NZD/USD..1h chart pattern..NZD/USD 1H chart appears to show a bullish breakout pattern, supported by:
An ascending trendline.
Price holding above the Ichimoku cloud.
A clear breakout projection drawn with an arrow to a higher level.
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🔍 Estimated Target Based on Chart Structure
Based on visual estimation and the pattern:
Current breakout level: ~0.6050
Projected target (based on prior swing and consolidation height): ~0.6150 – 0.6170
This suggests a target zone of 100–120 pips from the breakout area.
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🧮 How This Target Is Likely Derived
Looks like a bullish flag or ascending triangle setup. The vertical height of the pattern (approx. 100–120 pips) is added to the breakout point (~0.6050), giving:
Target ≈ 0.6050 + 0.0100 to 0.0120 = 0.6150 to 0.6170
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📌 Key Levels to Watch
Support: 0.6025–0.6040 (cloud + trendline confluence)
Breakout confirmation: Strong 1H candle close above 0.6050–0.6060
Target: 0.6150–0.6170
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NZDUSD trade ideas
A Detailed Technical, Fundamental, and Macro AnalysisNZD/USD Trading Plan: A Detailed Technical, Fundamental, and Macro Analysis
1. Technical Analysis:
The 30-minute chart of NZD/USD highlights key price action within a well-defined channel between crucial support and resistance levels:
Resistance (0.60769): The price is testing significant resistance around 0.60769. If this level is broken, the price could continue higher, indicating further upward momentum.
Support (0.60271): A strong support level is found at 0.60271. If the price retraces and holds this level, a potential rebound could take place.
EMA (Exponential Moving Averages):
EMA 13 (Blue): Currently moving upwards, confirming a bullish short-term trend.
EMA 34 (Yellow) and EMA 89 (Red): These are trending sideways, suggesting that the market is in a consolidation phase, waiting for further signals.
2. Fundamental Analysis:
FED's Monetary Policy: The actions and statements of the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates have a significant impact on the USD. If the FED maintains or hikes rates, this could push the USD higher, putting downward pressure on NZD.
New Zealand Economic Indicators: The strength of New Zealand's economy, particularly export data, plays a vital role in supporting or weakening the NZD. Positive economic reports could support a bullish NZD.
3. Macroeconomic Analysis:
Global Risk Sentiment: Market sentiment is being influenced by global factors like trade tensions, economic growth projections, and political factors. A shift in risk sentiment, especially regarding the U.S. economy or geopolitical tensions, could lead to significant price movements in the NZD/USD pair.
4. Buy and Sell Zones:
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 0.60271 - 0.60300
SL (Stop Loss): 0.60200
TP (Take Profit): 0.60700 → 0.60769 → 0.60900
SELL ZONE:
Entry: 0.60750 - 0.60800
SL: 0.60900
TP: 0.60300 → 0.60200 → 0.60100
5. Strategy:
Buy Orders: If price consolidates at the support level of 0.60271 and shows confirmation with EMA indicators, consider a buy with a target at 0.60769.
Sell Orders: If price fails to break through the resistance at 0.60769, a sell order could be placed, targeting the 0.60271 support level.
6. Market Sentiment:
The market is highly sensitive to news and economic reports, and therefore, it is essential to remain alert to potential volatility. Any major economic release from New Zealand or U.S. Federal Reserve news could significantly influence the pair.
NZDUSD ready to make new HH!!bullish trendline seems quite intact as the price has tested multiple times, giving opportunities in long positions. Currently the price is gain going to hit that drawn support level(trendline) make sure to enter at that time. Long position has also been shown on the chart for more clarity
Falling towards overlap support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5989
1st Support: 0.5939
1st Resistance: 0.6080
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NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6050 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6075.
We look to Buy at 0.6020 (stop at 0.5995)
Our profit targets will be 0.6070 and 0.6075
Resistance: 0.6050 / 0.6070 / 0.6075
Support: 0.6025 / 0.6020 / 0.6000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NZDUSD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6040
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5991
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6069
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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NZD/USD Bullish Raid – Loot Fast Before the Cops Arrive!
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The Vault is Open! 🏦➡️📈 – Price is bullish, but overbought.
Red Zone = Police Trap! 🚨 (Resistance/Reversal Risk)
Escape Plan: Take profits near 0.62400 (or bail early if traps trigger).
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NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 1D timeframe (0.58400) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.60800
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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NZD/USD – Bearish Reversal Expected Below 0.5990–0.5977 ResistanThe NZD/USD pair is approaching a key resistance zone at 0.5990–0.5977, which has been tested multiple times and aligns with the upper boundary of a potential corrective structure.
