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NAS100USD trade ideas

NASDAQ Analysis: Bearish Momentum Targets Key Support LevelsUSNAS100 Technical Analysis The price has dropped by approximately 500 pips and continues to move toward 20,990 while remaining below 21,215. As long as the price trades below 21,215 and 21,160, it is expected to target 20,990 and 20,860. A retest of 21,215 is possible before resuming the bearish trend. A bullish reversal will be confirmed only if a 4-hour candle closes above 21,220. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21145 Resistance Levels: 21280, 21390, 21535 Support Levels: 20990, 20860, 20670 Trend Outlook: Bearish while below 21215
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
US100 shortUS100 has broken the market structure that was established since the August lows. We have retested it at 21700 yesterday and we have now prepared the down move, this down move coudl be setting up the Weekly HL which aligns with both the 24EMA on the weekly and the 0.618 retracement level. The market participants seem to be very complacent and this was myself included, until yesterday where we had the retest and not the break of the trend line, and the cross below the 24EMA on the 4H we are setting up very strongly to Fall now with the target being 19500 ish. I am reactive and not predictive so when and if we reach there I will send out what to do next
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Moustafa!! Be ready for a big bearish wave will hit US100 soon! * The used times frames are the monthly, weekly and the daily.. on the chart at this idea, is shown the daily frame! * The purple daily uptrend line which was not broken since 05.08.24 if you remember what happened at the carry trade and Japan interest rates of that time, was broken at 18.12.24 and then pullback then the index pushed down again then on 03.01.25, another pullback happened and it could go to max 21635 but I believe will be pretty hard that one daily candle can close above that price 21635 * A descending bearish triangle already formed and the main idea, that the index will face huge resistance which will push the price down to breakthrough the triangle to send the index further down to the TP1 regardless any bullish short term retraces to the upside, but 20230 will be my TP currently! * I believe that the main target is even further down when the index touches by the daily candle the green uptrend line which is strong as a steel and was not broken since 06.01.2023 and the last time the index touched that line was at 05.08.2024 which caused a huge insane push to the upside. * My Fib retracements levels are powerful and closure of the daily candle of 02.01.2024 is a huge indication that the index would go further down even if a pullback to the upside happened on the 3rd of January (last Friday session) ****** Note: My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:NAS100Short
by moustafa_marei
14
US100 Will Go Up! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for US100. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 21,249.90. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 22,102.42. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CFI:US100Long
by SignalProvider
2
Nas100 updateTechnical Analysis: Trend: • The market is still in an overall uptrend, given the ascending channel structure. • However, the recent break below the midline and rejection at the upper boundary suggest possible short-term bearish momentum. Key Levels: 1. Support: • 21,200–21,220: Current price level and a critical area to hold. A break below could lead to further downside. • 20,766 (blue horizontal line): Major support and a previous demand zone. A test of this level is possible if the bearish pressure continues. 2. Resistance: • 21,500: The midline of the channel and the 50-period MA align here, making this a key resistance zone to watch. • 21,800–22,212: The upper channel boundary and previous swing highs. Price needs to break above this to regain strong bullish momentum. Moving Averages: • Shorter MAs (blue lines) are crossing below longer MAs (red lines), suggesting bearish momentum in the short term. • The 200-period MA (thicker red line) is still acting as dynamic support, aligning with the channel’s lower boundary, adding confluence to the 20,766 level. Possible Scenarios: 1. Bullish Case: • If the price bounces from 21,200–21,220 and breaks back above the 21,500 resistance zone, it could retest 21,800 and potentially the channel’s upper boundary near 22,200. • Entry: After a bullish breakout and retest above 21,500. • Target: 21,800 and 22,200. • Stop Loss: Below 21,200. 2. Bearish Case: • If the price fails to hold 21,200, a move down to the 20,766 support zone is likely. • A break below 20,766 could invalidate the ascending channel, leading to further downside toward 20,400 or lower. • Entry: On a clean break and retest below 21,200. • Target: 20,766 and 20,400. • Stop Loss: Above 21,500. Indicators to Watch: • Volume: Look for increasing volume during key breakouts or breakdowns. • RSI/MACD: Watch for divergence signals to confirm potential reversals near critical levels. Conclusion: The market is at a critical juncture. The reaction at 21,200 will determine whether bulls regain control or bears push the price lower toward the 20,766 support zone. Stay cautious and wait for confirmation before entering a trade.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by AutoMarkets
