OIL_CRUDE trade ideas
USOIL:Today's trading strategy
Oil prices have been sideways for the fourth trading day, volatility began to narrow, the market is brewing a new round of trend, short-term range 64-66.4. Today you can sell high and buy low around a narrow range.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@64.7-65.1
TP: 65.9-66.4
SELL: 66-66.4
TP: 65.1-64.5
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WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 67.15 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 62.51 which is a swing-low support.
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WTI OIL This is the only Support right now.WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) is so far holding its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the natural medium-term Support, following a quick price deflation after the Israel - Iran de-escalation.
In our opinion, the trend-line that currently matters most though, is the Higher Lows coming straight from the May 05 Low. If broken, we expect a quick test of the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, as it resembles the December 2023 - May 2024 Higher Lows trend-line.
Even the 1W RSI is similar among the two fractals, and it has to be said that both are part of the 2-year Channel Down pattern.
So if the Higher Lows trend-line breaks, we can target $61.00.
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Bullish Setup Forms as Institutions Accumulate CrudeCrude Oil is consolidating above support at $65.18, with momentum indicators turning bullish. The Stochastic is rising from 27, and RSI is approaching the 50.0 mark. Institutional buying reported in the latest COT data reinforces the bullish bias.
A move above $67.55 could open the door to $69.45, while the bullish outlook stays intact as long as the price remains above $61.80.
USOILThe first higher high after a downtrend indicates a potential trend reversal to the upside. It shows that buyers are starting to regain control, signaling the possibility of a new bullish trend.
Trendline Break: A break above a significant trendline further confirms the shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish. The trendline break signifies that selling pressure has weakened, and the market is poised for further upward movement.
Retest of Trendline: After breaking the trendline, the price often retests the broken trendline, which now acts as support. This retest offers a low-risk buying opportunity as it confirms the strength of the new uptrend.
WTI on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI crude oil, the price surged to $78 but sharply retreated to the $65 zone. Over the last five days, the price has consolidated. I believe that the signals from the recent 4-hour candle suggest a potential move towards higher prices, with the next target possibly being around $72. I will be monitoring the price action around $72 closely for a potential rejection or continuation towards even higher prices."
If you need further assistance or have additional insights to share, feel free to let me know.
OIL Price ForecastOIL Price Forecast
In this video, I break down the potential price developments for oil in the weeks ahead.
So far, the price action appears contracted, suggesting a period of consolidation.
However, after this pause, a further decline remains the most likely scenario.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
#USOIIL #WTI 1H📈 #USOIL 1H Buy Setup – Liquidity Sweep in Play
Crude Oil is consolidating after a sharp decline, forming a potential setup for a liquidity sweep below the current range, followed by a bullish reversal. We're anticipating a fakeout move to grab sell-side liquidity before price targets the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and premium supply zone above.
🟩 Buy Limit: 64.50 / 64.00
🎯 Targets: 70.00 → 72.00+
❌ Stop Loss: 63.00
This setup offers high risk-to-reward potential if the liquidity sweep plays out as expected. Monitor price action closely at the buy zone.
#CrudeOil #WTI #SmartMoney #TradingStrategy
Crude oil continues to correct, short-term ideas
💡Message Strategy
WTI crude oil prices recovered from a two-week low but remained about $12 below the previous Monday's high as upside was limited by Middle East peace and expectations that OPEC+ countries will agree to increase supply again this week.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward in the medium term and tests around 75. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged.
However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern.
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, and the oil price falls back to the lower edge of the range. Pay attention to the support strength of 64. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is at the zero axis position, and the long and short forces are equal. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a fluctuating consolidation pattern during the day.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:65.50-66.50,SL:67.50,Target: 64.00-63.00
WTI CRUDE OIL: Brutal collapse expectedWTI Crude Oil has turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.990, MACD = 0.310, ADX = 38.289) and is expected to accelerate the effect as based on the 16 year Cycles, late 2025 and most of 2026 should experience a price collapse. The most optimal Buy Zone starts at $33.00, it could go lower but that's a solid base from which to expect a bounce back above $110.00 by 2028.
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Latest Long - Short Trading Recommendations for Crude OilDuring Monday's Asian trading session, international oil prices fell, primarily due to the combined impact of eased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations of OPEC+ production increases, which raised market supply outlooks. Although the two major benchmark oil prices recorded their largest weekly decline since March 2023 last week, they are still set to post consecutive monthly gains for June, with increases exceeding 5% each. The market had previously surged due to Middle East tensions. Since Israel struck Iranian nuclear facilities on June 13, the situation rapidly deteriorated, and the U.S. subsequently air-raided Iranian nuclear targets, pushing Brent prices to briefly surge above $80 per barrel. Current oil price movements are clearly constrained by a dual influence of geopolitics and supply expectations. While geopolitical conflicts have temporarily eased, the long-term stability of the Middle East situation remains uncertain. On the other hand, the game between OPEC+'s orderly production increase and insufficient U.S. shale oil production momentum will determine the direction of oil price fluctuations in the coming months. Against the backdrop of a moderate global economic recovery, oil prices maintaining a range of $60-70 per barrel may become a short-term norm.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@66.3-66.9
TP:63.1-63.3
USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals last week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has eased tensions in the Middle East, the primary factor behind the recent decline in oil prices. Meanwhile, market rumors suggest the U.S. may ease sanctions on Iran, which—if realized—would raise expectations of increased crude supply and further pressure oil prices.
Additionally, OPEC+ plans to continue increasing production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, with supply growth expectations exerting long-term downward pressure on oil.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart):
USOIL prices have pulled back from highs and currently hover near $65.20, approaching the S2 pivot point at around $64.69 and the 4-hour 200-period moving average. The prior appearance of a long candlestick may signal short-term support.
Notwithstanding, the current market remains in a bearish trend, so the strategy prioritizes buying on rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@67-66
TP:65-64
OIL |Bearish Pressure Builds as OPEC+ Prepares Fresh Output Hike OIL | Market Overview
Oil prices edged lower on Monday despite strong seasonal demand, as the market prepares for an increase in supply. OPEC+ is set to raise production by 411,000 barrels per day starting Tuesday, marking the fourth monthly increase in output. Another similar hike is reportedly under consideration for August, which may further pressure prices.
Technical Outlook
The price remains within the bearish zone and is expected to continue its decline as long as it trades below the pivot level at 65.83.
A daily candle close above 65.83 is required to confirm a potential bullish reversal.
Until then, the bearish trend remains intact, targeting 63.47, 61.83, and potentially 60.16.
Key Levels
Pivot: 65.83
Support: 63.47 / 61.83 / 60.16
Resistance: 68.33 / 69.55
Market Analysis: Oil Slides — Traders Eye Macro TriggersMarket Analysis: Oil Slides — Traders Eye Macro Triggers
WTI Crude oil is down over 15% and remains at risk of more losses.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil extended losses below the $68.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $65.60 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Technical Analysis of WTI Crude Oil Price
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $77.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $72.00.
There was a steady decline below the $70.00 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $68.00 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $63.70 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $63.69, and the price is now consolidating losses.
On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $65.60 zone. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $65.60. The next resistance is near the $66.80 level or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $76.93 swing high to the $63.69 low.
The main resistance is $70.30 and the 50% Fib retracement level. A clear move above the $70.30 zone could send the price toward $71.90.
The next key resistance is near $76.90. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $78.00. Any more gains might send the price toward the $80.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $63.70 level. The next major support on the WTI Crude Oil chart is near $62.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $60.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Crude oil next move (expecting mild bullish move) (30-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the mid term (30-06-2025)
Current price- 65.00
"if Price stay above 63.00 then next target is 67.00, 70.00 and 76.00 and below that 61.00"
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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Could the Crude Oil reverse from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 66.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 61.06
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 72.33
Why we like it:
There a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Major support zone?XTI/USD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 65.64
1st Support: 60.10
1st Resistance: 71.18
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WTI OIL TRADING IDEA 1 JULY 2025WTI Crude Oil is currently trading around $64.77, following a recent rejection from the $76–78 resistance zone. This area represents a strong supply zone and coincides with the upper boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating institutional selling pressure. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, this move appears to be a liquidity grab above previous highs, where price tapped into a bearish order block before aggressively reversing. Price action confirms this bearish sentiment, with a visible rejection and bearish engulfing candle suggesting that sellers are defending the region aggressively.
On the supply and demand side, the $76.77–78.30 zone is the immediate supply zone, while the next key resistance above lies between $79.37 and $93.94. On the downside, demand lies at $58.69–64.00, with major demand and liquidity resting around $55.00 and $51.79. Fundamentally, the recent spike in oil prices was largely driven by heightened tensions in the Middle East, particularly renewed conflict concerns between Iran and Israel. However, as no direct disruption to oil supply has occurred, the geopolitical risk premium is now being priced out. Additionally, concerns over global demand, especially from China and Europe, along with a gradual and controlled U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) refill, are putting downward pressure on prices despite OPEC+ maintaining output cuts.
Based on this analysis, the trade idea favors a bearish swing setup. A short position around $64.00–66.00 could be considered, targeting $58.69 as the first take-profit level, followed by $55.00 and $51.79 for extended targets. The stop loss should be placed just above $78.50 to allow room beyond the supply zone and trendline. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3. However, if price breaks and holds above $78.50, it may signal a structural shift toward bullish momentum, likely driven by unexpected geopolitical escalation or a change in OPEC strategy. In such a case, the bias should flip to bullish, with potential targets around $89.00–93.00.