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Oil - Crude (WTI)

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OIL_CRUDE trade ideas

US OIL IN BULLISH TREND 📈 USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Analysis & Forecast - H4 Time Frame 📊 🛢 Technical Overview: Trend: Bullish momentum continues as WTI Crude Oil consistently rejects its supply zones, signaling strong buying interest. EMA Crossovers: Price has successfully crossed over the 100 EMA, 200 EMA, and 50 EMA, indicating a clear upward trend and a confirmation of strong bullish momentum. Support Zone: The recent rejections from supply zones reinforce this bullish scenario, showing resilience in price action. 🚀 Forecast: The technical target for this bullish move is projected at 83.00, aligning with strong resistance levels and Fibonacci extensions. Buyers are dominating the market, and the trend suggests further upward movement in the short to medium term. 💡 Trading Insight: With all major moving averages aligning for an uptrend and continuous bullish price action, it’s an opportune time to look for buy setups on pullbacks or consolidations. Keep an eye on key supply and demand zones for potential reversals or breakout confirmations.
TVC:USOILLong
by DOLLARMAN_FOREX_TRADER
4
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to area of 50% Fibo lvl of 71.500. Colleagues, I believe that price is ending a five-wave upward movement and a correction is about to begin. I expect the price to renew the nearest high and reach the area of 75.500, after which it will start a correction to the area of 50% Fibonacci level of 71.500. It may well be that the price will immediately start a downward movement and it will mean that wave “C” is already completed. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
15
Oil Short 4HI’m excited to share my next setup for Oil. This trading idea is based on correction levels. The main idea area is between 80.35 and 80.25. However, since oil tends to react to the 50 levels, I prefer to focus on the 80.5 level for my entry. For the 4-hour entry, I am waiting for the formation of an M pattern with a lower peak at the second base. I’ll be looking to take scalp sell at the levels of 80.25, 80.35, and 80.5 for the first touches. after that, I'm going to wait for the confirmation to take the main Sell. Please note that, typically, upon the first collision, we could experience either an impulse or a rejection entry. At the second base, we should wait for a consolidation area to confirm our entry. For a better understanding of this setup, please refer to my previous oil chart. TP1: 79.9 TP2: 79.2 TP3: 77.4 SL: 81.35 Please remember that trading carries risks, and it's crucial to do your own research. The ideas shared here reflect my personal analysis and may not guarantee success. Always trade responsibly and consider seeking professional advice if needed. Happy trading!
TVC:USOILShort
by Persian_Traders_
2
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Regains MomentumMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Price Regains Momentum WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $77.00 and might extend gains. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - WTI Crude oil prices extended gains above the $74.40 and $76.50 resistance levels. - There is a short-term declining channel forming with support at $76.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen. Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a major upward move from $72.30 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $75.00 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls pushed the price above the $76.50 and $77.00 resistance levels. The recent high was formed at $77.82 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $72.32 swing low to the $77.82 high. The RSI is now below the 50 level and there is a short-term declining channel forming with support at $76.00. Immediate support on the downside is near the $76.50 zone. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $76.00 zone, below which the price could test the $75.05 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $72.32 swing low to the $77.82 high. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $74.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $72.30 support zone. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $77.05. The next major resistance is near the $77.80 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78.50 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
2
Oil - Double top bearish divergenceOn the above 3-day chart Crude oil has enjoyed a massive 400% rally since the buy signal in April 2020. A number of reasons now exist to be bearish, very bearish. This should really be the start of peak inflation for the moment. So why bearish? 1) The ‘great sell’ signal with 90% probability. 2) Double top bearish divergence. RSI prints a lower high on the price action double top (pink line). 3) Price action support breakout. Is it possible price action continues to rally? Absolutely. A back test of support to confirm resistance is possible. Is it probable? No. Be risk on folks. ww
OShort
by without_worries
2
JAN 19TH 2025 ANLYSIS /SENTIMENT 🔥 Futures Market Analysis: Friday Recap & Monday Domination Plan 🔥 Friday Recap (January 19, 2025): Crushing the Week 💪 Friday’s futures market wrapped up with some serious moves and setups for next week: 1. 📈 Equity Futures: • S&P 500 E-mini climbed steadily, flirting with key resistance at 4,500. Bulls stayed in control, setting up for what could be a breakout week. • Nasdaq Futures stole the spotlight 🚀, smashing through resistance as tech stocks carried the load. If you’re not watching this, what are you even doing? • Dow Jones Futures cooled off as industrials and energy weighed down the index. Time to let the big dogs rest. 2. 🛢️ Commodities: • Crude Oil Futures tapped the brakes (-1.3%) after a red-hot rally earlier in the week. The sell-off screams profit-taking, not panic. Watch for a bounce next week. • Gold Futures hit a six-month high 💰—safe-haven buyers are loving inflation fears and global tension. It’s shiny for a reason. 3. 📉 Treasury Yields & Volatility: • Bond futures relaxed, with yields dipping as traders priced in Fed softness. • The VIX dropped as if it knew Monday would be quiet. But don’t let the low volatility fool you—big moves are brewing. 