TradeCityPro | OKB: Uptrend in HWC with Fresh Bullish Momentum👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I want to examine the coin OKB, the official cryptocurrency of the OKX exchange, one of the world's largest exchanges. Currently, with $4 billion in daily spot trading volume and $34 billion in futures, it ranks fourth among crypto exchanges globally.
📅 Weekly Timeframe: Long-Term Ascending Structure
In the weekly timeframe, we are witnessing a long-term uptrend in a High Wave Cycle (HWC), which has been evident since the coin's launch, moving within an ascending channel. Initially, the price moved to a resistance at $33.45, and after breaking this level, it created a new high at $67.87 and has pulled back to $33.45 once.
🔍 Currently, the price is in a range between $33.45 and $67.87. After reaching $33.45, this area aligned with the channel's lower trend line, and considering the proximity to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, it formed a very strong Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), propelling the price upward again. The price is now moving towards $67.87, a strong supply area and the coin's all-time high (ATH) resistance.
🚀 If this area is broken, the price could potentially move towards $110 and $230, targets based on Fibonacci levels. With a market cap of $3.5 billion, if this project enters the top 20 and pushes its market cap above $10 billion, these targets could be easily reached. Entry into overbuy conditions on the RSI could assist in reaching these targets.
🔽 If the price corrects further and breaks below $33.45, the next areas would be the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels. However, if $33.45 is broken, it could introduce a strong bearish momentum into the market, possibly turning the HWC into a bearish trend.
📅 Daily Timeframe: Reintroduction of Bullish Momentum
In the daily timeframe, we are observing a momentum shift starting from the price reaction at $33.45. After breaking $43.33, more volume and momentum entered the market, and the price has since pulled back to the SMA99 twice.
👀 Today’s candle is a large green one, approximately 20% in size, reaching up to resistance at $62.01. If the RSI enters overbuy conditions and $62.01 is broken, the price could move towards $72.68. If this resistance is also broken, as mentioned, the price could register new ATHs. In addition to the targets outlined in the weekly timeframe, the middle line of the ascending channel could serve as a new target.
🧩 For now, I see no signs of a trend reversal and suggest if you hold this coin and are in profit, keep it as long as the price stays above the channel's lower line. A break below 50 on the RSI could increase the likelihood of this scenario unfolding.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers
I've discussed various scenarios in higher timeframes, and in this timeframe, I want to outline just the futures triggers.
🔼 For long positions, first, I must note that since the RSI is in overbuy territory, I personally prefer not to open a long position and wait until this oscillator returns to a normal range. Then, wait for the price to stabilize above $60.67 before opening your position, with a potential target of $72.68.
🔽 For short positions, I recommend not opening a short on this coin due to the clearly bullish trend seen in the weekly and daily timeframes. If you insist on shorting, breaking supports at $51.30 and $45.21 could serve as triggers, but as mentioned, I will not be joining you in this as it goes against the main market trend.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
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