🔹 Elliott Wave Context:
The price action appears to be completing a corrective wave (C) structure, indicating that upside momentum may be limited.
This scenario suggests a potential bearish reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Targets & Levels:
Resistance: 0.5990–0.5977
First support target: 0.5885
Next major support: 0.5846
📌 Trading Plan:
Watching for bearish confirmation (rejection candlesticks or reversal pattern) below 0.5990–0.5977
Potential short entries targeting the support levels
A break above 0.5990 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest continuation to the upside
This chart offers a clear bearish bias while price remains below the resistance zone, supported by Elliott Wave context and previous price action behavior.
NZDUSD Long📊 Chart Elements Breakdown
✅ Trade Setup
Buy Entry Zone: Around 0.60385
Stop Loss (Red Zone): Below 0.60163
Take Profit (Green Zone): Near 0.60795
Risk/Reward Ratio: Roughly 1:2, showing a favorable setup
📈 Indicators & Tools Used
1. Volume Profile (Visible Range)
Displays where the most trading activity (volume) occurred in each session.
You’ve marked high-volume nodes (HVN) and low-volume areas.
Price is moving away from a high-volume consolidation zone, suggesting a breakout attempt.
2. Volume Delta (Histogram)
Shows the difference between buying and selling volume.
Currently showing increasing green bars → bullish delta, indicating buyers are gaining control.
3. CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
CCI(20) is above +100, signaling overbought conditions but also confirming bullish momentum.
This supports the bullish move continuation theory.
🧠 Trading Logic
Accumulation Zone identified before the breakout (low-volume area marked).
Price retested support and showed strength with a bounce.
The break above recent structure around 0.6035 combined with positive delta and CCI signals is a bullish confluence.
Targeting the previous swing high at 0.60795 aligns with volume-based resistance.
🔍 Summary
You're anticipating:
A bullish continuation after a clean retest of support.
Strong buying pressure confirmed by Volume Delta and CCI.
A breakout from a range, potentially targeting liquidity above 0.6079.
GBPUSD 4 Hour Chart GBP/USD has currently completed the minute degree 5th wave and is now entering a corrective 2nd wave. The 5th wave remains valid as long as the price stays below 1.36168. There is a high probability of a downward move towards the Fibonacci retracement zone between 0.618 and 0.786, corresponding to the price range of 1.26811 to 1.24270, where an ABC correction is expected to complete.
NZDUSD1. New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield
As of June 6, 2025, the New Zealand 10-year government bond yield is approximately 4.58% to 4.64%, with a recent slight increase to 4.64% on June 6, 2025.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) official cash rate stands at 3.25% as of early June 2025, following cuts from 3.50% in May.
Bond yields reflect inflation expectations, economic outlook, and monetary policy stance.
2. United States 10-Year Bond Yield 4.5%
3. Interest Rate Differential
The 10-year bond yield differential (NZ minus US) is roughly:
4.6%(NZ)−4.5%(US)≈+0.1%
This small positive differential indicates New Zealand bonds yield slightly more than US bonds, offering a modest carry advantage for NZD over USD
The current Federal Reserve (Fed) policy interest rate target range is 4.25% to 4.50%, a level that has been maintained since December 18, 2024. The Fed has held rates steady through its meetings so far in 2025, including the most recent one in May.
The next Fed interest rate decision is scheduled for June 18, 2025, with the announcement expected at 6:00 PM UTC (2:00 PM ET), followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
The policy rate differential favors the US slightly, with the Fed’s rate around 4.25 TO 4.5%% and RBNZ’s at 3.25%–3.50%, reflecting the recent easing by New Zealand.
4. Carry Trade Advantage
The carry trade incentive for NZD/USD is modest due to the small yield differential.
Investors borrowing in USD to invest in NZD assets gain a slight positive yield spread from the 10-year bond yields but face currency risk and potential volatility.
The carry advantage is limited by RBNZ’s recent rate cuts and the Fed’s relatively higher policy rates.
Conclusion
The NZD/USD 10-year bond yield differential currently offers a small carry advantage to NZD, but this is tempered by the policy rate differential favoring the USD due to recent RBNZ easing. The carry trade appeal for NZD/USD is therefore limited in June 2025, with currency movements likely influenced more by economic data, risk sentiment, and central bank guidance than pure yield spreads.
#NZDUSD
NU Short prespectiveLooking at NU on the 4 hr, we have a nice rejection with the pinbar taking out sell side liquidity. We can also observe that price retraced back into the resistance zone before the further push to the down side. Friday Market closed with bearish sentiment.
As such we have a good amount of Fvg that we can potentially target as an entry. Here we have established the .62% as an entry using the fib retracement to target the previous lows.
