.USOIL (M30) NEW ANALYSIS UPDATES
**USOIL M30 Trading Idea (April 16, 2025)**
**Setup Type:** Short (Sell) Setup
**Market Outlook:**
The price is currently trading around **61.76**. Based on the structure and expected movement, the chart indicates a potential bearish reversal after a short-term rally.
**Planned Strategy:**
- **Entry Point:** Around **62.28 - 62.47**
Price is expected to rise into this resistance zone. This area can be used to enter short positions.
- **Target Point:** Around **60.25 - 60.02**
This is the projected support zone where the price may find buying interest again, hence ideal for profit-taking.
**Trade Idea:**
Wait for the price to rise into the resistance zone (entry area). Look for rejection signals or bearish candlestick patterns (like a bearish engulfing, pin bar, or double top) to confirm the short entry. If confirmation appears, enter a **sell position** targeting the lower blue zone as the take-profit area.
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance Zone (Entry Area):** 62.28 – 62.47
- **Support Zone (Target Area):** 60.25 – 60.02
**Risk Management Tip:**
Place stop-loss just above 62.50 to protect against a breakout above resistance
OIL_CRUDE trade ideas
USOIL Today's strategyWith the combination of oversupply, weak demand, technical factors, and geopolitical uncertainties, there is a high probability of a short-term decline in USOIL prices. Investors should closely monitor the dynamic changes.
USOIL
sell@61.5-62
tp:60.5-60
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
WTI Crude oversold bounceback capped at 63,40WTI Crude Oil is showing bearish sentiment, in line with the current downtrend. Recent price action appears to be an oversold bounce back. A break below a key consolidation zone, could add pressure to the downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 6340 (former support, now resistance), 6413, 6530
Support: 5920, 5708, 5520
Bearish Outlook:
Price has broken below 6620, which was a key intraday consolidation level. If WTI sees a short-term bounce but fails to break above 6340, it could resume its downward move toward 5920, then 5700, and possibly 5520 over time.
Bullish Scenario:
If WTI breaks above 6340 and closes above it on the daily chart, the bearish setup would be invalidated. This could open the door for a short squeeze rally toward 6413, then 6530.
Conclusion:
The trend remains bearish below 6340. A rejection at this level would reinforce the downside bias. However, a confirmed break and daily close above 6340 would shift the outlook to bullish in the short term.
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WTI Oil H4 | Approaching a multi-swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 62.71 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 65.90 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 57.01 which is a swing-low support.
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OIL go UPWTI crude oil has recently shown signs of stabilizing after a period of volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and shifting demand expectations. While supply concerns and OPEC+ decisions continue to influence price movements, the broader macroeconomic indicators—such as signs of a soft landing in the U.S. economy and resilient global demand—are starting to create a more bullish environment.
In my view, WTI is likely to start strengthening from current levels. The technical setup suggests a potential reversal, with support holding and momentum indicators turning upward. If prices break above key resistance zones, we could see a sustained move higher.
Overall, I believe it's a good time to consider a long position on WTI.
USOIL BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 60.44
Target Level: 73.81
Stop Loss: 51.51
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Oil slumps as demand outlook dims and supply risesMacro:
- Oil prices stay weak as trade war fears weigh on global growth and energy demand.
- The IEA cut its 2025 oil demand growth forecast to just 730k bpd, the slowest pace in five years, down from 1.03 mln.
- Meanwhile, OPEC+ output is rising, with Saudi Arabia set to boost exports to China in May and Russia maintaining steady production, fueling oversupply concerns.
Technical:
- USOIL is in a clear downtrend fueled by lower highs and lows. The price is below both EMAs, indicating persistent downward momentum.
- If USOIL closes above the resistance at 63.30, the price may retest the following resistance at 65.80.
- On the contrary, remaining below 68.30 may pave the way to retest the support at 57.25 and 53.85, respectively.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Bullish bounce?USO/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 60.95
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 60.01
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 63.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Daily Analysis of USOILChanges in Crude Oil Supply and Demand:
Demand Side: China imposes tariffs on U.S. crude oil, raising the import cost and reducing the import volume. The United States imposes tariffs on energy imports from Canada and Mexico, affecting the crude oil exports of these two countries to the U.S., reducing the demand for crude oil in the United States and putting pressure on the price of USOIL 😟.
Supply Side: After China reduces its imports of U.S. crude oil, it increases imports from other exporting countries, changing the global crude oil supply pattern and possibly strengthening the expectation of a supply surplus. The decrease in U.S. crude oil exports may lead to an increase in domestic inventory, exerting downward pressure on the price of USOIL 😣.
💰💰💰 USOIL💰💰💰
🎯 Sell@61.0 - 61.2
🎯 TP 59.5 - 59.5
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
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USOIL MARKERT ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONUSOIL, is currently consolidating at the over sold position, the decision will favor the Bulls, The Bulls will drive the price up to the Bearish Institutional Renegotiation Zone at 79% Premium price of 69.15. There USOIL will consolidate again and drop down in price as the Bear will take over again. Lets go long with them. Entry is now,
Take profit and Stop loss Are clearly Stated on the chat.
GOOD LUCK GUYS!
WTI Oil Inverse Head & Shoulders looking for a 4H MA50 break-outWTI Oil (USOIL) has formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which is a technical bottom formation that signals the trend change to bullish.
So far the move is limited by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which has 2 rejections already and is keeping the bullish break-out from happening.
If the market closes a candle above the 4H MA50, we will have a bullish confirmation signal. Our Target will be the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $69.00 and not higher, because the long-term trend is limited by the wider Lower Highs trend-line of January.
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USOIL Today's strategyCurrently, USOIL is fluctuating within a range without a clear directional bias. If it stably breaks through the range of $63 to $64, it is highly likely to continue rising. Conversely, if it fails to break through, it may trigger a decline towards the range of $59 to $57.
USOIL
sell@63-62
tp:60-59
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Channel Down bottomed. Buy opportunity.WTI Crude Oil is heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.039, MACD = -2.310, ADX = 38.046) as it is trading inside a Channel Down for more than 1 year. Last week's low has made a technical LL at the bottom of the pattern and the current consolidation indicates that this may be an attempt to initiate the new bullish wave. The 1D RSI recovered from being oversold previously and this potentially hints to a rebound over the 1D MA200. The last bullish wave crossed above the 0.618 Fibonacci marginally. Trade: long, TP = 71.00.
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Choose to go short at high levels for crude oilThe price of crude oil is still fluctuating within a range and lacks clear directional momentum. The outlook remains bearish until it breaks through the $63.70 mark or there are clear factors stimulating demand. In the short term, the trend of oil prices is likely to remain confined to the current range. In terms of trading suggestions, it is advisable to mainly go short and go long as a supplement.
Oil trading strategy:
sell @ 61.90-62.10
sl 62.80
tp 61.20-61.00
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Crude Oil Holds Rebound Above $55Crude oil's sharp rebound from the $55 support—aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the 2020–2022 uptrend—faced immediate resistance at the long-standing support-turned-resistance zone around $63.80, established in 2021.
A decisive move above $63.80 may clear the way for further gains toward $66, $68, $69.60, and ultimately $73. On the downside, a drop below $58 would bring $55 back into focus.
A clean break below that level could trigger further downside toward $49 per barrel, which aligns with the lower boundary of crude oil's long-term uptrend.
With global powers competing for oil, key events this week include:
🔹 OPEC report amid tariffs and efforts to regain market share
🔹 US–China trade talks
🔹 Chinese GDP, IP, Retail Sales (Wed)
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT