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US30USD trade ideas

US30 Will Move Higher! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for US30. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 44,556.0. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 44,867.4 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US30Long
by SignalProvider
1
DowJones awaits us employment - NFP data Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 44680 Resistance Level 2: 44670 Resistance Level 3: 45270 Support Level 1: 43800 Support Level 2: 43550 Support Level 3: 43220 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
Dow Jones in Long-Term Fibonacci Channel📈 Dow Jones Weekly | Fibonacci Channel in Play Since 2020 The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been trending within a well-defined Fibonacci channel on the weekly timeframe since the 2020 lows. 🔹 The price has consistently respected the Fibonacci levels as tilted support and resistance lines—a technical behavior that adds weight to this structure. 🔹 Three major horizontal support/resistance zones are clearly active and validated multiple times (highlighted on the chart). 🔹 Currently, the index is approaching the upper boundary of the downtrend resistance. 📌 The setup suggests it's only a matter of time before we retest this dynamic resistance zone, with potential rejection or breakout to follow. 🎯 Target zone around 45,000 as marked—aligning with previous highs and the upper resistance confluence. Stay tuned—momentum is building. #DowJones #DJI #FibonacciChannel #TechnicalAnalysis #WeeklyChart #StockMarket #Resistance #Support #Trendlines #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #US30 #MarketOutlook #PriceAction
DJ:DJILong
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName
DowJones Bullish trend support at 44000Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 45000 Resistance Level 2: 45440 Resistance Level 3: 46000 Support Level 1: 44000 Support Level 2: 43700 Support Level 3: 43430 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
2
US30 BE PATIENT AND YOU WILL ALWAYS BE PROFITABLEEIGHTCAP:US30 After notices US30 is coming to new highs I would like to talk about key entry points I would love to enter at Over the years I've notice no matter how low US30 goes it always come back to price action as you can see, I've did an example that happened in March, it came back +3000 point now I know you're thinking I could have made more money or caught more setups, but this is guaranteed because no matter how long you held this trade it will always come back to price action yes, it took 35 days just to do nothing yes, it took another 45 days to gained 3000 points but we always know us30 is a graduate to go back in a upward trend no matter how long BUY LOW AND HOLD TILL YOU MAKE PROFIT THAT'S WHAT THE RICH DO
EIGHTCAP:US30Long
by GehavianGoals
US30 short bias- 9th July 2025 I have conducted a comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis of the US30 index, with particular focus on its recent price action and structural context. Quarterly Timeframe: On the three-month timeframe, the second quarter’s candle close is notably bullish, having engulfed the previous ten quarterly candles. This significant engulfing pattern suggests strong underlying momentum. Importantly, there has not yet been a body closure above this quarterly candle, which indicates that price may attempt to break above its range to establish new all-time highs. Recently, price action reached an all-time high near a major psychological level of 45,000 before retracing sharply to a liquidity region around 37,500. Since this retracement, there has been substantial accumulation of bullish orders, reinforcing the potential for price to retest and surpass prior highs. Monthly Timeframe: On the monthly timeframe, price has approached a key liquidity region around 44,500, where it is currently encountering resistance. While the higher timeframe bias remains firmly bullish, it is reasonable to expect healthy retracements before new all-time highs are made. It is worth noting that price has already broken above significant monthly levels at 41,750 and 42,600. A retracement to these regions to collect further liquidity remains plausible, although this scenario is speculative rather than confirmed at present. Consequently, my bias on the monthly timeframe remains neutral in the short term, pending further developments. Weekly Timeframe: Price action on the weekly timeframe mirrors that of the monthly. There is little of note beyond the observation that price absorbed considerable bullish orders at 41,750 and has since encountered resistance near 44,750, leading to a modest retracement. Given this structure, I maintain a neutral outlook on the weekly timeframe. Daily Timeframe: On the daily chart, we can observe that the bullish momentum initiated from the 43,000 order block region faced resistance at approximately 44,500. Price briefly broke above this region on Thursday, 3rd July, but quickly closed below it on Monday, indicating a lack of sustained buying interest to propel price higher. This retracement suggests that the market is searching for a deeper liquidity area to support its next upward move. Notably, a bearish three-pin formation is present, implying that price may break below the recent lows around 44,150. Accordingly, my bias for today is bearish. 4-Hour Timeframe: In alignment with the daily bias, the 4-hour timeframe indicates that price is likely to target Monday’s low at approximately 44,155. The next key liquidity region lies around 44,000, where substantial bullish orders were previously filled. I am currently waiting for price to offer a suitable entry region to sell towards 44,000. I am also mindful that the FOMC minutes are scheduled for release today, which could introduce significant volatility. Should a valid setup emerge, I will look to enter a short position. Specifically, if the current 4-hour candle closes bearish, I intend to consider shorts from around 44,220. --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by allan_mwenja2000
First obvious major clue may be stronger than the second.I think this shows a clear direction in price action. Strong moves addition to bullish trend line and internal structure. Now at the moment, I am looking at the trend line as a major attraction point in the current moment. Some opinions may say that it's more correct to sell down lower from the trend line, and that might be correct. Although, at this moment, price has yet to have a proper pullback after a clean breakout below. It might honestly just be too obvious that it'd go down lower after retesting trend line, so in my opinion, I think the most clear entry right now is to buy now at a low point, might as well be called a liquidity pool. So right now in this strong trend change, the next obvious major potential for move is going to be back at trend line. The next obvious move will be even more obvious, so then it might also be lacking stability, but until then, my focus here is to buy within a potential deep pullback.