Now, this trade will be invalid if price fails to stay below the new LH and would make this short invalid. Currently price is testing a resistance as per historical data would present.
NZDUSD 1. New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield
As of June 6, 2025, the New Zealand 10-year government bond yield is approximately 4.58% to 4.64%, with a recent slight increase to 4.64% on June 6, 2025.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) official cash rate stands at 3.25% as of early June 2025, following cuts from 3.50% in May.
Bond yields reflect inflation expectations, economic outlook, and monetary policy stance.
2. United States 10-Year Bond Yield 4.5%
3. Interest Rate Differential
The 10-year bond yield differential (NZ minus US) is roughly:
4.6%(NZ)−4.5%(US)≈+0.1%
This small positive differential indicates New Zealand bonds yield slightly more than US bonds, offering a modest carry advantage for NZD over USD
The current Federal Reserve (Fed) policy interest rate target range is 4.25% to 4.50%, a level that has been maintained since December 18, 2024. The Fed has held rates steady through its meetings so far in 2025, including the most recent one in May.
The next Fed interest rate decision is scheduled for June 18, 2025, with the announcement expected at 6:00 PM UTC (2:00 PM ET), followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
The policy rate differential favors the US slightly, with the Fed’s rate around 4.25 TO 4.5%% and RBNZ’s at 3.25%–3.50%, reflecting the recent easing by New Zealand.
4. Carry Trade Advantage
The carry trade incentive for NZD/USD is modest due to the small yield differential.
Investors borrowing in USD to invest in NZD assets gain a slight positive yield spread from the 10-year bond yields but face currency risk and potential volatility.
The carry advantage is limited by RBNZ’s recent rate cuts and the Fed’s relatively higher policy rates.
Conclusion
The NZD/USD 10-year bond yield differential currently offers a small carry advantage to NZD, but this is tempered by the policy rate differential favoring the USD due to recent RBNZ easing. The carry trade appeal for NZD/USD is therefore limited in June 2025, with currency movements likely influenced more by economic data, risk sentiment, and central bank guidance than pure yield spreads.
#NZDUSD
Bearish drop for Kiwi?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6051
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6078
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6007
Why we lik eit:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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NZD/USD Registers Fresh Yearly HighNZD/USD breaks out of the range bound price action from earlier this week to register a fresh yearly high (0.6080).
Still need a close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to open up 0.6170 (50% Fibonacci extension), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.6230 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 0.6260 (38.2% Fibonacci extension).
At the same time, lack of momentum to close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) may push NZD/USD back toward the weekly low (0.5961), with a break/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region bringing the May low (0.5847) on the radar.
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
NZD/USD Bearish Reversal Setup | AB=CD -Week 7Hey Traders!
I'm currently watching a possible bearish reversal setup forming on the NZD/USD 1H chart based on:
✅ Confluence Factors:
🔹 AB=CD Harmonic Pattern
Price is approaching the D point near the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone)
AB=CD ratio aligns closely with 1.618 and 0.618 fibs for BC leg
🔹 Bearish RSI Divergence
RSI is showing a higher high while price action is also making a higher high
Classic sign of momentum weakening at the top
📌 Trading Plan:
Wait for price to reach or slightly exceed point D / PRZ zone
Watch for clear lower highs and lower lows on price structure
Confirm entry with bearish divergence and candle confirmation
Enter via Sell Stop below support or structural break
Target: Previous support zones
Stop Loss: Above PRZ/point D
#NZDUSD #HarmonicPatterns #RSIDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #ABCDPattern #Forex #TradingView
Lingrid | NZDUSD Uptrend Trend Continuation Trade FX:NZDUSD is trending within a clean upward channel, recently bouncing off the trendline near 0.60164. After consolidating in a narrow range, the pair is showing signs of upward continuation toward the 0.60890 resistance zone. A retest of the trendline followed by a bullish reaction could confirm the breakout move.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.60160–0.60220
Buy trigger: breakout above 0.60400 with momentum
Target: 0.60890
Sell trigger: breakdown below 0.60100
💡 Risks
False breakout above 0.60400 may trap buyers
Close below trendline invalidates bullish structure
Range-bound price action may delay breakout follow-through
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
NZD/USD: Bullish signals build ahead of U.S. data gauntletNZD/USD is holding an established uptrend with bullish momentum building, supported by strengthening RSI and MACD signals. The pair is testing key resistance at .6050—a level that’s capped price repeatedly over the years.
A break and close above would confirm a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a stop just beneath. Initial resistance comes in at .6110, with scope for a move towards .6200 if momentum continues.
Good luck!
DS