Dow Jones D1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementDow Jones (US30) is trading close to an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 43,330.55 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 42,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 44,325.14 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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US30USD trade ideas
US30 scenario 25/02/2025English description:
After our macroeconomic analysis, we see that Dow remains bearish, but there is potential for a correction. Therefore, we should wait for a clear confirmation before taking a short position.
Moroccan Darija description:
F l'analyse dyalna Macroeconomie kanchofo bli Dow jones mazal fih lhbot mais kayna la possibilite dyal une correction apres ihbet dakchi 3lach antsana tban liya chi confirmation bana bach nakhod position short .
ATTENTION : I SHARE JUST MY IDEAS, NOT A SIGNELS
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Dips 1.69% The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. blue-chip companies across various industries except transportation and utilities, faced a notable downturn in Monday’s premarket session. Despite a positive movement in U.S. equity futures, the index saw a 1.69% decline, with its 1-month low serving as a critical support level. A break below this level could see the Dow finding support around the $42,000 region.
Technical Analysis
The Dow Jones (^DJI) is currently hovering near its 1-month low, which is acting as a key support zone. If the index fails to hold this level, it could face further downside pressure, potentially testing the $42,000 mark as the next major support. The overall sentiment in the stock market remains cautious, with investors monitoring upcoming economic reports and corporate earnings that could influence market direction.
Meanwhile, the broader market selloff has had a ripple effect, with the Nasdaq falling 2.5% on Friday, marking its worst weekly decline in three months. The S&P 500 also erased its February gains, while the Dow dropped nearly 750 points over the past week. The weakness in equities has largely been driven by concerns over slowing economic activity, disappointing PMI data, and rising inflation expectations.
Economic Uncertainty & Corporate Earnings
The broader stock market has been navigating economic uncertainty, with recent data signaling potential challenges. A disappointing services sector report from S&P Global’s PMI survey and a surge in inflation expectations from the University of Michigan’s consumer survey contributed to market jitters. Investors are now turning their attention to **this week’s key economic data releases, including:
- Thursday: Second estimate of U.S. Q4 GDP from the Commerce Department
- Friday: PCE price index data (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis
These reports will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, particularly with **inflation and economic growth concerns** taking center stage.
Market Reaction: A Positive Start to the Trading Day?
Despite the premarket dip in the Dow, U.S. equity futures suggest a potential recovery:
- S&P 500 futures indicate a 32-point gain at the opening bell
- Dow Jones futures suggest a 297-point advance
- Nasdaq futures are up 93 points, driven by premarket activity in Nvidia, Tesla (TSLA), and Intel (INTC)
Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up 1.4% after Warren Buffett’s investment firm reported its third consecutive year of record profits, with a staggering $334.2 billion cash reserve.
Conclusion
The Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to face uncertainty amid economic headwinds and a volatile earnings season. While support at the 1-month low remains crucial, a break below could lead to a test of the $42,000 level. The upcoming economic data and Nvidia’s earnings report will be critical in determining whether the market can regain momentum or if further downside risks persist.
$US30 DOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORMDOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORM
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! The Dow Jones is the cool-headed cousin—less wild than Nasdaq’s growth party 📈🔥. Blue-chip stability shines, even as inflation bites—let’s unpack it! 🚀
(2/9) – WHY SO CALM?
• Makeup: 30 big, steady names—Walmart, Goldman 💥
• Price-Weighted: High flyers lead, not tech zingers 📊
• Edge: Less sway from growth stock swings
Dow’s the tortoise—slow and steady wins?
(3/9) – RECENT VIBES
• Feb 22: 1.7% dip—support at 43,400 holds 🌍
• VIX: Stays chill—Nasdaq would’ve freaked 🚗
• CPI Hit: 400-point drop, 300 back—meh 🌟
Stability’s the Dow’s secret sauce!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• Vs. Nasdaq: Tech’s jittery—Dow’s diversified 📈
• Volatility: ~15-20% vs. Nasdaq’s 25-30%
• Champs: Blue-chips buffer the chaos
Steadier ship—less Nasdaq nuttiness! 🌍
(5/9) – INFLATION RIPPLES
• CPI Spike: 3% YoY—400-point jolt ⚠️
• Fed: No rush to cut—rates sting 🏛️
• X Buzz: Tariffs, inflation spook recovery 📉
Even the Dow feels the heat—but shrugs!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Stability: Blue-chip backbone holds firm 🌟
• Dividends: Cash flows steady the ship 🔍
• Mix: Less tech tantrums—broad base 🚦
Dow’s the rock in choppy waters!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Inflation nicks costs—ouch 💸
• Opportunities: Safety shines if tech flops 🌍
Can Dow dodge the inflation blues?
(8/9) – Dow’s steady play—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—Stability’s golden.
2️⃣ Neutral—Holds, but inflation looms.
