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Oil panic buying after Iran Strikes?President Donald Trump has confirmed that the U.S., in coordination with Israel, has conducted three strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. Will there be panic buying of WTI and Brent at the open? In response, Iran’s parliament has approved a proposal to close the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil shipping route. The final decision lies with Iran’s Supreme National Security Council and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. If a blockade is enforced, oil prices could rise sharply. ClearView Energy Partners estimates a short-term closure could add between $8 and $31 per barrel. JP Morgan has suggested that a full-scale conflict and complete shutdown could drive prices to $130.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
Strait of Hormuz risk priced in—or not yet?Iran has repeatedly threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz during periods of heightened tension with the U.S., notably in 2011, 2018, and 2020. The Strait is considered the world’s most critical oil chokepoint, with nearly 20 million barrels passing through daily. Several banks warn that a full closure could push crude prices above $120–$150 per barrel, or higher if the disruption is prolonged. Still, most analysts view a complete shutdown as unlikely, since Iran also depends on the Strait to export its own oil. Technically, recent WTI candles suggest that the risk premium may be fading. Price action near $74 shows hesitation, raising the risk of a developing double top—particularly if support at $70 fails. Unless tensions escalate materially, such as the U.S. becoming more directly involved, WTI may consolidate between $70–$74.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
2
OILThe proposed closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran's parliament is a significant development because the strait is a vital global energy artery, handling a substantial portion of the world's oil and gas. If closed, it would disrupt global energy supplies, potentially leading to a surge in oil prices and impacting international trade. While the plan is not yet finalized, the mere possibility of such action introduces significant geopolitical risk and could have far-reaching economic consequences.
TVC:USOIL
by Dbnite-wp2022
2
USOIL WTIKey Offshore Oil and Gas Installations at Risk of Iranian Attack Based on recent escalations and Iran's retaliatory capabilities, the following offshore installations are most vulnerable: Strait of Hormuz Infrastructure Why at risk: A critical global chokepoint handling 21 million barrels of oil daily. Iran has repeatedly threatened closure if provoked. Potential targets: Tanker routes, underwater pipelines, and monitoring stations. Qatar’s North Field Gas Facilities Why at risk: Directly adjacent to Iran’s South Pars field (recently attacked by Israel). Shared reservoirs mean disruptions could cascade. Vulnerability: Iran could target Qatari platforms to amplify global gas shortages. Saudi/UAE Offshore Fields Key sites: Saudi Arabia’s Safaniya (world’s largest offshore oil field). UAE’s Upper Zakum oil field. Why at risk: Iran views Gulf states as Israeli allies; striking them would disrupt U.S.-aligned economies. Israeli Mediterranean Gas Rigs Leviathan and Tamar fields: Provide 90% of Israel’s electricity. Already targeted by Iranian proxies (e.g., Hezbollah rockets in 2023). Bahrain/Kuwait Offshore Facilities Strategic value: Proximity to Iran enables rapid drone/missile strikes. Past attacks (e.g., 2019 Aramco) demonstrate capability. Why These Targets? Retaliatory logic: Iran’s energy infrastructure (e.g., South Pars) was damaged by Israeli strikes. Targeting adversaries’ assets aligns with its "escalate to deter" strategy. Global leverage: Disrupting Hormuz or major fields could spike oil prices 30–50%, pressuring Western governments. Technical feasibility: Iran’s naval drones, cruise missiles, and mines can penetrate offshore defenses. Immediate Threats Target Risk Level Potential Impact Strait of Hormuz Critical Global oil prices surge; 20% of LNG shipments halted Qatar’s North Field High 10% of global LNG supply disrupted; Europe/Asia energy crisis Israeli Gas Rigs High Israel’s energy security crippled; regional conflict escalation Conclusion Iran’s most likely retaliation targets are offshore installations in the Strait of Hormuz, Qatar, and Israeli Mediterranean fields, leveraging proximity and asymmetric tactics. Such attacks would aim to inflict maximum economic damage while avoiding direct confrontation with the U.S. or NATO. Global energy markets face severe disruption if hostilities escalate further. A successful breakout above this descending trendline and resistance zone (near $74–$75) would confirm a bullish reversal, potentially opening the way for further upside toward $80 and $100 as next target. US crude inventories have declined recently, reducing oversupply fears and supporting prices. Global oil demand is forecast to grow by 720,000 barrels per day in 2025, while supply increases are more modest. OPEC+ decisions to maintain production cuts or limit increases have also contributed to price support. Summary Oil prices are testing and potentially breaking out of a long-term descending trendline formed since mid-2022. breakout will be long buy hope that we see 80$ per barrel. #usoil #oil
GBEBROKERS:USOILLong
by Shavyfxhub
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps youThe Middle East currently resembles a barrel filled with gunpowder, ready to explode at any moment. Israel and Iran continue to attack each other—Israel bombed Iran's nuclear facilities, while Iran fired missiles at Israeli cities. More worryingly, the U.S. may decide to join the conflict within the next two weeks, and five U.S.-UK aircraft carriers are converging on the Middle East, akin to lighting a match beside the powder keg. However, Iran has also held talks with European nations in Geneva, stating that if Israel halts its attacks first, it is willing to discuss nuclear issues. This creates a paradox: while the risk of war grows, there is also hope for negotiations—similar to two market factions, one fearing war will drive oil prices higher, and the other believing talks could push prices down. The Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil transport corridor, sees massive oil shipments pass through daily. Iran has repeatedly threatened to block the strait, and if it does, oil prices could skyrocket like a rocket. So far, however, Iran has not taken such action, and the market is watching closely to see if it will. Trading Strategy If oil prices rebound to the $74.5–$75 range and candlestick charts show prices stalling (forming consecutive long upper shadows) with trading volume decreasing rather than increasing, consider opening light short positions with 25% of funds. When prices retreat to $73.5, close 40% of short positions to take profits. If prices continue to fall, hold the remaining short positions for a target of $72.5. However, if prices break through $76, immediately trigger a stop loss to prevent further losses from a potential upward trend. Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you USOIL sell@74.5~75 SL:76 TP:73.5~73
TVC:USOILShort
by David_Wilson1
1
WTI CRUDE OIL: There is no better time to sell that this.WTI Crude Oil has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.048, MACD = 2.830, ADX = 41.529) and this is technically the most efficient level to sell on the long term. Not only is that the top of the dotted Channel Down but last week the price got very close to the 1W MA200, which has produced the last 3 major rejections since the week of August 12th 2024. Technically the market still has some room to move upwards and test it but since it rose purely on the latest Middle East conflict, it is more likely than not to see an equally quick price deflation and rebalancing. The earlier bearish waves (September 2023 onwards), initially targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci level and then bounced. That translates to TP = 61.00 (at least) towards the end of the year. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
1
weekly price chart of WTI Crude Oil (CFDs on Crude Oil - WTI) 🔍 Key Observations: 1. Downtrend Line (Black Diagonal Line) The chart has a descending trendline drawn from a previous high (around mid-2022), connecting lower highs. This trendline represents a long-term resistance level — each time the price approached it, it was rejected. 2. Support Zone (Green Box) A horizontal green zone marks a strong support area, roughly between $62–$67. This area has been tested multiple times in the past (as both support and resistance), indicating it's a key level where buying interest appears. 3. Recent Price Action The price recently dipped below the green support zone, forming a false breakdown or bear trap, then strongly rebounded back above it. The price is now around $73.20, approaching the descending trendline (resistance). 🔧 Technical Interpretation: Trend: Overall long-term downtrend (as seen from the descending trendline). Current Momentum: Strong bullish bounce from the support zone. Key Resistance: Around $74–$76, where price meets the descending trendline. Key Support: Around $62–$67, the highlighted green zone. 🔮 What to Watch Next: Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above the descending trendline and sustains above $76, it could signal a trend reversal or breakout. Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at the trendline, it may retest the $67 zone or lower. Volume: Not shown here, but would be important to confirm the breakout.
MARKETSCOM:USOIL
by Game_0f_Pivot
Massive Oil Move Incoming? Only One Thing Can Stop ItOIL – Overview Oil Rallies to 5-Month High as Israel-Iran Tensions Escalate Oil prices surged to a five-month high early Wednesday amid escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. The ongoing airstrikes between the two nations, along with reports that the Trump administration is considering military involvement, have intensified concerns over a broader regional war. Since Israel launched a surprise strike on Iran last week targeting nuclear sites, oil has risen nearly 10%, fueled by fears of potential supply disruptions. President Trump has publicly called for Iran's "unconditional surrender," signaling heightened geopolitical risk. Despite the ongoing conflict, Iran's oil exports remain largely unaffected, and the country has not yet disrupted shipping through the Persian Gulf — a critical route supplying around 20% of global oil demand. However, markets remain on edge over the potential for further escalation that could directly impact supply. Technical Outlook: Oil maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 72.21, with upside targets at: ➡️ 77.21 ➡️ 79.50 — key breakout level ➡️ 85.40 — next resistance zone ➡️ Potential extension to 88.40 if momentum continues 🔻 A shift to bearish sentiment is only likely if negotiations begin between Iran and Israel, signaling potential de-escalation. Key Levels: • Pivot: 73.20 • Resistance: 77.21 / 79.50 / 85.40 • Support: 69.55 / 68.33 / 66.03 Caution: Any signs of de-escalation or negotiations between Iran and Israel could quickly reverse the trend.
TVC:USOILLong
by SroshMayi
USOIL:Go short before you go long The idea of crude oil is still to go long. Today, the more appropriate entry point is 72-72.3, there is still a little space at present, if you consider selling short first, then the more appropriate short point is 73-73.3 range. Give to the point to do, to wait to do more. Trading Strategy: SELL@73-73.3 TP: 72-72.3 BUY@72-72.3 TP: 73.7-74 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
USOIL:A long trading strategy Oil prices also fell sharply under the stimulus of the news, and then completed the correction rebound in the sub-session, and now back to around 71 again. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will be mainly in the form of shock consolidation. Trading ideas than yesterday did not change too much, adjust the appropriate profit point. Trading Strategy: BUY@70.5-70.8 TP: 71.8-72.3 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
USOIL – Reclaiming the Energy Narrative | WaverVanir Macro Rever📉 Chart Thesis: After nearly three years of structural decline from the $129 peak, crude oil (USOIL) is approaching a confluence zone of historic Fibonacci support ($56–$60) and a multi-year descending trendline. This zone may mark the bottom of a long-term accumulation phase. 🧠 Strategic Perspective (WaverVanir View): “It’s time to take back our resource. Not just politically—but economically, institutionally, and structurally.” WaverVanir International LLC sees this setup as a rare macro pivot. This isn’t about short-term fluctuations—it’s about the global realignment of resource value in a world where: Central banks are overleveraged Strategic petroleum reserves are drawn down War premium is mispriced Real assets are undervalued 📊 Key Levels: Support Zone: $56.04 (historical institutional buy zone) Breakout Trigger: Trendline above $67.00 Target 1: $101.35 (0.786 Fib) Target 2: $129.42 (1.0 Fib) Target 3: $160.58 (1.236 Fib projection) ⚠️ Risk Disclosure: We are not yet capitalized but actively building a legally compliant funding vehicle. No capital is currently allocated. This post is part of our vision publication cycle to build trust and transparency in WaverVanir’s thesis. 📌 Follow WaverVanir International LLC for conviction-based macro trade ideas at the intersection of data science, price action, and risk strategy. #USOIL #MacroTrading #Commodities #WaverVanir #TradingView #QuantMacro #EnergyRevolution #FibonacciAnalysis #MarketStructure #EmergingFund
TVC:USOILLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
USOILThe first higher high after a downtrend indicates a potential trend reversal to the upside. It shows that buyers are starting to regain control, signaling the possibility of a new bullish trend. Trendline Break: A break above a significant trendline further confirms the shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish. The trendline break signifies that selling pressure has weakened, and the market is poised for further upward movement. Retest of Trendline: After breaking the trendline, the price often retests the broken trendline, which now acts as support. This retest offers a low-risk buying opportunity as it confirms the strength of the new uptrend.
FX:USOILLong
by SohailChaudhary
WTI on high time frame "Hello traders, focusing on WTI crude oil, the price surged to $78 but sharply retreated to the $65 zone. Over the last five days, the price has consolidated. I believe that the signals from the recent 4-hour candle suggest a potential move towards higher prices, with the next target possibly being around $72. I will be monitoring the price action around $72 closely for a potential rejection or continuation towards even higher prices." If you need further assistance or have additional insights to share, feel free to let me know.
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by somayehbasiri
#USOIIL #WTI 1H📈 #USOIL 1H Buy Setup – Liquidity Sweep in Play Crude Oil is consolidating after a sharp decline, forming a potential setup for a liquidity sweep below the current range, followed by a bullish reversal. We're anticipating a fakeout move to grab sell-side liquidity before price targets the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and premium supply zone above. 🟩 Buy Limit: 64.50 / 64.00 🎯 Targets: 70.00 → 72.00+ ❌ Stop Loss: 63.00 This setup offers high risk-to-reward potential if the liquidity sweep plays out as expected. Monitor price action closely at the buy zone. #CrudeOil #WTI #SmartMoney #TradingStrategy
TVC:USOILLong
by PIPSFIGHTER