FX:US30Long
by CyberFxTrader
US30lets look at the Correlations between US30, US10Y, DXY and fed Interest Rates us10y and dollar are like react in a similar way, when the US10Y is rising ,it attracts foreign capital into us economy and the dollar benefits from capital inflow and strengthens in the process US10Y and DXY (US Dollar Index): the current tariffs and geopolitical events caused temporary decoupled this correlation but the correlation has reverted to positive alignment as of June 2025. Higher yields now signal renewed confidence in the US economy, lifting both yields and the dollar. US30 (Dow Jones) and DXY,they have inverse correlation in such a way that when the dollar is weak it causes a boost of US30 by enhancing multinational corporate earnings as cheaper export brings in higher overseas revenue there are Exception when we experience Simultaneous strength in DXY and US30 during "risk-on" global confidence US10Y and Interest Rates (Federal Funds Rate): Direct Link: US10Y reflects market expectations for Fed policy. Anticipated rate hikes lift yields; expected cuts lower them. Current Context: With the Fed holding rates at 4.25–4.50%, US10Y (4.26%) remains sensitive to inflation data and future cut expectations. US30 and Interest Rates has Inverse Pressure when rate are Higher it increases borrowing costs, potentially dampening corporate profits and stock valuations. Lower rates support equity rallies. 2025 Dynamic: Despite elevated rates, US30 trades near record highs due to resilient growth and tariff-related sector rotations. Critical Drivers Yield-Dollar Sync: US10Y and DXY realignment signals market confidence in US assets, but geopolitical/trade risks can disrupt this. Equity Sensitivity: US30 benefits from dollar weakness but faces headwinds if the Fed delays rate cuts amid sticky inflation. Interest Rate Outlook: Fed patience (no cuts until September) sustains US10Y-DXY positivity but caps explosive US30 gains. watch my supply roof and demand floor for reaction. #us30
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by Shavyfxhub
PCEs & attacks on PowellWe are carefully monitoring the PCEs today, to see, "wins" this small battle in the rate-lowering war. Let's dig in. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US30
by Marketscom
6
DOW JONES: Final phase of bullish wave has started.Dow is practically overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.306, MACD = 518.450, ADX = 36.217) but that should little affect the heavily bullish price action on the long term. The reason is that after the April bounce on the 1W MA200, Dow entered the final phase of the Bull Cycle that started on the October 2022 bottom and according to all prior bullish waves inside the 16 year Channel Up, it should rise by a minimum of +71%. That gives a TP = 49,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:DJILong
by InvestingScope
DowJones key trading level at 43220Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 44520 Resistance Level 2: 44930 Resistance Level 3: 45280 Support Level 1: 43220 Support Level 2: 42830 Support Level 3: 42460 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
US30 DETAIL ANALYSIS 1. Fundamental Analysis The US30, tracking 30 of the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S., currently reflects a mixed but cautiously optimistic macroeconomic backdrop. Economic Growth Outlook The U.S. economy contracted by 0.5% annualized in Q1 2025, revised down from initial estimates. The contraction was largely driven by a surge in imports before new tariffs took effect, which distorted net exports. As a result, the Federal Reserve revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast to approximately 1.4%—a downgrade from the previous 1.7% projection. Private-sector forecasts, including those from Deloitte and S&P Global, echo this view, suggesting a growth range between 1.1% and 1.5% for the year. Inflation & Federal Reserve Policy Core PCE inflation—the Fed’s preferred metric—rose to 2.7% year-over-year in May, above the central bank's 2% target. Similarly, core CPI held at 2.8%. While inflation is cooling compared to previous cycles, it remains sticky. Consequently, the Fed has signaled no immediate plans to cut rates, with the earliest possibility being in September. Inflation expectations for year-end 2025 have been revised up to around 3%, in part due to geopolitical shocks and new tariffs. Labor Market & Consumption Trends The unemployment rate remains stable near 4.2%, reflecting labor market resilience. However, real disposable income and consumer spending both declined in May, down 0.3% and 0.7%, respectively. The drop indicates potential weakening in consumer demand and future GDP prints. Confidence indices also showed a dip, although a decline in inflation expectations could moderate the downside pressure. Tariff Effects and Global Risk Average U.S. tariff levels are at historic highs, ranging between 15–19%, weighing on import costs and corporate margins. The ongoing trade frictions with China, coupled with Middle East tensions (particularly between Israel and Iran), add geopolitical volatility and inflationary risks. Leading institutions warn of stagflation—a toxic mix of slow growth and persistent inflation—pressuring equity valuations. 2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Evaluation The latest COT data reflects a nuanced view of institutional behavior in equity index futures: Asset Managers have increased net long exposure to US indices, including the Dow, suggesting underlying bullish conviction from long-term holders. Leveraged Funds (Hedge Funds) have shown mixed sentiment—reducing short positions, but not aggressively adding longs—indicating a cautious optimism. Retail Traders are predominantly short , which often signals further upside potential due to their tendency to be positioned against the dominant trend. This asymmetric positioning—combined with macro and structural tailwinds—strengthens the smart money bias toward continuation of the bullish trend, especially as the Dow approaches key technical levels. 3. Technical & SMC-Based Analysis The daily US30 chart reflects a clear bullish structure, rooted in classic Smart Money Concepts: Market Structure A Valid Break of Structure (BOS) confirms upside intent, following a successful sweep of internal liquidity. The sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) remains intact. Internal Liquidity has been swept, with price now targeting external liquidity near the All-Time High (ATH) zone. Key Technical Levels Buying Area 1: Around 43,150 – labeled as the H4 inducement zone. A retest here with bullish price action (engulfing or FVG fill) may trigger continuation long entries. Buying Area 2: Between 42,450–42,650 – a deeper demand zone where price previously showed strong displacement. A high-probability re-entry zone upon confirmation. Short-Term Sell Area: Around 44,800 – this zone aligns with potential distribution. Short positions should only be considered here upon confirmation of bearish BOS. ATH & BSL: The final liquidity target in the current structure, marking the range highs. Liquidity Pools Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Around 41,800, and a Strong Low exists near 40,900 – both are key areas to be respected in the bullish thesis. Price is currently aiming toward external BSL above ATH, which is likely to be swept before any significant correction. 4. Strategic Outlook & Trade Plan ✅ Bullish Continuation Scenario Buy Entry #1: 43,150 zone – confirmation through bullish PA on retest. Buy Entry #2: 42,450–42,650 – deeper re-entry upon mitigation of FVG or OB. Take Profit Targets: TP1: 44,800 (potential distribution zone), TP2: 45,200 (external BSL at ATH). Stop Loss: Below 42,200 (under Demand Area 2 or SSL). ⚠️ Bearish Contingency (Only if BOS to Downside) Monitor for failed structure or strong rejection at 44,800–45,200. BOS below 43,000 could shift structure and signal a move toward the 42,200 zone. Break of Strong Low (~40,900) invalidates bullish structure. Conclusion The current market environment supports a measured bullish bias in the US30, driven by: Resilient labor and inflation expectations moderating; Institutional accumulation per COT data; A technically clean smart money bullish structure; Potential for liquidity sweep above ATH before any significant distribution. That said, macro risks such as tariffs, global geopolitical tensions, and sticky inflation remain key wildcards that could introduce volatility. NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
BLACKBULL:US30
by Awii_Khan
US30 looking for the short on Bearish PAI believe we can expect a pull back down to JuBias: Short-term Bearish (Contingent Setup) Context: Price is currently trading just below a high-probability supply zone between 44,048 – 44,277. This area aligns with prior highs and liquidity, making it a prime zone to look for a short-term rejection if strong bearish price action (PA) appears on the 4H or Daily timeframes. We are currently seeing strong bullish momentum on the Weekly, Daily, and H4 candles. Any short positions from this zone must be reactive — not anticipatory. A clear bearish signal (e.g., engulfing, structure break, supply confirmation) is required to consider entry. Key Zone: Seek bearish PA between 44,048 – 44,277 Contingency: If price breaks and closes above 44,250 (2024 highs), expect continuation toward 45,000 Short Targets if Rejection Occurs: Target 1: 43,350 Target 2: 42,500 Extended Target: 41,734 (June Low) Post-Rejection Bullish Scenario: If we do get a rejection and targets are met, we will then look for bullish PA in the demand zones (42,500 or 41,700) to consider long setups back toward the 2024 highs and potentially beyond. Breakout Scenario: If price breaks and closes above the 44,277 zone early this week, we anticipate the next leg to 45,000 before any meaningful reversal. At this stage, it’s a waiting game — let price action lead. We don’t predict, we react.ne lows before an
