Blightynomics: Gilts vs GbpExpecting a big move down on GBP and up on gilts This would coincide with a flight to dollars and deflationary market crash Let's see what happens DISCLAIMER: nothing herein constitutes any form of advice; this post is for information onlyby Great_Reset_InvestingUpdated 1
10-year Gilts 1-day classic patternsQ: What has the highest probability of occurring? Since early July there have been 4 tests of 132.000 resistance. There is a combination of 2 classic patterns forming at resistance. The double top, where both tops have been rejected at 132.000, is currently valid. The head and shoulders, the head consisting of the double top, would need to break the neckline ~129.750 to become valid. Both patterns equally project 128.250 as the target. Objectively looking at the entire base beginning around the high volume bar in February it is curve-like. Looking to the weekly timeframe it is quite possible this is the formation of a cup with the handle to follow. So there is some conflict in this area which can lead to a large number of market participants getting it wrong and as a consequence more momentum. It is quite probable that market participants have already shorted the double top breakout. Waiting for the head and shoulders to confirm with an ~129.750 neckline breakout before entry is advantageous. Stop placement above what appears to be a right shoulder at ~130.750 yields a 1.5R target. It would also be beneficial to visualise the 1-week handle as a means of guarding against the 1-day head and shoulder pattern failure. Shortby xciiitradingcoUpdated 111
Uk10YBGBPThe short to medium term bias is downward. Looking for shorts, only until the down-trending channel is broken. Shortby lebogang.malatji.754Updated 114
BULLISH MOMENTUMThis is my bearish trend idea. However, wait for a fall back to a key level after trend continue to downtrend momentum, because overall structure breakout and continue to downtrend. You can see it high time frame momentum. Good luckLongby wijitha221
GBPUSD SHORT (long yields)Both respective colored boxes are the exact same size . Yields up, GBP down. Flows nicely with Brexit negotiations finishing.Shortby davidshinkelUpdated 4
Uk Gilts Trend downUk Gilts are being sold into markets now ... showing a strenght in short term interest rate in Uk.... usually its has a strong correlation with the usa interest rates too.... for moment sell itShortby diegotrader99881
SHORT THE BULLS HAS MORE STEAM, COULD THEY BREAK CURRENT RESISTANCE, THEN BULLS MOMENTUM WILL CONTINUE, TO NEXT LEVEL RESISTANCE by Msithy0
UK10YBGBP, H1Minimum stop loss is 50 pts on this ticker with OANDA, which doesn't respect the R:R of the idea. You will have to manually manage this trade if you don't want a shitty 0,89:1 RRShortby KathAstrophicUpdated 2
EURO - Where the money goes!Here you can see where the money from the euro area flows, among other things. Nobody talks about it and the media sell the "EU people" once again for stupid and tell corresponding fairy tales. The high of the Euro in the third week of February marks the low of 10-year British government bonds. The first of March low in the euro with 1.2124 marks the blue 1 high and the depreciation of the euro in the last few days can be seen nicely as a circled blue 3. In my opinion, no solutions can be brought by the ECB, because this central bank is the largest bad bank of all time. Full of government bonds issued by the "South&Western-States", which have no chance of sustained recovery in the corset of the Eurozone, this zombie portfolio will burst with full force. The only chance to save the EURO for a few more years is the introduction of EURO-Bonds and the Banking Union. This then throws the "German Volkssturm" as the last reserve, with the same outcome as in 1945. The only alternative to Safe your money, in my opinion, is not government bonds but are to be found in the equities segment. However, as the large capitals are focused on bonds, they seek out the most liquid assets such as USofA or UK bonds. The idea published here serves for the time being as illustrative material and has yet to establish itself. Greetings from Hanover Stefan Bode P.S. Fuck the EU or how did the Victoria Nuland - in the conquest ehm overthrow ehm democratic election of Ukraine by the US - so beautifully 2014 expressed?Longby StefanBode3
UK 10-year Gilts: Still lots of potentialBonds are holding at the minor projection at 121.72. Due to the underlying bearish momentum we expect a continuation towards the much more important targets at respectively 116.82 and 108.90. Note that this latter level is virtually equal to multiple pivots of 2013-2014. We maintain our strong negative stance versus bonds. Only a recovery above 125<>125.20 can ease pressure. Such a recovery is currently unlikely. Primary trend: negative Outlook: negative Strategy: hold short and/or short-entry bonds Support: 121.72 / 116.82* / 108.90 Resistance: 123.30 / 125.10+ Outlook cancelled/neutralized: above 125.10 OANDA:UK10YBGBPShortby buyem_nl3
Optimal sell at 126.40, a "must" sell below 124.The title and the weekly chart itself tell the whole story. I really hope for a bounce to 126.40, would be more comfortable to take this short there. But as this is probably one of the best trades for the long term supported by fundamentals too, I would not mind to sell the weekly break below 124 either.Shortby Kumowizard5
Gilt 3.5 year trendline will hold reach climax soonThink it will hold for now reach climax at 131-132 area. Likley go down back in 120 area or could break higher head for 135 by Fxnoise2
UK 10-YEAR BONDSThe bonds will fall as the economy rich the targets entry point around 129.899ish first target 128.507Shortby StockToDiscoverUpdated 6