3️⃣ Bearish—Growth wins anyway.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Dow’s less jittery—blue-chips cushion the storm 🌍🪙. Inflation’s a nag, but stability rules. Rock or relic?
"US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (44,000.0) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 44,600.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 43,000.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"US30/DJ30" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
⚪Fundamental Analysis
The US30 index is influenced by the overall performance of the US economy, including GDP growth rate, inflation, and interest rates. Currently, the US economy is experiencing a moderate growth rate, with a slight increase in inflation.
🔴Macroeconomic Analysis
The Federal Reserve has maintained a hawkish stance, with interest rates expected to remain high in the short term. This has led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which may impact the US30 index.
🟢COT Data Analysis
The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders are net short, while non-commercial traders are net long. This indicates a potential trend reversal.
🟡Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment is slightly bearish, with 55% of traders holding short positions.
🟤Positioning Data Analysis
Institutional traders are holding short positions, while corporate traders are holding long positions. Banks are maintaining a bearish stance.
🔵Market Sentiment
- Institutional Traders: 60% bearish, 40% bullish
- Hedge Funds: 70% bearish, 30% bullish
- Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
🟣Overall Outlook
The US30 index is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with a slight bearish bias due to the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve. However, the index's movement will largely depend on the overall performance of the US economy and global economic trends.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Dow Jones Forming a Crown Pattern – Caution Ahead?The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is showing signs of forming a Crown Pattern, a bearish structure that often signals an impending reversal. This pattern consists of:
its also trading below 20 and 50 EMA
📊 Market Sentiment & Strategy:
from current levels a 3 to 4 % correction can happen which can be bounced again and finally followed by a 7-8 % correction.
Keep a close watch on this pattern as we may see the complete formation to happen in by May'25.
US30Price gave us a Double Top structure and I am now anticipating price to be bearish. Price has moved impulsively to the downside and I am now looking for a bigger correction to form because price is at the amber zone(Orange), so it is likely riskier if a smaller correction is formed because it will tend to be a trap and create a big correction.
US30 - NEW HIGHS COMING (Weekly Outlook) Price is CONSOLIDATING
Our previous move before Market Closure was a Manipulation leg following suit to collect previous sell side Liquidity and Imbalance.
As the Previous Historical Move presented the exact same setup before impulsing towards a new high and I expect price in this move to do the exact same thing.
I do expect price to make some smaller movements on Monday and possible Tuesday before pushing out of this smaller consolidation zone before we get that large volume of price
Good luck to any traders that follow
Price rise from support areaThe strength of investor support for the Dow Jones is very high, and currently, with the price correction, it will come towards the support range. The identified support area is one of the areas that investors are interested in, and this range can be considered strong support.
Big drop comingI am not a financial advisor, but here are my thoughts on the market. With everything going on politically I see the market coming down to around 36k. The market is definitely due for a cool off correction. So much fake news that pumped the market in the past 4 years. Real numbers are now coming out from DOGE Elon and Trump. That it is creating a panic in the markets. More to come in the next few months. I definitely see the market cooling off to around 36K.
US30What is US30?
The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a stock market index that represents the performance of 30 large publicly traded companies in the United States. It is a price-weighted index, meaning that stocks with higher share prices have more influence on its movement. The US30 serves as a key indicator of the overall health and performance of the U.S. stock market and economy.
SIR ,Jerome H. Powell serves as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, which is often referred to as "the Fed." He plays a crucial role in setting monetary policy decisions for the United States
How Do Fed Monetary Policies Affect US30?
The Federal Reserve's monetary policies significantly impact financial markets, including indices like US30. The primary tool used by the Fed to implement these policies is adjusting interest rates.
(1)Interest Rates and Their Impact
Raising Interest Rates: When inflation rises or economic growth becomes too rapid, increasing interest rates can help slow down economic activity by making borrowing more expensive. This typically leads to decreased spending and investment in stocks, potentially causing indices like US30 to decline.
(2)Lowering Interest Rates: Conversely, when economic growth slows down or during periods of low inflation, reducing interest rates makes borrowing cheaper. This encourages spending and investment in stocks, potentially boosting indices like US30.
(3)Market Sentiment: Changes in interest rates affect investor sentiment towards equities. Lower rates generally boost investor confidence by making it cheaper for companies to borrow money for expansion or investment.
Economic Indicators: Since US30 reflects major U.S.-based corporations' performance across various sectors (e.g., technology and finance), changes in monetary policy can influence these sectors differently based on their reliance on borrowing costs.
(3)Volatility: Adjustments in monetary policy can lead to increased volatility in financial markets as investors react quickly to potential shifts in economic conditions signaled by rate changes.
In summary, Fed monetary policies directly influence how investors perceive risk and allocate capital between different asset classes such as bonds versus equities (like those tracked by US30). These perceptions drive market movements based on expectations about future economic conditions influenced by central bank actions
Dow drops on inflation expectations of US consumersThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 42980, previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline . A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43680 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average).
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