NAS100USD trade ideas
Navigating NAS100 with Key Levels and Market SentimentKey Levels:
Resistance remains at 21,600–21,700, where price is struggling to sustain higher levels.
Support lies around 20,800–21,000, a strong buy zone on higher timeframes.
Fundamental Outlook:
With upcoming key data (FOMC and GDP), markets are likely to remain volatile.
A hawkish FOMC statement may lead to bearish pressure, pushing NAS100 lower toward the 20,800–21,000 support zone.
Conversely, dovish commentary or weak GDP figures could provide a bullish breakout above 21,600, targeting 21,800–22,000.
Rationale:
The price is testing a major resistance zone (21,600–21,700) but shows signs of hesitation and rejection on multiple timeframes.
A hawkish FOMC decision or commentary could trigger a sell-off, aligning with the probability of bearish momentum.
Action:
If price fails to break and hold above 21,600, short near 21,550–21,600.
Stop Loss: 21,700
Take Profits:
TP1: 21,300
TP2: 21,000
TP3: 20,800
Focus on a short position, especially if price fails to sustain above 21,600 during the London or New York sessions
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD): Assessing the Potential BreakoutOver the past few months, the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100USD) has demonstrated a clear upward trajectory, marked by higher highs and higher lows—a classic sign of sustained bullish sentiment. However, we've seen periods of consolidation and recent volatility - let's take a look at its current technical landscape.
Current Market Overview:
As of January 29, 2025, the NASDAQ 100 is trading at approximately 21,600, a level that has served as a significant pivot point in recent trading sessions. A decisive move above this threshold could validate the ongoing uptrend and open the door to further gains.
Key Levels to Monitor:
Immediate Resistance : The 21,600 level is crucial. A sustained break above this point could signal the continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Levels : Should the price retreat, the 21,300 - 21,200 are notable support areas to watch.
Recent Developments:
The market has recently experienced heightened volatility, notably a sharp dip around January 27, followed by an aggressive recovery. This shows how unpredictable the market can be and hints at continued bullish movement.
Strategic Considerations:
Breakout Confirmation : A sustained move above 21,600, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, would provide stronger confirmation of the breakout.
Support Retest : If the price successfully breaches the 21,600 resistance, this level could transform into a support zone. A subsequent retest of this level as support could present a compelling entry opportunity for long positions.
However , considering the Fed decision and fundamental factors around todays announcement - the most likely scenario would be slightly hawkish or a hawkish pause , which would be somewhat negative for the index. This would allow price to experience a temporary drop back down to the previous support (demand) level of 21,200 before buyers re-engage.
Trading Strategies:
Long Positions on Breakout Confirmation : A clear break and close above 21,600 could signal a long (buy) entry.
Long Positions on Retest of Support : A pullback to the 21,200 support level (assuming it holds) could offer a better opportunity to enter long positions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it's essential to conduct your own thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use appropriate risk management techniques and trade responsibly. OANDA:NAS100USD IG:NASDAQ PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
Bearish hypothesis this week is no longer valid, target 21800Due to the price not breaking below 20,300 on Monday and Tuesday of this week, the price may attempt to break through the previous high. The short-term target is 21,800. After breaking above 21,970, attention should be given to the price movement between 21,970 and 22,136, while also monitoring whether market data and news support a further breakout.
Trading requires bold hypotheses and careful validation, verifying whether assumptions hold based on actual market performance. If the assumptions are proven wrong, the trading strategy should be adjusted immediately. Most of the time, trading failures are not due to strategy or methods, but because traders fail to adjust their strategies in time, being misled by market volatility and uncertainty.
Marshal Liu Bocheng had a famous saying on strategic planning that also applies to trading: "When the five elements are uncertain, you will lose completely."
The "five elements" Liu Bocheng referred to are: mission, my situation, enemy situation, time, and terrain. From a trading perspective, I interpret them as profit targets (TP), personal preferences (Bias) & risk control, market dynamics, time (macro), and macroeconomic data & news. This is why I always emphasize conducting weekly and daily analyses before trading, setting hypotheses, and testing or disproving them during the trading process. The purpose is to strengthen my understanding of the market, which provides the foundation to create a suitable trading plan.
