Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 27 June 2025
- Dow Jones broke pivotal resistance level 43000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 44500.00
Dow Jones index recently broke above the pivotal resistance level 43000.00 (which has been reversing the price from the end of March, as can be seen from the daily Dow Jones chart below).
The breakout of the resistance level 43000.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from the end of May.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 44500.00, which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).
US30USD trade ideas
#DJI - 5000 Pts already moved out of 8000 points..Date: 27-06-2025
#DJI - 5000 Pts already moved out of 8000 points as posted on 22nd April. Another 3000 points to cover. we have different pivot for the next level up and it will be shared soon.
Old levels are as follows.
#DJI Upside Targets: 41240.49, 43084.22, 45025.94 and 46967.67
#DJI Downside Targets: 34578.53, 32728.34, 30786.61 and 28844.88
Current price is around 43,870 at the time of this post.
DJI - 2000 pts already moved out of 8000 pts since last posted?It has already moved around 2000 points since last posted on 22nd April. Expecting around 8000 points moved as per mentioned earlier and the levels are still the same. Introduced additional levels for the better understanding. So, another 6000 points move pending before any reasonable correction? let's see.
Upside: 41240.49, 43084.22, 45025.94 and 46967.67
Downside: 34578.53, 32728.34, 30786.61 and 28844.88
US30 POTENTIAL SETUPUS30 Analysis
Fundamental Analysis:
The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) continues to face turbulence as global and domestic factors interplay. Recently, several key macroeconomic and geopolitical developments have influenced sentiment:
FOMC Outlook: The Federal Reserve’s decision to pause interest rate hikes amidst easing inflation suggests a more dovish stance. However, labor market resilience and retail sales indicate lingering strength in consumer demand.
Geopolitical Risk – Iran-Israel Conflict: The renewed tensions in the Middle East—especially between Iran and Israel—have heightened risk sentiment. Oil prices are sensitive to the conflict, indirectly pressuring inflation and causing volatility in equity markets.
US Economic Indicators:
CPI (Consumer Price Index): Showed moderate deceleration, aligning with the Fed’s inflation target.
Unemployment Rate: Remains low, strengthening confidence in the soft-landing narrative.
Manufacturing and PMI Data: Indicate a slowdown, showing a mild contraction phase in industrial activity.
These mixed signals are feeding into a cautious yet opportunity-laden market environment for indices like US30.
Technical Analysis (SMC - Smart Money Concepts):
Current Market Structure:
The price recently broke structure (BOS) to the upside after a series of higher lows and equal highs.
It’s now in a pullback phase, showing a classic inducement pattern where early liquidity is grabbed below recent equal lows.
Key Zones:
Buy Zone: Marked between 41,460 to 41,357 (H1 FVG) , which lies just above the protected low at 41,150.
A sweep of equal lows followed by confirmation (e.g., BOS on lower timeframe like H4) would validate a long entry.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss: Below 41,150, signaling bearish intent if broken (CHOCH – Change of Character).
Take-profit Target: Upwards toward 42,911, aligning with previous highs and order block inefficiencies.
Bearish Scenario: A daily closure below 41,150 would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest a deeper retracement toward the next key support near 40,636.
NOTE: Not a financial advice only for educational purpose
DOW JONES Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US30 is trading in an
Uptrend and the index broke
The key horizontal level
Around 43,200 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dow Jones (US30) — Bullish Momentum, But a Retest AheadUS30 — Preparing for a Retest Before Higher Push
Subtitle: Technical Outlook — 27 June 2025
📈 Current Market Condition
The US30 index has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above prior resistance around 43,000 and extending towards 43,500. Price is currently above both the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (red), reflecting a bullish structure. However, the Stochastic indicator signals overbought conditions, suggesting the index may be due for a pullback or consolidation before attempting to break higher into the 44,500–44,750 resistance zone.
🔑 Key Technical Highlights
Structure: Price broke above consolidation zone 42,750–43,000, retesting higher levels.
50 EMA (blue): Positioned near 42,750, acting as dynamic support.
200 EMA (red): Below at 42,200, major trend support.
Stochastic: Overbought — risk of a short-term correction or sideways move before continuation.
Resistance: Major resistance at 44,500–44,750.
Support: Immediate support at 43,000–43,250, deeper at 42,500.
📝 Trade Plan
Bullish Breakout (Long)
Trigger: Retest and hold of 43,000–43,250 zone with bullish confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, hammer).
Target: 44,500 / 44,75
Stop-loss: Below 42,900
Bearish Rejection (Short)
Trigger: Strong rejection from 44,500 with bearish reversal pattern.
Target: 43,250 / 42,750
Stop-loss: Above 44,700
Dip Buy
Trigger: Price tests 42,750 (50 EMA) and shows bullish reversal.
Target: 43,500 / 44,500
Stop-loss: Below 42,500
⚠️ Risk Management Note
US30 is trading in extended conditions, so chasing price here carries risk of getting caught in a pullback. Use staggered entries and adjust position size relative to volatility. Watch out for upcoming macroeconomic releases that could trigger sharp moves.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
DowJones bullish breakout supported at 42240Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43200
Resistance Level 2: 43544
Resistance Level 3: 43900
Support Level 1: 42240
Support Level 2: 41740
Support Level 3: 41280
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 4h Chart (FOREXCOM)4-hour chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (US30) shows the price movement from late June to early July 2025. The current value is 43,057.7, reflecting a slight increase of +78.0 (+0.18%). The chart highlights key price levels, including a resistance zone around 43,324.1 and a support zone near 42,875.8, with recent price action showing a breakout above the resistance level.