💥 Monday Outlook: Dominate the Holiday Gap 💥 With markets closed Monday (MLK Day), here’s how to stay ahead of the game: 1. Sunday Night Action (Overnight Session): • Expect light trading volumes—perfect for quick volatility spikes. • 🔑 Focus Areas: • News from Asia & Europe could dictate overnight direction. • Crypto futures (Bitcoin 🚀, anyone?) may provide early clues for risk appetite. 2. Tuesday Gap Risk: • Big Gaps Ahead? With no trading Monday, markets could open Tuesday with serious energy. Gaps up or down will depend on weekend news—don’t sleep on this! • Levels to Watch: • S&P 500 E-mini: 🚧 Resistance at 4,500, support at 4,420. • Nasdaq Futures: Ready to rumble between 15,800 (resistance) and 15,300 (support). 📅 What’s Coming Next Week? 💡 Tuesday: Flash PMI data could shake things up. 🔥 Thursday: Initial jobless claims—are we still #winning in the labor market? 💣 Friday: Core PCE inflation (aka: what the Fed really cares about). This will be the week’s mic drop. Your Game Plan: From Crushing It to Kicking Ass 🔥 1. 🚨 Be Ready for Whipsaws: Low volume means traps are everywhere. Stay sharp, and don’t let the algos outsmart you. 2. 📊 Monitor Key Indicators: • VIX: A spike = risk-off. • Crude Oil: If it starts bouncing, it could set the tone for energy stocks. 3. 💪 Scenario Mindset for Tuesday: • Bullish Setup: Earnings and macro optimism light the fuse. • Bearish Setup: Bad news (or no news) throws cold water on the rally. You’re not here to play nice. You’re here to dominate. So bring the heat Tuesday and make sure your strategy is locked and loaded. Let’s kick ass and take names this week. 💥 Let me know if you want me to tweak the energy or tone!
TVC:USOIL
by bencryptoknight
1
USOIL, is breaking out? TVC:USOIL / 4H Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. USOIL is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pull-back to the previous daily range. If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target: First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation. Last swing high Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence! Trade safely, Trader Leo
FOREXCOM:USOILLong
by BTM-LEO
13
Navigating the Oil Market volatile prices Crude oil prices have been on a roller coaster ride in recent times, influenced by a multitude of factors, including geopolitical tensions, economic indicators, and OPEC+ production decisions. Let's break down the key elements affecting the current oil market: The Russia-Ukraine War and Sanctions The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has been a significant driver of oil price volatility. Russia is a major oil exporter, and the Western sanctions imposed on the country have disrupted global supply chains. This has led to supply concerns and consequently, higher oil prices. OPEC+ Production Cuts The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies (OPEC+) have been actively managing oil production levels to stabilize the market. Their decision to cut production has had a direct impact on increasing oil prices. This move aims to balance supply and demand, ensuring oil prices remain at profitable levels for member countries. US Oil Production and Inventory Levels The United States is a major oil producer, and its production levels and inventory change s influence global oil prices. While US production has increased, it hasn't been enough to offset the supply disruptions caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict and OPEC+ production cuts. Lower US oil inventories have also contributed to the upward pressure on prices. Oil Algorithmic Traders Loosen Grip on Market After Back to Back Annual Losses Gusgraph.com Global Economic Recovery and Demand The global economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic has led to increased demand for oil. As economies reopen and travel picks up, the demand for fuel has surged, putting upward pressure on oil prices. Other Factors In addition to the above factors, other elements such as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, currency fluctuations, and speculative trading can also impact oil prices. In conclusion, the current oil price surge is a result of a complex interplay between geopolitical events, supply and demand dynamics, and economic indicators. The Russia-Ukraine conflict, OPEC+ production cuts, and robust global economic recovery are the primary drivers pushing oil prices higher. Navigating the Oil Market: A Day Trader's Guide The oil market is a dynamic and complex arena, presenting both significant opportunities and formidable challenges for day traders. Understanding the key drivers of oil price fluctuations is crucial for developing effective trading strategies. Key Factors Influencing Oil Prices: Geopolitical Events: The ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the resulting sanctions on Russia have significantly disrupted global oil supply chains. Geopolitical instability in the Middle East, a major oil-producing region, can also trigger price volatility. OPEC+ Production Decisions: The decisions of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies (OPEC+) regarding production cuts or increases have a direct and significant impact on oil prices. Global Economic Growth: Strong economic growth translates to increased demand for energy, driving up oil prices. Conversely, economic slowdowns can lead to lower demand and lower prices. US Oil Production and Inventories: Changes in US oil production and inventory levels play a crucial role in influencing global oil prices. Currency Fluctuations: The value of the US dollar against other major currencies can impact oil prices, as oil is typically priced in US dollars. Day Trading Opportunities in the Oil Market: The volatile nature of the oil market presents several trading opportunities for skilled day traders: Identifying Trends: Identifying and trading with the prevailing trend (uptrend, downtrend, or sideways) is crucial. Technical analysis tools like moving averages and trend lines can be valuable in this regard. Capitalizing on News Events: Anticipating and reacting to news events, such as OPEC+ meetings, geopolitical developments, and economic data releases, can provide significant trading opportunities. Volatility Trading: High volatility periods can create short-term trading opportunities, but require careful risk management and a robust trading plan. Scalping: Scalping involves taking small profits on small price movements. This strategy requires quick decision-making and a deep understanding of market dynamics. Key Considerations for Day Trading Oil: High Volatility: The oil market is known for its volatility, which can present both significant opportunities and risks. Risk Management: Implementing strict stop-loss orders and position sizing strategies is crucial to manage risk effectively. Fundamental Analysis: Stay informed about geopolitical events, economic data, and industry news to make informed trading decisions. Technical Analysis: Utilize technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD to identify entry and exit points. Emotional Control: The volatile nature of the oil market can trigger emotional responses. It's crucial to maintain discipline and avoid impulsive trading decisions.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSD
by Gusflier
1
WTI OIL expecting a +10% rise.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Up, supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the December 27 break-out. The price has already made contact with the bottom of the pattern (Higher Lows trend-line) so it is already a buy opportunity. The ultimate buy signal technically, however, has been the 4H RSI Higher Lows since the December 06 Low, so it is possible to see one more small pull-back before the trend reverses. Since the previous two Bullish Legs have increased by at least +10% since their 4H RSI Lows, we are targeting $84.40, which is the Resistance 1 level, exactly on the +10% mark. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
US Sanctions Send Oil Prices to 4-Month High Oil prices have surged to a four-month high following the announcement of new U.S. sanctions targeting oil exports. This sudden price spike reflects the market's sensitivity to geopolitical events and the potential global oil supply disruption. The sanctions, aimed at Russia and potentially India, have immediately triggered concerns about reduced supply, pushing prices upward. This article delves into the details of these sanctions, their potential impact on the oil market, and the broader economic implications. The Sanctions and Their Target The U.S. government has imposed new sanctions on Indian shipping companies. These sanctions specifically target the country's or entities' ability to export oil, a crucial source of revenue. The rationale behind these sanctions, as stated by the U.S. government, is to punish countries that trade for Russia’s oil during a war with Ukraine. The U.S. aims to exert economic pressure on the targeted entity by restricting oil exports, forcing them to change their policies or behavior. Immediate Market Reaction The oil market reacted swiftly to the news of the sanctions. Both Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the global benchmarks for oil prices, experienced significant jumps, reaching levels not seen in four months. This immediate price surge underscores the market's anticipation of reduced supply. Traders are factoring in the potential loss of barrels from the market, leading to increased buying activity and pushing prices higher. Potential Impact on Global Oil Supply The extent of the impact on global oil supply depends on several factors, including the volume of oil previously exported by the sanctioned entity and the ability of other oil-producing nations to compensate for the lost supply. If the sanctioned entity was a significant exporter, the impact on global supply could be substantial, leading to further price increases. Conversely, if other producers can ramp up production to offset the shortfall, the price impact might be mitigated. Impact on Consumers Rising oil prices inevitably translate to higher prices at the pump for consumers. This increase in gasoline prices can have a ripple effect throughout the economy, impacting transportation costs, the price of goods and services, and overall inflation. Consumers may face higher costs for commuting, travel, and everyday purchases. Impact on Businesses Businesses, particularly those in transportation, logistics, and manufacturing, are also significantly affected by rising oil prices. Higher fuel costs increase operating expenses, potentially squeezing profit margins. Businesses may be forced to pass these increased costs on to consumers, further contributing to inflationary pressures. Geopolitical Implications These sanctions and their impact on oil prices also have broader geopolitical implications. They can strain relationships between the U.S. and other countries, particularly those that rely on oil imports from the sanctioned entity. The sanctions can also create opportunities for other oil-producing nations to increase their market share. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) In response to potential supply disruptions, governments may consider releasing oil from their strategic petroleum reserves (SPR). The SPR is an emergency stockpile of crude oil maintained by several countries, including the U.S. Releasing oil from the SPR can temporarily increase supply and help stabilize prices. However, the effectiveness of this measure depends on the size of the release and the duration of the supply disruption. Long-Term Outlook The long-term impact of these sanctions on oil prices is uncertain. It depends on various factors, including the duration of the sanctions, the response of other oil-producing nations, and the overall state of the global economy. If the sanctions remain in place for an extended period and other producers cannot fully compensate for the lost supply, oil prices could remain elevated. Conclusion The recent surge in oil prices following the announcement of new U.S. sanctions highlights the interconnectedness of geopolitics and energy markets. The sanctions, aimed at exerting pressure on India and Russia, have triggered concerns about reduced oil supply and have led to a significant price increase. The impact of these sanctions will be felt by consumers, businesses, and the global economy as a whole. The situation underscores the importance of monitoring geopolitical events and their potential impact on energy markets. While the long-term outlook remains uncertain, the immediate impact is clear: higher oil prices and increased volatility in the energy sector.
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
1
Bullish bounce?WTI oil (XTI/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 79.16 1st Support: 78.07 1st Resistance: 80.83 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets