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NAS100USD trade ideas

NAS100 afternoon updateBearish case for NAS100. From ATH of 21247.5, proposed impulse wave down (red ellipse) and corrective wave up (green ellipse). Price action in the context of proposed ending diagonal wave ((5)) (wedge) and failure of price to tag median line (red line) of pitchfork. Bottom of wedge has held as support for price in proposed wave (2) (red ellipse). If count is correct, first sign would be impulsive price action (wave (3)) to break below wedge and head towards target of 18297.4. If this is the market top, price will likely go much lower, back towards October 2022 lows.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by discobiscuit
1
Morgan Stanley: Trump’s Tariff Plans Could Lower Stock IndicesMorgan Stanley: Trump’s Tariff Plans Could Lower Stock Indices As reported by CNBC, Morgan Stanley analysts have evaluated the potential impact of tariff plans proposed by Donald Trump during his presidential campaign on the U.S. economy and stock market. Key initiatives from the president-elect include: → Introducing a general tariff of 10% to 20% on all imported goods. → Imposing additional tariffs of 60% to 100% on imports from China. Morgan Stanley’s Chief Global Economist, Seth Carpenter, suggests these measures could: → Eliminate the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2025 and constrain economic growth. → Threaten a slowdown in U.S. economic growth by 2026. → Drive inflation higher. → Pressure industries such as automotive, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, and retail. Increased producer costs are likely to be passed on to consumers. These scenarios imply a negative outlook for the U.S. stock market. Tariffs may reduce investment appeal and raise borrowing costs for companies, potentially dampening market performance. How Might This Affect Indices Like the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 Mini on FXOpen)? Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 Mini) indicates: → A broad upward channel has formed in 2024 (depicted in blue). → During October, prices gravitated toward the median line, creating a narrower channel between Resistance and Support levels. → Around the presidential election, prices spiked to a peak on 11 November but subsequently returned to the median. The 21,000 level has emerged as a significant resistance point. It briefly acted as support, but the price failed to hold above it. Could bears successfully break away from the median's pull? So far, the chart shows no clear signs of bearish activity. However, should such signals arise, they would lend greater weight to Morgan Stanley’s forecasts. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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by FXOpen
1
NASDAQ testing the MA50 (4h). Buy signal if broken.Nasdaq is on a slow rebound following the test of the long term Buy Zone, right over the MA50 (1d). Today it hit the MA50 (4h) and so far it is struggling to close above it. On all prior bottoms, once the MA50 (4h) broke, it issued a bullish confirmation. Trading Plan: 1. Buy when the price crosses above the MA50 (4h). Targets: 1. 21450 (the 1.236 Fibonacci extension). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is also rebounding after a 30.00 test. Also consistent with all prior bottoms. This is an additional buy signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingBrokersView
1
NASDAQ looking to hold the 4H MA50 in order to sustain the rallyNasdaq (NDX) broke on Friday above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and today is looking to re-test it as a Support. The medium-term pattern has been a Channel Up since the September 06 Low and every time the 4H MA50 broke following a bottom, it held and sustained the Bullish Leg until the top. It appears that the most common rally % within this pattern is +6.80%. As a result, assuming the 4H MA50 holds, our Target is 21650. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
A Groundbreaking Weekly Close: Is a Big Move Loading? 🔥 The market has spoken, and it’s speaking LOUD. 🔥 This past week’s historic close is nothing short of monumental. For the first time, the market confidently surged above the previous All-Time High (ATH) — breaking through with conviction backed by exceptional volume. But what does this mean for the days ahead? Let’s break it down. A Look Back: What History Tells Us 📈 Reversal That Changed the Game: Earlier this year, the market reversed from a minor dip at the ATH with a surge in liquidity. That move ignited a massive 10% rally. And now, we see the same conditions emerging: Liquidity ✔️ Strong volume ✔️ Breakthrough resistance ✔️ 🔎 The Election Week Trap: Sometimes, the market plays tricks. The US Election Week candle gave us a massive move but was immediately retraced the following week. This teaches us an important lesson: ignore the noise and focus on what truly matters — consistent price action backed by volume. Why This Weekly Close Stands Out ✅ Exceptional Volume: Unlike election-driven volatility, this close is supported by sustained buying pressure. ✅ Breaking Major Resistance: The market isn’t just flirting with the ATH; it’s clearing it decisively. ✅ Momentum Reset: We’re now undoing the noise from previous eventful candles and focusing on the real trajectory. What’s Next: Is Another 10% Rally in the Cards? The stars are aligning for a potential repeat of history. With liquidity unlocked and resistance broken, the market could be gearing up for an even bigger move in the coming days. This past week’s candle could be the foundation for a new bullish wave, signaling a continuation to higher highs. 🧠 Key Takeaways for Traders 💡 Ignore the distraction of single-event candles like the election weeks — focus on volume-backed closes. 💡 Watch for sustained momentum — this close is a signal, not just a moment. 💡 Be prepared for potential follow-through that could mirror the prior 10% move or even exceed it. ⚡ Conclusion: The Market Is Ready to Make a Move ⚡ This isn’t just a weekly close; it’s a statement. The market is poised, primed, and ready to go. Are you ready to ride the wave? ➡️ A major move is loading… and you don’t want to miss it. 🔔 Stay sharp, stay focused, and let the market show its hand!
