Easy 40% upside in AlibabaAlibaba - the shorts have been left at the cleaners and now price is running to take out the highs the buyside liquidity
BABAF trade ideas
BABA: Buy ideaOn BABA we notice that the resistance line and the support line converge. This means that we would have a high probability of having an upward trend.
BABA: Continuity of the upward trendContinuity of the bullish trend on BABA as you can see on the chart with this intersection between the resistance line and the support line.
baba stock is in a critical levelhello
i see if it breaks up this current level it will reachs 130 then it will decide if up more or reverse down because 130 is major historical level that tells several stories
keep eyes on my levels in order to know where the market can attract you
Remember that i am not using a crista ball ptredicting future but i try to be more efficient and more rational
good luck
BABA its time to go Long!Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Cloud Integrates DeepSeek AI Models, Enabling No-Code AI Deployment (Yahoo.com)
In terms of technical analysis, we have 3 confirmations that give us a good signal to entry for go Long!
BABA - yet another hidden Gem we can extract value from?Currently we are observing a re-entry into a ascending channel based on the RSI indicator and additionally we are entering a very big time of the year which we see all
of the retailers bring in a lot of revenue, for reference we can check out my last post in my channel in regards Amazon.As an additional benefit from a fundamental point of view BABA is looking to get hard into the AI business and it would be one of the biggest competitors in Asia to get hardly involved, they have the cash and assets to do so.
Entry on market open -
Target 1 : 89.70
Target 2 : 97.62
Target 3 : 104.58
After we visit all of the targets we will get back onto this opportunity so we can forsee if we can chase the earlier high of 120$ per share
Time frame of analysis 4H
Time frame of realization Until their next earnings call in January.
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
$BABA Potential Bullish Reversal, (Daily TF)12/25/2024
Alright, I know there's a lot here so let me know if you have any questions and I'll do my best to answer. This is for educational purpose only.
1. Price dropped 18% ($101 -> $82.64) in 15 days.
2. Triple resistance on Tue, Nov 19 & Fri, Nov 29 & Tue, Dec 17 @ ~$87. Resistance zone between $86.70 - $87.75.
3. Bearish Fibonacci (Dec 9 - Dec 20). Anticipate sideways movement around 0.382 ($86.44), 0.5 ($87.91) and 0.618 ($89.38).
4. The light-brown boxes and light-brown line highlight the potential movement of price.
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$85.52: Current price
$85.00: Next bearish price target
Bullish Resistance Points:
$86.44 - 0.382 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$87.00 - Resistance zone
$87.60 - Previous Weekly High
$87.91 - 0.5 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$89.38 - 0.618 Bearish Fibonacci (potential sideways movement or reversal)
$91.44 - 0.786 Bearish Fibonacci (potential reversal)
$90.56 - $91.83: Bullish Gap to be filled
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Currently in a play: NYSE:BABA 21 MAR 25 110c @ $1.24
Currently up 5% (@ $1.31).
Profit Target: $2.24 (contract price)
Stop Loss: n/a (manually monitoring for now)
BABA Stock Analysis After breaking out of the blue resistance zone, the next resistance is in red, where the price could potentially get rejected.
🎯 Next Steps:
Watch for the red resistance as it may halt the upward movement.
If the price breaks through this resistance, we could see further upside.
If it gets rejected, the price may pull back to test previous levels.
Fasten Your Seat BeltThe chart indicates a potential "triple bottom" pattern forming, which is a bullish technical pattern in stock analysis. The analyst has marked three key points (labeled 1, 2, and 3) that form this pattern.
The chart includes several notable elements:
A price downtrend from October through December 2024
Three similar low points that could constitute the triple bottom pattern
A bullish projection shown by green dots suggesting potential upward movement
Text saying "Fasten your seat belt!" suggesting the analyst anticipates significant movement
Current price metrics showing the stock at around $84-85 range
The performance metrics shown in the top right indicate:
5.27% gain in 1 week
-1.5% change in 1 month
-17.03% change in 3 months
It's important to note that while technical patterns can be useful indicators, they don't guarantee future price movement. Any investment decisions should be made based on comprehensive research including fundamental analysis and overall market conditions.
New AI Model Before EarningsAlibaba's stock got a boost after it unveiled its new AI model, Qwen2.5-Max. This advanced model can be used directly through Qwen Chat or via API on Alibaba Cloud, highlighting the company's push to enhance its cloud services.
Reports show that Qwen2.5-Max outshines other leading AI models in key areas, which has investors excited. They see this as a smart move that could strengthen Alibaba's position in the growing AI market and add value to its cloud computing business.
I liked to see BABA ride back up after a solid earnings and AI reveal details back to +$100.
AliBABA Remains In A Larger Bullish Triangle PatternAlibaba is up after the company releases AI model it says surpasses DeepSeek-v3.
Alibaba with ticker BABA is trading sideways for two years, but we are tracking a larger bullish ABCDE triangle pattern in circled wave B before we will see a continuation higher for circled wave C.
With recent rebound away from the lower triangle line due to the release of AI model that surpasses DeepSeek, seems like subwave C is finished and it's now rising within wave D which can recover the price back to the upper triangle line before we will see another and final wave E slow down to complete a triangle in circled wave B.