For example, in this week’s case, if the bears were dominant, the market should have broken downward on Monday. However, the actual market performance was influenced by news (such as the delay in tariff imposition and earnings reports), which aligned with the first scenario described in my weekend trading post: "If the price doesn't break down from Monday to Wednesday and shows significant support or a rebound, the market may further rise and break the previous high." The market received clear support in the range of 20,100–21,200, so the bearish hypothesis for this week is no longer valid from a technical analysis perspective.
If the market is bullish, the next move should be to fill the daily volume imbalance in the range of 21,580–21,800, which can serve as the initial target. If momentum is strong enough, a breakout should be completed before Thursday. In a bullish market, the price should not fall below 21,185; if it does, further assessment is required. I will look for buying opportunities in the range of 21,220–21,360.
Nasdaq market analysis: 31-Jan-2025Let’s dive into today's Nasdaq market analysis. Share insights, and potentially spot opportunities for good pips.
US100 Local Short!
HI,Traders !
US100 keeps growing
But the will soon
Retest a horizontal
Resistance level of 21668.9
From where a local bearish
Correction is likely to follow !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
NAS100- Time to buy!Nasdaq has recovered yesterday's crash and turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.692, MACD = 88.960, ADX = 31.397). The current rebound is taking place on the 1D MA50 and is a double bottom on the P1 level, which was previously a Resistance coming from the July 11th 2024 High. The same P1 level was seen supporting a year ago the January 5th 2024 Low. This hold ended in a rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. With even their RSI Channel Down patterns being identical, we expect a new bullish wave to start now, aiming the 1.5 Fib once again (TP = 24,000).
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Nasdaq Bullish/Dump?Been a while since i uploaded an update, but this is the second update for the year 2025. Nasdaq has been maintaining its bullish momentum for quite sometime now, but that doesn't necessarily mean that the bulls are no longer in control, indices did show gaps today(03.02.2025) due to market fear on the implimentation of new tarrifs. However i don't think its signaling an end to the bulish rally, i think season does aloow the Nas to be bullish, as the tech bubble and Ai developements kick in we will see more investors buy tech stock which will reflect posetiviley on the indices. More update still coming, for now my sentiment is long.
NAS100 ObservationPrice slowing down by resistance, a potential Double Top is forming,If price breaks below 21,597 it may confirm a reversal pattern. But if price breaks above 21,600 and retest it as support then a breakout is confirmed for more bullish momentum.
NAS100USD: Bullish Momentum Aims to Fill Market InefficiencyIn today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the market is currently delivering bullish institutional order flow, indicating a favorable environment for bullish opportunities.
Key Observation:
The primary target in price action is the market gap, representing a clear inefficiency that the market aims to fill. This gap serves as a draw on liquidity, aligning with institutional objectives to rebalance price action.
Trading Plan:
Objective: Look for opportunities to align with the bullish narrative.
Target: Focus on the market gap as the key area of interest, anticipating it to be fully filled as the inefficiency is resolved.
By following the bullish institutional order flow and targeting the inefficiency, we align ourselves with the market's structural objectives.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
US100NASDAQ Analysis
📈 Overall Trend: Bullish
The market remains in an uptrend.
📉 Clear Signs of a Pullback
Despite some strong bearish signals, they do not present a good trading opportunity.
✅ Preferred Strategy
Long positions (BUY) remain the better choice, offering a reasonable risk-to-reward ratio.
🎯 Target: 22,370
High-precision analysis, amazing results!
NAS100USD Will Fall! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,154.9.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 20,542.8 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Nasdaq_BuyNasdaq index analysis Probability of formation of top floor pattern in 4-hour and daily time frame Only by maintaining the high price of 20900 can this analysis be kept valid. The upcoming resistance number is 21900, which Nasdaq will continue to climb after breaking this number and will move towards the targets of 22500 and 23000 and finally towards 23300.