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 7 Jan 2025I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - JOLTS Job Openings @ 15h00 News - None Directional bias - BUY Morning analysis: M TF - Currently showing bullish sentiment, even after last month's doji candle close. W TF - Bulls have managed so far to keep price above W neckline (on the W TF change the chart type to line chart and you will clearly see the "M" representing a DT market pattern). D TF - D 0.618 SELL fib level was broken, as bulls pushed price up well above this level and managed to close the D candle above it. Even though bulls showed massive strength on Monday, they were unable to close the D candle above the D falling wedge pattern top blue line, i.e. they were unable to break the pattern upwards. At time of writing in the morning, temporary blue downtrend line is being respected. The blue downtrend line represents the D downtrend of the falling wedge (drawn on the D TF) and the green down trendline represents the 4H downtrend line (drawn on the 4H TF) 4H TF - Potential neckline of a DT noted and marked with orange. If the 7am candle breaks this neckline downwards, price will push down because we are at the top of a higher TF market pattern (D falling wedge) + we have a 4H DT. These are strong bearish signals, but they will only be valid should price action give a reversal signal by bears being able to break the orange neckline downwards. The D buy fib levels coincide with the 4H buy fib levels as both are drawn from swing low at B to swing high at A on each respective TF. This gives a form of TF confluence and makes these levels stronger. 1H - Bears have managed to break below the pivot point + 1H EMA. The 1H candle that closed at 6am, wicked down to the pink uptrend line and there was a strong reaction (long lower candle wick) alluding to the validity of this uptrend line. Interest area's: 1. One buy area of confluence marked in green highlight - 4H EMA + D EMA (at that time) + D 0.382 buy fib level As the day progressed: Bulls managed to push up and break the pivot point upwards. The candle that broke the pivot closed right on the 30min EMA. When Nas is very bullish or bearish, the 30min EMA will act / be respected as dynamic support and resistance. Hence, I didn't want to enter my buy right at this level. I waited to see what price action would reveal. Looking at the 15min TF you can see a small price retracement to the pivot point (red candle at C.), a doji right at the pivot point and a green candle pushing up and away from the pivot and closing higher . It was at this point that I entered on a full position size, as I deemed my risk low because I had waited for the break and re-test: Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - 30 min DB with neckline broken upwards and re-tested 2. S&R - pivot point + 1H EMA acting as dynamic support 3. Trend - Buy is in the overall bullish direction of the recent market and temporary orange downtrend line broken upwards. Price also rejecting and moving away from temporary down trend blue line 4. Fib - 5. Candlesticks - bullish engulfing candle to the left of C. on the 1H TF + previous long wick candle rejecting the D sell 0.618 fib. Mental SL placed at the thick pink line, so that the pivot point the 1H EMA and bulls rejecting the 4H neckline could possibly protect my buy. Price action was a bit choppy, but I held my position open as price was making higher highs and higher lows on the 1H TF. Price gradually trending upwards along the 1H EMA. Then news came out at 15h00 and price fell through the floor. JOLTS Job Openings is not really a "high impact" news event for Nasdaq like the CPI and NFP is. So this was a surprisingly volatile move, indicating how sensitive traders are to economic news that would affect Fed decisions regarding rate cuts. For me, up until the news, Nas was showing really good bullish price action. And then price just fell through the floor. I closed my biggest position at 1'150 pips loss (as I usually don't like to take losses of more than 1'000 pips a day). My smaller position size, I hesitated to close and took a loss of 2'411 pips! WHAT THE HELL!!! This was the fist time in a long time that I hesitated to close and it cost me badly, my emotions really got in the way here. Then, as per my strategy, when price reached my interest area, I moved down to the 5min TF and entered a buy when price made a DB on the 5min TF at the lower hand icon.. But that was a false signal i.e. a small bounce off a strong reversal zone, but price ultimately tanked further and I closed at 1'126 pips loss. What a freakin disaster....I basically took a 2'927 pips loss today (if I smooth the effect of position sizing). Part of this loss is due to variance and part of it is due to my own fault. There is no way I could have projected that Nas would fall through the floor on this news event and I don't regret my entry as I do believe my entry is correct for my bias and I did wait for the break and re-test. My mistake was that I hesitated to close and took a bigger loss than I should have. I also should not have entered again if I had already taken such a huge loss for the day. My strategy is to be out for the day if I make a 1000 pip loss. So it was a bit of a disaster. Nasdaq (and mostly myself) DESTROYED me today! After this devastation to my trading account, I think I will sit the rest of the week out, as tomorrow market are closed in national mourning and then Friday is NFP which I don't trade anyway. I need market to be as "normal" as possible because now I have my work cut out for me to slowly make up these losses. I will need to look for good quality entries and limit my risk. ​Losses are normal in trading and these will be faced by every trader. But the biggest damage a trader can do to his progress is to have uncontrolled losses and let losses get bigger than they should. It has been many months since I made this error, so I am making progress, but one bad day can cause serious damage. Limiting losses is more important than making money. If you don't have this skill you will never be profitable over the long run - I was reminded of this valuable lesson today. Hope you had a better day than me! Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Nasdaq 100 – Could this week’s events support a rally?Technology stocks have started the year on a solid footing supported by Microsoft’s announcement to invest $80 billion this year on data centre infrastructure and hopes that the potential trade tariffs that will be initially implemented by Donald Trump’s administration may not be as sweeping as first thought. Next however, Nasdaq 100 traders must negotiate a week packed full of tier 1 US economic data releases, which brings the strength of the economy and labour market back into focus. These updates start later today with the ISM Services PMI survey and JOLTs job openings releases scheduled for 1500 GMT. Traders will be looking for reassurance that service activity remains firmly in expansion territory, above 50, and so is well positioned to be the driver of US economic growth at the start of 2025. While for the JOLTs release, alongside ADP private sector payrolls tomorrow at 1315 GMT, weekly jobless claims on Thursday at 1330 and Non-farm payrolls at 1330 GMT on Friday, expectations are for these to all show a US labour market that is gently slowing down rather than dropping dramatically, which while unlikely, may be a nasty surprise. Against such a potentially challenging macro backdrop it can be helpful to consider the technical indicators and trends for the Nasdaq 100. Technical Trends: The first full trading week of 2025 has seen the Nasdaq 100 index start on a positive note, as a rally has developed, so far at least. This comes after January 2nd activity tested 20711, the December 20th extreme, with the subsequent rally confirming this as a possible support focus. While this is intact, a more extended phase of price strength could be seen. These themes appear to be supported by Monday’s break and close back above the Bollinger mid-average, currently at 21460, which may be turning higher once more, to suggest an uptrend is again materialising. While this is not a guarantee of future price strength, focus could now shift to 21832, the December 26th session high, possibly then, although much will depend on future price trends, towards 22142, the December 16th all-time high. What are the Possible Supports? As we’ve said, latest activity has confirmed the 20711 December 20th low as a likely support and defense should be watched. However, this point giving way may see a more extended phase of price weakness emerge. Closes below 20711 could suggest risks may well be turning towards a deeper retracement of August to December strength. The 38% level stands at 20270, which links with 20309 November 19th session low, and this might be a lower support level. However, if it were to give way on a closing basis, tests of 19904, the November 4th low, could be on the cards. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
USNAS100 / CONTINUE OR REVERSE...! Here is the key levelsUSNAS100 Technical Analysis The price has reached the resistance zone and now needs to break above 21,645 with at least a 1-hour candle close to continue the bullish movement toward 21,750 and 21,890. Otherwise, it is possible for the price to reach 21,535, which must then be broken with a 1-hour candle close to confirm a bearish trend toward 21,390. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21645 Resistance Levels: 21750, 21900, 22100 Support Levels: 21535, 21390, 21215 Trend Outlook: Consolidation between 21,535 - 21,635 Bullish above 21,650 Bearish below 21,535
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
4-hr US100: 500 Points to the Upside The US100 index recently underwent a significant correction, dropping 1,300 points to establish support at the 20,800 level. This decline created a notable Double Bottom chart pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often attracts buying interest. True to form, buyers entered the market, driving prices higher as confidence in the reversal grew. A critical milestone in the recovery was the decisive breakout above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, a key technical indicator often viewed as a confirmation of continued upward momentum. This breakout not only reinforced bullish sentiment but also suggested the possibility of sustained growth. As the index builds on this strength, the next significant resistance zone lies above the 22,000 mark, making it a logical target for market participants. The combination of strong support, a bullish pattern, and a Fib level breach provides a solid foundation for further gains, signaling that the recent correction could lead to an extended upward trend in the US100.
SKILLING:US100Long
by Trendsharks