ‘til the breakout pops off. 📍 Stash it at the closest swing low on the 4H: Buy Zone 1 SL at 0.56500, Buy Zone 2 SL at 0.54500. Size it to your risk, lot, and multi-order game plan. Mess around, and you’re toast! 🔥 - 🎯 Target: Shoot for 0.62500 or ghost out early with the goods. 💰 - 👀 Scalper Crew: Long-side scalping only! Got deep pockets? Dive in. Tight budget? Roll with swing traders and slap on a trailing SL to shield your stash. 🧲 - 📊 Why It’s Lit: The Kiwi’s bullish run is powered by fundamentals, macro trends, COT reports, quant analysis, market vibes, and intermarket signals. Scope the full scoop from legit sources! 🌍🔗 ⚠️ Heads-Up: News drops can flip the game! 📰 Stay sharp: - Dodge new trades when news hits. - Slap trailing stop-losses on to lock profits and cover your back. 💖 Fuel the heist! 💥 Smash that Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style squad. Swipe profits daily like a pro and roll with the slickest crew! 🏆🤝🚀 Catch you on the next big score, bandits! 🤑🐱‍👤😎
Long
by Thief_Trader
Short trade 4Hr TF overview 🟥 Sellside Trade Log 📉 Pair: NZD/USD 🏷️ Type: Intraday | Tokyo Session AM 🧠 Setup: Descending Channel Breakdown 🆔 Trade ID: #NZDUSD-0512A 📅 Date: Monday, 12th May 2025 🕐 Time: 1:00 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 0.59251 🔹 Profit Target: 0.58484 (-1.28%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.59443 (+0.34%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.99 🔍 Reasoning: Sellside trade executed following a breakdown from a descending channel formation during the Tokyo AM session. Price action respected the upper trendline multiple times before failing to hold mid-channel support. The breakdown confirmed bearish intent with increased momentum and order flow alignment. Target set below the channel’s lower boundary, aiming to capture liquidity resting beneath the structure.
Short
by davidjulien369