FX:NAS100
by shazfit
1
NASDAQ: Touched the 4H MA200 and MACD Bullish Cross forming.Nasdaq turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.926, MACD = 156.450, ADX = 29.632) as the price pulled back aggressively to the point that it reached the 4H MA200 again for the first time since the elections day. With the exception of Oct 31st, this level hasn't been touched since September 11th, as the trend is rising inside a Channel Up. The 4H MACD will form tomorrow a Bullish Cross, which has been an early buy signal on the previous bottoms. We expect a new bullish wave to begin. We aim again for a +6.80% rise (TP = 21,600) like the two bullish waves of the pattern. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
1
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Next Week's Trading PlanTrend Overview: NAS100 has recently completed Wave 5 of a higher-degree impulsive structure, indicating a potential trend reversal or a corrective move is imminent. This is consistent with Elliott Wave Theory, where after a 5-wave move, the market typically retraces in a corrective 3-wave pattern (ABC). Key Structural Observations: Wave 5 Characteristics: Sharp rally towards 21,247.5 suggests exhaustion of bullish momentum as it aligns with a liquidity zone. Significant Break of Structure (BOS): A bearish BOS at the daily level signals potential trend weakness. 2. Technical Components A. Elliott Wave Analysis Current Count: Wave 5 Completion: The chart shows Wave 5 at 21,247.5. Expectation: A corrective Wave ABC towards lower levels, targeting key support zones. Next Move: Wave A: Likely to move toward the dealing range low (20,465.8). Wave B: A shallow retracement before further downside. B. Harmonic Patterns Bearish Harmonic Pattern Completion: The harmonic structure completes near 21,247.5, a confluence zone marked by Fibonacci extensions (0.786 of Wave 4 and 1.272 extension of Wave 3). Expect strong selling pressure near this level. Harmonic Implications: Downward targets align with Fibonacci retracements: 38.2% at 20,758 (minor support). 61.8% at 19,777.5 (major support). C. Order Flow and Liquidity Liquidity Zones: Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): Stops above 21,247.5 represent trapped buyers in the rally, making this level a magnet for liquidity grabs. Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Stops below 20,465.8 will likely get targeted during the correction. Point of Control (POC): POC at 19,493.2: A high-volume area that aligns with the lower end of the dealing range, marking a potential demand zone. D. Volume Profile Volume Concentration: Significant buying volume occurred in the range 20,758–19,888, suggesting this range will act as initial support during a pullback. Low Volume Areas (LVAs): Thin volume between 21,000 and 21,247 indicates potential for a rapid decline if selling pressure emerges. 3. Key Levels Resistance Levels: 21,247.5: Major swing high and harmonic completion zone. High-probability reversal area. Support Levels: 20,758: Minor support (38.2% retracement). 19,777.5: Major support (61.8% retracement). 19,493.2: Final support zone (Point of Control and low of dealing range). 4. Next Week's Trading Plan Scenario 1: Bearish Move (Primary Plan) Short Setup: Entry: Enter short positions near 21,247.5, targeting liquidity above this level. Stop Loss: Set stops above 21,300 (beyond the invalidation of Wave 5). Profit Targets: Target 1: 20,465.8 (sell-side liquidity zone). Target 2: 19,777.5 (major Fibonacci support). Target 3: 19,493.2 (POC/demand zone). Rationale: Exhaustion of Wave 5 aligns with harmonic completion and liquidity grab. Scenario 2: Bullish Move (Secondary Plan) Bullish Setup: Entry: Enter long positions if price retraces to 20,758–19,777.5 and shows bullish rejection (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle). Stop Loss: Set stops below 19,424.3 (final invalidation of bullish structure). Profit Targets: Target 1: 21,138.9 (prior swing high). Target 2: 21,247.5 (retest of highs). Rationale: The correction might end within the identified dealing range, providing a favorable risk-reward for longs. 5. Key Validation and Invalidation Levels Bearish Bias Invalidated: Sustained break above 21,300 suggests continued bullish momentum. Bullish Bias Invalidated: Break below 19,424.3 invalidates bullish correction, signaling deeper retracement. 6. Risk Management Position Sizing: Keep risk per trade between 1-2% of capital. Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for 3:1 or higher. Max Loss for the Week: Do not exceed 5% drawdown. 7. Additional Considerations Economic Calendar: Monitor macroeconomic data that could impact U.S. indices. Market Sentiment: Watch for news and earnings that may affect NAS100 components. Live Order Flow: Track changes in real-time to confirm bearish/bullish moves.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by spaceangel
1