TOP IS NOT IN YET (MORE UPSIDE AFTER THE MINOR CORRECTIONS)We discussed the 5-year bull cycle that starts off every 20-year cycle. We identified that the current 5-year bull cycle will be one of the wildest in the history of the DJIA market by virtue of the current energy level within the log expansion. We will start a new progressive series to discuss the current 20-year cycle in motion.
First we will look closely at these three different 20-year cycles
From the three cycles we can identify a peculiar recurring structure, that is, after the approximately 5th year top we have a wild decline that averagely bottoms below the starting price. We will not dwell much on this cycle as it's not the current cycle in progress. Between these cycles is an (Alternate Cycle) that also has a similar fractal construction.
The first two alternate cycles directly lie between the cycles identified earlier and have a similar fractal. The most striking identity of these alternate cycles is that the origin point is the lowest point within the 20 year trend. The correction from the 5th year top is not so steep and never goes below the origin
The 1942/1962 cycle lies between the 1921/1942 and 1962/1982 cycles
The 1982/2002 cycle lies between the 1962/1982 and 2002/2022 cycles
This means the next alternate 20-year cycle is the 2022/2042 cycle which will lie between 2002/2022 and 2042/2062 cycles. From the internal construction of this cycle we can dive deeper and model the structure forward in both price and time. Example, the vertical price axis for the 1942/1962 cycle was (+648.61 pts) and total horizontal time elapsed was (+1052 wks).
We have a (648.61 x 1052) structure showing a perfect golden ratio of price and time
(1052 / 648.61) = 1.6219
1982/2002 cycle had price axis = 1098.03 pts and time = 1052 wks
We have approximately a 1098.03 x 1052 square of price and time
By observing the cumulative growth pattern we can make projection of the current cycle in progress. We would go through the growth gradually and identify price and time resistances as price action progresses. Please check back as we build step by step the growth structure of the current cycle.
Trade safe
US30 Technical Outlook – 06/25/2025📍 US30 Technical Outlook – 06/25/2025
Big move! 🚀 Price broke out of the 42,054–42,100 consolidation and rallied aggressively into the key 43,100–43,150 resistance zone.
🧠 Key Observations:
Clean bullish breakout above 42,100 ✅
Price now sitting at 43,120–43,150 supply 🛑
EMAs sharply turned bullish (42,808 and 43,038 levels)
📊 Key Price Zones:
🔼 Major Resistance: 43,150 → 43,300
🔽 Support: 42,800 → 42,600 → 42,100
📈 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔹 Long Bias:
Pullback into 42,800–42,600 support
→ Look for bullish structure & continuation signals
→ Target: 43,150 → 43,300
🔻 Short Bias:
Look for strong rejection candles at 43,150–43,300
→ Intraday scalp short back toward 42,800
→ Break below 42,800 could target 42,600 or even 42,100
‼️ Momentum is clearly bullish for now, but this is a major supply zone so caution on chasing late longs.
Dow Jones breakout targets 44K and beyondThe Dow Jones is finally breaking out, and the chart suggests a 3 to 4 percent move higher is in play. We analyse the key patterns, trade setups, and risks ahead including market seasonality, war headlines, and economic data. Bitcoin, EURUSD, and Nasdaq also showing strength. Is this the start of a bigger rally?
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US30 on Track for 43KHappy Monday, traders.
Here’s my latest analysis and trade idea for US30. Since April 6th, US30 has been in a strong bull run, breaking above the descending weekly trend line while continuing to print higher highs and higher lows.
Although price action has shown some uncertainty since May 22nd, the bigger picture remains bullish it’s just noise. The trend is intact, and we’re now pushing back above the 50 EMA.
Currently, US30 is forming a wedge between two descending trendlines I’ve marked on the chart. I expect some consolidation within this structure, with a potential pullback into my entry zone.
From there, I’m anticipating another short-term push higher, with a target in the Golden Zone between 43,100 and 43,400 . My entry range is between 42,179 and 42,481 , with a stop-loss just below the current swing low at 41,980.
I expect this move to develop sometime within the next couple weeks.
What do you think will it play out? Let me know in the comments.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
us30 analysis 25-06-2025There was engulfing in the 4 hour candle and the next candle was a shooting star. So there is a lot of liquidity in the previous engulfing. So the market can come to 22092 to grab this liquidity. However, to take an entry, you should take confirmation of lower time frames like 1 minute, 5 minutes.
US30: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 43,045.6 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 43,152.9.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 ShortElite Live Analysis – US30
Market Structure: Bearish across the Weekly, Daily, and 4H timeframes.
Key Level: Price has tapped into a significant zone, aligning with higher timeframe bias.
1H Confirmation: Price also tapped into a 1H Order Block and showed clear rejection, further validating downside potential.
Expectations:
Anticipating a strong move to the downside in alignment with market structure.
Targets:
Structured liquidity resting below
Liquidity pools beneath current price
DowJones INTRADAY key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43200
Resistance Level 2: 43550
Resistance Level 3: 43900
Support Level 1: 42240
Support Level 2: 41740
Support Level 3: 41280
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.