Trumps Tariffs hurt BABA and other Chinese Stocks? BABA looking good for a buy here? Last time trump imposed tarriffs it shook paper hands and ALL chinese stocks ran. Does history repeat itself?
Baba Price Reversal on Quarterly. Baba Is bullish again. This is a Quarterly chart.
Fair value Gap between $180-$204 on Quarterly chart.
Price action suggests Baba is poised to make big moves and it's P/E ratio is also only Around 12.
AI hype is coming too for Baba since they have Qwen AI on their hands.
Stop Loss and Target mentioned in the Post. Now let's see what happens.
P.S. This is not a financial advice. This is an educational and speculative post only. Do your own research.
BABA 2.0 !BABA confirmed the uptrend and this dip is a good long opportunity.
Long anywhere here.
Target 1 - 120
Target 2 - 150
Target 3 - 170
Stop Loss - 80
Catch falling knife BABABABA still in downtrend. in market cycle psychology BABA must be at around 73 or 66 to get more retail capitulate their balance.
With collaboration of elliot wave (1-5) it can happen
I think before CNY BABA still downtrend then sideways in bottom and then up only
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Surge Following AI Model LaunchAlibaba (BABA) Shares Surge Following AI Model Launch
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba has unveiled an upgraded version of its artificial intelligence model, Qwen2.5 Max. According to the company, the model:
→ Outperforms DeepSeek, the AI model that made headlines this week, in several key areas.
→ Achieves "competitive performance compared to top-tier models," referencing OpenAI and Meta, based on benchmark tests.
The news was met with enthusiasm, driving Alibaba's (BABA) stock price up by more than 6% in a single day, pushing BABA shares to their highest level of the year.
The technical analysis of the BABA stock chart shows that stock fluctuations form reference points for constructing the Andrew’s Pitchfork pattern, while price movements along the central line (indicated by an arrow) confirm the validity of the pattern's construction.
Currently, the price:
→ Has broken above December’s high at around $94.
→ Is approaching the psychological resistance level of $100.
Whether bulls can sustain or extend these gains will largely depend on Alibaba’s Q4 earnings report, set to be released today, 29 January.
According to TipRanks:
→ 11 out of 12 analysts recommend buying BABA stock.
→ The 12-month average price target stands at $121.33.
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New ai Model QWEN 2.5 could be catalyst for BABA - Target 200Baba just released Qwen 2.5, an ai model that is rated to be as good or better as DeepSeek and Chat gpt. This might serve as an additionally revenue stream to an already cheap stock. More importantly, it can serve as a catalyst to ignite investor interest and stock demand.
Currently around 10 pe (seeking alpha data), multiple expansion and eps growth could boost BABA into the 200s or higher given a long term outlook. While the US seeks many ai stocks at high multiple of revenue and earnings, chinese stocks are way cheaper and in theory have less price risk. However, they still have geo political and currency risks.
Baba has a large cash pile. This not only makes it slightly less risky, it also serves as potential ammunition for further innovation, acquisitions, or worst case, cash returned to investors.
Alibaba Wave Analysis 28 January 2025
- Alibaba broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 100.00
Alibaba recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 93.50 (a former yearly high from December) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated active impulse wave 3, which has been part of the intermediate impulse wave (C) since the beginning of January.
Alibaba can be expected to rise further to the next round resistance level 100.00 (which stopped the previous minor correction iv in November).
$BABA looking good?NYSE:BABA looking good to turn around and go upwards. Personally not entering as there are earnings soon.
BABA, short, 15m✅ BABA is showing bearish momentum as it moves lower to retest a key support level. This suggests further downside potential before finding stability at the support.
SHORT 🔥
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$BABA Falling wedge breakout on dailyNYSE:BABA falling wedge breakout confirmed with MACD signalling bullish trend.
There's volume gap just above 90 to 94 where price can move very fast.
All sentiment indicator has been very bearish lately which makes me come to conclusion that this was the bottom.
Market was positioning for TRUMP to possibly put on 60% tarrifs on china which doesn't seem to be happening now as Trump has suggested negotiations with President XI
my PT is $99 for BABA in next 3 months
BABA under valued by 31% at least Risk-reward ratio: 1to112
I believe over the next years BABA could go to $200#
Wallstreet target: 124.24
The Reason: China is a winning economy and growing GDP
Intrinsic Value: 121,99$
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. stands as a titan in the e-commerce realm, a juggernaut that has revolutionized how business is conducted in China and beyond. Founded in 1999 by Jack Ma and his partners in a small apartment in Hangzhou, the company blossomed from a modest online marketplace into a sprawling digital ecosystem. At its core, Alibaba operates some of the largest online platforms in the world, including Taobao and Tmall, catering to millions of individual consumers and businesses. Taobao, akin to eBay, provides an open-market platform for small businesses and entrepreneurs to reach consumers directly, while Tmall offers a space for international and Chinese brands to establish virtual storefronts. The sophistication and scale of Alibaba’s e-commerce operations have been supplemented by innovative business models like Singles' Day, the world’s largest online shopping event, which epitomizes their prowess in blending digital savvy with consumer psychology.
PE: 17.2 undervalued
Technicals:
VWAP + FIB Golden + POC
Textbook bottoming formationexpect Alibaba to have a violent reversal soon, may still touch 75$ from which i will be adding to my position