THE GRAND RESET: WORLDS MOST EPIC FORECASTAt one of the 2 levels labelled recession here i expect some very rich someones to flush the market The year is 2024 Q4 yall know whats going on right now aside from the foggy interest rates and already going back up inflation 21/11/24 the companies in here are all just OB 28.1 P/E is not something to play cheerleader about its institutional grade take profit time (booms and the busts baby) no room for dumb blondes we moving our money to asia now, so dont be playing hodl yay hodl when the DXY crash to oblivion on some ZIMBABWE dollar dollar type zhit and the standard asset classes change to gold maybe rubles maybe yen maybe brics idk maybe whatever those UFO's gone bring when they come in peace (trust nobody and pray to GOD) p.s im speculating might be right might be wrong i could say russia pretending really well to have a tough time with ukraine, we just speculating i could say kamala going to take that seat even though she lost... im just speculating i could say ripple is your last chance millionaire crypto heck i could say next recession here might not even come to pass cause nobody will be trading nasdaq or trading at all just another wall st degen from afrika what can i say #speclife p.s despite the satire im very professional in my work like comment follow if you wanna gift this user on black friyay with a premium go for it
FX:NAS100Short
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
1
NAS100 Top-Down Analysis and Weekly Outlook1. Price Structure and Market Phases Accumulation Phase (Phase A to Phase C) The price has been moving through an Accumulation Phase, characterized by: Selling Climax (SC): The lowest price level where selling pressure exhausted, marked near 20,254.0. Automatic Rally (AR): A reactionary upward move after SC, reaching approximately 20,650.5, signaling temporary buying interest. Secondary Test (ST): A retest near the SC zone to confirm the support region before entering Phase B. The structure is building strength, with low-volume tests (ST in Phase B) hinting at preparation for a potential breakout. Phase B: Building Cause Within this phase, the price oscillates in a range, indicating institutional accumulation. Key highlights: Support line is established at 20,322.1 (also near the SC zone). Resistance Line appears around 20,880.0, which aligns with Fibonacci retracement and psychological levels. 2. Key Price Levels Support Levels 20,322.1: A major support level and the lower boundary of the current accumulation zone. 20,254.0: The absolute low (SC) and the invalidation point for a bullish scenario. A breakdown here would confirm a bearish continuation. Resistance Levels 20,880.0: The upper boundary of the current range and a critical zone for a potential breakout. 21,245.7: A key invalidation level for Wave 1, which marks a shift to a new upward structure if broken. 3. Volume Profile Insights Point of Control (POC) 20,257.1: The POC from the horizontal volume profile, indicating the area of highest trading activity and likely a magnet for price. Volume Distribution Low-volume pockets near 20,322.1 to 20,254.0 suggest minimal resistance if the price falls, while heavier activity near 20,650.5 may act as resistance during retracements. 4. Fibonacci Levels and Key Retracements Fibonacci Extensions and Retracements 0.618 Retracement (20,853.3): Marks a shallow correction point and a likely resistance zone for bearish pullbacks. 0.5 Retracement (20,749.9): Frequently observed as a support/resistance level during corrective waves. 0.382 Retracement (20,650.5): Short-term support/resistance where minor reactions are expected. 5. Price Action and Market Structure Wave Analysis Wave ii and Wave iii are actively forming. The price is currently in a corrective Wave iv, which is shallow and aligns with Fibonacci retracement zones. A projected Wave v is expected to test the 20,880.0 - 21,033.5 zone, which aligns with resistance from the volume profile and Fibonacci levels. Breakout and Retest Levels If the price closes above 20,880.0, it may signal the beginning of a larger upward move into the distribution phase or bullish SOS (Sign of Strength). Failing to hold above 20,322.1 will increase bearish momentum, invalidating the bullish accumulation. Change of Character (CHoCH) The first CHoCH has already occurred with a higher low forming at 20,254.0, confirming potential bullish intent. A higher high above 20,880.0 will further confirm the bullish transition. 6. Invalidation and Risk Management Bullish Invalidation A breakdown below 20,254.0 negates the bullish outlook and suggests continuation of the downward trend. Wave Invalidation Wave 1 invalidation is set at 21,245.7. A failure to reach this level while respecting corrective wave structures indicates bearish exhaustion. 7. Projected Scenarios Bullish Case The price will form a higher low near 20,322.1 and break resistance at 20,880.0, targeting: 21,033.5 (Wave v extension). Further upside toward 21,245.7 if momentum continues. Bearish Case Failure to hold support at 20,322.1 will trigger a retest of 20,254.0, possibly leading to: A breakdown into lower lows, invalidating the accumulation phase and extending the downtrend. 8. Trading Implications Buy Zone Near 20,322.1, as this level aligns with support and signs of accumulation. Confirmations of bullish reversal around 20,650.5 and 20,749.9 are potential entry zones. Targets Short-term: 20,880.0. Medium-term: 21,033.5 to 21,245.7. Stop-Loss Levels Below 20,254.0, as this invalidates the bullish scenario. Sell Opportunities At resistance levels (20,880.0, 21,033.5) if the price shows rejection and bearish reversal signals.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by spaceangel