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by SKA_CAPITAL
US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook 🔍 1. Fundamental Analysis The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently navigating a complex environment shaped by macroeconomic shifts and geopolitical tensions. Below is an in-depth review of current factors influencing its price action: 🏦 Monetary Policy & Economic Indicators Federal Reserve Stance: After a series of rate hikes between 2022 and 2024, the Fed has adopted a more dovish tone in 2025. Market consensus now expects the Fed to cut rates by Q3–Q4 2025 as inflation cools and growth moderates. Inflation: The May 2025 CPI came in lower than expected at 2.7% YoY, signaling disinflation. Core CPI and PCE data also reflect a slowing pace of price increases, strengthening the case for easing. Labor Market: Non-farm payrolls have stabilized, but wage growth is slowing. Unemployment remains low at 3.8%, but job creation is skewed toward lower-paying service sectors. Growth Metrics: ISM Manufacturing PMI remains below 50 (contraction), but Services PMI is resilient. Consumer confidence dipped recently, reflecting uncertainty, yet consumer spending remains robust. 🌍 Geopolitical Climate Iran–Israel Conflict Escalation (Mid 2025): The recent Iran-Israel military clashes have rattled markets, briefly triggering risk-off flows. The conflict has led to spikes in crude oil prices, pushing energy stocks higher but raising concerns about inflation re-acceleration. US–China Relations: Ongoing trade tensions over semiconductors and AI have led to sanctions on key Chinese tech firms. Despite this, tech-heavy indices remain resilient due to domestic demand and AI sector optimism. Global Monetary Policy Divergence: While the Fed is dovish, the ECB has already started cutting rates, boosting global liquidity. This divergence supports capital inflows into US equities, especially defensive and industrial sectors represented in the Dow. 📉 2. Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concepts) The daily chart of US30, as annotated, reflects a clear transition from a bearish structure to a bullish regime, validated by Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology: 🔄 Market Structure Shift Bearish Trend: Price was forming Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) into early 2025. Change of Character (ChoCH): A significant bullish shift occurred with a closure above 42842, invalidating the prior LH and suggesting institutional buying. Break of Structure (BOS): Followed by a clean higher high, reinforcing the bullish momentum. 🧱 Key SMC Levels & Zones Buy Zone (Demand): Between 41,600 and 41,800, this region aligns with: A previous Higher Low (HL) A visible Fair Value Gap (FVG)/Imbalance Psychological support zone Expected to be a strong institutional demand zone for a long setup. IDM (Intermediate Demand Mitigation): Minor liquidity grab possible before retest of buy zone. An early sign of bullish intent may appear here. Bearish Invalidation Level: 41,179 is the key structural level. A daily closure below 41,179 would invalidate bullish bias and trigger a bearish BOS. 📈 Trend & Liquidity Outlook Liquidity Pools: Sell-side liquidity rests below recent HLs, particularly near IDM and the Buy Zone. Buy-side liquidity above recent HH (~43,800) is the next target if price rebounds. Trendline Support: Ascending trendline from April continues to hold. Acts as dynamic support intersecting the Buy Zone in late June. Targets: TP1: 43,000 (recent swing high) TP2: 43,800–44,000 (liquidity magnet zone) Final Supply Zone: 45,078 (historical resistance, visible on chart) 📌 Scenario Planning (SMC-Based) Primary (Bullish) Scenario: Price retraces into Buy Zone (41,600–41,800). Forms bullish engulfing or displacement candle. Entry long → Target 43,800+, SL below 41,179. Alternate (Bearish) Scenario: Price closes below 41,179 (breaks structure). Bias flips to bearish. Next support zone lies around 40,300–40,500. NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
FOREXCOM:US30
by Awii_Khan