Nasdaq 100 Remains Neutral After the Fed's DecisionThe NAS100 initially dropped nearly 0.6% as the Federal Reserve's official decision was announced. However, so far, the event has not been decisive on the daily chart to establish a clear direction. The central bank chose to keep interest rates at 4.5% , as expected, and in its official statement, it acknowledged that inflation remains somewhat elevated and is still far from the 2% target. As long as this rate pause outlook continues, a sustained high level of 4.5% could continue to hinder overall economic activity and may become a key factor in the bearish bias that emerged in December.
Short-Term Sideways Channel:
At the moment, the market remains within a well-defined sideways range, with a ceiling at 22,000 points and a floor at 21,000 points. The price continues to fluctuate within this range, reflecting a clear lack of trend in recent movements. For now, this range stands as the most significant technical formation, potentially serving as a precursor to a much larger trending move.
Neutrality in Indicators:
The RSI line remains near the neutral 50 level , indicating that there is currently a perfect balance between buying and selling forces in the market.
The MACD histogram closely resembles the RSI, oscillating near the 0-neutral line , which suggests that the moving averages do not show a clear short-term trend bias.
The neutral stance of both indicators suggests that the Nasdaq may continue moving sideways for now, aligning with the current range-bound market behavior.
Key Levels:
22K – The most important resistance, aligning with the top of the sideways channel. A breakout above this level could be decisive, signaling new all-time highs and reviving the long-term bullish trend.
21K – A crucial short-term support level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Price action near this level could intensify selling pressure, potentially leading to more significant bearish moves.
20K – The ultimate support level currently holding the structure. A drop to this level could tilt the balance towards the formation of a fresh downtrend in the short term.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
NASDAQ is potentially OVER pricedSeeing that Nas has been getting weaker against the market makes me think its been propped up a bit and we are open to seeing a decent sized correction to the downside. This will likely shock the media and news but I belive it'll just help the asset reach new highs with a re evaluation of its components at a lower price. Trade Safe, Trade Smart, Trade Drippy!
NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus📢 Title: NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus 🚀
📊 Current Price Action:
The latest price is 21,490.1 📈, showing a +0.29% gain (+62.3 points) ✅.
The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 📊 is at 21,365.2, suggesting the price is slightly above this key moving average.
📌 Key Levels & Market Structure:
🔻 BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bearish structure break before the current recovery.
📉 GAP: There is a visible gap in the price action, which often acts as a magnet for price movements.
💰 Liquidity & Internal Liquidity (Int. LQ): Suggests areas where institutional interest may have been present.
📈 Trend & Potential Direction:
The price recently bounced off the 200 EMA 🔄, indicating possible bullish momentum 📈.
The ⬆️ arrow projection suggests a bullish outlook, targeting the gap fill and potentially moving higher towards 21,800 - 22,000.
If price holds above 21,365, the bullish thesis remains valid ✅.
🏆 Conclusion:
🐂 Bullish Bias:
Price is recovering from a break of structure (BOS) and pushing higher towards unfilled gaps 📊.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🛑 Support: 21,365 (200 EMA) – If it breaks below, downside risk increases ⚠️.
🚧 Resistance: 21,600 (gap area) – Price might struggle before breaking through 🚀.
💡 Trade Idea:
A 📈 long position targeting 21,800+, with a stop loss below 21,365 🔥.
NAS100 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nas100 price form a supply around level of 21629.60 and likely to fall so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 20733.59, 19718.99 and 18606.60 . Use money management
NAS100 SELL AT VPOCLooking for sells at the level on nasdeq which is also a level of imbalance and many orders clustered there. shall sell and stop loss and tp as indicated.
Nasdaq insights: 05-Feb-2025Good morning, traders! As a seasoned price action trader, I'll share my Nasdaq insights to help you improve your trading skills.
NAS100 SELL SETUPLQ Sweep, Market Structure Shift, Fair Value Gap, Retracement To The FVG For My Entry, all this on the 5 Min Structure but might be on a lil draw down before a run down
NAS100 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on Nas100 price has now form a supply around level of 21506.3 which is likely to continue moving down and a trader should for short with expect profit target of 18315.5 and 15083.4 . Use money management
Nasdaq market analysis: 03-Feb-2025Good morning! Happy New Week! Happy New Month! Here's your daily Nasdaq market analysis. Learn, grow, and trade wisely.