4
USNAS100 / STILL BEARISH AREA !!!Technically: The price did its retest to 20655 and dropped again. So, Now it has a bearish area as long as trades below 20550 to get 20330 the retest possibility is till 20660; then stability below that level will remain a bearish trend. Otherwise, stability above 20660 by closing 1h or 4h candle will attend a bullish trend toward 20860 Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20550 Resistance Levels: 20660, 20860, 21070 Support Levels: 20330, 20130, 19950 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 20550 and 20660 Bullish above 20660
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Potential bullish rise?USTEC has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance level which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 20,578.80 1st Support: 20,330.46 1st Resistance: 21,019.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ULong
by ICmarkets
Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key EventsNasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events. The Nasdaq ended current day on a positive note, buoyed by strong economic data, robust corporate earnings, and supportive seasonality. However, investors are shifting their focus to critical upcoming events: the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and the PCE inflation report on Wednesday. These events have the potential to set the tone for the markets for the remainder of the year. Mixed Economic Data The past week brought a blend of economic data, with some encouraging signals and a few disappointments: Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): At 213K, the result came in better than the 220K consensus, underscoring the resilience of the labor market and reducing recession fears. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov.): Disappointed at -5.5 against expectations of 8, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Nov.): Came in at 71.8, below the 73.7 forecast, indicating a slight dip in consumer confidence. S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprised to the upside with a reading of 57.0, exceeding the expected 55.2, highlighting the strength of the services sector. Nvidia Shines Bright Corporate earnings added to the bullish sentiment, led by Nvidia's impressive Q3 results. The company reported revenue of 35.08 billion dollars, significantly above the consensus estimate of 33.17 billion dollars. As a leader in AI-related technology and semiconductors, Nvidia's results lifted the broader tech sector and contributed to Nasdaq's gains. Market Sentiment and Seasonality The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 61, in the "Greed" zone, indicating a risk-on environment as investors show confidence in equities. Seasonality also plays a crucial role. Historically, Nasdaq benefits from end-of-year trends, especially in an election year, when policymakers often aim to maintain market stability. Challenges Ahead While the current momentum is positive, the market faces significant tests this week with two major events: FOMC Meeting (Tuesday): The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and commentary will be in the spotlight. Investors will look for signals on whether the Fed plans to pause or keep the door open for further rate hikes in 2024. PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday): The core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures, could shape expectations for monetary policy. A higher-than-expected reading might increase concerns about further tightening, while a lower figure would reinforce the soft landing narrative. Lingering Risks In addition to the upcoming macroeconomic events, investors remain wary of: Trade Policy: Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods could stoke inflation and weigh on economic growth. Geopolitics: The ongoing risk of escalation in the Ukraine conflict continues to loom over global markets. Soft Landing: The Baseline Scenario Looking at the current data, the Nasdaq appears to be on the path to a soft landing, supported by a strong labor market and robust technology sector performance. Favorable seasonality—both year-end trends and election-year dynamics—further bolsters the case for continued gains, which remains the baseline scenario for now. Conclusion The Nasdaq has shown strength, but this week FOMC meeting and PCE inflation report could reshape market dynamics. The key question is whether the data will support the soft landing narrative or signal a need for further monetary tightening. What are your thoughts on the Nasdaq’s outlook given the upcoming Fed meeting and inflation data? Will the index sustain its rally, or are we in for increased volatility? Share your insights in the comments.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
1